Upstart Holdings - Reddit Is Not Your FriendI came across this stock because of a Wall Street Journal article focused around some meme traders who were holding bags and bullish despite being on the cusp of a recession and a colossal market crash. So I started to take a look at it.
Fundamentally, UPST is down a lot, like all the other r/WallStreetBets and Reddit cesspool pump and dumps. From the description, this stock sounds like one of the many crypto ponzis, except it trades on the NYSE instead of FTX.
This chart is complete only with monthly bars and a small note for a reason. Look at the monthly bars. It's already at an all time low. You really need to zoom out and understand the macro situation when you trade. Otherwise you're just gambling. Just trying to get rich quick.
Trading is self cultivation and you need to take it a lot more seriously, or you'll destroy yourself.
UPST isn't going to bounce. It's going to $0.
Reddit is something you should stay away from. There is a heavy Marxist-Leninist faction there. Additionally, it is not a social media site. It is a social marketing and social influencing site. You think you are looking at other users organically talking to you, but you're really looking at a botnet and a public relations firm who are bringing in dead money to buy whatever bags the advertisers are paying them for.
Anyways, some scary signs on this stock are:
Earnings are August 8
Dip to buy was granted on July 7
Reddit posts like dude with 79,000 shares and a "2.27M bet" on UPST appear
A number of other chatter appear on Reddit around the same time using reverse psychology encouraging bagholders to HODL
Chatter about shortsqueezes
Company had a good earnings in May and fell 35% because it "slashed its outlook."
Q2 earnings were pre-released also around July 7. They're not good, which generated the dip.
Week before earnings it starts to pump, which takes out short sellers
Maybe you think that it will rocketship up because it's down so much
Anyways. You should know that nobody on Reddit wants you to be financially secure, wealthy, happy, and rich.
Instead, they seek to bankrupt you, corrupt you, and have you destroy your life while you hold their bags.
For example, a few months ago, the London School of Business analyzed options trading data using OPRA codes that allowed them to pinpoint retail activity. They found retail lost $5 billion trading options during the biggest bull run in stock market history.
Much of the losses were correlated with times that memestocks were being promoted on r/WallStreetBets. The promotions started when things were already up, so you'd go buy calls on HOOD, it would dump, you'd lose all your money, they'd laugh at you and then go to the strippers.
Google "WallStreetBets and Gamestop Crowd Lost $5.27 Billion" and read the study yourself if you don't believe it.
Be careful.
SPACE X FLIGHT TO REDDIT MOONSStrong support @ 14-16 cents. There is a strong potential for 2X and more. Buy & hold as this may go PARABOLIC in December. I will be taking some profits @ 42 cents.
FED meeting coming soonLooks like the market needs to bounce up and fill some gaps before coming back down. not even going to lie to you .
I just looked at some charts and it shows we recovered from 2002 to 2008 and then crashed like hell.
Now its 2022 and then what do you expect is going to happen next? Obviously its a pattern . Even though this is the highest the SPY has ever been .
what you need to pay attention to is that the last time they dollar was this high it was June 2 2002. do you get what Im saying now?
Prepare for a ride up shortly . I have calls I knew to place puts at 385 and also to have calls at anything below 384. It was so obvious.
They priced in the rates last week. the rates don't really matter aswell they already know what they are going to do. its just us that haven't heard it from them yet.
Its CHESS not checkers
First Reddit Moons TAMoon is the official cryptocurrency of the r/cryptocurrency subreddit, it's being developed by Reddit and just launched on Arbitrum Nova mainnet, Personally i see huge potential in it as Reddit has +400m monthly active users and once it goes mainstream, it will open the door to many investors. minimum target in short term is $1 and could go up to $5 depending on how fast exchanges like Binance, Kraken, FTX list it, fill your bags.
Blackberry / BB - 'Tis No Bubbling Volcano, But 'Tis a Geyser.I'm not a big fan of the meme stocks and I'm not a big fan of speculating. However, I was scrolling through the charts and I noticed that Blackberry BB had a unique tell in its monthly chart, which I will show inline since I have to make the post on the weekly candles, otherwise it won't display:
Simply put, BB has never broken its pre-meme pump and dump lows from the times it was front ran by the Marxist-Leninist PR brigade on Reddit/WallStreetBets.
It also has three months of relatively equal, subdued prices, before experiencing a small breakout this month.
And this pattern is something of a fractal to what we find in the weekly candles of our good friend BBBY Bed Bath and Beyond, but only on the weekly chart. Note it also never broke its weekly lows:
What's really notable is that Citadel Securities, which is more or less the dark pool market maker that keeps Robinhood, where retail lost $5 billion "Apeing" calls on memestocks during the biggest bull run in stock market history , in business, bought 1.966 million shares of BB, reported in June 30 disclosures.
Citadel also bought 2.265 million shares in BBBY, which was also reported in June 30 disclosures.
