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Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Bitcoin - The ultimate breakdown for 2025/2026Welcome to my channel and this analysis. In this analysis I will dive deep in the current Bitcoin’s bullmarket. I will examine charts from the monthly, weekly, daily and 4H charts, and also on chain data. This will be a complete insight in Bitcoin’s price. ------------------------ Monthly timeframe Logarithmic BTC chart This chart presents a long-term logarithmic analysis of Bitcoin using monthly candles, covering the period from around 2013 to mid-2025. The structure is defined by two major curved lines representing a logarithmic resistance and support channel, which frames Bitcoin's price movement over more than a decade. These lines form a dynamic, upward-sloping price corridor, capturing Bitcoin's historically exponential price behavior and cyclical nature. The vertical axis uses a logarithmic scale to better reflect percentage-based changes, which is critical when analyzing an asset like Bitcoin that has grown from under $100 to over $100,000 in just a few years. The chart displays clear multi-year cycles. The first notable cycle begins in 2013, followed by a significant correction in 2014–2015. A new bullish phase emerges between 2016 and 2018, peaking near $20,000. This is followed by a crash into 2018. A longer accumulation period precedes the 2020–2021 rally, which reaches a high around $69,000 before another sharp decline. From the bottom in late 2022 or early 2023, Bitcoin begins another uptrend, forming a steep rise along a newly established bullmarket support trendline. This trendline represents a more aggressive, linear support structure within the broader logarithmic curve, showing the strong momentum driving the current bull phase. By July 2025, Bitcoin is trading around $108,000, advancing steadily toward the upper boundary of the long-term logarithmic resistance. A key element of this chart is the target level marked at approximately $150,000, which aligns closely with the point where the current trajectory intersects the upper logarithmic resistance. This zone has been highlighted as a likely area of interest, possibly signaling a market top or at least significant resistance, based on Bitcoin's past behavior. Historically, Bitcoin has tended to reverse sharply or consolidate after reaching this upper boundary, making the target zone an area of potential distribution or heightened volatility. The bullmarket support trendline serves as a short- to medium-term structure within the larger logarithmic channel. As long as price holds above this line, the current bullish structure remains intact. A breakdown below this trendline could indicate a loss of momentum and trigger a broader correction. The use of logarithmic trendlines underscores Bitcoin’s tendency to move in exponential growth cycles, shaped by macroeconomic trends, halving events, and adoption waves. The resistance and support boundaries function as dynamic guides for long-term expectations rather than rigid barriers. The stoch RSI crosses This chart provides a technical overview of Bitcoin on a monthly timeframe using candlestick analysis and the Stochastic RSI (Stoch RSI) oscillator to distinguish between bull and bear market phases. The Stochastic RSI, shown at the bottom of the chart, is a momentum oscillator derived from the RSI rather than price directly, making it particularly useful for identifying overbought and oversold conditions in trending markets. The key thresholds are the 80 level at the top and the 20 level at the bottom, which respectively indicate overbought and oversold zones. The chart spans from 2017 to mid-2025, clearly separating bull and bear markets using vertical red lines and labeled annotations. Each major cycle aligns with movements in the Stoch RSI indicator. Notably, crosses above the 80 line (into overbought territory) are often associated with late-stage bull market tops or strong bullish continuations. Crosses below the 20 line (into oversold territory) typically align with bear market bottoms or the start of new accumulation phases. Starting with the December 2017 peak, the Stoch RSI crossed above the 80 level, reaching extreme overbought territory. This cross occurred at the height of that bull cycle, signaling a likely exhaustion of momentum. Not long after this peak, the market entered a bear phase, confirmed by the downward cross of the Stoch RSI below the 80 level, and eventually below 20, leading into the 2018–2019 bear market. By August 2019, the Stoch RSI crossed below the 20 level, signaling oversold conditions. Although this did not immediately launch a new bull market, it did suggest the market was bottoming out. This was followed by a gradual recovery and another decisive upward cross above 80 around April 2021, right in the midst of the strong 2020–2021 bull run. That cross confirmed the continuation of upward momentum and coincided with Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs. As the price peaked in late 2021 and early 2022, the Stoch RSI again turned downward and dropped below the 20 threshold, marking another prolonged bear market. This downtrend was confirmed as the oscillator remained suppressed in the oversold zone for most of 2022. The Stoch RSI is now moving again towards the overbought territory. This means that bulls have the control in the market and likely to push higher. RSI with the consolidation and resistance trendline This chart presents a broader monthly view of Bitcoin's price action alongside the Relative Strength Index (RSI), revealing a compelling structural alignment between price momentum and long-term resistance dynamics. At the top of the chart, the candlestick pattern shows a clear upward trend spanning across multiple market cycles. A long-term resistance trendline has been drawn that connects the major highs from the two previous bull markets, specifically the peaks in late 2017 and late 2021. This resistance line acts as an upper boundary to the macro trend and, so far, the current price action in 2025 has not yet tested this long-term resistance. In fact, while Bitcoin has recently reached above $100,000, it remains below the ascending resistance trendline, suggesting that there could still be room for price to move higher before encountering the next major overhead challenge. The structure implies a potential upward continuation if momentum sustains, and the price may attempt to test this historical