CTMI Strategy Spotting the Move Early – DG ExampleCTMI Strategy – Clean Entry. Strong Setup.
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Resistances
GBP/JPY - Resistance into fibonacci golden pocketGBP/JPY 1H Technical Analysis - Key Levels
Price action shows clear resistance zones marked by Lift indicators at 0.28 , 0.08 , and 0.06 levels. The market appears slightly overbought with Lift readings of 0.01 to 0.05 , suggesting potential for pullback or consolidation.
Key observations:
- Resistance cluster between 0.06-0.28 may cap upside moves
- Overbought conditions warrant caution for longs
- Monitor Lift indicator for trend continuation signals
Trading approach:
Consider short opportunities near resistance with stops above 0.28 , or wait for pullback to support for long entries if momentum sustains.
for more FX analysis. Comments welcome!
GBPUSD Week 10 Swing Zone/LevelsWeek by week pinched pips keeps increasing.
As highlighted last week, Weekly zone and levels are mapped based on previous week daily high-low relationship (ie Monday HL in relation to Tuesday in relation to Wednesday HL, etc).
Using the 5min candle for entry keeps the SL small btw 10-15 pips and TP ideally to the next level. Some swing levels are only marked after price interacts pre-calculated levels.
Two possible road maps for the week, a or b?
As always price action determines trades.
Japan Nikkei index- just a quick post to show u something.
- As always everything is in the graphic.
- Now look at Japan Index closely.
- So a quick crash happened but look where Nikkei Bounced.
- i always speak in my posts that :
- " Supports are always turning to resistances ".
- " Resistances are always turning as supports ".
- Here you have a perfect exemple with Nikkei225.
- if u can trade Cryptos, u can trade anything else!
Happy Tr4Ding !
Avanza Breakout: Analyzing the Uptrend and RetestLong-Term Trend Analysis
Since its IPO, Avanza has demonstrated a clear uptrend, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows, reflecting a strong bullish sentiment over the long term.
Recent Price Action (Weekly Timeframe)
On the weekly timeframe, a triangle pattern emerged, which has recently broken out. The price then retraced, suggesting a potential retest of the previous resistance level, which could now act as support.
Retest and Key Levels
The recent retracement appears to be a successful retest of the previous triangle pattern's resistance. This successful retest often signals a continuation of the upward trend.
Examining further, we can see that the previous triangle pattern has now become a critical area for retests, followed by strong upward reactions. This supports the idea that the recent move down was indeed a successful retest.
Fibonacci Retracement Analysis
Using the Fibonacci retracement tool, the stock's recent reversal aligns perfectly with the 0.618 level, reinforcing its significance as a key support level. This level is often considered a strong area of support in uptrends.
Outlook and Potential Patterns
After analyzing the chart for patterns and key levels, we can anticipate potential future movements. A key level has been identified, which the stock has respected multiple times. This level could play a crucial role in forming a reversal pattern.
Two scenarios could unfold:
Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern: The stock could form an inverse head and shoulders pattern, using the key support level as its neckline.
Double Bottom Formation: Alternatively, a double bottom pattern could emerge at the key support level, signaling a strong reversal.
Trading Strategy
To capitalize on this setup:
Conservative Approach: Wait for a clear reversal pattern (like the inverse head and shoulders or double bottom) to form before entering a position. This approach minimizes risk by confirming the trend direction, set a stop loss top minimaze risk.
Aggressive Approach: If you believe the stock doesn't require a full reversal pattern, consider entering now. In this case, setting a stop loss just below the key support level is crucial to minimize potential losses.
$AUDUSD | Sell Trade | Market Exec |Technical Confluences:
Price is at Overbought conditions Daily timeframe
Price action is close to a resistance trendline and entering an Interest Zone
Fundamental Confluences:
Very similar to the OANDA:NZDUSD posting I did, all other Central Banks in the DM space wanting to cut rates, it negates off the yield premium that NZD would be getting against USD
Market is consolidating after all the USD sell-off and profit-taking mood before NFP is likely to happen
AUD being a commodity currency is greatly affected by China's economic performance and it is currently still looking bleak
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I have also taken a Short position in the FX:AUDUSD trade and monitoring that the Resistance trendline and Interest Zone don't break.
