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Reccesion

MSM says theres no risk of inflation?1. Significant rally followed by decline 2. Downward trend resumes first week of April 3. Sideways ranging market (no clear trend) #1 seems the most likely imo. Why? Fundamental: pensions allocating from equities from bonds soon. Also millions will be infected with Rona in U.S. Technical: bounce of 50 rsi and MA's Unemployment will hit 8-9%. Say goodbye to consumer spending. Corporate debt is looking awful.... Ford downgraded to below investment grade! FORD! 44% of corp debt is BBB. Won't take much for the house of cards to come down. FED will continue QE4... but what happens if inflation rises dramatically? Even when businesses re-open, prices will go up to cover for gov sponsored rona-related loans and recoup lossess. Demand for foreign currency rises. Then perhaps a bank run due to the ABSURD 0%-reserve requirements.
AMEX:SPY
by nolanrj44
Are we headed on a 10 year BEAR market?Germany the 4th largest economy is about to go into a recession, UK collapsing on the face of the Brexit, France government at the edge of destruction, Italy is bankrupt, Greece is bankrupt, China could very well be in a recession as we speak, Venezuela is in turmoil, Honduras, Guatemala, Argentina and many other south American countries are bankrupt. The USA now showing signs of a weak economy. Is this the beginning of the next 10 year bear market?
SP:SPX
by TheKingOfAces
Economic reccesion is most likely already upon usHello, I've compiled a few charts I've posted in the past year warning about the economic reality of the times we're in now. My predictions we're pretty accurate up to this point, and I see no reason for it to change. Contrary the evidence for an imminent reccesion only keeps piling up. The front end of the yield curve has started to invert with the 2 year yield already higher than the 5 year. Oil declined more than 30%, banks declined more than 20%, the dollar is still standing because guess where everyone is going when they're selling out. Also on the technical side of things. Both the TSI and MACD have now broken trough the signal line. Mind you these are slowed down indicators to remove the noise, and everytime time these slowed down indicators crossed their signal lines they never went back up before going down to oversold levels. Both indicators have also crossed in the Russell 2000 index. All this makes me strongly believe that a reccesion has most likely already started. We may just get another slightly higher new high, but I doubt that it will happen.
SP:SPXShort
by MedianLineAnalysis
The Death of the Stock Market and Why Most Traders SuckThe good traders never get famous. They're lone wolves. They won't give you what you want because being a good trader requires peak IDGAFness. What you want is 8 meticulously detailed and data intensive paragraphs about why the stock market is going down 53% from the ATH and how you could have know that back in October. But you actually don't need to know anything about finance to see it in the chart. Why waste my breath? I posted the chart. A picture is worth a thousand words. The people who will benefit from this trade idea are the people who are free thinkers. You will see the chart and think for yourself: How could this be 99% accurate and/or how could this be 99% wrong? You need to be able to envision both possibilities in your head and manage your risk around what is the most probable scenario. Forget the narratives, forget the "news". .....But I dont need to tell you good traders that, if you see this post your already figuring out what you can learn from this chart; the rightness and wrongness of my idea (statement) based of of your own interpretation. Like modern art it tis. This is honestly just a normal market cycle. A measly correction is unlikely. Once we fall past the MA200 its a rippity rippity wrap. (but first Im gunna long the bounce off the MA200 before it continues to break down) BEAR GANG GOING FOR THE SLAM DUNK
SP:SPXShort
by XanderLoon
2
S&P 500 It seems we are the verge of a BEAR market.This chart looks at the trend all the way back from the great depression in 1930's. Now I've put arrows where the resistance and support levels are and marked the RSI divergence similarities between all the recent market topping patterns beginning from 1987 then 2000 then 2008 and now in 2018. The 2000 market topping was extremely prolonged but the divergence is very similar non the less. But the price action today more likely mimics the price action seen in 2008 IMHO. Also check out the MACD It's slowed down a by third to cut out some noise, it's right now the edge. I think I'll be adding more charts like Oil, Gold and Dollar later on, because they all seem to exhibit similarities to the recent market topping events. So stay tuned and stay safe, things might start moving fast now.
SP:SPX
by MedianLineAnalysis