Reserve
Why the U.S. dollar is strengtheningYellow= Support or Resistance
Green= Positive trendlines
Blue= Strong and trend effecting S/R
The analysis concern USD bound to SEK, however its a great general directional indication to USD weighing against all other.
The Analysis is about the current positive trend. Due to its already developed for some time its not in its beginning, therefore its not an obvious buy, so im neutral and HOLD at the moment, passing the orange line would say SELL, enter short, EXIT LONG. Otherwise we are currently at green trendline bottom and if passing many yellow lines (current resistances) we aim next to rebounded up until upper green trendline resistance.
Like & Share if this was worth anything, only then ill hare more ideas.
The FeD new strategy.As equities and crypto are bludgeoned to death in 2022. It is becoming increasingly clear the intention of the Fed; contrary to its speeches, is not, to cause a soft landing for the economy. In order to effectively counter the East the West will need a financial Bazooka to re-structure manufacturing as well as commodity markets.
From this perspective, looking at event, pa and a number of indexes. It is my analysis that the FED will exceed its rate guidance throughout 2022, as to justify a level of economic stimulus currently unfathomable. Given the time constraints imposed by the conflict in Ukraine (Commodities) aswell as Chinese un-willingness to lift Covid Restrictions and popular inflationary and access to debt popular displeasure. The FED finds itself racing to "Break" the economy. Only to re-build it from the ground up starting December 2022. The level of stimulus and economic public spending will be nothing short of a Mega-Project, grounded in a need for Re-shoring the industry and securing commodities.
Bitcoin will go nothing short of Parabolic in Q4 2022-Q1 2025
Long for financial freedom, we are all at risk of begging for industry factory line jobs by the end of this economic squeeze that 2022 is and will remain being.
A Hisotrical View of Market Behavior Under the FedDetailed is a Chronological view of the the Fed Chairs and how the s&P 500 behaved under each of their terms... I'd hate to be the guy running the show at the top of this channel..
True Dollar Index - Adj. for IMF Currency Reserve Weight (2022)As there appears to be much discourse around the status of the dollar as "the world reserve currency", it seems interesting to me that the standard measure of the dollar's strength is not weighted in this way.
Here I am attempting to reconcile the standard dollar index (DXY), which measures the strength of the USD against a basket of other currencies (see below), with the dollar's presence within the IMF's World Currency Reserves (see below). I have chosen to call this the "True Dollar Index" (TDI)
To do so, I have first taken the ratio of the Dollar's IMF weight against each currency and multiplied it by the dollar denominated exchange rate. Then I attempt to normalize the value by dividing it by the average of the 9 dollar denominated exchange rates.
The equation I used for the 2022 TDI is as follows(*):
(USDEUR * (58.81/20.64) + USDJPY * (58.81/5.57) + USDGBP * (58.81/4.78) + USDCNH * (58.81/2.79) + USDCAD * (58.81/2.38) + USDAUD * (58.81/1.81) + USDCHF * (58.81/0.2) + USDSGD * (58.81/1.505) + USDHKD * (58.81/1.505)) / ((USDEUR + USDJPY + USDGBP + USDCNH + USDCAD + USDAUD + USDCHF + USDSGD + USDHKD)/9)
(*) This is in standard TradingView equation format and can be directly copy/pasted into the search bar - though values will convert to decimal
As the weighting of the IMF World Currency Reserves is shuffled and reported at the end of the year, this should only be taken to be valid as of Q1 2022.
For comparison, I have included the DXY in Orange. Note that I have adjusted the DXY by 41.0351, this is the difference in their starting values on Dec 31, 2021.
This should allow us to capture deviation from this starting point. I chose this action as opposed to adjusting the existing equation to for simplicity, though one could easily drag the TDI down by subtracting the same amount.
I make no claims to the accuracy of this chart as a measure of the strength of the dollar. I am not an economist, and I am happy to hear suggestions on how to improve this model.
DXY Geometric Weightings:
Euro (EUR), 57.6% weight
Japanese yen (JPY) 13.6% weight
Pound sterling (GBP), 11.9% weight
Canadian dollar (CAD), 9.1% weight
Swedish krona (SEK), 4.2% weight
Swiss franc (CHF) 3.6% weight
Currency composition of official IMF foreign exchange reserves:
Dollar (USD), 58.81%
Euro (EUR), 20.64%
Japanese yen (JPY), 5.57%
Pound sterling (GBP),4.78%
Chinese renminbi, 2.79%
Canadian dollar (CAD), 2.38%
Australian dollar (AUD), 1.81%
Swiss franc (CHF), .2%
Other, 3.01%*
*To account for this ambiguity, I have opted for a 50/50 split of the Hong Kong Dollar (HKD) and the Singapore Dollar (SGD). These are roughly equal in their use as a global payment currency at the time of writing and are the only top payment currencies not already included in the weighting.
