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Aug.29-Sep.5(ETH)Weekly market recapGrayscale and the SEC's case brought volatility, but soon it dropped again. Last Friday, the United States announced the employment data for August. The actual value was 18.7, which was close to the expected value 17. The unemployment rate rose from 3.5% to 3.8% in August, the highest value in the past 12 months. And in the details of the employment report, it can be found that the unemployment rate of various groups has risen, which will make the Fed cautious in its decision on raise interest rates. After the employment data, the market raised the probability that the FOMC will not raise interest rates in September. The crypto market has been on a roller coaster over the past week. Affected by Grayscale and the SEC’s lawsuits, the token pumped last Tuesday, but it didn’t last long. It went downhill and gave up all the gains of the pump. Volatility fell again after a brief surge. We start with this Recap and will add our public script during the analysis. Mega Buying Force , an indicator used to quantify the sentiment of bottom buying. Whale Trend Analysis , an indicator for calculating the trading volume of different trading entities. If you have questions, you can find their full introduction on our home, and you can also ask us in the comment. ETH remains neutral on a large scale. The bears is slightly ahead of the bulls, and there is a high probability that the ETH will continue to fluctuate. We maintain last week’s resistance level at 1820 and support level at 1500. Judging from the MBF indicator, ETH had a certain bottom-buying sentiment after the dump in mid-August. Although it has been in fluctuation for more than half a month, it is unlikely that ETH will directly break through 1600. At the 4h level, after last week's decline, there are certain giant whales involved in the transaction, which can be seen from the WTA indicator. However, the power of bottom-buying sentiment it 4h is not as obvious as that of BTC shown by MBF indicator. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Sypool
Aug.29-Sep.5(BTC)Weekly market recapGrayscale and the SEC's case brought volatility, but soon it dropped again. Last Friday, the United States announced the employment data for August. The actual value was 18.7, which was close to the expected value 17. The unemployment rate rose from 3.5% to 3.8% in August, the highest value in the past 12 months. And in the details of the employment report, it can be found that the unemployment rate of various groups has risen, which will make the Fed cautious in its decision on raise interest rates. After the employment data, the market raised the probability that the FOMC will not raise interest rates in September. The crypto market has been on a roller coaster over the past week. Affected by Grayscale and the SEC’s lawsuits, the token pumped last Tuesday, but it didn’t last long. It went downhill and gave up all the gains of the pump. Volatility fell again after a brief surge. We start with this Recap and will add our public script during the analysis. Mega Buying Force , an indicator used to quantify the sentiment of bottom buying. Whale Trend Analysis , an indicator for calculating the trading volume of different trading entities. If you have questions, you can find their full introduction on our home, and you can also ask us in the comment. BTC remains neutral on a large scale. The gap of bulls and bears is close, and there is a high probability that BTC will continue to fluctuate. We maintain last week’s resistance level 28000 and support level 25000. The MBF indicator shows that in June, during the price decline, there was a relatively obvious bottom-buying sentiment on BTC. The subsequent return to 31000 proved this signal. Currently, BTC has dropped to 26000, but there is no obvious gathering of bottom-buying sentiment. So it will be difficult for BTC to start rising directly here. At the 4h level, we can also see on the MBF indicator that after the price fell back to 26000 last week, a bottom signal appeared. And it can be seen from the WTA indicator that at this time, there are certain whales participating in the transaction. The current price level does not far away from whale's cost of bottom-buying. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
