Volume Breakout + Double Digit Stock - HATHWAY📊 Script: Hathway
📊 Sector: Telecomm-Service
📊 Industry: Telecommunications - Service Provider
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading at upper band of BB and giving breakout of it.
📈 MACD is giving crossover .
📈 Double Moving Averages crossover soon.
📈 Volume is increasing along with price which indicates volume breakout
📈 Right now RSI is around 70..
📈 One can go for Positional Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 26
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 36
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 21
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
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Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Avalanche(AVAX): Waiting For Breakdown! We are monitoring AVAX coin here after seeing a nice rejection take place.
Long story short, we are looking for a breakdown of that 100EMA zone, which is also acting as a smaller support zone for now.
Upon breaking this zone, we might see a nice fall of almost 35% take place, so definitely keep an eye on this one!
Swallow Team
Tron(TRX): Waiting For Rejection!TRX has had a very long bullish run without any proper corrections.
We are looking to see that upper resistance to be reached and a potential small correction to take place (leading price to touch at least 100 EMA, and who knows, maybe even 200EMA as well)
Swallow Team
Polkadot(DOT): Reached Middle Line Of Bollinger Bands!DOT had a nice bounce from 200EMA and is now testing the middle line of Bollinger Bands.
What we are looking for here is a potential weakness to kick near the middle line, which would mean that the price gets rejected from there.
If this kind of movement doesn't happen, then we might see a movement towards the upper resistance zone, from where we will be looking at a potential short position!
Swallow Team
Litecoin(LTC): Full Breakdown or Not?LTC has caught our attention here with two possible scenarios.
First one: Wait for breakdown to happen from trend and let bears secure it. From there, we might get a nice opportunity to short this coin!
Second one: Wait for the price to reach upper resistance and see how the market price will react to this zone; potential weakness might be shown there!
Which one are you waiting for the most?
Swallow Team
Bitcoin(BTC): Good Entry To Sell / Or Not?And we are back with BTC after seeing the price enter that liquidity zone, which we have been talking about for some time now.
As of now, the price is showing some weakness and a potential re-test to happen at $40K, which we are looking to fully break in order to see further movement to lower zones!
The start looks promising 😉
Cardano(ADA): Wait or DCA? Which one?While ADA has been forming a small bullish trend, we are looking for a potential short position to happen here!
As of now, we see prices slowly building up toward that upper resistance zone, which is also aligned with the 200 EMA. Waiting is the key! (or maybe DCA is the key???)
Swallow Team
#TIA/USDT 15m (ByBit) Descending channel breakoutCelestia regained 50MA support, looks good for very short-term recovery.
⚡️⚡️ #TIA/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: ByBit USDT
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (7.6X)
Amount: 5.0%
Current Price:
15.120
Entry Targets:
1) 14.780
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 16.344
Stop Targets:
1) 13.997
Published By: @Zblaba
LSE:TIA BYBIT:TIAUSDT.P #Celestia celestia.org
Risk/Reward= 1:2.0
Expected Profit= +80.4%
Possible Loss= -40.3%
Estimated Gaintime= 12-24 hours
ChainLink(LINK): Broke The Neckline !!!After monitoring this one for very long, we are finally seeing some breakdown attempts near the neckline zone. As we broke that zone, we also went for a re-test, which is currently showing bad signs. But we are not rushing and we are getting ready for a potential position here, which means that if daily candle closes again below neckline zone, this would indicate to a potential overweight of bears (which is also a good start for a downward movement)
Swallow Team
Polkadot(DOT): Head&Shoulders Pattern = Good Sell Opportunity? DOT coin is back on our spotlight with a great format forming here (head and shoulder pattern)
While we see good potential for this kind of movement, we still need to fully form that right shoulder, which can also be good for some short-term selling positions! But as always, our best entry relies on that neckline zone, which we are looking to break sooner this week!
Swallow Team
Ripple(XRP): Inside Bullish Trend!Ripple is still trading and bouncing inside the bullish trend here. We recently had a nice liquidity movement to lower zones, which is currently showing some kind of recovery.
We, as always, are looking for potential good zones to enter with positions both long and short!! Waiting for confirmation before entering
Cardano(ADA): Waiting For Setup To Short It!After amazing drop which resulted in good gains, Cardano has been bounching from lower support zone, which might push price towards upper resistance zone (near EMAs)
We are waiting for the price to reach that zone there and looking to see how it will reach it. If everything goes according to plan, we will be looking for a short position here!
