EUR/USD Analysis: Downward Momentum Holds as Dollar (USD) StrenOverall, EUR/USD is still maintaining a downward trend. EUR/USD has dropped to near the 1.0620 level at the beginning of the Asian trading session on Wednesday. This indicates the strength of the US Dollar compared to the Euro in recent times.
However, when looking at the technical charts, we can see some positive signals suggesting that the price may be preparing for a corrective phase. It is predicted that the price will test the SMA 20 area before it could bounce back and continue the downward trend.
Resistence
Technical Analysis: Gold Market Continues Upward TrendDespite the fluctuations, Gold has maintained a stable upward momentum due to the crisis and political tensions in the Middle East region.
Investors continue to bet on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in July, currently placing bets at around a 41% likelihood.
Based on technical analysis, the upward trend of Gold appears likely to continue. On the 4-hour chart, the price of Gold is supported by the SMA 20 line and technical indicators such as the RSI also show positive signals. This suggests that the Gold market may continue its upward trend in the near future, providing opportunities for investors.
Chart Analysis: Rising Risk of Gold Price DeclineOverall, the price of Gold is still maintaining its upward momentum. In the Asian trading session on Tuesday, the price of gold continued to rise below the $2,400 mark.
However, political tensions in the Middle East are gradually easing, and strong economic data from China could potentially slow down the pace of gold's ascent.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, we also see an increasing risk of decline. The support level of the Simple Moving Average SMA 20 is currently at $2,356, while longer-term SMAs are indicating a loss of some upward momentum. Predicted that if the price surpasses the SMA 20 level and continues to decline towards the support levels of SMA 50 and SMA 100, there is a possibility that the price of gold will start a significant downward trend.
Gold Prices Rise on Powell's Remarks Amid Middle East TensionsAt the end of Tuesday's US trading session, the price of gold rose higher by 0.22%, following Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's hawkish remarks. This provided a favorable momentum for gold's growth amid escalating political tensions between Iran and Israel.
Looking at the chart, it's evident that the price of gold is heading towards the target of 2,400 USD. Breaking through this threshold won't just mark a significant milestone but also present an opportunity for gold to surge further, with potential subsequent levels reaching 2,431 USD and 2,450 USD.
BNB/USDT 4HInterval ChartHello everyone, let's look at the 4H BNB to USDT chart, as we can see the price is approaching the lower border of the horizontal trend channel, which is located in the support zone from $517 to $486, while a break from the bottom of the channel and a drop below this zone can give a strong downward movement towards the support level of $396.
Looking the other way, if the declines were stopped, the price has several significant resistance levels. And here you can see the first resistance at $558, then the second one at $592, the third one at the last peak at $645, and then you can see the way towards $732.
Looking at the RSI indicator, there is still room for a greater recovery, while the STOCH indicator indicates that the lower limit has been exceeded and confirms the current price rebound.
Technical Analysis: Adjustment in USD/JPYUSD/JPY is still maintaining a strong upward trend, reflecting the strength of the USD against the Japanese Yen.
However, when looking at the chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates signs that the market is trading in overbought territory. This suggests that there is a possibility for USD/JPY to experience a correction or a price decrease before continuing its upward trajectory.
Therefore, investors may need to wait for a pullback or adjustment before making new investment decisions.
USD/JPY Maintains Strong Upward Trend Overal, USD/JPY is still maintaining a strong upward trend, reflecting the robustness of the US dollar against the Japanese yen.
However, upon looking at the chart, it shows that the price has declined and touched the Simple Moving Average SMA 50 below the 154.00 level. Touching this area may require some modest pullbacks before any further increases occur.
GBP/USD Volatility: Short-Term Upward PotentialThe British Pound continued its decline to $1.2410 USD as the UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported weak labor market data.
From a technical perspective, the GBP/USD pair remains supported in its downward trend, with expectations of further decline towards the round support level at $1.2400 USD.
However, there are positive signs when looking at the 4-hour chart, as prices are gradually adjusting and shifting towards a short-term upward trend. Anticipated that there will be a phase of increase towards the Simple Moving Average SMA 20, before a subsequent downward adjustment.
GBP/USD Stability and Future TrendsGBP/USD traded slightly lower on Tuesday, below the 1.2450 level during the early European trading session. Despite some minor fluctuations, overall, the GBP/USD pair maintains a downward trend. This stability is encouraging investors to proceed with caution when entering the market.
However, prices are gradually adjusting and expected to rise again. Yet, they still encounter resistance at the SMA 50 level. If prices surpass this barrier and advance towards the SMA 100 line, we may witness a strong upward momentum, unveiling new opportunities in the market.
The Potential for EUR/USD Price AppreciationEUR/USD continues to decline sharply, trading near the 1.0610 USD level during the Asian session on Tuesday. This downward trend is attributed to the strength of the USD, driven by strong signals of economic growth in the United States.
On the 1-hour chart, we can observe that the price is gradually rebounding after a period of steep decline. It is forecasted that the price will test the Simple Moving Average (SMA) 20. If the price continues to test above SMA 20 and then advances towards the resistance levels around SMA 50 and subsequently SMA 100, the strong recovery of the price could be the result of market reassessment of the economic and political situations of the involved countries.
EUR/USD Downtrend Intact, Signals Further DeclineThe EUR/USD pair continues to drop sharply, nearing the 1.0610 USD level during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. This decline is driven by the strong growth momentum of the USD, propelled by pressure from higher bond yields in the United States.