trendline in the near future. Below the price chart, the RSI indicator offers additional insight into the underlying strength of this move. A descending RSI trendline connects the previous overbought peaks from 2017 and 2021, forming a macro resistance trendline in momentum that mirrors the structure seen in price. This declining RSI resistance has not yet been reached in the current cycle, implying that momentum still has space to grow before hitting a potential exhaustion point. The RSI is currently capped within a relatively tight consolidation box, with values fluctuating between the mid-60s and low-70s. 200W SMA crosses above the previous ATH This chart illustrates the long-term price action of Bitcoin, focusing on the relationship between the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) and previous all-time highs (ATHs). Historically, when the 200-week SMA crosses above the previous cycle’s ATH, it has coincided with periods near the cycle tops. For example, in December 2017 and January 2022, the 200-week SMA moved above the prior ATH, which closely aligned with significant market peaks. In the current cycle, however, the 200-week SMA has not yet crossed above the previous ATH from 2021, which is around $68,889.04. This is notable because, in past cycles, this crossover has typically marked the later stages of a bull run. The fact that this crossover has not yet occurred suggests that Bitcoin may still have room to move higher before reaching a new cycle top. However, it is important to recognize that this does not guarantee further upward movement. Even if Bitcoin’s price consolidates or moves sideways for an extended period, the 200-week SMA will gradually rise due to its lagging nature and could eventually cross above the previous ATH without a significant price rally. Lets now move to the weekly charts and analyse where we are. ------------------------ Weekly timeframe Support and resistance trendlines This chart shows Bitcoin’s price action on a weekly timeframe, highlighting three key trendlines. Two resistance trendlines are drawn from the peaks of the last two major cycles, forming an upper boundary for price action. These lines act as potential resistance zones, indicating areas where previous rallies have topped out and where the current price could face selling pressure if it approaches these levels again. Additionally, there is a clearly defined rising trendline that serves as bull market support. This trendline has been respected throughout the current cycle, connecting the higher lows since the market bottomed out in late 2022. As long as Bitcoin’s price continues to hold above this bull market support trendline, the overall bullish structure remains intact. This suggests that the uptrend is still healthy and that corrections or pullbacks, as long as they stay above this line, are part of a normal, sustainable bull market. If the price were to break below this support, it could signal a shift in market sentiment and potentially a deeper correction. For now, maintaining support on this trendline is a positive sign for the ongoing bull market. Bearish divergence The chart shows that Bitcoin has formed three consecutive price peaks, with each new high surpassing the previous one. This indicates that, from a price perspective, the market has maintained its upward momentum over this period. However, when looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below the price chart, a different pattern emerges. Each time the price has made a new high, the RSI has registered a lower high, resulting in a clear bearish divergence. This is visually reinforced by the downsloping trendline that can be drawn across the RSI highs, in contrast to the uptrend in price. Bearish divergence between price and RSI, as seen here, often signals underlying weakness in the buying momentum, even as price continues to rise. It suggests that each successive rally is being driven by less enthusiasm or participation from buyers. Given this setup, it is possible that the RSI could revisit the downsloping trendline in the near future. If this occurs, the price might make a marginally higher high, potentially forming a third peak slightly above the current level. This would maintain the divergence and could act as a warning sign for traders to be cautious about the sustainability of the current uptrend. Stoch RSI This chart presents the weekly price action of Bitcoin alongside the Stochastic RSI indicator. What stands out is the clear cyclical pattern in the Stoch RSI, where it tends to reach oversold levels roughly once every half year. These oversold readings have historically aligned with significant local bottoms in the price, signaling favorable buying opportunities for traders and investors. After reaching these low points, the Stoch RSI typically trends upward, eventually entering the overbought zone. When the Stoch RSI enters overbought territory, as it does several times on this chart, it often coincides with local price peaks. These moments serve as warnings that the market may be overheated in the short term, and traders should be cautious about opening new long positions. The overbought readings suggest that a pullback or period of consolidation could be imminent, as the market works off excess bullish momentum. Currently, the Stoch RSI is once again in the overbought zone. This suggests that Bitcoin may be vulnerable to a further pullback or at least a pause in its upward movement. While this does not guarantee an immediate reversal, it does mean that risk is elevated. Failed breakout/liquidity grab This weekly Bitcoin chart illustrates a strong and consistent uptrend that has been developing since late 2023. Each major move begins with a clear breakout above previous consolidation zones, followed by a retest of the broken resistance, which then acts as support, confirming the trend's strength. These retests tend to hold well, setting up for new bullish impulses. In the earlier stages, we see BTC breaking out of a range around the $48,851 support level. After a successful retest of that zone, the price surged and entered a new consolidation phase just below $73,643. A second breakout occurred from this level, again followed by a retest that confirmed it as a new support level. This pattern reflects textbook bullish market structure: breakout, retest, and continuation. However, the current price action shows something different. BTC has returned to its previous high around the $109,301 resistance level. Unlike