Within the Orange Zones, I will look to add position if I see further support that the Resistance will hold
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Gold rebounds to resistance zone and continues to sellGold market fundamentals:
Yesterday's CPI data adjusted the market's expectations for the Fed's September rate cut, from 50 basis points to 25 basis points (bad for gold)
The ceasefire negotiations between Israel and Hamas will be held in Doha, which will have an important impact on the situation in the Middle East (bad for gold)
Although the Ukrainian army's advance to the Kursk region of Russia was counterattacked by the Russian army, the complexity of this situation has increased market concerns about security (good for gold)
Gold market technical aspects:
Referring to the Fibonacci retracement of yesterday's decline, 0.5 is 2459, 0.618 is 2464, today we can sell around two retracement levels
Trading strategy: The multiple US data just released are bad for gold. Combined with the above factors, we mainly short today, in the retracement range of 2459-2459
Support range: 2440, 2430
Resistance range: 2476-historical high
XAUUSD: Risk aversion heats up, continues to be bullishGold Market Fundamentals:
Yesterday, gold prices surged by over $40 due to escalating tensions in the Middle East, driving safe-haven inflows. Israel’s military actions in Gaza, potential Iranian retaliation, and Ukrainian attacks on Russia’s Kursk region have all heightened investor demand for gold. Additionally, the market's heightened sensitivity to geopolitical risks has increased gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. The market now sees a 49% chance of a 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed in September. Falling U.S. Treasury yields are also supporting gold prices.
Gold Market Technicals:
Technically, the uptrend remains strong. After yesterday's rapid price increase, gold is facing resistance at previous highs. According to Fibonacci retracement, the 0.786 level is at 2456, which has shown some support but not strongly. The next strong support area is significantly lower than the current price.
Trading Strategy:
I have bought at 2461, targeting 2480 and 2500
Support Range: 2456, 2435
Resistance Range: Around 2480
Intraday Risk Data: U.S. July PPI
If you have different opinions or questions, please speak up and let’s discuss GOLD’s latest ideas together.
XAUUSD: Strategies for dealing with the long-short tug-of-warGold market fundamentals: OANDA:XAUUSD
The weak employment report prompted the market to expect a rate cut of nearly 105 basis points by the end of the year, with a 100% chance of a rate cut in September. This expectation has given gold some support, as rate cuts usually reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold.
However, with the rise of the US dollar index and the rebound of the 10-year Treasury yield, gold's rebound has also been suppressed.
The above two points are the current shock factors that have led gold to enter the competition between long and short forces.
Gold market technical aspects:
From the Fibonacci retracement indicator of Monday's plunge, the current price has come to a dense pressure zone, 0.5 is 2411, 0.618 is 2422, and the high point of the oscillation range 2415 is also between the two, so it is not easy to break through here. If it breaks, there is a broad sky above, and if it does not break, it is likely to continue to maintain the oscillation pattern.
Trading strategy:
Although it is a tug-of-war between long and short positions, I prefer a decline that cannot break through, so I will choose to sell at a high level
Support range: 2380-2364
Resistance range: 2411-2422
Intraday risk data: US initial jobless claims, US June wholesale sales monthly rate
If you have different opinions or questions, please speak up and let’s discuss GOLD’s latest ideas together.
GBPAUD | Short D1 | Market Exec |Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are close to Overbought Conditions on D1 and Overbought in both H1 and H4 time-frames
- Price action is close to a Supply Zone
- Price action is close to multiple Resistance Trendlines
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.9270 - 1.9380
SL @ 1.9503
TP 1 @ 1.9017 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 1.8745
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.87 (Depending on Entry Level)
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Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
XAUUSD Poised for a Massive Breakout: Are You Ready?Chart 1: 4-Hour Timeframe
Trend Analysis:
The chart shows a clear upward trend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
A wedge pattern is visible with converging trend lines indicating a potential breakout scenario.
Key Levels:
Support: Around 2348.248 (4hr LQZ).
Resistance: Approximately 2412.240.
Major Resistance: The upper trendline around 2480.
Recent Price Action:
The price has recently tested the lower trendline support and is currently retracing upwards.
A lower high (LH) has formed around 2480, suggesting a potential reversal or consolidation phase.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish: If the price breaks above the 2412 resistance, it may retest the upper trendline around 2480.
Bearish: A break below the 4hr LQZ at 2348.248 could signal further downside towards the daily LQZ at 2267.320.
Chart 2: 1-Hour Timeframe
Trend Analysis:
A shorter-term view confirming the upward trend with higher highs and higher lows.
The formation of a wedge pattern indicates consolidation within a narrowing price range.
