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Raydalio

Are You Seeing This?If being on the gold standard made the U.S. Debt-to-GDP ratio get better, then what will make the Debt-to-GDP even out now? Particularly since we're probably not going back to the gold standard. What asset can the U.S. peg the U.S. Dollar to make the Debt-to-GDP even out or decline? Or, will the U.S. just letting the debt continue without being checked? The great part about the U.S. is their "beautiful deleveraging" and reflation. It's great to the have fighting in the corner of the U.S. It gets bumpy, but just hold on tight. There is more to come. Can't wait to see how this plays out. #RayDalio #GoldStandard #BeautifulDeleveraging #BumpyRide #WhatsNext #ATJX $ATJX
ECONOMICS:USGDG
by NebulousMercuria
📖Ray Dalio famous quotes📖📖Ray Dalio famous quotes📖 Raymond Thomas Dalio (born August 8, 1949) is an American billionaire investor and hedge fund manager, who has served as co-chief investment officer of the world's largest hedge fund, Bridgewater Associates, since 1985. He founded Bridgewater in 1975 in New York. A $5 million investment from the World Bank's retirement fund was made within five years. His innovations are regarded as some of the best in the industry, having popularized many commonly used practices, such as risk parity, currency overlay, portable alpha and global inflation-indexed bond management. ~ Wikipedia "If you are not aggressive, you are not going to make money, and if you are not defensive, you are not going to keep money" ~ Ray Dalio "To make money in the markets, you have to think independently and be humble" ~ Ray Dalio "Don’t mistake possibilities for probabilities. Anything is possible. It’s the probabilities that matter. Everything must be weighed in terms of its likelihood and prioritized" ~ Ray Dalio “Truth - more precisely, an accurate understanding of reality - is the essential foundation for producing good outcomes.” ~ Ray Dalio "Listening to uninformed people is worse than having no answers at all" ~ Ray Dalio “If you’re not failing, you’re not pushing your limits, and if you’re not pushing your limits, you’re not maximizing your potential” ~ Ray Dalio 🚀If you appreciate my work and effort put into this post I encourage you to leave a like and give a follow on my profile.🚀
Education
by InvestMate
5
Nickel short tradeThanks for viewing, I am not sure how widespread interest in Nickel is, my interest in Nickel is; - It is a valuable metal that is in demand as the world turns towards electrification (Nickel currently has a low proportion of its demand ~3% from batteries and ~70% from steel-making but EVS. Vehicle manufacturers are turning towards much higher proportion of vehicles being EVS and battery manufacturers are turning to higher efficiency batteries with a higher proportion of nickel, - There are therefore, strong fundamental reasons to expect strong long-term demand, - It is possible to buy large volume physical metal and store it in secure locations (you can even take out a low interest loan on a %age of the market value of the metal collateral) like silverbullion.com.sg. - I would like to add physical Nickel into my "all weather portfolio" (so that commodity positions comprise 7.5% of the portfolio - a la Ray Dalio) I am looking for an entry point to buy. If you trade, I put my entry point on a break below the swing low for a 1:1 extension of the previous drop. If my view is correct this would allow wave (B) to complete without making a lower low (than was set in Feb 2016). This would set the scene for a new bull move towards all-time highs. That short trade (stop placed arbitrarily above nearby resistance) could net -27% closing out at $180.93. Actually, I may look into a platform that offers a short contract. If the Feb 2016 low is exceeded, my bullish scenario is off the table. Reasons for a bearish view: - MACD histogram strong down trend, - MACD moving averages looking like crossing over to the downside, - If a wave (B) unfolds to an expected 1:1 extension that will mean an 44% price decline, - Lower buy volume for