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Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Promising Breakout Setup Ahead! Chart 1W CBOT_MINI:YM1! BLACKBULL:US30 Promising Breakout Setup Ahead! The chart highlights RSI and Williams %R trendline breakout plays. My strategy? Identify trendlines on the chart, monitor RSI and Williams %R, and target breakouts on these momentum indicators. Current Situation: All key signals have already triggered. Strong bullish seasonality Favorable COT data (small specs bearish, commercials bullish) Low open interest This setup aligns with high-probability breakout criteria. Chart Indicator SMA 1W 52 (red) SMA 1W 18 (green) Bottom Indicators WilVal Williams R% 9 length RSI 9 length Not Financial Advice for more questions ask in the comments or check my X @valuebuffet
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by FairValueBuffet
Nasdaq: Wave A Done – Now Lining Up for a Strong BounceThe Nasdaq is starting to look really interesting here. In my view, we've completed Wave ((a)) to the downside—a clean (abc) correction. Why do I think it's done? Because we've just tapped into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and saw a strong reaction, just above last year’s VWAP, which I always consider a key reference point on the higher time frame. Ideally, I would have liked to see that 19,090 level get tagged—unfortunately, we didn’t quite reach it. But honestly, this reaction is solid enough to still keep the bullish scenario intact. Adding to that, the RSI is now in oversold territory, and the last two times we’ve seen that, it was followed by strong upward moves. Based on all of this, I’m expecting a solid bounce over the coming weeks, likely lasting into Q1 or even Q2 2025 . Where could this move take us? I see two key zones: the first between 22,000 and 22,425 and the second between 23,320 and 23,675. Could it land somewhere in between? Sure. But one of those zones is where I expect this corrective structure to wrap up. That would likely complete the larger ((abc)) correction, after which we’ll finally begin forming the macro Wave A—which will open the next big leg of structure. So the bigger picture is in play here. In the meantime, I’ll be hunting for entries on the lower time frames, because I do think we’re setting up for a pretty solid push on this index in the coming weeks.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by stromm
Total 2 Marketcap - Is this cycle repeating the last two cycles?In this analysis, we are discussing the possible repetition of the last two cycles by the total 2 (Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC) on the monthly timeframe. By comparing this cycle in conjunction with the RSI and the Stochastic RSI with the previous two cycles we could make a statement that the market might follow the same bearish signals. What did we see in the previous two cycles with regard to the price action and RSI In both bullmarket cycles we saw the total 2 making highers highs and higher lows. In both instances the RSI made a lower high while the price action made a higher how consulting in a bearish divergence on the monthly timeframe. What did we see in the previous two cycles with regard to the price action and Stochastic RSI In the last two bullmarkets we saw the Stochastic RSI (momentum indicator) rising to levels above 80 on the indicator, overbought territory. This means that the momentum to the upside in the Crypto market is immense. However, in both instances the Stochastic RSI was in overbought territory during the first top. After the first top the momentum weakened and thus resulting in bearish momentum below level 80. However, the momentum weakening, both cycles made a new higher high. By making a new higher high the Stochastic RSI made a bullish cross around the 40/50 level. Nevertheless, after making a new higher high and a new Stochastic RSI cross up the price fell, resulting in another bearish Stochastic RSI cross down. What we can conclude is that in both previous cycles the Stochastic RSI made a cross down below the 80 level at the first top and made a second cross down around the 40/50 level during the final top. How does the previous cycles relate to this current cycle In this current bullmarket we see the Total 2 Marketcap rising and making higher highs and higher lows. However, this cycle looks alike the past two cycles in comparison with the price action, RSI and Stochastic RSI. This Cycle the price action made higher highs and the RSI made a lower high. Thus, resulting in a bearish divergence. Also, in this cycle the first peak occurred with the Stochastic RSI above the 80 level and breaking down at a later moment, resulting in bearish momentum. However, this cycle did the same as the previous