Aussie depends on the economic conditions of ChinaWhile so many analysts believe that China will reduce Covid-19 restrictions and Aussie will start a bullish rally, I think authoritarian regimes do not care about demonstrations. Because giving importance to demonstrations is a message to the people that you will get the rest of your rights with demonstrations.
So any bullish breakout may turn out to be a false one. I'm looking for short trades now!
Regression
DODG - Round 2?DODG looking like it may want to squeeze up more soon. Regression trend down off the recent high showing the potential for a reversal back to the upside with fairly strong divergence off the regression channel midline. BBs have gotten tight again on the 4-hour and shorter timeframes indicating a directional change. Volume appears to be swinging back to bullish. DODG is not oversold on the daily chart. Will look for confirmation of the move and add (or not) based on direction.
With lots of strong support at this price from the Feb 2021 run-up, seems like a relatively low risk entry.
Maybe they are letting DODG run a bit to help provide some cover for the FTX shenanigans.
NFA.
AMC - Bullish Trend to ContinueAMC price has moved back up into the mid $7 range after recently dipping below $6. This upward trend included a potential break-out on 11/11, and this upward trend is looking like it could continue based on technical indicators I watch.
The regression trend midline as presented is providing support on the daily and prior to release of APE this stock had significant price support in the mid-$7 price range. Stoch RSI a tad high but has cooled off slightly, and the stock price could easily continue to move up from here. The Volume Accumulation % has turned bullish as buyers appear to be taking over and the MACD is about to flip above zero. The MACD going positive has resulted in substantial price gains the last two times it has occurred.
Price may want to retest the break-out early next week. Will look at the Option chains on a back-test or pull back for a potential good options play next week. Will likely also look to add to shares. Given the overall chart dynamics, technical indicators, and a uber-resilient OBV, seems to be a fairly low risk entry. Further, have to wonder what the on-going demise of FTX and the associated AMC stock tokens traded on that exchange may have on the price.
Not financial advice.
APE - possible trend change at T-90APE share price has been heading down since it hit the market nearly 90-days ago back in August 2022. Some discussions state that shorts may need to significantly cover at the T-90 mark, which hits next week. Not sure if the MMs would be required to close/cover at T-90, due the numerous exemptions allowed to them for "market efficiency" reasons, but regardless the APE chart is starting to look more bullish.
Regression trend on the 2 hour chart along with a few other technical indicators appears to be showing a potential end to the multi month bearish trend. APE share price has started to drift away from the regression center line suggesting a new trend may be developing. Further the Bollinger's are getting tight on the 2 hour suggesting a near-term pending directional move.
Stoch RSI is near - but not yet overbought on the 2-hour chart, and the price can still run from here IMO. The Volume Accumulation % indicator is showing that buyers are finally coming back. Expecting a run to upside on APE fairly soon. No options available on this one. Adding to shares.
DODG - just maybeLooks like DODG may be getting closer to finally moving back to the upside.
Volume profile is bullish and looks like significant accumulation has been occurring since around late June of 22. Selling appears to have all but completed dried up. Price is moving/staying away from the center line of the longer-term regression trend signaling that the downtrend may be over/ending.
Bollinger Bands width staying super low for over a month on the daily signaling a decent move could be in the works, and the OBV showing that the extended drop in price of DODG has not resulted in longer-term holders giving up/selling this coin.
With significant support in this price range from early 2021 (that has been tested many times now) I expect DODG could begin moving to the upside again. Obviously the macro picture may have other plans for all of us, so just nibbling here and waiting/watching for further confirmation...
NFA.
$WWE smacking the bearsNYSE:WWE is media company that produces and markets TV and Pay-per-View live events.
This stock really doesn't care about what the SP:SPX is doing. Today is breaking out its regression line, it could be actionable but with a small position.
For me the pivot buy is at $73.40 with a target near $100 as is its highest high.
Let's wait and see.
Nifty Support and Resistance for coming weekAfter fed Chairman Jerome Powell's undeniably hawkish comments about the likely need for aggressive interest rate hikes to lower inflation. Market corrected from higher level and it triggered the volatility. Considering it I have drawn few support and resistance levels which could decided the market direction.