Iron ore over the past 18 months and signs of exhaustion in the Iron Ore rally - and as so much of nickel demand is from steel-making this would also drag down Nickel, - Nagging suspicions about a generalised property bubble that is in the process of deflating in the west (commercial property down 20-30% in the US in 2020) if it gets underway (massive manipulation will be required to stop the implosion of a huge speculative bubble in residential and commercial property) in China - there could be a huge reduction in steel demand for construction. At the moment I'm not trading, but looking to enter long around the $180 (below $8000/ton) mark. At the moment silverbullion.com.sg is offering just under 4% over spot and similar buy-sell spread. Storage fee are around 1.5% per year at current prices (more as a % basis for smaller 250kg / 550lb amounts). They have 2000kg bags of 99.8% pure Nickel at USD14,986/ton. I would be looking to enter below USD8000/ton and am hoping for a ~40% price drop overall before the next bull market. Of course, I could be wrong, or right but too early, or I may miss the buy-zone for some reason (like lack of funds) even if it unfolds exactly as I have charted it. I am not an affiliate and the link posted isn't an affiliate link. It is just something I discovered in my search for gold and silver bullion non-bank vaults. If anyone knows of a better offering elsewhere - please let me know (I am also interested in low premium / spread bulk copper - not small ingots or coins). Lately, I have been finding Elliot Wave principles very helpful in determining entry-points into commodity, gold and silver, and equity positions. When pessimism prevails people and organisations sell or get liquidated and the bottom normally isn't right at the point that fundamental factors switch from 'sell' to 'buy'. I find EW is helpful for setting entry and exit points - especially in lieu of more concrete information. Protect those funds
DJ:DJCIIKShort
by flyinkiwi10
BTC- Key things to look out forTotal exchange volume, after reached ATH in early Jan, has since come back down, but is still much higher than it was a year ago. Fundamental- Grayscale’s Crypto AUM has recently surpassed $30 Billion lvl and it was mostly driven by hedge fund involvement. Average commitment is in uptrend as well. Fidelity Digital Assets President Tom Jessop is bullish on BTC along with Ray Dalio and Jordan Belfort (probably shouldn't mention him in the sentence as Dalio), both of them have been vocal critics of BTC until recently. Ray Dalio even went as far as claiming BTC as an alternative to gold-like assets. Crypto exchange River Financial recently launched a mobile platform for iOS, aiming specifically at the demographic over 50s. If boomers join the BTC bandwagon, their wealth can become a powerful driving force of BTC's price Derivative- CME's leveraged funds have been steadily reducing their short positions since late Dec. BTC futures volume, after reached its peak in mid Jan, has since come back down, but is still hovering around Dec. lvl. BTC futures OI on Binance, Okex and CME has exceeded 2 billion few days ago and is still at elevated lvl despite a minor drop today. Funding rate suggests that traders are moderately bullish On-chain- Recently, over $550 Million of BTC was transferred out of Coinbase Pro, which potentially indicated less selling pressure and more Hodl activity. The # of Bitcoin whales (entities holding ≥ 1k $BTC) is still increasing In January, more than 22.3 million unique addresses were active in the network sending or receiving $BTC, the highest monthly number in Bitcoin's history to date SOPR has recently reached 1, which means ppl are now less willingly to sell below the break-even price unless majority of them believe price will drop further because we are still in the bear market, which is an unlikely scenario. This could potentially mean the end of profit-taking and the resuming of uptrend. USDT issuance continues to climb up steadily so is StableCoin Supply Ratio (SSR), which might indicate more buying pressure to push up the BTC price.
