EUR/USD - 1H - BreakoutEUR/USD was in a bearish trend . The price action has just broken out of the Falling Resistance after bouncing from an important Support Zone . The Bullish Bias is based on the following confluence:
Falling Resistance broken
Bounce from Support Zone
Bullish Divergence on RSI
Bullish Engulfing candle on LH
Expecting bulls to take charge and push prices higher.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Bullish ab = cd AUDJPYFrom the failed Bullish Butterfly pattern, I've realised an undercover bullish ab = cd hiding within the pattern. Looking at the the higher time frame, I see the pair is sticking with the predominate uptrend with some minor corrections along the way. I've started to back test a new strategy that has taken the harmonic approach to a world of unprecedented accuracy and precision. Some only utilise this system, where others may use difference concepts, nobody is wrong and each is to their own to determine how accurate and precise they can be. But it is imperative to use a multitude of systems to give higher chance of probability and accuracy to take a position.
Setting Support and resistance levels using the CSC-HARSI 2022Watch the video to get FULL details and listen to some commentary. Always feel free to ask questions below. I love talking with you guys.
Here is how we do it:
Set your RSI and VWAP as its Moving average in the CSC-HARSI
The lower the RSI setting, the more S/R levels you'll find.
So don't set your RSI to a low setting on a large timeframe chart. For example: Dont set your RSI to 9 on a 1hr chart.
Commonly I trade off of breaks of the 50 period EMA on my chart so i set my RSI to 50 and my chart to 1hr.
1. Setup your RSI to a 50 period length with source as CLOSE
2. RSI MA Settings: Set this to the VWAP (NOTE you can not change the RSI MA length if you set it for VWAP as it is now LOCKED to the RSI length)
3. Look for places on your CSC HARSI where the RSI and VWAP close at exactly the same level.
4. The close must results in a crossover and NOT a bounce.
5. If the Heiken Ashi close was a bullish candle, you mark a horizontal line on your chart ABOVE the candle
5a. If the Heiken Ashi close was a bearish candle, you mark a horizontal line on your chart BELOW the candle.
RSI Overbought & Oversold Strategy
What Is the Relative Strength Index (RSI)?
1. The relative strength index (RSI) is a popular momentum oscillator introduced in 1978.
2. The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph) on a scale of zero to 100.
3. An asset is usually considered overbought when the RSI is above 70 and oversold when it is below 30.
4. The RSI line crossing below the overbought line or above the oversold line is often seen by traders as a signal to buy or sell.
5. The RSI works best in trading ranges rather than trending markets.
Equities at Technical Resistance with BULL Market StructureDJ:DJI NASDAQ:NDX
SP:SPX
Equities have rallied in June 2022. However, here in the S&P500 chart we can see a patter that is true for all 3 equity indexes. All three indexes (DOW, SP500, NASDAQ) are at a technical resistance level. This means that it is at a price level that it previously attempted, but was unable to cross above.
Let's consider that the price action AND RSI oscillator have been making prominent and consistent higher low and higher high which show that the current bull run is STRONG and backed by a bullish market structure. Now that the bullish market structure has carried the price all the way to technical resistance what will happen next? I see three possibilities (1=least likely, 3=most likely)
#1. Backed by this strong bullish market structure, the price will close above technical resistance and form a new support level from that previous resistance level. This will also single a continuation to further growth in the markets and a possible end to this bear market.
#2. Resistance level will stay the same, price will go down but still form a higher low. Price then rallies back up to the resistance level and proceeds the same as #1.
#3. Resistance level will stay the same, price will go down all the way to the support level or even lower. Signaling a continued bear market.
I will most definitely be on the lookout for how this level gets resolved.
EURHUF: 4HR Hidden Bullish Divergence at Critical LevelIf this level were to break i think it would have a clear shot down to 386 but if we can get some performance out of this Hidden Bullish Divergence on the 4 Hour then we would be in the early stages of forming a Double Bottom Pattern that at the very least could take us back up to the neckline.
Bitcoin August/2/2022Hello,
Based on the chart, after the last jump, the price entered a correction phase.
If the price crosses the current supply and demand range: For the first step, I expect it to advance to 0.236 Fibo retracement
And in the case of not passing and losing the bullish momentum, the possibility of going down...
$MSFT - Weekly support and continuationTechnical Analysis (TA)
Monthly oversold and Williams %R showing signs of a reversal.
Weekly MA's resistantce broken and held key 100MA as support. Needs to break Monthly 10EMA to show upside momentum.
Price Target
Entry : $281
Price Target 1: $315
Price target 2: $350
Fundamental Analysis (FA)
Strong Quality Screen and metrics.
The $BTC rally is gaining traction and hitting key levelsI am still bullish on Bitcoin very long term, but in the short run, things are slightly uncertain but starting to look rosier. The bulls seem to be taking control now with BTCUSD now making higher highs and higher lows. It appears that the momentum has switched to the upside as the 20-day moving average has crossed up through the 50-day moving average; indicating a potential change in trend. It has also just reached its .236 fib level at 24,261.96 and has been fighting it.
BTCUSD appears to now be at a decision point with 3 choices:
1) Hold & break .236 Fib level and truly establish an uptrend
2) Build a big base with a lot of accumulation at the .236 Fib level as bulls and bears duke it out (setting up for a very large directional move, direction unknown)
3) Lose hold of the .236 Fib level and head lower showing bears still have some control/fight left
The previous battleground was the .382 Fib level which is 29,625.82 on bitcoin. The new battleground/key level as previously stated is the .236 Fib level, 24,261.96.
Once bitcoin breaks through the .236 Fib level, I believe it will hit my shorter-term price target of 30k.
FILUSDT - Oversold (Weekly chart!)I will keep this brief:
1) Price has dropped over 98% (!) from ATH
2) RSI is as oversold levels, descending wedge forming
3) The falling wedge drawn
4) It has printed red candles for a consecutive 10 weeks. How much more can it drop?
5D BTC pair chart looking nice too
Can the price drop more? Sure. But after a 98% correction? I am willing to say chances are in favor of upside.
TImeframe: Weeks
Return: Don't know
Leverage: 2-3x if you need to use