As I explained in the weekly chart last week, Reversal pattern was observed. The Market had taken a support from the confluence zone. Need to see the price action of coming week if it it holds.
Below 17300-17400 range nifty is likely to fall aggressively
Power Function Regression of Bitcoin Tops and BottomsThis is a power function regression of tops and bottoms. There is a separate regression for open, high, low, and close values for tops and bottoms.
There is a separate regression for each possible iteration of bottoms ( both bottoms of a double bottom, only the lowest bottoms of a double bottom, the first bottom of a double bottom, etc.)
The green circles show which data points were used for the regressions. On those days, all OHLC values were used to perform separate regressions.
All power function regressions returned R^2 values over .97, with the vast majority being >0.99
The upper regression lines accurately predicted both tops of the recent cycle. Note that those data points were NOT part of the regression, showing the tremendous predictive potential of this method.
The lower regression lines have a wide range due to the multiple iterations of regressions performed.
Despite the wide range of the bottom regression functions, none of them indicate that the current cycle has reached a bottom.
The equations for each regression can easily be viewed in the script.
BTC my chart of the month and where i look for resistanceChart is self explanatory. just a possibility. this chart uses monthly camarilla pivots and CPR. linear regression. custom oscillation. maybe find resistance around here up to H3. and if we do... maybe new lows at L3. all of this invalidated above H4
BTC Bottom Around $11,000A lot of people have asked “Where is the bottom for Bitcoin?”. Of course nobody knows for sure but it is fun (and arguably important) to speculate.
Here I’ve plotted the BTC price since several months prior to it’s parabolic run in fall 2020 to the present. I’ve added trend lines to smooth out the data and used linear regression channels to highlight the up trending and down trending time periods. The transitions between an up trending environment and a down trending environment are given by the blue vertical lines.
The take home message is that we might see BTC bottom around $11,000 around Oct 2022. This corresponds nicely to the price observed prior to BTC’s parabolic run in fall 2000 and also corresponds quite nicely with projections made with the Phoenix Ascending indicators.
🚨🚀💩Which Scenario Seems More Likely For $BTC?#Bitcoin has been following the same regression curve since its conception. If it's to be believed that this curve will truly last forever, then #Bitcoin will also just be hurling towards its inevitable death spiral down to zero. While there are probably a select amount of people that still think this is possible, I personally don't subscribe to that theory. This means that $BTC will have to break out of this curve. If that happens, the highly sought after "S-curve" may occur, bringing on some very extreme, exponential growth for the price. The dotted, upwards-trending curve shows the possible price support that may shift this curve to invert the regression. An accurate bounce off of this yellow curve may just signal the inversion of the curve.
**This is all my own personal opinion, based on chart data. This is not financial advice.**
Outlook for the Year and the Years to ComeTheoretically, the price of oil should keep going higher as the finite resource is being vehemently overused. Yet, somewhat paradoxically, the advent of alternative energy could produce the opposite effect. Between those two dynamics lie the supply-and-demand pump of the oil states, tweaking the price higher and lower as it fits the pockets of the developed world. The chart shows that oil rose from the ashes from 2016, which coincided ever since with the rise of the markets to the point of hyperinflation last year. Now as the economy is falling down, oil took an adverse course, partly due to the war in Ukraine, but largely due to the status of inflation. Politically and economically, the outcome doesn't seem to change soon. Mathematically, this is also confirmed. The orange line in the chart shows the bisecting trend line which was crossed decisively this year, marking it more likely that prices would stay on the higher levels for some years to come. Regarding Fibonacci levels, the higher point for this year seems to be around 140, to be surrounded by a relative ease in pricing, provided that nothing substantial happens at the macro political level.
Bitcoin how far down could go or is the trend to be broken?Looking at a linear regression channel it appears Bitcoin is getting oversold at the lower 2 standard deviation band.
It should easily find support at $36.5 - $37k the ranges it is now if it will trend lower.
Charting a potential upward trend in a ghost feed for illustration purposes.
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