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Reserve

US DOLLAR/ Dollar dips on FED hike viewThe US DOLLAR has topped out and now beginning it correction. This is very bullish/positive for US Stocks for a new "potential" indication set up for them to breakout on a impulsive wave up. It had touched my previous forecast of 110 as my last target. Federal Reserve will take a more aggressive approach in hiking interest rates next week. Expectations for a 100 basis points rate hike by the Fed at its policy meeting next week stood at about 29%, according to CME's FedWatch Tool after reaching as high as 80% last week. The Fed seems to be leaning more towards 75 basis points than to 100 basis points," said Jim Barnes, director of fixed income at Bryn Mawr Trust. A strong start to the trading session for stocks on Wall Street fizzled out, however, as a drop in Apple Inc (AAPL) weighed following a Bloomberg report that the iPhone maker plans to slow hiring and spending growth next year in some units to cope with a potential economic downturn
TVC:DXYShort
by fintechwire
Why the U.S. dollar is strengtheningYellow= Support or Resistance Green= Positive trendlines Blue= Strong and trend effecting S/R The analysis concern USD bound to SEK, however its a great general directional indication to USD weighing against all other. The Analysis is about the current positive trend. Due to its already developed for some time its not in its beginning, therefore its not an obvious buy, so im neutral and HOLD at the moment, passing the orange line would say SELL, enter short, EXIT LONG. Otherwise we are currently at green trendline bottom and if passing many yellow lines (current resistances) we aim next to rebounded up until upper green trendline resistance. Like & Share if this was worth anything, only then ill hare more ideas.
by daujones
1
The FeD new strategy.As equities and crypto are bludgeoned to death in 2022. It is becoming increasingly clear the intention of the Fed; contrary to its speeches, is not, to cause a soft landing for the economy. In order to effectively counter the East the West will need a financial Bazooka to re-structure manufacturing as well as commodity markets. From this perspective, looking at event, pa and a number of indexes. It is my analysis that the FED will exceed its rate guidance throughout 2022, as to justify a level of economic stimulus currently unfathomable. Given the time constraints imposed by the conflict in Ukraine (Commodities) aswell as Chinese un-willingness to lift Covid Restrictions and popular inflationary and access to debt popular displeasure. The FED finds itself racing to "Break" the economy. Only to re-build it from the ground up starting December 2022. The level of stimulus and economic public spending will be nothing short of a Mega-Project, grounded in a need for Re-shoring the industry and securing commodities. Bitcoin will go nothing short of Parabolic in Q4 2022-Q1 2025 Long for financial freedom, we are all at risk of begging for industry factory line jobs by the end of this economic squeeze that 2022 is and will remain being.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TheBitcoinGeneration
5
True Dollar Index - Adj. for IMF Currency Reserve Weight (2022)As there appears to be much discourse around the status of the dollar as "the world reserve currency", it seems interesting to me that the standard measure of the dollar's strength is not weighted in this way. Here I am attempting to reconcile the standard dollar index (DXY), which measures the strength of the USD against a basket of other currencies (see below), with the dollar's presence within the IMF's World Currency Reserves (see below). I have chosen to call this the "True Dollar Index" (TDI) To do so, I have first taken the ratio of the Dollar's IMF weight against each currency and multiplied it by the dollar denominated exchange rate. Then I attempt to normalize the value by dividing it by the average of the 9 dollar denominated exchange rates. The equation I used for the 2022 TDI is as follows(*): (USDEUR * (58.81/20.64) + USDJPY * (58.81/5.57) + USDGBP * (58.81/4.78) + USDCNH * (58.81/2.79) + USDCAD * (58.81/2.38) + USDAUD * (58.81/1.81) + USDCHF * (58.81/0.2) + USDSGD * (58.81/1.505) + USDHKD * (58.81/1.505)) / ((USDEUR + USDJPY + USDGBP + USDCNH + USDCAD + USDAUD + USDCHF + USDSGD + USDHKD)/9) (*) This is in standard TradingView equation format and can be directly copy/pasted into the search bar - though values will convert to decimal As the weighting of the IMF World Currency Reserves is shuffled and reported at the end of the year, this should only be taken to be valid as of Q1 2022. For comparison, I have included the DXY in Orange. Note that I have adjusted the DXY by 41.0351, this is the difference in their starting values on Dec 31, 2021. This should allow us to capture deviation from this starting point. I chose this action as opposed to adjusting the existing equation to for simplicity, though one could easily drag the TDI down by subtracting the same amount. I make no claims to the accuracy of this chart as a measure of the strength of the dollar. I am not an economist, and I am happy to hear suggestions on how to improve this model. DXY Geometric Weightings: Euro (EUR), 57.6% weight Japanese yen (JPY) 13.6% weight Pound sterling (GBP), 11.9% weight Canadian dollar (CAD), 9.1% weight Swedish krona (SEK), 4.2% weight Swiss franc (CHF) 3.6% weight Currency composition of official IMF foreign exchange reserves: Dollar (USD), 58.81% Euro (EUR), 20.64% Japanese yen (JPY), 5.57% Pound sterling (GBP),4.78% Chinese renminbi, 2.79% Canadian dollar (CAD), 2.38% Australian dollar (AUD), 1.81% Swiss franc (CHF), .2% Other, 3.01%* *To account for this ambiguity, I have opted for a 50/50 split of the Hong Kong Dollar (HKD) and the Singapore Dollar (SGD). These are roughly equal in their use as a global payment currency at the time of writing and are the only top payment currencies not already included in the weighting. Sources: en.wikipedia.org data.imf.org
by mdamante
1
Reserve (RSR) - The start of NEW UP-TREND and possible hype TR.Hello trading friends, This is an update for long-term vision - and as traders know that there is no guarantee into markets, but all depends on study and trends. our goal all as traders is to scan the best possible coin and to see where the most possibility is - for this reason after study (RSR) could be an interesting coin for a long-term cycle - but of course always with risk management. it will stay crypto space. It's possible that we are going to enter new hype into this coin, this is also for technical reasons. What this coin really will bring, we will confirm later with the time frame. The chart adds in the best scenario of the chart and it means not that it should go so exactly in the long term. Markets going on their way - and it can always take some time. Have a good time This is not a trading call but a study view - trade only depending on your setups and riskmanagement.