the previous times, where strong bullish candles closed above resistance, this attempt has only pierced above the level with a wick, indicating potential exhaustion or hesitation. The highlighted label "Failed breakouts / Liquidity grab" suggests that these wick movements may have been attempts to trigger stop orders and gather liquidity before a possible retracement. Now we will dive deep into the daily timeframe. ------------------------ Daily timeframe Resistance, bullflag and Stoch RSI This daily chart of Bitcoin reveals a period of consolidation just below a key resistance zone, which aligns with the previous all-time high area. BTC has been ranging within this red-marked resistance block, showing clear hesitation from buyers to push beyond it with conviction. During this consolidation, a well-formed bull flag structure appeared, a bullish continuation pattern, signaling potential for further upside. The breakout from this bull flag occurred earlier this week, providing initial bullish confirmation as price pushed briefly above the upper boundary of the flag. However, the breakout lacked follow-through. Instead of sustaining momentum and closing decisively above resistance, BTC appears to have experienced a fake-out, with price now retracing back inside the prior range. This failed breakout is particularly notable given the context of the Stochastic RSI indicator, which is currently in the overbought zone. ------------------------ 4H timeframe 4H FVG and liquidity grab This 4-hour chart of Bitcoin shows a clear structure where price has recently formed an equal high around the $110,612 level. Equal highs are often seen as zones where liquidity builds up, since many stop-loss orders from short positions typically rest just above them. This makes the area particularly attractive for a potential liquidity grab. At the moment, BTC appears to be in a short-term retracement phase after rejecting from this equal high region. During this move, price left behind a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which is a zone of inefficiency where price moved too quickly to fill orders. This FVG is now acting as a potential support zone. The chart suggests that BTC may revisit this FVG to rebalance before making another attempt to break through the equal highs. If BTC can hold the FVG and generate upward momentum, a move above the equal highs becomes more likely. In that case, the resting liquidity just above those highs could be targeted, leading to a quick wick or breakout move before price potentially reverses again. ------------------------ Liquidation heatmap 1 month This Binance BTC/USDT liquidation heatmap clearly shows that the majority of the liquidity is stacked to the upside. The bright yellow and green bands, which represent areas of high liquidation potential and leverage exposure, are heavily concentrated just above the current price levels, especially around the $111,000 to $114,000 zone. This indicates that many traders have short positions with stop-losses placed above these highs, making them prime targets for potential liquidation events. As price moves closer to these high-liquidity zones, the probability increases that market participants, particularly larger players or algorithms, may push BTC upwards to trigger those stops and liquidate those positions. 1 week The current price is hovering around the $108,000 range, with clear liquidity clusters forming both below and above this level. What stands out is the dense liquidation zone just below the current price, this suggests that many traders have placed long positions with stop-losses slightly under this support range. These positions create an opportunity for a liquidity sweep, where price briefly dips down to trigger liquidations, fill larger buy orders, and shake out weaker hands. After such a sweep, the heatmap shows an even larger cluster of liquidation liquidity sitting just above the highs, especially around the $110,000 to $114,000 region. This is likely composed of stop-losses from short positions and breakout traders who entered too early. The concentration of liquidity here creates a strong incentive for price to target this zone after clearing the downside liquidity. ------------------------ Fear and greed index Today The Fear and greed today is at 66, meaning greed. This level suggests that market sentiment is optimistic, but not yet euphoric or irrational. In practice, it often means buyers are confident, and there’s still room for price continuation before we enter extreme greed territory 1 year chart This chart displays the Crypto Fear & Greed Index over time, offering a visual representation of sentiment cycles in the Bitcoin market. When examining the past year, you can see how sentiment has recovered significantly from the fear zone (below 30), especially from late 2024 into early 2025. This shift in sentiment aligned with BTC's price climbing back toward previous highs, indicating that sentiment is responding directly to price structure and bullish momentum. ------------------------ BTC exchange reserve This chart, sourced from CryptoQuant, provides a clear visualization of the relationship between Bitcoin’s exchange reserves (blue line) and BTC price (white line), over a multi-year period. The key insight is the rapid and consistent decline in Bitcoin held on exchanges, especially noticeable from mid-2023 onward. From around 2022, the amount of BTC on exchanges remained relatively stable. However, beginning in late 2022 and accelerating through 2023 into 2025, we see a shart and uninterrupted drop in exchange reserves. This ongoing withdrawal trend typically signals accumulation behavior by investors. When BTC is withdrawn from exchanges and moved into cold storage or long-term wallets, it often reflects growing conviction among holders that price will rise and they don’t intend to sell in the short term. ------------------------ Final thoughts This is a complete Bitcoin analysis for the community with a top-down analysis! I have worked out a complete insight in the Bitcoin price with different analysis and on-chain data. I would be excited if you boost, comment and share the analysis with your friends for the work that I have put in this analysis for everyone.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Youriverse
57
Mastering the RSI - How to use it in trading?What will be discussed? - What is the RSI? - RSI overbought - RSI oversold - RSI divergences - How to use the RSI - How to trade with the RSI What is the RSI?