BluetonaFX - Forex Weekly RecapHi Traders! Forex Weekly Recap for 28 August–01 September, 2023: Fundamentals The European Central Bank’s (ECB) Holzmann noted that he supports a rate hike in September barring any downside surprises before the meeting; his other key mentions were: Not in the clear yet on inflation. The ECB should start a debate soon on ending pandemic emergency purchase programme (PEPP) reinvestments. Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) Bullock noted that inflation will be her main priority as the new RBA’s Governor; her other key mentions were: The bank may have to raise rates again, but she is watching the data carefully. All central banks are grappling with how much further to hike. Climate change is likely to lead to more volatile inflation outcomes. The Federal Reserve's Mester noted that progress on inflation and the labour market is improving; her other key mentions were: The job market is still strong amid signs of rebalancing. The 3.8% jobless rate is still low. The main Fed debate is how restrictive policy needs to become and for how long. Future policy decisions will be based on incoming data. The Fed must balance risks when setting rate policy. Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Nakamura noted that Japan is no longer in deflation; his other key mentions were: The BoJ must patiently maintain an easy policy for the time being. Japan's economy is recovering moderately. The BoJ is closely watching the impact of yen moves on the economy and prices. Weak yen benefit exports and tourism but is negative for domestic-driven firms and households. The decision on when to end negative rates depends on economic developments. If Japan achieves sustained economic recovery, they won't need yield curve control (YCC), but now is not the time to get rid of YCC. Key Data Preliminary data for Australian July retail sales Retail sales M/M came in better at 0.5% vs. 0.3% expected and -0.8% prior. Retail sales Y/Y came in worse at 2.1% vs. 2.3% prior. Japan Unemployment Rate missed expctations The unemployment rate came in worse at 2.7% vs. 2.5% expected and 2.5% prior. The US job openings for July missed expectations. Job openings came in worse at 8.827M vs. 9.465M expected and 9.165M prior (revised from 9.582M). The US Non-Farm ADP came in worse at 177K vs. 195K expected and 371K prior (revised from 324K). Japan's retail sales came in better across the board. Retail sales Y/Y came in better at 6.8% vs. 5.4% expected and 5.6% prior (revised from 5.9%). Retail sales M/M came in better at 2.1% vs. -0.4% prior. The Eurozone's August preliminary CPI came in better, and the core CPI came out as expected: CPI Y/Y came in better at 5.3% vs. 5.1% expected and 5.3% prior. CPI M/M came in better at 0.6% vs. 0.4% expected and -0.1% prior. Core CPI Y/Y came in as expected at 5.3% and 5.5% prior. Core CPI M/M came in as expected at 0.3% and -0.1% prior. The Eurozone unemployment rate came in at 6.4%, as expected. The US jobless claims beat expectations for initial claims but missed expectations for continuing claims. Initial claims came in better at 228K vs. 235K expected and 323K prior (revised from 230K). Continuing claims came in worse at 1725K vs. 1703K expected and 1697K prior (revised from 1702K). US Non-Farm Payroll beat expectations; however, there was an increase in the unemployment rate: NFP came in better at 187K vs. 170K expected and 157K prior (revised from 187K). The unemployment rate came in worse at 3.8% vs. 3.5% expected and 3.5% prior. The US ISM Manufacturing PMI came in better at 47.6 vs. 47.0 expected and 46.4 prior. Technicals The US dollar started off weak but ended up with a strong finish near the end of the week against most of its counterparts. AUDUSD 1W Chart AUDUSD has rebounded off its new 2023 low at 0.63646 but is still nearing its 2022 low at 0.61702. The symmetrical triangle on the 1W chart was broken to the downside, and the price action is indicating a possible re-test of the trendline support break. USDJPY 1W Chart Another strong end to the week for USDJPY, as the pair tested the 145.073 resistance level for the third week in a row. The 147 level was finally reached this week and found resistance at 147.378, which is just short of our resistance level of 147.572. EURUSD 1W Chart EURUSD has now broken below the support line of the rising wedge. We got the swings with less momentum and for them to have lower highs and lower lows to show signs of possible reversal and break the wedge to the downside. There is potential for a continuation towards 1.07000 and possibly 1.06750. GBPUSD 1W Chart GBPUSD has looked bearish since the ascending channel break. The bearish outlook is also supported by the bollinger-band indicator, as the market looks like it will fail to break and close back above the middle band. If the bearish momentum continues, there is potential support at 1.23081. The key focus for the upcoming trading week will be: Tuesday: Reserve Bank of Australia Policy Decision Wednesday: Eurozone Retail Sales, US ISM Services PMI, Bank of Canada Policy Decision Thursday: US Jobless Claims Friday: Japan Wage Data, Canada Jobs Report We will be back with another Forex Weekly Recap report next week. Best of luck for the upcoming trading week ahead. Trade safely and responsibly. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
