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Reit

$TWO - REIT getting slammed with Rate Hikes / Bearish Bearish below $15 Looking to short it if it breaks support zone. Good Dividends but unsure if it's worth buying at support level. Swing Idea: 1. Short below $15 / Cover over $15.50 OR 2. Buy at support level and write a cover call when it gets to resistance level I think it will fall more as the fed rate hikes will impact all the REIT. I will monitor next week to see watch the daily chart. Only issue I have with TWO is they had a reverse split and have not been doing well. If it continues to fall in price, I think another reverse split will happen. Which is why I am bearish. If you're an expert with REITS - please comment and advise with your thoughts on it. Thanks!
NYSE:TWO
by work1411
TWO is a good REIT to considerI like this name because of its massive dividend yield. This isn't uncommon in REITs, but TWO carries one of the larger yields in the industry. Their financial statements are healthy and the primary risk here is the state of interest rates in the US. My harmonic analysis shows two sin waves: a red and a pink. The red represents a macro trend wave and until the FED raised rates incessantly in 2018 this curve fit well to the price action. However, we can see that the trend was disobeyed mid to late 2018, something I attribute almost entirely to the interest rate risk every investor was fretting about at the time. REITs were hit hard during this period. The pink wave represents a mico-trend and still fits very well with the price action. Rates have cooled significantly since their 2018 highs, and so I believe this ticker has room to the upside. This is a long term play, so if you don't intend to store this capital for 3+ years then avoid this name as the volatility for day trading and options plays is relatively non-existent. However, with a 10+ year horizon one can capture an outstanding dividend yield while adding to positions at the troughs of the sinusoidal pattern. Doing this successfully will likely bolster dividend yields with capital gains. The primary risk here is that US interest rates are still near historic lows. Unless the FED sees need to continue quantitative easing the path of least resistance is up. This bodes ill for REITs and could invalidate the $5 trading range I've highlighted. Until then, however, I see no reason why this name would deviate from its historic price pattern. As always, scale in near the lows.
NYSE:TWO
by HyerQuality
Real Estate Market CycleThe "Real Estate Market Cycle" is made up of four distinct phases. Recovery Expansion Hyper Supply Recession There isn't an exact length of period of time each phase must last, but taken as a whole, the entire cycle averages 17 to 18 years from peak to peak. Looking at the previous cycle (1989-2007) we can use Fibonacci and geometry to see where we currently are in the cycle and predict where we are going. Currently, it appears that we are in the relatively early stages of hyper supply. This phase began with the passage of the Trump tax cuts and fuel was thrown on the fire with the capitulation of the Fed following the Christmas '18 blood bath in stocks. The hyper supply phase can be lengthy but can also be short. Absolute worst case, we have a year left in the hyper supply phase. But more likely is we have 3+ years remaining. Somewhere between 3 and 7 years from now.
DJ:REITLong
by jdharward
Safe Haven - add dividends REIT sectorReal Estate sector has shown to be safe haven and not oversold sector to other stock sectors, which were way oversold to value. I give thanks today for understanding enough, but still expect growth here. Mid-term stocks usually do well in ensuing 6 mo. period, however during bearish times a safe haven is a consideration. If you have another sector, make it a conversation. FOREX, Crypto, and calls/puts would be only other if considered a sector. Does anyone have link for history of when shorting (calls/puts) was created and why? Please comment @pokethebear.
SP:S5REAS
by Pokethebear
CRXPF - 420 REIT breakout in volume readying for Oct. 17th??US Cannabis REIT Crop Infrastructure breaking out since early Sept. in heavy volume. CRXPF IIRT 1865 Acres added this month. Several customers have submitted dried crops for testing (pesticides, THC, etc. for legal sale) and looks very promising. 15 business days to go. october 17th is Canada legal date, Crop Infrastructure Corp, formerly Fortify Resources Inc, is a Canada-based company engaged in the Real Estate Investment Trust business Sector. The Company is primarily engaged in the business of investing, constructing, owning and leasing greenhouse projects as part of the provision of turnkey real estate solutions for lease-to-licensed cannabis producers and processors offering operations. The Company's portfolio of projects includes cultivation properties in California and Washington State, Nevada, Italy, Jamaica and a joint venture on West Hollywood and San Bernardino dispensary applications. CROP has developed a portfolio of assets including Canna Drink a cannabis infused functional beverage, US and Italian distribution rights to over 55 cannabis topical products and a portfolio of 16 Cannabis brands. Currently cost is at 236 Fibretracement and baseline of current trajectory, yes trajectory excitement beware and still entry signal showing on daily chart.
OTC:CRXPFLong
by Pokethebear
4
Real-Estate Looking as Bearish as the Stock Market, Buy $DRVWhat is this chart? This is the MSCI Real-Estate Investment Trust (REIT) Index, it is the Index that DRV is backed by. DRV is a 3xLeveraged Short Real-Estate ETF. Why is it important? Because if you buy DRV while RMZ is crashing you can make some pretty insane returns. If you look at the Elliott Wave count on this chart and on the related SPX500 chart you will see that the counts are basically the same, it appears that we are in the midst of a non-limiting triangle that is at the end of a double combination. This means that both the Stock Market and REITs are going to stop growing for the next year or two and then at some point, after the triangle is complete, they are going to collapse. This basically means that the entire US Economy is going to go to shit like it did in 2007-09. Since it is a double combination that would imply around an 80% retracement of the Bull run starting in 2009. (SPX500 - Multi-year Elliott Wave Forecast...) How do we know if this chart is correct? Well we already have the break down out of the channel, and triangles are generally pretty easy to detect even in the very early stages. It also appears that there is significant momentum resistance and we are finding some resistance underneath the channel as well. There's also a perfect double top with the peak we made in the beginning of 2007. At this point it would take a whole lot for this to actually be able to push above the high, and I'd say that it is more or less confirmed. If the high is broken then it may be a good idea to change to a neutral economic outlook until more data is available. Remember that DRV is the big play here. The gains made from shorting RMZ are nothing compared to what DRV could be worth in a recession. The only reason we look at RMZ is because it is the underlying asset for DRV and because it's wave patterns are much more clear. The clouds are definitely dark over Cyclical City, I would be seriously cautious about being invested in housing and anything that is cyclical in nature for the next couple of years. The market has had a good run for the last 7 years but now it looks like its time for the cycles to change and for the Economy to once again enter into a bearish period. Another interesting thing I noticed when I accidentally analyzed the wrong chart, is that the MSCI Inc. Stock (The company that makes these Indices) looks like it could be reaching a peak. This would still be pretty speculative since there are no confirmations but it could be telling as to the overall strength of these indices and the stock market.
RShort
by Intuit
1