 The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a popular momentum oscillator used in technical analysis to measure the speed and change of price movements. Developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr., it ranges from 0 to 100 and helps traders evaluate whether a security is overbought or oversold. The RSI typically uses a 14-period timeframe and is calculated based on the average gains and losses over that period. A rising RSI suggests increasing buying momentum, while a falling RSI indicates growing selling pressure. RSI overbought 
When the RSI rises above 70, the asset is generally considered overbought. This condition indicates that the price may have risen too quickly and could be due for a correction or pullback. However, being overbought doesn't automatically mean a reversal will occur, it signals that bullish momentum is strong, and traders should be cautious of potential trend exhaustion. RSI oversold
 Conversely, an RSI reading below 30 is typically seen as a sign that the asset is oversold. This condition suggests the price may have fallen too sharply and could be primed for a rebound. Just like with the overbought condition, an oversold RSI doesn’t guarantee an immediate reversal but serves as a warning that bearish momentum may be overextended. RSI divergences
 Divergences occur when the RSI and the price of the asset move in opposite directions. A bullish divergence happens when the price makes a lower low, but the RSI forms a higher low, potentially signaling a reversal to the upside. A bearish divergence occurs when the price makes a higher high, but the RSI creates a lower high, possibly indicating a downward reversal. Divergences are often used to spot early signs of trend changes. How to use the RSI?
 To use the RSI effectively, traders typically look for overbought and oversold conditions to time entries and exits, combine it with other technical indicators for confirmation, and watch for divergences as a sign of potential reversals. RSI can also be adapted for different timeframes or strategies, depending on whether the trader is looking for short-term swings or long-term trend analysis. While it’s a powerful tool, RSI should not be used in isolation, it works best as part of a broader trading plan that considers market context and risk management. How to trade with the RSI? The RSI can be a powerful tool for identifying potential trade setups. When the price approaches a key support zone while the RSI remains in overbought territory, this may signal an early warning of a possible market reversal. However, rather than acting immediately, it's wise to wait for confirmation. A clear candlestick reversal pattern, such as a bullish engulfing candle or a pin bar, a provide stronger evidence that momentum is shifting. By combining RSI readings with price action and support levels, traders can improve the accuracy and timing of their entries. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDEducation
by Youriverse
69
#BCHBTC #1W (Binance) Big falling wedge breakoutCRYPTOCAP:BCH just regained 50MA weekly support in sats, performing better than CRYPTOCAP:BTC Seems likely to continue bullish towards 200MA resistance, probably after a pull-back. ⚡️⚡️ #BCH/BTC ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Binance Signal Type: Regular (Long) Amount: 7.0% Current Price: 0.004885 Entry Targets: 1) 0.004657 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 0.006329 Stop Targets: 1) 0.003987 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:BCH BINANCE:BCHBTC #BitcoinCash #PoW bitcoincash.org Risk/Reward= 1:2.5 Expected Profit= +35.9% Possible Loss= -14.4% Estimated Gaintime= 4-7 months
Long
by TradingOn
1
Cup of the Morning for DXYThe TVC:DXY seems to be forming a Cup and Handle Pattern on the 1Hr Chart! Cup and Handle pattern is considered a strong Reversal Pattern where we should expect Bullishness for the USD. After the 2nd or Equal High to the 1st was formed, Price made a Retracement to the 38.2% Fibonacci level and found Support to the begin forming the "Handle" or Consolidation Phase of the Pattern. Price must Break and Close above the "Brim" or Equal Highs of the Cup @ 99.113 to Confirm the pattern! Once confirmed, we can then look for price on DXY to rise up to the next level of Resistance in the 99.6 area!