by Libratus
2
DXY/ Economy for next decade.Hi Guys! Today I would like to talk about Ray Dalio and problems on the global economy. (not sure if he needs the introduction) Ray Dalio is the founder of Bridgewater. Bridgewater has raised over $ 58 billion for his clients. Bloomberg managed to access the message to their clients. And as it is now accepted there were found very gloomy forecasts regarding the financial market and how it will behave in the next 10 years and it assumes as a "lost decade" for the stock market. If you look at previous historical events, there were several cases when the financial market had negative returns for 10 years or more. That is, if you put your money in the stock market and waited 10 years or more, you would still be at a loss. For example, in the 2000s, right before the collapse of Dot-com, that is, if you invested and waited until 2012, you would still have a negative balance. But the best example that can be cited is in 1929 when if you were to invest then you would have to wait over 30 years before you could profit from your investment. And Dalio believes that we are in this kind of period. I propose to figure out why Ray Dalio thinks so. 1. Bridgewater cited a drop in profits as the reason for the lost decade in the future, so it's a drop in what was once a profit. They noted “the margin that provided most of the excess stock returns over cash may face a shift beyond the current yield cyclical decline,” and one of the reasons they see the decline in earnings is due to declining globalization. they also said "Globalization, perhaps the biggest driver of profitability in developed countries over the past few decades, has already reached its peak. Now the conflict between the US and China and the global pandemic is further accelerating the efforts of multinationals to reorient and duplicate supply chains, with a focus on reliability rather than just cost optimization." In 2019 and years earlier, there was a big direction towards globalization, which means that companies operate in different countries and buy things in others as it is much cheaper and profits are growing significantly. But analysts from Bridgewater see a decline in globalization after this crisis as countries begin to rely more on themselves and produce their local goods, but for a large number of companies this reduces profits because it is more expensive to produce goods themselves than to outsource them and this is one of the key reasons of a lost decade - "Decrease in globalization". 2. “Even if overall profitability recovers, some companies will die or their shares will devalue during this time. Left with lower yields and cash shortages, companies are likely to come out of the curve with more debts. ”
TVC:DXYEducation
by TradingExpertGroup
Just a Correction? Don't follow the HerdThis is an Update on my previous analysis this time I updated the H&S pattern to the correct drop target, with a few more indicators. And adjusted the drops to match similar time frames to the 08 crash. "The Economy Moves Up like a stair but it Drops like an Elevator"- Phil Town OVER EXTENDED & PEOPLE ARE SPREADING FOMO After a +9 year Bull run, the market is going strong. Everyone is buying and everything is going great, Weed stocks are going to make me rich! Weed stocks like NASDAQ:TLRY are going parabolic! Well until the last few days it isn't... We've seen and heard stuff like "Its just a correction." "Buy the dip." " Great time to Buy more." "Dollar Cost Average" etc. Well I'm here to say otherwise! SMART MONEY IS GETTING OUT If you've been following Warren Buffet , Ray Dalio and even Mark Cuban and all the other big Financial Investors/Smart Money you probably heard they have been pulling out of the stock market in Spring and are stockpiling cash. The problem is we are nearing the very end of the bull cycle and we are overdue on a Recession. ECONOMIC IMPACTS I love being a bull as much as the next guy especially since I have an online business but this growth is unsustainable with company share buy backs this October's Blackout is just the tip of the iceberg, the housing market slowing down due to climbing mortgage rates places like Texas and California are having a tough time selling Houses, Fed raising rates, weed stocks outpacing their true value, the Trade War Tensions between China and US. HISTORY REPEATS ITSELF/ MARKET CYCLES The main causes of the Great Depression and Great Recession lie in the actions of the federal government. In the case of the Great Depression, the Federal Reserve, after keeping interest rates artificially low in the 1920s, raised interest rates in 1929 to halt the resulting boom. That helped choke off investment. Also, President Hoover signed into law the sky-high Smoot-Hawley Tariff, which stifled trade and damaged American exports throughout the 1930s. Finally, the President signed a large tax increase into law in 1932, which halted entrepreneurship. READ MORE: fee.org Everything there sounds very similar to whats going on except for the tax increases, we got tax cuts instead, phew. If you don't believe me, Educating yourself from one of the best economists/hedge fund managers Ray Dalio on the BOOM & BUST Cycles :
AMEX:SPYShort
by Malfury
1
At least 10% potential downside from here in AmazonHello all, So far, on the short I would have taken had I been trading this, I'd be up 10%. I'm not trading this however, and I likely won't until I become certain the entire economy is in a downtrend. I did say that if you were in AMZN to get out, and as of now, that was the right choice. Have a read of this article: my.vanderbilt.edu It is Ray Dalio's perspective on how the economy works. He also has an upcoming book releasing October 15th about large debt crises. I have preordered that book, but you can read the pdf of it for free here: www.principles.com Go ahead and read Principles: Life and Work as well. Ray Dalio is a huge inspiration to me (read: inspiration, not idol) and I would recommend reading everything he writes. Hell, follow him on twitter and watch his Principles videos while you are at it. Ray Dalio has influenced my thinking tremendously, and so far, in the markets, it has been extremely helpful. If you wonder how I get the results I do, it's by constantly learning from those better than me. Good luck! -YoungShkreli
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by CantorTechnologies
5