two. With the bearish momentum the Total 2 Marketcap made a new high with a second Stochastic RSI cross down at the 40/50 level. Conclusion This cycle looks a lot like the past two cycles in comparison with the RSI and Stochastic and thus suggesting that there is a possibility that we go in to a new bearmarket and repeat the last two cycles. The current evidence shows that the market might follow the similar path again. What is a bearish divergence A bearish divergence signify potential downtrends when prices rally to a new high while the indicator (RSI) refuses to reach a new high and thus making a lower high. Thanks for your support! Drop a like and leave a comment to have a conversation about this topic. Make sure to follow me so you don’t miss out on the next analysis.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
by Youriverse
6
Soybean Futures Surge: ZS, ZL, and ZM Align for a Bullish MoveI. Introduction Soybean futures are showing a potentially strong upcoming bullish momentum, with ZS (Soybean Futures), ZL (Soybean Oil Futures), and ZM (Soybean Meal Futures) aligning in favor of an upward move. The recent introduction of Micro Ag Futures by CME Group has further enhanced trading opportunities by allowing traders to manage risk more effectively while engaging with longer-term setups such as weekly timeframes. Currently, all three soybean-related markets are displaying bullish candlestick patterns, accompanied by strengthening demand indicators. With RSI confirming upward momentum without entering overbought territory, traders are eyeing potential opportunities. Among the three, ZM appears to be the one which will potentially provide the greatest strength, showing resilience in price action and a favorable technical setup for a high reward-to-risk trade.   II. Technical Analysis of Soybean Markets A closer look at the price action in ZS, ZL, and ZM reveals a confluence of bullish factors: o Candlestick Patterns: All three markets have printed bullish weekly candlestick formations, signaling increased buying interest. o RSI Trends: RSI is in an uptrend across all three contracts, reinforcing the bullish outlook. Importantly, none of them are currently in overbought conditions, suggesting further upside potential. o Volume Considerations: Higher volume on up moves and decreasing volume on down-moves adds credibility to the bullish bias. III. Comparative Price Action Analysis While all three soybean-related markets are trending higher, their relative strength varies. By comparing recent weekly price action: o ZM (Soybean Meal Futures) stands out as the one which will potentially become the strongest performer. Last week, ZM closed above its prior weekly open, marking a +1.40% weekly gain. RSI is not only trending higher but is also above its average, a sign of potential continued strength. o ZS and ZL confirm bullishness but lag slightly in relative strength when compared to ZM. This comparative analysis suggests that while all three markets are bullish, ZM presents the most compelling trade setup in terms of technical confirmation and momentum. IV. Trade Setup & Forward-Looking Trade Idea Given the strong technical signals, the trade idea focuses on ZM (Soybean Meal Futures) as the primary candidate. Proposed Trade Plan: Direction: Long (Buy) Entry: Buy above last week’s high at 307.6 Target: UFO resistance at 352.0 Stop Loss: Below entry at approximately 292.8 (for a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio) Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 3:1 Additionally, with the introduction of Micro Ag Futures, traders can now fine-tune position sizing, making it easier to manage risk effectively on longer-term charts like the weekly timeframe. Given the novelty of such micro contracts, here is a CME resource that could be useful to understand their characteristics such as contracts specs . V. Risk Management & Trade Discipline Executing a trade plan is just one part of the equation—risk management is equally critical, especially when trading larger timeframes like the weekly chart. Here are key considerations for managing risk effectively: 1. Importance of Precise Entry and Exit Levels Entering above last week’s high (307.6) ensures confirmation of bullish momentum before taking a position. The target at 352.0 (UFO resistance) provides a well-defined profit objective, avoiding speculation. A stop-loss at 292.8 is strategically placed to maintain a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio, ensuring that potential losses remain controlled. 2. The Role of Stop Loss Orders & Hedging A stop-loss prevents excessive drawdowns in case the market moves against the position. Traders can also hedge using Micro Ag Futures to offset exposure while maintaining a bullish bias on the broader trend. 