TVC:DXYLong
by Novi_Fibonacci
Bitcoin - Levels of the Range On the hourly time frame it is clear that BTC is within a rangebound environment. Using key levels such as the weekly highs and lows with Mondays highs and lows to to paint a picture of where support and resistance may be. In the "weekly outlook" post for this week I suggested a retest of the $108,500 area, an orderblock that pushed prices lower and is notorious for protecting Stop losses of the shorts that pushed price lower, nearly instantly as the week starts we get that move to sweep the supply zone and stop hunt the short trades. After a successful sweep the swing fail pattern typically follows when in a rangebound environment or absent of a trend. This structure plays out and the sell-off follows. Price breaks through the Monday low with zero fight so momentum is with the bears in the low time frame. Should momentum continue the previous week low is @ $102,500 which is in line with HTF key level too. RSI is also entering the oversold zone and in a rangebound environment can be when price reverses direction, as seen by the previous Monday High and Previous week low. With FOMC just over 24 hours away volatility usually follows. No rate cut forecast however many think the interest rate should be brought down in line with inflation as the ECB has already done. In conclusion, BTC is in a clear rangebound environment on the hourly time frame. Stop loss hunt/supply zone sweep and then SFP, the LTF momentum is with the bears going into FOMC. Next point of support at $102,500 (Previous week low) and could be boosted by the oversold RSI. An FOMC rate cut should be bullish although currently thought to be unlikely.
by ProR35
Futures RSII will go through why I prefer the 63 RSI to be OHLC4 or HLC3. That's because I think Volume Weighted MA is influenced by the high, low, and close price, so I use either that or OHLC4 after double smoothing it. Watch the 70-30 and oversold levels as a potential reversal play; typically, everything above 35 is bullish and everything below 65 is bearish, with 50 as TP. The most powerful aspect of the RSI lies in finding divergences from the strength of the RSI and the direction of price; that's where the largest trades I have taken were made.
CME_MINI:ESM2025
by GabrielAmadeusLau
#XRPUSDT #4h (Bitget Futures) Descending channel near breakoutRipple just printed a dragonfly doji resting 50MA regained support, looks ready for short-term recovery. ⚡️⚡️ #XRP/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Bitget Futures Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (8.0X) Amount: 5.2% Entry Zone: 2.2438 - 2.2088 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 2.3535 2) 2.4493 3) 2.5450 Stop Targets: 1) 2.1199 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:XRP BITGET:XRPUSDT.P #4h #Ripple #MadeInUsa xrpl.org Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0 Expected Profit= +45.7% | +80.1% | +114.5% Possible Loss= -38.2% Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 weeks
Long
by TradingOn
McDonald 1H Long PositionMy self-built strategy has sent me a signal for a long position. I bought a tranche of NYSE:MCD long and will be targeting the upper gaps as my profit targets. The first station will be around $306, and the second target lies between $318 and $319. Currently, the 1H chart is forming a nice divergence and had a huge volume spike, and my strategy indicates a high probability setup for this chart. Given the current market volatility, I’ll be keeping a close eye on my open position to be able to react quickly if needed.
NYSE:MCDLong
by Karoshi-Trading
UCAD Bulls Look for 3rd Test After Sept. '24 Highs TouchOANDA:USDCAD Bulls were able to find support at the Sept. 2024 Highs after having traveled down a Falling Support for the past 2 months! Now we see Bulls pushing price higher creating a Rising Support with 2 tests having been successful and currently coming down for a 3rd test! Now Price has already broken a Previous Level of Structure which was a Past Resistance on June 4th. This level also lands right at the 34 EMA and based on the Bollinger Bands, this test will also be a Mean Reversion where Price after having traveled in one direction will revert back to the mean of the Bollinger Bands for Continuation, which in this case will be Bullish! After the 2nd Test of the Rising Support, we can see a Massive amount of Volume enters. Price also is trading Above the 50 on the RSI and is currently coming down to test that level. I am looking for Price to test the 1.3683 area and if Price shows support for a 3rd Test, this will be a great opportunity for Long Positions! Fundamentally, USD will be bombarded heavy news being CPI numbers with analysts forecasting a .2% Increase in Inflation! Also PPI, Unemployment Claims and Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations.