Sources:
en.wikipedia.org
data.imf.org
Reserve (RSR) - The start of NEW UP-TREND and possible hype TR.Hello trading friends,
This is an update for long-term vision - and as traders know that there is no guarantee into markets, but all depends on study and trends.
our goal all as traders is to scan the best possible coin and to see where the most possibility is - for this reason after study (RSR) could be an interesting coin for a long-term cycle - but of course always with risk management. it will stay crypto space.
It's possible that we are going to enter new hype into this coin, this is also for technical reasons.
What this coin really will bring, we will confirm later with the time frame.
The chart adds in the best scenario of the chart and it means not that it should go so exactly in the long term.
Markets going on their way - and it can always take some time.
Have a good time
This is not a trading call but a study view - trade only depending on your setups and riskmanagement.
Reserve (RSR) - Depending on TA into new uptrend Hello trading friends,
Depending on Data this coin looks to have a green uptrend - the same time it's a coin that knows from historical trends with possible power trends.
Also soon There is mainnet adding int this coin.
30 Apr 2022 (or earlier)
Mainnet Launch
All-Time High
Apr 16, 2021 (a year ago) $0.1189
we will follow the news and see last trends.
Have a good time.
Bitcoin Fractal Outlook This edition features a weimar republic hyperinflation pump by the fed over the past two years. Centralized banking cartel! Short term micro target resistance looks like ~56k i'm sure fibs and other indicators showing similar. Macro logarithmic top target ~125-240k by eoy. potential for 100k resistance to push into next year for macro target. big even.
$RSR/USDT 3D (Binance Futures)Symmetrical triangle near breakoutReserve Rights is accumulating above 50MA support and preparing for the next big move to come!
#RSR #DeFi reserve.org
Current Price= 0.035359
Buy Entry = 0.035421 - 0.031653
Take Profit= 0.051122 | 0.075996 | 0.113954
Stop Loss= 0.024730
Risk/Reward= 1:2 | 1:4.82| 1:9.13
Expected Profit= +52.41% | +126.57% | +239.74%
Possible Loss= -26.27%
Fib. Retracement= 0.786 | 1.272 | 1.764
Margin Leverage= 1x
Estimated Gain-time= 6 months
Contracts:
#ERC20 0x8762db106b2c2a0bccb3a80d1ed41273552616e8
#XDAI 0x5a87eac5642bfed4e354ee8738dacd298e07d1af
US 2Y Yields Spikes!!US 2Y bond yields melt up are the Central Banks losing control of the narrative and inflation continues to skyrocket causing pain around the world. AU2Y yield faced the same fate not to long ago. Yields have an inverse relationship to bonds as investors no longer interested in holding government bonds the sell and this selling causes higher yields.
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linktr.ee
Smart Money is buying Real Bitcoin, selling USD and fake BitcoinPretty easy to see as a full time crypto trader wall street and smart money is trading in paper air Bitcoin bears with bulls here. $100K and $200K this year. Easy.
It's not real estate or Bitcoin or other real assets going up, it's FIAT going down faster that we can tell because governement backed currencies are bankrupt and without a floor. Inflation will continue to rampant except in economies that peg on a fix and verifiable central reserve currency. Bitcoin from 2008, has proven itself.
RSR: Slowly grinding towards resistance.One of my personal favorite behaviours of the price.
I longed this one, gonna keep an eye on that trend line in case we lose it.
If we break 0.045 it’s full send to 0.06.
Supports:
Trend line. If we lose that, anything between 0.036 and 0.032 is a potential support level.
Resistances: 0.04 to 0.045. Next one is between 0.06 and 0.063.
$RSR/BTC 2D (Binance Spot) Big falling wedge near breakoutReserve Rights looks ready for a very bullish move after regaining 50MA and it's being retested right now, fill your bag here.
Current Price= 0.00000085
Buy Entry= 0.00000085 - 0.00000077
Take Profit= 0.00000108 | 0.00000140 | 0.00000164
Stop Loss= 0.00000063
Risk/Reward= 1:1.5 | 1:3.28 | 1:4.61
Expected Profit= +33.33% | +72.84% | +102.47%
Possible Loss= -22.22%
Fib. Retracement= 0.382 | 0.618 | 0.786
Margin Leverage= 1x
Estimated Gain-time= 4.5 months
Great R/R for BABA short term, but could fall another 10-20%.Hey friends. One of my friends (and 100% a 'boomer in the making') was looking for some info on BABA. His strategy is always "BTFD" , and he holds very the long term.