Aug.22-Aug.28SOL(1d)Weekly market recapPowell spoke at the Jackson Hole conference last week. There were no extra hawkish or dovish surprises in the content. He repeated the Fed's determination to reduce inflation and that monetary policy will depend on economic data. During the course of the presentation, financial assets fluctuated, but did not trend. On this Friday, the US will release employment data for August, and if the actual value do not deviate significantly from the expected value, there will be little affect on financial assets. Although the DXY has hit other financial assets in the past few weeks, it is certain that the Fed's interest rate hike is gradually coming to an end. Be patient and have a good attitude. After our recap was published last week, SOL continued to fell with fluctuation, and the price was close to 20. During this process, the trading volume is invalidated. While the pace of decline has slowed, the bulls have not strengthened. You can find that there were not many green candles last week, the subsequent candles were shorter, and the high point of the rebound gradually decreased. This is a manifestation of the lack of strength of the bulls. Conclusion: Mostly falling. SOL remains neutral on a large scale. But bears are weaker than bulls. So we come to this conclusion. We maintain the previous resistance level at 26 and support level at 19. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:SOLUSDShort
by Sypool
Aug.22-Aug.28ETH(1d)Weekly market recapPowell spoke at the Jackson Hole conference last week. There were no extra hawkish or dovish surprises in the content. He repeated the Fed's determination to reduce inflation and that monetary policy will depend on economic data. During the course of the presentation, financial assets fluctuated, but did not trend. On this Friday, the US will release employment data for August, and if the actual value do not deviate significantly from the expected value, there will be little affect on financial assets. Although the DXY has hit other financial assets in the past few weeks, it is certain that the Fed's interest rate hike is gradually coming to an end. Be patient and have a good attitude. ETH and BTC are in almost the same situation. After the dump, the volatility decreases. ETH remained in a new range. Different from BTC, the bulls of ETH seem to be weaker, and the price movement is more like a small drop with fluctuation. Bears decayed in the process, but bulls did not strengthen. Despite a longer pin-bar last week, ETH did not effectively breakthrough the Jun.15 low. Conclusion: Mostly fluctuation. We draw this conclusion based on the fact that both bulls and bears are currently weak. ETH remains neutral on a large scale. We maintain the previous resistance level at 1820 and support level at 1500. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Sypool
Aug.22-Aug.28BTC(1d)Weekly market recapPowell spoke at the Jackson Hole conference last week. There were no extra hawkish or dovish surprises in the content. He repeated the Fed's determination to reduce inflation and that monetary policy will depend on economic data. During the course of the presentation, financial assets fluctuated, but did not trend. On this Friday, the US will release employment data for August, and if the actual value do not deviate significantly from the expected value, there will be little affect on financial assets. Although the DXY has hit other financial assets in the past few weeks, it is certain that the Fed's interest rate hike is gradually coming to an end. Be patient and have a good attitude. After the dump, BTC once again entered a new epoch of low volatility, and the price remained fluctuating within a new narrow range. At the beginning of the range, candles have long pin-bars, but gradually, subsequent candles have short pin-bars. The bulls and bears have formed a tacit agreement. The trading volume in last week maintained the previous average. Conclusion: Mostly fluctuation. BTC remains neutral on a large scale. The power of bulls and bears has weakened, so we think BTC will keep fluctuating again. We maintain the previous resistance level at 28000 and support level at 25000. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
BOIL (3X Natural Gas ) Overnight Trade RecapAs a triple leveraged ETF BOIL is highly volatility and typically has a good range even if the overall price changes only a small amount from one day to the next. While these overnight day trades are typically conducted on the 3 or 5 minute time frame, here a 15- minute chart is shown. Because BOIL is tracking natural gas futures and the futures markets are around the clock , BOIL often has movement after-hours and in the pre-market while futures markets are active. In this example, the chart is dressed with double Bollinger band setup with deviations of 1.618 and 2 618 which are Fibonacci numbers. Relative volatility and relative volumes are indicated as well to be better attentive to reversals or trending amplitudes. In this example at about 12N on yesterday 7/24, price dropped out of the bands volume and volatility went red to green and the candlesticks formed a morning star pattern. This is the entry. The stop loss is placed just below the lowest bottoming wick in the pattern. Today, in the premarket, when the price rose to outside the upper trade zone and green bars on the volatility and volume indicators fell quickly, the trade was closed for a realized profit of 4.7%. About 90 minutes later, another long trade was set up for a more than 4% five hour day trade. Rinse and repeat DYODD !