Swallow Team
TSLA: Last CHANCE to REACT! - D&W chartsTSLA shares are trying to react today, and this is something that could signal a recovery, which is understandable, given how much the price has fallen in recent weeks and how oversold the stock is at the moment.
Since the last top in December, the stock has plummeted almost 30%, breaking all its medium-term supports, materializing a downtrend. I say the price is oversold because the RSI is at an extremely low level, and the last time we saw an RSI below 20, in December 2022, the stock actually recovered after confirming a bottom in the price.
TSLA’s RSI analysis and comparison to December 2022:
However, the trend is still downwards, and although there is the possibility of a recovery, it won't be easy to reverse the trend. Remember that pullbacks are different from reversals.
For the price to reverse the downtrend, we would need to see HH/Hls again, as well as a break of the 21 EMA, which is clearly pointing downwards.
What's more, TSLA's price is on the verge of triggering a Death Cross when the 50MA crosses the 200MA downwards, one of the most famous bear market signals.
A continuation of the downtrend can be avoided if there is a strong and clear reaction as soon as possible, and now would be a good time, as the price has approached a support region on the weekly chart:
We are close to the support line of a bearish channel. Last week's candle could be a possible Exhaustion Bar, but the price needs to react and reject the last bearish candle by breaking through its high at $217.80. Only then will we see a good reaction that could halt the long-term downtrend, or even reverse it. For now, until such a scenario materializes, any recovery could be just another Dead Cat Bounce.
Remember that I’ll keep you updated on this, so consider supporting this idea if you liked it, and follow me for more analyses like this.
All the best,
Nathan.
Bitcoin(BTC): Get Ready, We Might See A Fall Soon!As Bitcoin is hunting those upper liquidity zones, we are looking for the price to hover for some time there and eventually move and test that $40K zone.
Currently, after a significant breakout from the $40K zone, we are seeing that volume is slowly fading away, which indicates a potential re-test to happen soon!
Swallow Team
Bitcoin(BTC): First $43K Then $32K?Another week is here, and last week we had some massive moves on the market. (Where we dumped as low as $38,500 and then recovered from there, eventually not securing that $40K zone as of now.).
That's all natural movement from bitcoin, as we are witnessing a correction to the upper zones (near $43,500), where a lot of liquidity is currently lying.
Despite all that, we are still looking here for that $34K zone to be reached, so keep your eyes open for another potential attempt to breakdown from the 40K zone (which eventually will start the downward movement).
Swallow Team
Trading Nasdaq Futures: Correlation Insights & Market StrategiesIntroduction
The realm of futures trading offers a spectrum of opportunities, and at the forefront of this dynamic market are the E-mini Nasdaq Futures. Designed to track the Nasdaq 100 index, these futures contracts have become a favorite among traders who focus on technology and growth-oriented companies. The Nasdaq 100, dominated by technology giants, serves as a barometer for the broader tech sector and offers insights into the health of the US economy.
Basic Product Specifications
Point Value: Each point of the E-mini Nasdaq Futures is worth $20.00, making them an accessible yet potent instrument for both individual and institutional traders.
Trading Hours: Reflecting the global nature of the financial markets, these futures trade nearly 24 hours a day, from Sunday evening to Friday afternoon (US times), ensuring that traders across time zones can participate in market movements.
Current Margin Requirements: As of the latest update, the initial margin requirement for one E-mini Nasdaq Futures contract is approximately $9,000, subject to change based on market volatility. The maintenance margin is slightly lower, ensuring traders have some leeway in managing their positions.
Micro E-mini contracts available: 10x smaller than the E-minis.
Market Context and Economic Events
In the ever-evolving landscape of global finance, several macroeconomic events cast a significant impact on the futures market. For traders of E-mini Nasdaq Futures, staying abreast of these events is crucial. Key among them is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, a regular event that can sway market sentiments and cause significant price movements. The announcements regarding interest rates and economic outlook made during these meetings are pivotal in shaping market trends.
Similarly, the release of labor market reports, including unemployment rates and job creation numbers, provides critical insights into the economic health of the country. These reports can trigger volatility in the E-mini Nasdaq Futures, presenting both risks and opportunities for traders. Understanding and anticipating the potential market reactions to these events is an integral part of a successful trading strategy.