Key Levels:
Support: Around 2348.248 (4hr LQZ).
Resistance: Approximately 2412.240, coinciding with the previous chart.
Recent Price Action:
Price recently bounced off the 4hr LQZ support level and is now hovering near the 2412 resistance.
The lower high (LH) indicates sellers are stepping in around the 2412 level.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish: Breaking and closing above 2412 could lead to further upside towards 2480.
Bearish: Rejection at 2412 and a break below recent lows could target the 4hr LQZ support at 2348.248.
Chart 3: 15-Minute Timeframe
Trend Analysis:
Short-term consolidation observed within a wedge pattern.
Recent price action indicates potential for a breakout or breakdown from this pattern.
Key Levels:
Support: Around 2348.248 (4hr LQZ).
Resistance: Approximately 2412.240.
Recent Price Action:
Price is consolidating just below the 2412 resistance level, forming a wedge pattern.
The 15-minute timeframe shows the price struggling to break above 2412.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish: A breakout above the wedge and 2412 resistance could lead to a quick move towards 2480.
Bearish: A breakdown from the wedge could revisit the 4hr LQZ support at 2348.248.
Conclusion
The overall trend across multiple timeframes remains bullish with key resistance at 2412 and significant support at 2348.248. A break above 2412 could signal further upside towards 2480, while a failure to break and sustain above this level may lead to consolidation or a pullback to the 4hr LQZ support. Monitoring price action around these key levels will provide insights into the next directional move.
USDCHF: Key Level Rejection, Fibonacci Retracement ExpectedPrice recently broke out of the daily (D) descending channel. It then pushed up to meet the daily (D) 50% Fibonacci retracement level, converging with resistance. Price then rejected this level and pushed down to retest support before breaking out of the four-hour (4H) downtrend line, suggesting strong bullish momentum. Price then pushed up and reached the daily (D) key level and converged with yet another 50% Fibonacci level. Price has proceeded to reject this level, highlighting temporary reversal and suggesting a possible retracement. I expect price to temporarily retrace to around the 38.2% level before continuing to the upside.
**Rationale:**
**Rationale:**
~ (L1): Breakout of channel (D)
~ (L2): Retest of support (D)
~ (L3): Break of trendline (4H)
~ (L4): Retest of support
~ (L5): Fib retracement convergence + Rejection
~ (F1): 38.3% Fib retracement
**Disclaimer:**
My trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations.
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#scalping
#intraday
GBPCHF | Short D1 | Market Exec | Incoming Risk-OffTechnical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1 and H1 time-frames
- Stochastics are also Overbought in multiple Cross-CHF pairs and even on USDCHF pair.
- Price action is close to a Supply Zone
- Price action is close to multiple Resistance Trendlines & top of Parallel Channel as well
- Targeting the 38% Fibo retracement for this trade
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- There seems to be some disconnect between asset classes and with everyone already so 'risk-on', the risk-off build up momentum is ripe for the taking.
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.1570 - 1.1650
SL @ 1.1718
TP 1 @ 1.1425 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 1.1276
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.60 (Depending on Entry Level)
________________________________
Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated!
If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D
________________________________
Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks.
Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only.
Short-Term Resistance Calling for Attention on USD/JPYSince topping at ¥156.77 on 14 May, short-term price action on the H1 chart for the USD/JPY has exhibited a downside bias. Of late, as you can see, recent flow chalked up a pullback from a low of ¥153.60 and has initiated the process of forming the D-leg of an ‘alternate’ AB=CD bearish formation at ¥154.95 (marked by a 1.618% Fibonacci projection ratio). The rationale behind selecting this alternate pattern, and not the 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratio (or the equidistant AB-CD), is simply down to the confluence that the 1.618% Fibonacci projection attracts: a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratio at ¥154.97 and a nearby 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio at ¥154.81.
INJUSDT Poised at All-Time High: Breakout or Breakdown LoomsINJUSDT is on the verge of a critical juncture, approaching its all-time high of $43.35 on the daily chart. The price has been consolidating recently, attempting to break above this resistance level four times.
Technical Analysis:
Resistance: $43.35 (All-Time High)
Support: $32.23
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Supported at 50
Volume: Increasing volume coincides with attempts to break resistance
Key Observations:
INJUSDT is facing a significant hurdle at its all-time high. A breakout above this level could signal further upward momentum.
The price has been consolidating recently, suggesting a potential period of indecision before the next directional move.