AMEX:BOILLong
by AwesomeAvani
GBPUSD Short RecapIdentified an opportunity during London Session. Price was looking to take out an old high Identified the legs of an ABC structure As it did we looked for a creation of structure before the liquidity grab Moved to 15 Min After the Liquidity grab, we looked for price to break past the creation of structure for a market structure shift MSS or CHoCH Moved to 5 Min to ID FVG Wait for price to enter FVG and set SL above recent High Set TP at or near point B of wave Targeting 1:2.5 RR risking 1(or 2) percent of account Emotion: Groggy as I randomly woke up between 1:30-2 am ID Session Time and likely pair Confident in what looked to be forming Surprised that I woke up to what looks to be a perfect set up Frustrated due to sleep time, and inability to understand/read to FXBook calculator Trade MGMT: Entered minutes later than expected due to calculator difficulties Added the wrong lot size by a few as I was unfamiliar with mobile MT5 Created feelings of FOMO that I was missing money or wouldn't get an accurate reading with what looked to be a perfect setup Finally figured out the correct lot size and that I added 1.00 lot initially, and only needed .13 more to risk the %1/2 intended Was tired and didn't remember if I risked 1 or 2 percent Added and additional .13 position far past the initial trade, Looked at the additional .13 as a scale in opportunity, which is something I'd like to be apart of my overall plan
Short
by KennedyW12
EURUSD Trade Breakdown Hello traders -Today we had a trade on EUR/USD which is currently in profit due to the NEWS event. - In the next steps, we will break down this trade and explain why it is risky to trade if you have strong news. - Chart breakdown 1) On the left side you can see that the major low has not been broken, therefore the price has the potential to continue bullish. 2) Negative confirmations are bearish reactions and big wicks that you can see at the end of momentum. 3) The price is in an overall corrective PA, the structure is more bullish than bearish because we have not broken the major low. 4) But be careful with such trades because we had a lot of negative confirmations, you have to breakdown the whole chart and then make a decision for the trade. WARNING! -Strong news was present here. The news was on our side in this case. But be careful when trading the NEWS event, because the main reason why some prop trade firms do not allow you to trade the NEWS event is "slippage". If "slippage" happens there is a chance that the price will "forget" you SL and you will lose more than you should have. -That was all about this part, if you want more education like this, don't forget to leave a like and write us a comment if something is not clear to you.
Long
by hybridtradingfx
1
Weekly Trade Recap: NZDJPY, NZDUSD, GBPJPY 05-28-22Hello everyone: Welcome back to this week’s trading recap video. Let's take a look at the trades closed this week between May 15th- May 20th. NZDUSD: Closed down for +0.51% profit Full analysis/forecast: NZDJPY: Out for BE Full analysis/forecast: GBPJPY: Out for -1% loss Full analysis/forecast: Any questions, comments and feedback welcome to let me know. If you like more of these contents, like, subscribe/follow and comment for me to keep doing them. :)
by jojofang0901
9
Weekly Trade Recap: EURNZD +1.7%, GBPAUD +2.3% 03-25-22Hello traders: Welcome back to this week’s trading recap video. Let's take a look at the trades closed this week between Mar 13 - 18th. EURNZD: Running for +1.7%, 1.7:1 RR Full analysis/forecast: GBPAUD: Running for +2.3%, 2.3:1 RR Full analysis/forecast: EURAUD: Out for +3.31%, 3.31:1 RR Full analysis/forecast: GBPNZD: Out for +1% profit, 1:1 RR Full analysis/forecast: Any questions, comments and feedback welcome to let me know. If you like more of these contents, like, subscribe/follow and comment for me to keep doing them. :)
by jojofang0901
11