Long
by watchtrend
3
$RSR/USDT 3D (Binance Futures)Symmetrical triangle near breakoutReserve Rights is accumulating above 50MA support and preparing for the next big move to come! #RSR #DeFi reserve.org Current Price= 0.035359 Buy Entry = 0.035421 - 0.031653 Take Profit= 0.051122 | 0.075996 | 0.113954 Stop Loss= 0.024730 Risk/Reward= 1:2 | 1:4.82| 1:9.13 Expected Profit= +52.41% | +126.57% | +239.74% Possible Loss= -26.27% Fib. Retracement= 0.786 | 1.272 | 1.764 Margin Leverage= 1x Estimated Gain-time= 6 months Contracts: #ERC20 0x8762db106b2c2a0bccb3a80d1ed41273552616e8 #XDAI 0x5a87eac5642bfed4e354ee8738dacd298e07d1af
Long
by TradingOn
Smart Money is buying Real Bitcoin, selling USD and fake BitcoinPretty easy to see as a full time crypto trader wall street and smart money is trading in paper air Bitcoin bears with bulls here. $100K and $200K this year. Easy. It's not real estate or Bitcoin or other real assets going up, it's FIAT going down faster that we can tell because governement backed currencies are bankrupt and without a floor. Inflation will continue to rampant except in economies that peg on a fix and verifiable central reserve currency. Bitcoin from 2008, has proven itself.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by UnknownUnicorn2413721
1
$RSR/BTC 2D (Binance Spot) Big falling wedge near breakoutReserve Rights looks ready for a very bullish move after regaining 50MA and it's being retested right now, fill your bag here. Current Price= 0.00000085 Buy Entry= 0.00000085 - 0.00000077 Take Profit= 0.00000108 | 0.00000140 | 0.00000164 Stop Loss= 0.00000063 Risk/Reward= 1:1.5 | 1:3.28 | 1:4.61 Expected Profit= +33.33% | +72.84% | +102.47% Possible Loss= -22.22% Fib. Retracement= 0.382 | 0.618 | 0.786 Margin Leverage= 1x Estimated Gain-time= 4.5 months
RLong
by TradingOn
Great R/R for BABA short term, but could fall another 10-20%.Hey friends. One of my friends (and 100% a 'boomer in the making') was looking for some info on BABA. His strategy is always "BTFD" , and he holds very the long term. Looking at $BABA through a bullish perspective, it's in a decent oversold condition with a defined risk/reward. The weekly candle is a bullish reversal 'doji', and we're below the forming descending wedge (a typical "wave e"), plus the RSI is crazy oversold (weekly RSi has only been this low once or twice). Depending on what happens on Monday morning, you can buy at market open around 161 (likely no higher than 164), with a defined stop below the low of 152.39. Looking at $BABA through a bearish perspective, you can see that China's S&P equivalent (the CSI 300 Index, bottom chart) is also weak, which means China ain't so hot right now. We're below all major moving averages, and our MACD is showing no sign of a reversal. Keltner channels are all trending down. From a macro perspective, there's a lot of leftover tension from the trade war, and long term they're looking to do CNYUSD currency swaps (that is, swap all reserves and holdings from global USD to Chinese CNY, which will ease their reliance and dependency on playing nice with the US). I'm no expert, but they'll likely be selling USD and buying CNY, forcing the CNY up from increased demand. Therefore, because most of the CSI 300 companies 'holders' are denominated in CNY (I can't imagine many foreign holders of these companies), the companies will lose relative 'share value' to CNY. A temporary drop in China's stock market is a small price to pay for international autonomy and a shot at being the global reserve currency. Long term, they're looking to replace all trade partners with domestic solutions, so maybe my boomer-buddy has the best BTFD moment in history! There's actually a great Market Huddle Episode on China-USA Trade relations and the Triffin Paradox here Below, here's the CNYUSD. Does that look bullish? If it does, their stock market is about to take a wee-plunge. Good Luck!
NYSE:BABA
by TMoneyBidness
1
Reserve Rights / USD $RSR - Writing was on the wallIn retrospect, on most cyrpto, the writing was on the wall for a major pullback. RSR was no exception and dipped significantly. On Binance, dropped even deeper, but I use Huobi as it has full history. In this case, I count a complete 5 wave move up. My EW is not the best, so take it or leave it. What was obvious though are the 4 consecutive tops on a daily timeframe with bearish divergence on RSI. This coupled with the BTC Dom chart looking to be locally bottomed at support, should have been an obvious red flag, which I ignored due to the Alt mania. The move down is difficult to count but wave 2s tend to be sharper and more aggressive and we have touched the 0.382 fib on Binance already. If BTC has found local bottom then RSR should do well.
by crossedfingers1
1