Correlation Analysis and Trading Opportunities
A cornerstone of strategic futures trading lies in understanding the relationships between different financial instruments. Our recent analysis highlights the intriguing correlation dynamics of E-mini Nasdaq Futures with other key markets. While E-mini Nasdaq Futures often move in tandem with major indices like the Mini Dow Jones and E-mini S&P 500, they occasionally exhibit negative correlations with markets such as Gold, Euro Futures, Bitcoin, and Light Crude Oil.
Insights from Correlation Analysis:
Gold: Traditionally viewed as a safe haven, Gold often moves inversely to risk assets like Nasdaq Futures. In periods of market uncertainty or economic downturns, investors might flock to Gold, driving its prices up, while tech-heavy indices like Nasdaq could see a decline.
Euro and Bitcoin Futures: The relationship between Euro/Bitcoin Futures and Nasdaq Futures is nuanced, often influenced by broader economic policies and shifts in global trade dynamics and or monetary policy affecting the US Dollar.
Light Crude Oil: Fluctuations in oil prices can have a multifaceted impact on stock markets, including the Nasdaq. Rising oil prices, signaling higher energy costs, can negatively affect the performance of tech companies, leading to an inverse relationship.
Strategic Trading Approaches : Identifying bearish setups in Gold, Euro Futures, Bitcoin, and Light Crude Oil can be a precursor to bullish opportunities in E-mini Nasdaq Futures. For instance, a downturn in Gold amid rising economic optimism can signal an opportune moment to go long on Nasdaq Futures. Similarly, bearish trends in Euro/Bitcoin Futures and Light Crude Oil, perhaps due to geopolitical tensions or shifts in global demand, can also point towards potential gains in the Nasdaq market.
The below chart, where various correlations have been computed by aggregating daily data since 2018, shows a negative correlation between Euro Futures and Nasdaq Futures. Such inverse correlation will be used in the following section as a key element to plan on a long Nasdaq Futures trade.
Technical Analysis: Decoding Market Trends
Technical analysis forms the backbone of trading strategy formulation, especially in the volatile world of futures trading. For E-mini Nasdaq Futures, two key technical indicators – the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) – provide valuable insights into market momentum and potential trend reversals.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):
The MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security's price. It consists of the MACD line (the difference between the 12-day and 26-day exponential moving averages), the signal line (a 9-day EMA of the MACD line), and the histogram (which illustrates the distance between the MACD line and the signal line).
Having both MACD lines above the zero line can be seen as bullish as it could be interpreted as an up-trending market and could indicate a potential upward price momentum, signaling traders to consider a long position. Conversely, having both MACD lines below the zero line might suggest a selling or shorting opportunity.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements, oscillating between zero and 100. Typically, an RSI above 70 indicates a security is overbought, while an RSI below 30 suggests it is oversold.
For traders of E-mini Nasdaq Futures, an RSI reading near 70 could warn of a potential market pullback, suggesting a cautious approach or a potential short position. An RSI near 30, however, might indicate an upcoming price rise, presenting a buying opportunity.
Practical Application : Incorporating these indicators into the analysis of E-mini Nasdaq Futures allows traders to make more informed decisions. By monitoring the MACD lines and RSI levels, traders can gauge the market's pulse, identifying key entry and exit points that align with their risk-reward parameters.
Trade Rationale :
The Nasdaq Futures daily timeframe presents us with an up-trend (based on MACD), but caution may be advisable for long traders since RSI values are near 70. Given the fact that UFOs (UnFilled Orders) are available below price, patient traders may be interested in waiting for a retracement into such lower prices before planning on a buy opportunity.
Such trade may receive “extra” help from the negatively correlated Euro Futures contract which recently switched from an up-trend to a down-trending environment as seen above.
Trade Plan: Strategic Execution
Developing a well-thought-out trade plan is essential for capitalizing on the opportunities presented by E-mini Nasdaq Futures. Given the insights from our correlation and technical analysis, here’s a strategic approach for trading:
1. Identifying Entry Points:
Utilizing bearish setups in negatively correlated markets (Euro Futures) as indicators for potential bullish momentum in E-mini Nasdaq Futures.
While both MACD lines remain above the zero line and RSI readings remain below 70, look for potential bullish price reactions between 17076.50 and 16316.00, which is where our technical analysis suggests Buy UnFilled Orders (UFOs) may be available.
2. Setting Target Prices:
Determining realistic target prices based on historical price movements and resistance levels observed in the Nasdaq Futures market.
Since the Nasdaq Futures is in a position to potentially start making new all-times high prices, a target could be set using a Fibonacci projection pointing at 18527.00.