Weekly Trade Recap: AUDUSD -1%, NZDUSD -1% 03-06-22Hello everyone: All my trade analysis, forecast are shared on TradingView Live Stream Market Outlook/Updates. You can take a look at the live stream to see my real, live positions by linking broker to Tradingview. Live Stream Link: Monday NY Session, Feb.28th www.tradingview.com Wednesday NY Session, Mar 2nd www.tradingview.com Welcome back to this week’s trading recap video. Let's take a look at the trades closed this week between Feb 27-Mar 5th. AUDUSD: -1% loss Full analysis/forecast: NZDUSD: -1% loss Full analysis/forecast: Any questions, comments and feedback welcome to let me know. If you like more of these contents, like, subscribe/follow and comment for me to keep doing them. :)
by jojofang0901
14
Weekly Trade Recap: DOW +6.25%, AU +2.8%, NU +2.56%, ETH +3.2% Hello everyone: All my trade analysis, forecast are shared on TradingView Live Stream Market Outlook/Updates. You can take a look at the live stream to see my real, live positions by linking my broker to Tradingview. Live Stream Link: Monday NY Session Feb.21th www.tradingview.com Wednesday NY Session Feb 23rd www.tradingview.com Welcome back to this week’s trading recap video. Let's take a look at the trades closed this week between Feb 20-26th. DOW: 3 entries closed down for total for +6.25% profit Full analysis/forecast: AUDUSD: 2 entries closed down for total of +2.08% profit Full analysis/forecast: NZDUSD: 2 entries closed down for total of +2.56% profit Full analysis/forecast: CADJPY: 2 entries closed down for total of +2% profit Full analysis/forecast: ETHUSD: 3 entries closed down for total of +3.2% profit Full analysis/forecast: Any questions, comments and feedback welcome to let me know. If you like more of these contents, like, subscribe/follow and comment for me to keep doing them. :) Jojo
OANDA:US30USD
by jojofang0901
25
Weekly Trade Recap: EURNZD, DOW, AUDUSD, GBPJPY 02-21-22 Hello everyone: Welcome back to this week’s trading recap video. Let's take a look at the trades closed this week between Feb 13-19th. EURNZD: Closed down for +2.60% Full analysis/forecast: DOW: Closed down for BE Full analysis/forecast: AUDUSD: -1% loss Full analysis/forecast: GBPJPY: -1% loss Full analysis/forecast: Any questions, comments and feedback welcome to let me know. If you like more of these contents, like, subscribe/follow and comment for me to keep doing them. :) Jojo
by jojofang0901
22
Weekly Trade Recap: AUDJPY, NZDJPY, DOW, AUDCAD, 02-05-22Hello everyone: Welcome back to this week’s trading recap video. Let's take a look at the trades entered/closed this week from me. I will explain my approach on the entry, SL, TP and management. AUDJPY: running about +1% Full analysis/forecast: NZDJPY: running about +1.5% Full analysis/forecast: DOW: closed down +0.5% Full analysis/forecast: AUDCAD: -1% loss Full analysis/forecast: Any questions, comments and feedback welcome to let me know. If you like more of these contents, like, subscribe/follow and comment for me to keep doing them. :) Jojo DISCLAIMER: -My forecast and analysis are NOT trading signals nor financial advice, you should not enter trades and invest solely on this information.
by jojofang0901
44
Weekly Trade Recap: GBPUSD, AUDJPY, GBPJPY, CADJPY Jan 30th 2022Hello everyone: Welcome back to this week’s trading recap video. Let's take a look at the trades entered/closed this week from me. I will explain my approach on the entry, SL, TP and management. AUDJPY: closed down for +4.52% profit. Full analysis/forecast: GBPUSD: closed down for +3.5% profit. Full analysis/forecast: UKOIL: closed down for BE Full analysis/forecast: GBPJPY: 2 positions closed down for total of -2% loss Full analysis/forecast: CADJPY: Closed down for -1% loss Full analysis/forecast: Any questions, comments and feedback welcome to let me know. If you like more of these contents, like, subscribe/follow and comment for me to keep doing them. :) Jojo DISCLAIMER: -My forecast and analysis are NOT financial Advice, you should not trade and invest solely on this information.
by jojofang0901
40