3. Avoiding Undefined Risk Exposure The Micro Ag Futures contracts enable traders to scale into or out of positions without significantly increasing risk. Position sizing should be adjusted based on account risk tolerance, ensuring no single trade overly impacts capital. 4. Adjusting for Market Volatility Monitoring volatility using ATR (Average True Range) or other risk-adjusted indicators helps in adjusting stop-loss placement. If volatility increases, a wider stop may be needed, but it should still align with a strong reward-to-risk structure. Proper risk management ensures that trades are executed with discipline, preventing emotional decision-making and maximizing long-term trading consistency. VI. Conclusion & Disclaimers Soybean futures are showing bullishness, with ZS, ZL, and ZM aligning in favor of further upside. However, among them, ZM (Soybean Meal Futures) potentially exhibits the most reliable momentum, making it the prime candidate for a high-probability trade setup. With bullish candlestick patterns, RSI trends confirming momentum, and volume supporting the move, traders have an opportunity to capitalize on this momentum while managing risk effectively using Micro Ag Futures. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CBOT:ZM1!Education
by traddictiv
2
$BTC Bearish Divergence on the Weekly !? NO!!!Someone on Twitter sent me a chart showing Bearish Divergence on the Weekly for BTC and asked me to analyze it. (hopefully this link shows the chart) pbs.twimg.com My response is below. --- This is a really good question! Caught me off guard for a second and I had to really analyze it. That chart assumes we’re at the end of the cycle, so its showing bearish divergence prematurely in Mar ’25. But the fractal it’s being compared to shows divergence with the peak in Nov ’21. Here’s the correct way to draw the trends. If you draw from the bear market low to current date, you see we are just getting warmed up. This cycle is mimicking 2017 as I’ve mentioned a lot over the past year.

I marked where we are so you can see the Feb - Mar ’21 dip in RSI. Imagine tapping out right before the moonshot! It’s easy to get caught off guard with that chart, as the fractals from ’21 and ’25 on the RSI do look strikingly familiar, but notice how the right shoulder on the RSI falls in Nov 21’ , but the right shoulder on the RSI in Dec ’24 is going higher, pointing to the RSI following the ’17 uptrend. I wonder if the person who made that chart actually thought that was the correct way to analyze the chart, or if that’s just a troll bear-posting. I could see someone like CredibleCrypto or an XRP-maxi posting that.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by jonnieking
Could Cardano Bulls "Raise The Flag" To $2??COINBASE:ADAUSD has some very interesting Price Action happening with the decline starting from beginning of December 2024 forming what looks to be a Descending Channel with the potential to become a Bull Flag! With a Bull Flag being a Continuation Pattern, we can expect a higher probability of a Bullish Break to this Channel to continue in the trend it was following prior to falling into this Consolidation Period. Last week we saw a huge Bullish Candle form and Break the Channel after testing the March 2024 Highs, the 200 EMA @ .7719, along with the Linear Regression or "True Trendline" of the Descending Channel. Other indicators suggest Bullishness as well with the RSI staying above 50 in Bullish Territory and we can see a large amount of Volume entering this Weekly Candle with 2 days and 19 hours left until Close at the time of publishing. *If Cardano can continue to find Support and is able to make a Valid Bullish Break of this Channel, based off the "Flagpole" or Rally, prior to price falling into Consolidation, we can expect a potential 120% gain from the Break, potentially sending price up to test the overhead Resistance Zone in the ( $1.85 - $2.15 ) Range! 3/7 - The White House will be holding the very first U.S. Crypto Summit to make plans to start bringing cryptocurrency into a U.S. Crypto Strategic Reserve www.tradingview.com
COINBASE:ADAUSDLong
by Novi_Fibonacci
1
