50 BPS cut is just ridiculous, we are facing dark times. Are you sure it is a bull market now? Old man Warren already answered this. Stay tuned.
Hello Everyone, IMPORTANT: ALL FED POLICIES LEAD TO NEGATIVE OUTCOMES TLDR AT THE END In February 2022 the Federal Reserve gave us the fastest rate raising campaign in history to try and combat very high inflation, but they were very late in raising rates causing one of the worst inflation in 40 years. During his speech at Jackson Hole he confirms rate cuts in...
NIKE Inc. or Nike is an American multinational company specializing in sportswear and footwear. The company designs, develops, markets and sells athletic footwear, apparel, accessories, equipment and services. The company was founded by William Jay Bowerman and Philip H. Knight more than 40 years ago, on January 25, 1964, and is headquartered in Beaverton,...
On the daily chart, TAP was on a good trend up heading into earnings which were favorable. It is consolidated since just after earnings in a " high tight bull flag pattern" Volume has been healthy with many buyers and seller trading shares in a tight range channel. The stochastic RSI is now at about 20% indicating TAP is in the oversold / undervalued area. The...
You may have heard the saying, "Gold is the canary in the coal mine to a recession," and let me tell you, it couldn't be more true! Gold has long been regarded as a haven asset, a shining beacon that guides us through economic uncertainties. As traders, we must pay attention to its behavior, as it often acts as an early warning system for market downturns. Why...
Macro Monday 15 Gold Performance During Recessions vs S&P500 With the U.S. Treasury Yield Curve being inverted since July 2022, many leading analysts believe that the U.S. economy is headed toward a recession in coming months. Many of the charts covered on our Macro Monday releases are signaling some recession concerns (not confirmations). With this in mind, we...
Much to the chagrin of would-be homebuyers, property prices just keep rising. It seems nothing - not even the highest mortgage rates in nearly 23 years — can stop the continued climb of home prices. Prices increased once again in July, according to the latest S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller home price index , with 19 out of 20 markets measured showing...
MACRO MONDAY 10 – Historical Interest Rate hike Impact on S&P500 This chart aims to illustrate the relationship between the Federal Reserve’s Interest rate hike policy and the S&P500’s price movements. At a glance the chart highlights the lagging effects of the Federal Reserves Interest Rate hikes on the S&P500 (the “Market”). In all four of the interest rate...
Macro Monday (2) Potential Recession Time Horizon Below you will find a breakdown of how many months pass before a confirmed Economic Recession (shaded grey areas) after the yield curves first definitive turn back up towards the 0% level: 1) 13 Months (Dec 1978 – Jan 1980) 2) 9 Months (Nov 1980 – July 1981) 3) 16 Months (Mar 1989 – Jul 1990) 4) 12 Months (Mar...
TECHNICALS - HIDDEN BULLISH DIVERGENCE - Procter & Gamble has formed a nice Positive Divergence or Hidden Bullish Divergence pattern on the Monthly chart indicating upside momentum on the chart STRONG SUPPORT LEVEL It has also Reversed Twice from a Strong Support zone which had earlier acted as Resistance level indicating further upside potential for...
VIX: VIX is at historic lows. won't go lower in this crisis. Will reach above 100s.
Looking at the Weekly timeframe on TVC:DXY we are currently on a strong support area. TVC:DXY isn't showing any signs of reversal back up and with inflation soaring above the sky and powerful allies abandoning the US Dollar for Gold; I can say the recession has just begun! If you're a trader that deals with pairs correlated to the US Dollar; look to enter...
Following monthy chart. Before I shared a short setup an it hit the target Then shared a long setup, it hit the target This time it's a bit concerning. I got a short signal from my indicator and I think target will be 45.27 in fibo. SL 112. This means recession, something bis is coming soon.
GOLD has reached my short-term target of $1,925.62 selling 70% of my accumulation averaging $1,679.25. Similarly, the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) reached my short-term target selling 50% of my accumulation averaging $27.96 GOLD: 14.63% profit of 10% portfolio equity GDXJ: 44.83% profit of 5% portfolio equity I am keeping liquidity in Gold as my...
BLUF: 20% swing for 2 months at a 5% risk with the potential for a trend breakout. Whether or not you "believe" in a recession in 2023, the idea of one on the horizon should alter how we pick stocks. Jim Cramer has been pushing bargain retailers for months and TJX is up over 40% since May of 2022. Taking the idea of a recession and the movement of money into the...
When i look at 12-month chart and use stochastic. I see pretty nicely formed bearish divergence. XAUUSD could hit 1381 or even worst 950. So, I'd recommend you to sell literally every securities that you hold because probably 2 years later could even worst than today. Gold is considered as a safe-haven assets, but if this assets is going down it means financial...
Did some TA & FA today on a long-term & dividend play I like. AT&T ($T). Are we in a recession, is a recession coming, will things get worse before they get better? People need cell phones. Food, water, shelter, then what? Cell phones! If you are looking for a safe play to start DCA'ing, IMO this is about as good as it gets for a safe, long-term opportunity given...
With the 2022 recession ever coming closer, more hints that it’s nearing appear. One of those hints include this graph, which shows the 1 year bond surpassing the 4% mark, and it’s more than any other bond. For the first time in more than 15 years, the 1 year bond surpasses 4%. The yield curve has been inverted for more than 1 month, and it’s still inverted. At...