I said in my recent BBBY call that the fact that Citadel hasn't unloaded their BBBY bags (yet) is the real thing to watch, while Ryan Cohen's exit was a mere red herring.
All of that is just circumstantial stuff, but Blackberry did break out of its three month consolidation, took out a new high early in the month, and has made a healthy retrace without any particular bearishness:
The July --> August run was like 35%, which is pretty good in anything.
As of now, there's exactly zero chatter on Reddit about BB pumping, except for this one thread titled "BlackBerry is the next play by the apes" from last week, which was downvoted to oblivion and filled with mocking comments such as "Hahaha… how heavy are your bags???" and "People have been saying this since gamestop lol."
I've said repeatedly that social marketing, not social media, venue Reddit will not begin to promote a stock until it has already pumped and you're already paying way too much for options.
You aren't looking at organic posts by fellow college kids, but instead you're looking at a hybrid botnet/public relations firm pretending to be normal people for the purposes of having you inculcate yourself with atheism, leftist Party narratives, pornography, and to come and lose your inheritance to the market makers paying them.
So a lack of social hype, in combination with price action, in combination with Citadel taking a significant position, gives good pause to consider if BB is set for another fat pump and dump style weekly wick that will burn the hands of suckers who buy the tops.
Personally, I think it is, and the target is around $15. I expect it to be the usual lackadaisical long candle with marginal hype and a quick cooling off period that accompanies some other things going moon and then collapsing all at the same time.
So, when you see BB go up, don't chase it. Your "fear of missing out" will turn into an expensive spot on your Roth IRA's shelf.
And my usual reminder: Reddit is partially owned by Tencent, an arm of the Chinese Communist Party. Reddit wasn't your friend before Tencent took a stake, but they're even less anything but a filthy Marxist maelstrom to fall into now that the Evil Party has its hand around several of its ribs.
Bed Bath and Beyond - Don't BTFD - Bye Bye, BBBYI heard on Reddit that BBBY is prime for a major pump because Ryan Cohen talked about spinning Buy Buy Baby off into a separate company, which would in effect create an airdrop of new stocks for holders.
I heard on Reddit that BBBY is due for a pump because Ryan Cohen bought Jan '23 calls @ a $50 strike.
I heard on Reddit that BBBY is due for a pump because 45%~ of the float is short sold.
All of the above are true. However, what I would like to point out to you is a few key considerations:
1) The July - August bottom of ~$4.50 was both extended and precariously close to the 2020 COVID bottom. But they didn't break.
2) BBBY is already at this pump's top at sub $14. What comes after a pump?
3) If BBBY is going to spin a second stock in a few months, there's going to be proper accumulation. A proper accumulation requires you bag holders to capitulate.
4) Jan. '23 is four months away. That's a lot of time for you to hold $10 and $13 bags when this thing dumps to its 1993 low and you need to pay $12 a gallon for gas.
Reddit is not a normal social media site. It's a social marketing and social influencing platform, and one with a heavy Marxist-Leninist influence, to boot.
You think you are reading organic comments from other young people, but you are reading the written vomit of a combination of a botnet and a professional public relations firm that front runs the moves.
The purpose is to drag you in and have you donate your life savings so that someone who looks like Sam Bankman-Fried can pay some creditors and then buy another apartment and a new car after you trade your money for their bags.
Monday could go two ways. One is a gap up over $14 and then a dump and the other is just a gap down that doesn't bounce.
Either way, you're now on the wrong side of history to be buying the dip. Don't buy the dip. Your risk is a ~70% wipeout from the nearest gap. If you bought at $13, well, cut your losses and stop gambling.
Be patient and wait a month or two when everything is scary and the Reddit brigade is telling you that BBBY is a total piece of trash that nobody would ever want.
And remember, Redditors are not your friend. They are Fabians.
GME Retesting BreakoutSimple chart, downward channel for GME has slightly broke out this week, retesting the top of the channel to see if this can act as support now. A daily close above this channel with continued volume would potentially mean a continuation of a breakout.
When breakouts from channels occur, we often see a retest of the breakout area which I refer to as "basing". See related idea for example of basing on a breakout.
IWM 180/175 SpreadThis idea is related to my earlier idea. Check it out there for logic as the logic for this trade was essentially the same. In addition to the logic:
1. The return profile was there 10% Return on Margin
2. Appropriate Delta
3. Lovely Cushion / Level for the trade.
See linked idea for technical logic
CRTX Cortexyme Short Squeeze CandidateAccording to Marketwatch, 54.23% of CRTX Cortexyme stock float is shorted.
My price target is a short squeeze to 29.5usd.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Shiba Inu Bull Flag Breakout soon?We all remember what happened here the last time..
If your new here you probably wont remember because we did it on my other trading account but i have several followers here from my previous account that they know very well... Either this chart makes you happy because you traded it with me last time and made a fortune.. Or it triggers & upsets you because you didn't believe in my analysis and told the story was done & over.