What About The MACD? This Is The Reason Why $120,000 Will Not...This one is even better. While Bitcoin is trading at a very strong price, near $90,000, the MACD hit the lowest ever, since 2021 in this chart. This chart only goes back to 2021 so can't really say about other times. But the daily MACD went through a full flush and this type of dynamic tends to be ultra-bullish. It is the equivalent of seeing the daily RSI with a reading of 10 while prices trade at $90,000 within a bullish trend. Here is Bitcoin's daily MACD (true bottom): Once the bottom is hit, you get a rise. There is a bullish cross already present so the histogram turned from red to green. This means that the MACD is already rising. There is a divergence here as well. The MACD is producing lower lows while Bitcoin is producing higher lows. Based on these signals, the MACD and RSI, it is only a matter of time before the next Cryptocurrency bullish phase that will end in a bullish run. It is a long-time for Bitcoin to go sideways for three months and then crash. It is the exact same dynamic as in early to mid-2024. Bitcoin peaked in March 2024 and went sideways for months before crashing in early August. The crash in early August marked the bottom. Bitcoin peaked in December 2024 and went sideways just to crash in late February 2025. The crash in late February marked the bottom. From the bottom we grow. We are seeing sideways, bullish, accumulation, consolidation before maximum growth. We will experience slow and steady growth long-term. On average, we are going to be looking at +$800 to +$1,000 daily in price gains. So, in 30 days, Bitcoin should trade around $120,000 (more or less). Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
3
Trading is the realm of response Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- It's been a while since I made an indicator and explained it, so I'd like to take the time to introduce and explain something I heard a long time ago. (Original text) I made purchases at m-signal 1W in yesterday's fall as I see it rose above ha-low and closed above m-signals. It looks like m-signals can't prevent traps. Now I'm losing money again. I think it's better to make purchases when RSI is below 30. I don't want to feed market makers, somehow it happens over and over. - Looking at the above, it seems that the purchase (LONG) was made when the price rose above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W, 1D chart and then started to fall. If we check this on the 30m chart, it is expected that the purchase (LONG) was made near the section indicated by the circle section. I said that it would have been much better to buy (LONG) when RSI was below 30, but when RSI was below 30, it refers to the section from February 25 to March 1, so I think it's regret due to the loss. - If you look at what I explained as an idea, I said that you need to get support in the section marked with a circle to continue the upward trend. And, I said that support is important near the HA-Low indicator when it falls. Therefore, if it falls in the section marked with a circle, you should enter a sell (SHORT) position. However, if you do not see a downward trend, you should trade based on whether there is support in the HA-Low indicator. - To check for support, you need to check the movement for at least 1-3 days. Therefore, checking for support is a difficult and tedious task. Since most futures transactions are made on time frame charts below the 1D chart, you cannot check for support for 1-3 days. Therefore, you need to check the movement at the support and resistance points you want to trade and respond accordingly. - The coin market is a market where trend trading is good. Therefore, it is important to know what the current trend is. It is better to think of the basic trend based on the trend of the 1D chart. The current trend of the 1D chart is a downtrend. Therefore, the SHORT position can be said to be the main position. As mentioned earlier, in order to turn into an uptrend, support must be received within the range indicated by the circle. If not, it is likely to continue the downtrend again. Since the HA-Low indicator has been newly formed, the 89253.9 point is the point where a new trading strategy can be created. If it is not supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to lead to a stepwise downtrend, so you should also think about a countermeasure for this. - What we want to know through chart analysis is the trading point, that is, the support and resistance points. You should decide whether to start trading depending on whether there is support at the support and resistance points. Even if you start trading properly at the support and resistance points you want, you must also think about how to respond to a loss cut. If you cannot think of a response plan for a loss cut, it is better not to trade at all. - Indicators are only reference materials for your decisions, not absolute. - The M-Signal indicator on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts is an indicator for viewing trends, - The HA-Low and HA-High indicators correspond to points for creating trading strategies. The creation of the HA-Low indicator means that it has risen from the low range, and if it is supported by the HA-Low indicator, it is the time to buy. If it does not, and it falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise decline, so