The RSI remains at a neutral level (around 50), offering no clear directional bias.
Increasing volume during the recent price attempts at the resistance level indicates strong buying pressure, potentially aiding a breakout.
If the price fails to break above resistance, it could find support at $32.23.
Conclusion:
The upcoming move for INJUSDT hinges on its ability to overcome the all-time high resistance level. A successful breakout could lead to further gains, while a rejection might trigger a pullback towards the $32.23 support level.
This information is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
Next Nears All-Time High: Key Levels to WatchThe cryptocurrency Next is on the verge of breaking its all-time high (ATH) of $0.41390 on the weekly chart. If the price breaks above this resistance level, it could signal further gains for the token. However, if the price fails to break through this level, it could find support at $0.34618, the next key level is $0.31143.
Technical Analysis:
Resistance: $0.41390
Support: $0.34618
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 65
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): Bullish
Volume Analysis:
The volume of Next has been increasing steadily over the past few weeks, which is a bullish sign. This suggests that there is strong buying pressure behind the token.
Price Consolidation:
The price is currently in a small consolidation range. However, since the overall trend is bullish, there is a good chance that the price will break out of this range and continue its upward movement. The next support level is at $0.31143.
RSI Divergence:
There is a bullish divergence between the price and the RSI indicator. The price has made a new high, but the RSI has not. This suggests that the upward momentum is still strong and that the price is likely to continue to rise.
Conclusion:
The technical indicators for Next are bullish, suggesting that the price could continue to rise in the near future.
The information provided in this article is not intended as financial advice. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
AUDUSD Daily Analysis: Key Resistance Levels to WatchThe USD is facing a key resistance level at 0.64537. If this level is broken, the currency could fall to a monthly resistance level at 0.63403.
This week there are some important news events for the USD. These include:
The US Federal Reserve interest rate decision
The US non-farm payrolls report
The US trade balance report
These events could have a significant impact on the USD, so traders should be prepared for volatility.
Technical Analysis:
The USD is currently trading in a range between 0.64537 and 0.63403. The RSI indicator is nearing the overbought zone, which suggests that the currency may be due for a pullback.
Traders should watch for a break below the 0.63403 support level, as this could signal a further decline in the USD.
Conclusion:
The USD is facing a key resistance level at 0.64537. If this level is broken, the currency could fall to a monthly resistance level at 0.63403.
Always check the news before making any trades, as this week there are some important news events for the USD. These events could have a significant impact on the USD.
The information provided in this article is not intended as financial advice. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin Analysis: Correction or Continuation?📈✅Bitcoin is the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. It has been on a bullish trend since the beginning of the year.
🔍Bitcoin has broken out of the primary resistance at $30,750 and has started a new primary trend. The price is currently in a very important supply zone near the ATH and we can expect a correction or pullback.
🚀The ascending channel has been broken from above and the price is continuing its movement with a curved trendline. The target of the channel is between $85,000 and $90,000.
🛒If the price starts to correct from here, we can wait for confirmation of the price for buying in the ranges of $42,500 to $45,000 and $35,000 to $37,000.However, if the resistance at $69,000 is broken, we should wait for it to start correcting and enter the correction.
🗯The RSI oscillator is also in the overbought zone and is facing resistance at 88. It may come out of the overbought zone, however, if it can break its resistance, it can move up to 95, in which case the price is likely to hit the channel target.
📊In terms of volume, it has increased after breaking $30,750 and is confirming the trend.
💎If you have bought Bitcoin from the lower levels, I suggest you wait for it to react to the resistance and if it rejects and makes a heavy red candle, you can take profit. If the supply zone is also lost, you can still hold.
🧠💼 This is not financial advice, and it is only my personal opinion on this cryptocurrency. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
#Finnifty Trading Important levelsOn 15 Min Timeframe, FINNIFTY trading important levels. Time to wait for either breakout or Breakdown (reversal) for the Finnifty.
Breakdown Move
- Confirmation for breakdown will be if Finnifty starts trading and sustain below 21450 level
- Downside rally nearly 300 points expected in case of breakdown
- Intermediate support expected near 21250- level
- Short Trader can place there stop loss if finnifty starts trading above 21550 level
Breakout move
- Long side movement expected in case banknifty starts trading and sustain above 21550 level
- Above this level finnifty can go upto the 21880+ level.
- Intermediate resistance expected near 21750 level
- Long trader can place there stop loss if finnifty starts trading below 21450 level.