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
EURUSD Sell SetupEURUSD – Institutional Short Setup 🔻 Timeframe: 1H Date: June 3, 2025 Strategy: OdinVerse HP – Bank Entry Trap + Supply Stack Breakdown 🧠 Smart Money Logic 🔍 Key Zone Details 🔴 Upper Bank Sell Entry (1.14539 – 1.14337) Final liquidity sweep into major HTF supply – fakeout push before drop. 🔴 Lower Bank Sell Entry (1.14210 – 1.14127) True institutional entry zone. Price retested this zone before rejection. 🔻 Current Reaction Zone Price is rejecting the lower zone with bearish follow-through and structure shift. 🔑 Key Confluences Fakeout Above Trendline → Trap breakouts at the top of rising wedge. Double Bank Sell Zones → Clear signs of institutional order stacking. Market Structure Shift → Clean BOS (break of structure) after retest of lower zone. Mitigation Complete → Last bullish OB fully mitigated, turning supply active. Daily EQM Sweep → Targeting imbalance & unfilled FVGs below (1.1285 to 1.1200). 🎯 Targets 🎯 TP Levels Zone/Logic 1.13884 Prior demand base / FVG top 1.12854 Major imbalance completion 1.12545 – 1.1200 Liquidity grab + OB tap zone ⚔️ Execution Plan In Position? Hold – structure confirms clean sell trap. Missed Entry? Wait for M5–M15 OB retest or mitigation around 1.1415. Reversal Risk? Only invalid if 1.1454 breaks with close above. 🔥 OdinVerse Grade: A+ Setup ✔ HTF Supply Confluence ✔ Dual Bank Entry Zones ✔ Structure Shift ✔ Clean Downside Liquidity Targets
Short
by Delast2
$HOOD great product but short term pull back here $58-$60Hello, I have multiple time frames up here: Daily, Weekly, and Monthly. I love Robinhood NASDAQ:HOOD as a broker, product and revolutionary company in the financial space. This is a great long term hold equity wise in my opinion but right now I am looking to short this name for a necessary pullback into $58-$60. It's overbought on the big time frames as you can see highlighted, it is possible it can break out of course but I believe with declining weekly volume this name will resort to some pullback. Also, Bitcoin can have some downside as well which will bring this name down with it. This ticker is volatile and can move 5-8% in either direction in just one session. I am looking for $60p about 3 weeks out, 6/20 date. WSL
NASDAQ:HOODShort
by wallstreetloser001
As ECB Ready's "Final Cut", EJ "Begins Reversal"OANDA:EURJPY has began to potentially form a very strong Triple Reversal Pattern, The Head and Shoulders @ the Resistance Level lasted visited May 14th. I say "potentially" because the "Right Shoulder" or recent Lower High has been created but we still wait for the final decline to the "Neckline" or Support Area formed by the Lows separating the "Head" from the "Shoulders" or Higher High from the Lower Highs in the pattern! Signs of Potential Head & Shoulders: 1) Left Shoulder is an Oversold High 2) A Higher High is created at a level of Resistance 3) The Head not only has the Most Volume concentrated in the Pattern, but is also the start of the RSI Divergence from Price 4) Right Shoulder is formed and unable to surpass the Left Shoulder ..Bringing us to a very important tell.. 5) Volume Decreases and logs a 3rd Divergent High in the RSI @ the creation of the Right Shoulder Now we must WAIT for CONFIRMATION of the Pattern! This will come when Price: 1) Declines to the Neckline & 2) Makes Successful Breakout Once the Head & Shoulders is Confirmed and Breakout is Validated: - This could deliver great Short opportunities as a Head and Shoulders Breakout and Retest at the Neckline being the Last Line of Defense for the Bulls if Bears can push Price through and pick up Volume! Fundamentally, BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda will be speaking on Tuesday, June 3rd where we could see volatility come in for JPY. The ECB is expected to cut rates by 25 bps from 2.4% to 2.15% on Thursday, June 5th and this could be the Last Cut we see the ECB plan to make until they see downside growth risks make more cuts likely.