3. Establishing Stop-Loss Levels:
Placing stop-loss orders to minimize potential losses. These should be set at levels where the initial trade hypothesis is invalidated, such as below 16316.00, which is where UnFilled Orders would be proven to not to be available.
4. Calculating Reward-to-Risk Ratio:
Ensuring that the potential reward justifies the risk taken. A healthy reward-to-risk ratio, such as 2:1 or higher, is typically desirable.
5. Point Values and Contract Specifications:
For E-mini Nasdaq Futures, understanding that each point movement represents a $20 change per contract. This knowledge is crucial in calculating potential profits and losses.
Considering Micro contract options for traders with smaller account sizes or those seeking to manage risk more conservatively. The point value would be $2 in such case.
Practical Considerations : In implementing this trade plan, continuous market monitoring and readiness to adjust strategies in response to changing market conditions are paramount. The plan aims to maximize profits while strictly managing risks, aligning with individual trading styles and risk tolerances.
Risk Management: Safeguarding Investments
Effective risk management is the cornerstone of successful trading, particularly in the dynamic environment of E-mini Nasdaq Futures. Implementing robust risk management strategies not only protects investments but also enhances trading performance.
1. Utilizing Stop-Loss Orders:
Stop-loss orders are essential in limiting potential losses. They should be set at levels where the initial trade hypothesis is invalidated.
These orders help in managing trades without emotional biases, ensuring decisions are based on pre-set risk parameters.
2. Hedging Techniques:
Hedging strategies, such as using options or diversifying with inversely correlated assets, can provide a safety net against adverse market movements.
For instance, while correlations are not a guarantee, holding positions in Gold or WTI Crude Oil Futures could serve as a hedge against a downturn in the E-mini Nasdaq Futures.
3. Avoiding Undefined Risk Exposure:
It is crucial to avoid situations where the potential loss is unknown or unlimited. This can be achieved by using defined-risk strategies and avoiding high-leverage positions that can amplify losses.
Traders should be aware of the leverage inherent in futures contracts and adjust their position sizes accordingly.
4. Adapting to Market Conditions:
A flexible approach to risk management is key. This involves regularly reviewing and adjusting stop-loss levels and hedging positions in response to changing market dynamics.
Staying informed about economic events and market trends is vital in making timely adjustments to risk management strategies, including a potential for a trade to be invalidated and cancelled altogether.
Conclusion
In the intricate tapestry of financial markets, trading E-mini Nasdaq Futures presents both challenges and opportunities. This article has navigated through the complex correlations between Nasdaq Futures and other key financial instruments, uncovering strategies to capitalize on these relationships. The integration of technical analysis, focusing on MACD and RSI indicators, further enriches the trader's arsenal, providing a deeper understanding of market trends and potential entry and exit points.
As we've explored, the negative correlations with markets such as Gold Futures, Euro Futures, or WTI Crude Oil, can signal opportune moments to go long on Nasdaq Futures. Conversely, these markets can offer hedging opportunities against potential downturns in Nasdaq. The strategic execution of trades, underpinned by solid risk management practices, forms the bedrock of successful trading in this dynamic environment.
In conclusion, trading E-mini Nasdaq Futures demands a multifaceted approach, blending correlation insights, technical analysis, and stringent risk management. By staying informed, adaptable, and disciplined, traders can navigate the ebb and flow of the Nasdaq Futures market with increased confidence and potential for success.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Avalanche(AVAX): Amazing Short Opportunity For Sure! The coin has great potential for some downward movement here, for sure, with price reaching the major resistance zone, which we will not be able to breakout from with our first attempt. As now we have started the rejection phase, we might see even further movement here for sure to lower support!
The first sign of potential reversal is RSI entering back in normal zones (after being in overbought zone)
Swallow Team
Aave(AAVE): 200 EMA Broken!!!! Now Where? Coin has broken so compliantly that 200EMA is currently re-testing this same EMA.
As long as this re-test holds its zone, we might see some further movement to the lower zones, but if the re-test fails and moves slightly to the upper zone, we might move towards our upper, smaller resistance that we displayed as "orange" zones!
Swallow Team
Litecoin(LTC): Potential Breakout Can Happen!!! Time To Buy?LTC coin is showing some strength here with a good potential for upward movement here on a daily timeframe.
We are looking here for a potential breakout with a confident re-test as always, but we are ready for all kinds of movement here, meaning if we fail to breakout, then we might touch that lower line!
Swallow Team