Looking at $BABA through a bullish perspective, it's in a decent oversold condition with a defined risk/reward. The weekly candle is a bullish reversal 'doji', and we're below the forming descending wedge (a typical "wave e"), plus the RSI is crazy oversold (weekly RSi has only been this low once or twice). Depending on what happens on Monday morning, you can buy at market open around 161 (likely no higher than 164), with a defined stop below the low of 152.39.
Looking at $BABA through a bearish perspective, you can see that China's S&P equivalent (the CSI 300 Index, bottom chart) is also weak, which means China ain't so hot right now. We're below all major moving averages, and our MACD is showing no sign of a reversal. Keltner channels are all trending down.
From a macro perspective, there's a lot of leftover tension from the trade war, and long term they're looking to do CNYUSD currency swaps (that is, swap all reserves and holdings from global USD to Chinese CNY, which will ease their reliance and dependency on playing nice with the US). I'm no expert, but they'll likely be selling USD and buying CNY, forcing the CNY up from increased demand. Therefore, because most of the CSI 300 companies 'holders' are denominated in CNY (I can't imagine many foreign holders of these companies), the companies will lose relative 'share value' to CNY. A temporary drop in China's stock market is a small price to pay for international autonomy and a shot at being the global reserve currency. Long term, they're looking to replace all trade partners with domestic solutions, so maybe my boomer-buddy has the best BTFD moment in history! There's actually a great Market Huddle Episode on China-USA Trade relations and the Triffin Paradox here
Below, here's the CNYUSD. Does that look bullish? If it does, their stock market is about to take a wee-plunge.
Good Luck!
Reserve Rights / USD $RSR - Writing was on the wallIn retrospect, on most cyrpto, the writing was on the wall for a major pullback.
RSR was no exception and dipped significantly. On Binance, dropped even deeper, but I use Huobi as it has full history.
In this case, I count a complete 5 wave move up. My EW is not the best, so take it or leave it. What was obvious though are the 4 consecutive tops on a daily timeframe with bearish divergence on RSI. This coupled with the BTC Dom chart looking to be locally bottomed at support, should have been an obvious red flag, which I ignored due to the Alt mania.
The move down is difficult to count but wave 2s tend to be sharper and more aggressive and we have touched the 0.382 fib on Binance already. If BTC has found local bottom then RSR should do well.
Can't get any cleanerRSR looks very strong and ready to have a big rally. One of the biggest laggers and it is coming out of massive accumulation zone
RSR is very promising in the long run, as it has been!Technical analysis regarding the price of RESERVE RIGHTS in relation of dollar Tether for the next scenarios, based on daily movement.
disclaimer
*** In accordance with CVM Instruction No. 598, of May 3, 2018, Art. 21, I declare that the recommendations of this analysis reflect solely and exclusively my personal opinions and perceptions and that they were prepared independently and autonomously. Not being considered a purchase and/or sale recommendation. ***
Any questions do not hesitate to contact me. I'm happy to be able to help you in the best way I can. 🙏
ReserveReserve Rights is a dual-token stablecoin platform that was launched in May 2019 following a successful initial exchange offering (IEO) on the Huobi Prime platform.
Reserve Rights’ dual token setup includes a stablecoin known as the Reserve stablecoin (RSV) — which is backed by a basket of assets managed by smart contracts. The second token is the Reserve Rights token (RSR), which is used to keep the RSV stable at its $1.00 price target through a system of arbitrage opportunities.
important HERE :
Arguably Reserve's major defining feature is its Reserve Rights token, which is minted and sold when the RSV stablecoin loses its peg with the U.S. dollar. The funds generated by selling RSR tokens are used to replenish the RSV collateral pool, whereas when RSV is valued at above $1, the additional collateral will be used to purchase and burn RSR from the secondary market, driving down the supply.
So this coin will use a Burning mechanic to stabilise RSV Second coin to 1$. Burn RSR = Grow up... invest wisely and DYOR more about Reserve.... this kind of coin could hit Coinbase PRO.
Buy Zone : Now
TP1 : 0.13.5$
TP2 : 0.1995$
SL : No need
Happy Tr4Ding and Stay S4Fe!