Time to short residential REITs?Since hitting a high around $65 in late 2014 REZ has been somewhat range bound between 64-55. As the residential real estate market is highly effected by federal interest rates, the upcoming Fed meeting will likely have an impact on price. If the fed decided to continue raising rates I can see REZ puling back to the bottom of the range. Even if the Fed decides to keep rates going, the generally anxious attitude of the markets will likely not push the price up past its high from 2014. Now would be an ideal entry point for a short with a stop loss set at the resistance from the ATH around 65.50.
Reit
MACRO VIEW: RWR RISKS TO TAG 5-YEAR MEANSPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (RWR) has failed bot 5-year and 10-year trends by breaking below upper 1st standard deviations from 5-year (260-weeks) and 10-year (520-weeks) means.
On short term basis the price is in clear downtrend - it broke down below lower 1st standard deviations from quarterly (66-day) and 1-year (264-day) means (standing at 85.80 and 83.70 respectively)
If the short term downtrend holds, namely if the price continues to trade below 1st standard devations from quarterly and 1-year mean, RWR has a chance to reach 5-year mean, standing at 74.70