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
#BTCUSDT #4h (Bitget Futures) Ascending trendline breakdownCRYPTOCAP:BTC lost 50MA that may act as resistance now, retracement down to 200MA support seems next. ⚡️⚡️ #BTC/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Bitget Futures Signal Type: Regular (Short) Leverage: Isolated (19.0X) Amount: 5.0% Current Price: 107480.5 Entry Zone: 108234.7 - 109274.5 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 106010.9 2) 103944.6 3) 101878.3 Stop Targets: 1) 111050.5 Published By: @Zblaba CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITGET:BTCUSDT.P #4h #Bitcoin #PoW bitcoin.org Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0 Expected Profit= +47.9% | +84.0% | +120.1% Possible Loss= -40.1% Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 weeks
Short
by TradingOn
1
EU Prints Three Black Crows!FX:EURUSD has printed a strong Triple Candlestick Pattern called Three Black Crows after having made a 50% Retracement of the failed Higher High @ 1.1407. This 50% Retracement found price testing a Previous Low and Resistance Zone where price now has broken a Previous Level of Structure being Support and is now on its way up to Retest this Break! If Price is able to Retrace back to the Level of Structure @ ( 1.1336 - 1.1340 ) and shows signs of Resistance, this could deliver Short opportunities to take Price down to the Next Levels of Support @ 1.131 & 1.126!
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
BTC hits ATH – But this hidden signal could ruin the rally!Bitcoin (BTC) has been in a steady and impressive uptrend over the past two months, with nearly seven consecutive weekly green candles forming on the chart. This sustained bullish momentum signals strong buying pressure and growing confidence among market participants. Such a consistent rally is rare and often indicates a broader shift in sentiment, suggesting that Bitcoin may be entering a new phase in its market cycle. Price discovery Recently, BTC broke through its previous all-time high (ATH) of 110K on the lower timeframes, a significant technical development. This breakout means BTC is now trading in price discovery territory, where there is no historical resistance to guide price action. While this opens the door for further gains, traders should remain cautious. Upcoming daily and weekly candle closes will be critical in determining whether this breakout is sustainable. For the move to be confirmed, Bitcoin needs to close multiple weekly candles above the previous ATH. If instead, the price falls back below the ATH on either this weekly close or the next, it could introduce downward pressure and potentially signal a failed breakout. As we navigate this pivotal moment, it's crucial not to get swept up in the euphoria. While the price action is undoubtedly bullish, certain technical indicators warrant close monitoring to avoid complacency. In particular, the weekly Stochastic RSI and the weekly RSI are now at levels that deserve attention. Stochastic RSI The weekly Stochastic RSI is entering overbought territory, even before this week’s candle has closed. This suggests strong bullish momentum is currently driving the market. However, history shows that when the Stochastic RSI enters the overbought zone, it often marks areas where it was wise to take partial profits. If the blue and orange lines on the Stochastic RSI begin to cross back below the 80 level, it could indicate a weakening of momentum and the possibility of a short-term correction. That scenario becomes more likely if Bitcoin fails to continue making higher highs in the weeks ahead. Relative Strenght Index (RSI) Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching a critical resistance trendline. In previous market highs, we’ve seen the RSI top out at 89, followed by a high of 80 despite new highs in BTC’s price, a classic case of bearish divergence. If Bitcoin fails to push significantly higher in the coming weeks and the RSI does not break above the 80 level, we could be looking at a potential triple bearish divergence. This would be a strong warning signal that momentum is waning, and it could lead to a broader correction. For this reason, it is crucial that Bitcoin continues to push upward with conviction. The RSI must break through its historical trendline and post a new high above 80 in order to invalidate the threat of bearish divergence. Should the market fail to do so and instead roll over, we may experience increased volatility and downside pressure as we move into the summer months. Conclusion In conclusion, while Bitcoin is exhibiting powerful bullish behavior and appears poised for further gains, the sustainability of this rally hinges on continued momentum and strong technical follow-through. Specifically, Bitcoin must maintain closes above its previous all-time high, avoid a bearish cross on the Stochastic RSI, and see the RSI break above its recent highs to neutralize the threat of bearish divergence. If these conditions are not met and momentum fades, the market may face a period of consolidation or correction in the near term. Staying vigilant and objectively monitoring these indicators will be essential for navigating what comes next. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
by Youriverse
29
NZDUSD Bearish Setup🔍 Market Structure Analysis WSD Zone Rejection (Top): Price tapped a wick-based supply & demand (WSD) zone at the top around 0.59486. That zone also aligns with the previous liquidity grab + mitigation of the OB. Price is now rejecting that area — forming a lower high (LH) inside the zone → classic sign of distribution. Rising Channel Break: Price was rising inside the red ascending channel. Currently showing bearish intent, with multiple internal BOS (breaks of structure). If price closes below the channel, that confirms bearish expansion. Downtrend from Premium Zone: We're clearly in premium pricing, where institutions prefer to offload longs. This area also completes a liquidity sweep of prior highs inside the WSD zone. 🧠 Trade Logic (Sell Setup) 🔺 Entry Zone: Inside or after rejection of WSD at 0.59486. 🛑 Stop Loss: Just above the WSD zone and local high. 🎯 Take Profits: TP1: 0.58669 → Local support + lower WSD zone (reaction zone). TP2: 0.58398 → Previous liquidity pool and external low. 🧾 R:R = Clean 1:4.5+, textbook SMC setup. 📌 Confluences for Bearish Bias ✅ Multiple WSD zones tested with bearish rejection. ✅ Rising channel inside premium is breaking. ✅ Mitigation + BOS on smaller TF. ✅ News candle marked by blue vertical line may act as final volatility spike before continuation. ✅ Price is near VWAP/50% equilibrium → Ideal for smart money to expand to downside. 🧯 Invalidation Conditions ❌ If price closes above 0.59486, we reassess the bias. ❌ A re-entry into the upper WSD with strong bullish volume invalidates the current bearish flow. 🔮 Forecast Summary This is a classic distribution setup with liquidity engineered into a WSD zone, now showing early mitigation and markdown signs. Unless major manipulation occurs, expect price to expand toward the 0.58398 low in the next 24–48 hours.