you should think about a response plan for this. The creation of the HA-High indicator means that it has fallen from the high range, and if it is supported by the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility of a full-scale upward trend. If not, it may fall until it meets the HA-Low indicator, so you should think about a countermeasure for this. - If the price is maintained near the StochRSI 50 indicator on the 1D chart, it is expected to lead to an increase to rise above the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart. At this time, if it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D and 1W charts, it is likely to lead to an attempt to rise near 94827.9. If not, it is likely to end as a rebound. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
BTC At Critical Support on 200DMA + RSI Way Oversold₿itcoin testing critical support on the 200DMA 🚨 Last time it closed under on July 4, 2024 it ranged for 101 days. RSI hasn't been this oversold since August, 2023. Last time BTC was at this RSI level and closed under the 200DMA it ranged for 60 days. HOWEVER, the only time BTC has ever closed under the 200DMA on a Post-Halving year was in May 2021, where it then went on to rally to another new ATH. I'm personally buying here 💯
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by jonnieking
Use RSI Like a GoldmanYou might be wondering, do the traders at Goldman Sachs use the Relative Strength Index (RSI)? The answer is, perhaps they do, and perhaps they don’t. However, based on my experience, I can confidently say that even the most seasoned and professional traders rely on RSI from time to time. While it may not be their sole tool for decision-making, it’s often included in their broader strategy due to its effectiveness in identifying overbought or oversold conditions in the market. RSI is one of many technical indicators that can serve as a helpful signal in navigating market trends, and even the best traders find it useful on occasion. When trading with technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), having a clear and structured approach is crucial to maximizing its effectiveness. While RSI can be a powerful tool for identifying potential trend reversals, it’s essential to understand the right conditions and context in which to use it. Below are some key principles and guidelines that can help you apply RSI more effectively in your trading strategy. Whether you’re a swing trader or a day trader, these tips can help you avoid common pitfalls and make more informed decisions in the market. ⚙️ Keep Settings Simple Keep the RSI settings minimal to avoid confusion. Stick to the standard 14-period lookback, which is widely used and reliable for most market conditions. 📉📈 Ensure Divergence Occurs Outside of Key Levels Divergence should only be considered when the RSI reaches extreme levels, typically above 70 (overbought) or below 30 (oversold). This helps to identify potential trend reversals. Divergence at neutral levels (like between 40–60) may not be as effective. 🔥 Base Divergence on Candle Closes, Not Wicks Always look for divergence based on the closing price of candles. Divergence created by wick movements is unreliable and can lead to false signals. Stick to the body of the candle to ensure accuracy. ⏳ Watch the Lookback Period The RSI’s default lookback period is 14, and divergence with a gap of more than 14 candles is generally less reliable. Wider gaps often signal weak price momentum and a higher chance of failure, so focus on shorter, more recent divergences for better results. 💧 Liquidity Must Be Taken Before Entering Trades Liquidity is essential when confirming trade setups: The first high or low should take out liquidity from higher time frames (such as range highs and lows). The subsequent highs or lows should take out local liquidity, which can be identified by overbought or oversold RSI conditions. Ensure there’s a clear market structure shift before entering trades. ⏰ Timeframe Considerations for Different Trade Types For swing trades, focus on longer timeframes like the 4-hour chart to capture larger market moves and trends. For day trades, the 15-minute timeframe is ideal for capturing short-term price action and finer market details. 🔄 Use Divergences for Trend Reversals, in Confluence with Other Analysis RSI divergence is best used to identify potential trend reversals. However, it should not be used in isolation. Always look for confluence with other technical analysis methods (such as support/resistance levels, moving averages, or candlestick patterns) to increase the reliability of the signal. Combining multiple tools enhances the accuracy of your trade setups. Stay sharp, stay ahead, and let’s make those moves. Until next time, happy trading!