Today History is repeating, knowing Shiba hasn't done anything in the last month but going sideways, we have this great bull pattern about to do some serious move
We expect some good catalyst so the price can spike up again but wat gets my attention here is this:
Nov 2: 880,359 total $SHIB holders
Dec 16:1,066,221 total $SHIB holders 176,862 new SHIB holders in 45 days
That’s an average of +3900 new $SHIB holders each day!
and not only that, there are multiple big stores like Nordstrom that they now accept Shiba and Visa so far Shiba inu is growing more and more every day.
we just need one more strong catalyst to make the price explode and we know is Robothood
So to wrap this up, Whatever happens in the next days note we are in the same situation as the last daily bull flag...
no news no nothing and then the price just exploded like never before ! hoping this time will do the same thing.
-Mike
SNDL - Sundial Growers: maybe a retracement prior exploding?Hi All, my main 3 take-outs from this analysis are the following:
1- Price is moving within a descending wedge and a bigger trangle
2- Price has been rejected by the 200 MA and by a descending trendline resistence
3- We might see a retracement to fill in the daily gap left on Friday
Not a financial advice, just personal opinion. Do your own due diligence and good luck!
The next $GME Bull Run is hereTLDR: November 23 is the day where the first big mega candle appears.
The runups happen every 90 days like clockwork for all meme stocks, but have a bigger impact on the 2-3 main meme stocks with the most options volume. In this case it's GME & Popcorn stock. Fundamentals don't matter here. This is purely market mechanics at work. Usually there's just 1 mega candle 2 days after the 3'rd Friday of February, May, August and November and then the strength of the runup slowly diminshes over the time period of 1-2 weeks where it eventually gets shorted down to a price slightly above it's previous trading average where it stays for another 90 days until this cycle repeats itself.
Not going to go into the technical on why this happens here. It's a long subject on which i've written over 40 pages worth of a "thesis" on to explain on reddit. I'm just here to tell you that the next runup here here. The last chance to get calls is Nov 19 and possibly if we're lucky, on Nov 22. I've already gotten my calls for this runup early even against my own advice. Friday may be the last day before the next runup or it may be Monday. I've already gotten my own calls early on the off chance things pop-off early and i'm going to pay a lot of theta for it. Buying early just guarantees you getting low IV calls if that's what you're looking for.
In any case, godspeed. This is not financial advice and nor am i a financial advisor. I'm just a guy here to tell you when the meme stocks & specifically GME are going to move. I'm not claiming the MOASS here, only a runup like what happens every 90 days. If the MOASS comes along with this cycle, all the better.
$MARK Remark Holdings did 88% retrace after the last meme run$MARK Remark Holdings did a full retrace after the recently seen meme run, if we go for a second run, it might be off of this levels.
It's nothing to do a serious swing trade on, therefore this is NOT a Setup.
But don't be suprised, if we see another headline day or two in this stock.
Maybe put a volume alarm on this one, that's what I do, and just forget about it,
and in case we get some serious volume back in $MARK one could jump in with a small position.
r/CryptoCurrency Moons: Possible trends to considerHere we have the subreddit r/CryptoCurrency's MOON token. It has done considerably well and with only a $20m USD market cap and its presence on the testnet, it is just a baby.
This is my first post, but I just want to share a couple of trendlines and a fib retracement I noticed and possible movements looking forward. This token has successfully retested and held the support at .14 multiple times, which has been a resistance previously. It could be in a bullish pennant or a descending triangle.
Thanks
SDC SmileDirectClub at 52 week low!SDC reported a loss of 23 cents for Q3, wider than the year-ago loss of 11 cents.
Zacks Consensus Estimate was a loss of 15 cents.
52 Week Range 3.90 - 16.08
Do i need to mention that SDC is trending in the top 5 stocks of WallStreetBets?!
And that it has 10K calls this week?!
And that 32.74% is shorted?!
Looking forward to read your opinion.
My short term price target is 7usd.
MOONS: Let’s do thisI’ll probably be the only one on TW to do an analysis on Reddit Moons.
Moons are the native cryptocurrency of r/cc, you can gain those by being active on the subreddit.
The price here is currently in accumulation phase, sitting on support. I’m expecting an impulse relatively soon around the 0.4/0.5 level. In the meantime, if and when we break the yellow trend line it’ll teleport to 0.25 where the first line of resistance is.
1st Support: 0.14
2nd Support: 0.10 (psychological)
1st Resistance: 0.25
2nd Resistance: All time high
AMC - Trade IDEA, Buy under $39Looking at the trend, I think we'll see a nice little boost over the next two days followed by some down weeks until that last week of Nov.
I have some AMC calls into Jan that I'm looking to short (probably Tuesday), and rebuy around Nov 23rd.
Either way, these are some key numbers and trends to keep an eye for!
RDDusd cheaper than DOGE and with 1000% gain potential breaking Redd Coin seems slowly breaking out.
As it is usuall the cheap coins go easily 10x.