Short
by Delast2
EURUSD Bearish Setup📌 Market Structure & Setup Summary Major Supply Zone Rejection (Red Zone at Top): Price tapped into higher timeframe supply zone at 1.13755 (red box). This was a buy-side liquidity grab just above the previous high → textbook distribution zone. Now price is respecting that zone and rejecting it with bearish momentum. Bearish Rising Channel Broken: Red trendlines show a rising wedge → often leads to a bearish breakout. Price is currently breaking out of that wedge to the downside. Premium Pricing Confirmed: Price was pushed into the premium zone (above equilibrium), inducing buy orders → now being reversed. 🔄 Trade Plan (Short Bias) ✅ Entry: Activated inside the red supply zone after confirming wick rejections and structure shift. 🛑 Stop Loss: Above the red supply zone (above 1.13755). 🎯 Targets: TP1 → 1.12545: Structure support and breaker block. TP2 → 1.11663: Previous demand zone and trendline intersection. TP3 (Optional) → 1.11002 – 1.10610: External liquidity + trendline + FVG zone. 📉 RR Ratio: Estimated 1:4 to 1:5+ if TP2/TP3 hits. ⚠️ Key Confluences 🔹 Bearish break of rising wedge = structural shift. 🔹 Rejection wick inside red supply + BOS. 🔹 TP zones aligned with previous OB, breaker blocks, and liquidity pools. 🔹 News/volatility likely during the double blue vertical lines, so expect reaction spikes. 🚫 Invalidation Criteria If price closes above 1.13755, the idea is invalid. Watch for manipulation or false breakouts during high-impact news. 🔮 Market Forecast If current rejection holds, expecting price to seek sell-side liquidity from 1.12545, then 1.11663, and possibly lower. This is a classic distribution > BOS > retrace > expansion sequence.
Short
by Delast2
1
GBPUSD Bearish Setup📌 Current Market Structure Liquidity Sweep + Rejection in Premium Zone: Price tapped into the major supply zone (red box) sitting above the last high. Liquidity above previous highs was swept, and now price is rejecting → a classic buy-side liquidity grab setup. Bearish Rising Wedge Structure Broken: Price broke the inner rising wedge (red trendlines) to the downside and is now retesting the supply zone. Breakdown aligns with a potential reversal entry or at least a bearish pullback. Higher Timeframe Supply Zone: The red zone coincides with the 1.34782 resistance, which price failed to break cleanly above. This zone holds institutional footprints → possible smart money distribution. 🧠 Trade Idea (Bearish Bias Confirmed) ✅ Entry: Already activated inside the red supply zone. 📍 Stop Loss: Just above the red box (around 1.3480). 🎯 Target Zones: TP1: 1.33281 → minor demand zone and previous consolidation. TP2: 1.32870 → previous BOS retest zone. TP3: 1.32543 → deep demand zone and trendline intersection. TP4: 1.31759–1.31554 → external liquidity resting below structure (long-term target). 🔻 Risk-to-Reward: Excellent potential up to 1:5+ RR if TP4 hits. 🔄 Reversal Signals Confirmation Watch for: Bearish engulfing candles with rising volume inside the red zone (VSA style). Displacement candle or M5–M15 BOS confirming internal structure shift. ⚠️ Invalidation Zone If price closes a 1H candle above 1.3480, setup is invalidated. Watch out for possible manipulation during the vertical blue lines (likely high-impact news). 🔮 Forecast: Expecting a mid- to long-term retracement or reversal back to the 1.31700s – 1.32800s region, based on the current rejection from premium supply and completion of a liquidity sweep.
Short
by Delast2