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by CandelaCharts
1
SOL emerging head & shoulder providing opportunitiesBYBIT:SOLUSDT has an emerging H&S structure that is providing opportunities described below, which can be utilised based on risk appetite and preference for a swing trade or investment. Note: The overall chart structure at the moment is highly complex and pattern failure risks, such as that experienced with BYBIT:XRPUSDT remains very high. Scenario An H&S structure has emerged since 23 Dec 2024. Neckline support has been confirmed 3 times around: 11 Jan, 07 Feb and 12 Feb. The price is still close to the neckline providing opportunity for entry into trades and/or investment. DCA entry into a longer term investment - recommended approach Allocate a percentage of your portfolio's available fund to this as an asset to hold, decide upon how many months or weeks you would like to DCA into the total position (I recommend no less that 3 months and no more than 6) and begin DCA. This approach will safeguard against mistiming the start of the DCA now before the beginning of a bearish cycle, finally ending at an as yet unknown lower support level (of 4 potential candidate price levels stated further down the text below). The case for beginning the investment approach now The project remains solid and has established itself as a competitor to ETH. Furthermore, it is the layer 1 of choice for memecoins and has had more new projects use it that ETH recently. Additionally, overall positive market sentiment remains as do utterance (although no formal new policies of note) of the Trump administration and financial institutions towards crypto. Finally, the large gyrations in price recently are making it more difficult to judge appropriate SL levels thereby making trading of any kind less attractive at the moment. The case against beginning the investment approach now The future of the project, like most projects is still unknown (crypto is the most volatile and riskiest of assets for a reason!). Although the industry is maturing, it is possible a newer project can come and usurp the place of SOL. There are further support levels (130, 90, 55, 20) that can provide better DCA entry levels, and as market sentiment can change on an utterance of Musk or Trump, patience for a better entry point caused by further bearish moves might be wiser, particularly as on the weekly chart, SOL appears to be printing it's 2nd consecutive doji - implying market indecisiveness and no clear indication that the bulls are about to become incharge again. SOL has also double topped (mid Nov 24 and mid Jan 25), near the ATH (250), indicating either upcoming bearish sentiment or another uncertain attempt at breaking the ATH. Swing trade Entry: 200 TP:280 - near the absolute top of the head SL: 160 - past the dragonfly candle of 13 Jan (this candle has the risk of indicating a new support leval and all traders must be wary of the 160-150 level as that was the support level in mid Oct 24 Additionally, 170 is also near the 200 EMA and crypto daily price gyrations are sometimes very large; therefore a daily low of a dragonfly and a EMA has the potential of being a support level that should be accounted for when setting a SL ) R/R: 1:2 The case for the swing trade The rate of change indicated is trending upwards. The neckline has proven to be a support level and has been validated 3 times. The against a swing trade Other technical indicators like the RSI (middling with little upwards trend) and MACD (likewise) do not provide strong positive support for the trade thesis. Having found support at the 200 EMA and broken out of the downward trend since 20 Jan, there is a possibility that the price will just range between the 50 EMA and 200 EMA (approx. 210 and 180) unless there is further external, fundamental cause for upwards momentum. Previous momentum was driven largely by the optimistic market sentiment for crypto following on from Trump's election win. Finally, a R:R of 1:2 is generally not considered worthy of such a speculative trade. Note: There is very little justification for a margin trade at the moment - the dragonfly candle on 03 Feb carries too much risk and invalidates a margin trade theses' risk/reward ratios. Margin trading this pair is best left to when a pattern emerges that is not part of a structure that includes the 03 Feb candlestick.
Long
by slip_stream
JUPUSDT Swing Long IdeaJupiter is the second largest DEX on Solana and its price has been ranging for almost 1 year. If all of crypto is getting ready to bounce JUP looks primed to breakout of the range, RSI is crossing above the RSI MA and midpoint, MFI is crossing above the midpoint, JUP has outperformed TOTAL according to MA Based relative performance, We recently saw the largest ever volume and volume MA. All of this makes me think JUP wants to breakout from this range soon, hopefully TOTAL and BTC will allow that to happen.
Long
by AltcoinDreaming