From a technical standpoint, the downtrend of EUR/USD remains firmly intact. On the 4-hour chart, the downward trend is still evident, supported by prices trading below the simple moving averages (SMA). Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has slipped below the 23 level, indicating an imbalance between buying and selling pressure and the potential for further decline
Analyzing Gold Prices in the Upcoming PeriodGold sideway around the $2,385 level in Tuesday's Asian trading session, with expectations of further rising to $2,400. However, diminishing political tensions in the Middle East and upbeat economic data from China are exerting downward pressure on gold prices. Therefore, the current trend is towards correction, possibly testing the SMA 20 area before resuming its upward trajectory.
ETH is in a loss phase againHello everyone, let's look at the 4H ETH to USDT chart, you can see how the price is moving in a downtrend channel, from which exiting at the bottom could result in a strong downward movement in the height of the channel itself.
Let's start by setting goals for the near future that we can include:
T1 = $3,327
T2 = $3,622
T3 = $4,104
AND
T4 = $4863 LONG TERM
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case of further market declines:
SL1 = $2,903
SL2 = $2580
SL3 = $2166
AND
SL3 = $2166
Looking at the RSI and STOCH indicators, we can see that there is still room to continue the current recovery.
Technical Analysis: Persistent Growth of USD/JPYThe USD/JPY currency pair continues to exhibit remarkable strength, rising to the level of 154.00. On the 4-hour chart, the price of this pair remains robustly above the simple moving averages (SMA), a clear indication of the continuation of the upward trend. However, it's important to remember that markets are always in flux, and corrections are inevitable. A minor correction may occur, possibly testing the SMA 20 area, before the USD/JPY resumes its strong growth trajectory.
Bitcoin Volatility Market AnalysisBitcoin (BTC) is currently experiencing a rather volatile period. Generally, the downward trend is still being maintained. However, it is noteworthy that the price of BTC is gradually adjusting and showing signs of resurgence.
Based on technical analysis, the 4-hour chart indicates that BTC may test the SMA 20 area in the near future. However, this does not guarantee that BTC will sustain this upward trend. After testing the SMA 20 area, the price may face strong downward pressure. Therefore, investors need to be cautious and closely monitor market fluctuations to make informed investment decisions.
Technical Outlook: USD/JPY's Surge USD/JPY surpassed the 154.00 level during Monday's U.S. trading session. On the 4-hour chart, technical indicators are strongly supportive of further price increases. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests that the market is overbought, which could lead to a short-term price correction before resuming its upward trend. While this may temporarily decrease prices, it also presents a buying opportunity for investors looking to join the uptrend.
GBP/USD is expected to undergo a short-term upward correction GBP/USD has recently experienced a period of lackluster recovery and has dropped below the 1.2450 USD. Overall, the price of the GBP/USD currency pair is maintaining a downward trend due to lingering political tensions from the Middle East countries.
Technical indicators also support this downward trend, bolstering its strength. However, prices are gradually correcting upwards and showing signs of testing the SMA 20 area in the near future.
Analyzing GBP/USD Volatility In the European trading session on Monday, the GBP/USD currency pair experienced a strong surge, pushing the price towards the 1.2500 level. This indicates that the US dollar has depreciated against the British pound.
On the 4-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has crossed above the 30 threshold, indicating that the GBP/USD is undergoing a corrective phase to recover and continue its upward momentum.
The downward trend of the GBP/USD could be attributed to various factors, including the economic and political situation in both the UK and the US, as well as global factors such as market volatility. Analyzing and evaluating these factors is crucial to achieving an effective and successful trading strategy.
Forecast EUR/USD to Recover in the Short TermThe EUR/USD pair is showing strength with a recovery above 1.0650 during the European trading session on Monday. However, it cannot be denied that the pair is facing downward pressure as the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) announce differing prospects for monetary policy.
Although the price continues to maintain a downtrend, this currency pair is encountering a challenge. This is evidenced by the price being in oversold territory, which is a positive sign of adjustment and a resurgence in upward movement. It is expected that the price will increase in the short term and touch the SMA 20 area before undergoing a sharp decline.
EUR/USD Trend Analysis in the Upcoming PeriodEUR/USD dropped below 1.0700 following the subdued remarks from ECB policy maker Stournaras, putting pressure on the Euro. The divergent policy outlooks between the ECB and the Fed have increased the downside risks for this currency pair.
Looking at the chart, the price is still maintaining a downward trend. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in oversold territory, indicating signs of a potential correction and subsequent rebound before a strong resumption of the downtrend.
Technical Analysis: Resilience and Adjustment Short-Term UptrendEUR/USD surged to nearly 1.0650 in the Asian trading session on Monday, rebounding from a low of 1.0622 reached last Friday. The US Dollar (USD) appreciated as buying pressure on the currency intensified amidst political instability, contributing to downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair.
From a technical standpoint, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below 30, indicating that EUR/USD is still in oversold territory, a strong signal of an impending short-term uptrend. The immediate target of this upward movement is the resistance zone near the SMA 20 at 1.0620, followed by further resistance levels at the SMA 50 and SMA 100 lines, positioned at 1.0790, before embarking on a more vigorous uptrend.
Gold Prices Surge Amid Geopolitical RisksGold prices attracted buying activity at the beginning of the week and held steady around the range of 2,431-2,432 USD, preventing a retreat. Iran's attack on Israel over the weekend not only pushed gold prices to new highs but also heightened market concerns. The US Dollar (USD), despite its weakness, continued to support the strong rise of gold.
Moreover, strong expectations regarding the Fed's first interest rate hike in September instead of June underscored the ongoing importance of inflationary pressures.
From a technical standpoint, on the 4-hour chart, gold prices continued to affirm their upward trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) surpassed the 50 threshold, setting the stage for a significant price increase in the near future.
Support and Resistance levelsSupport and resistance levels, the bedrock of technical analysis, are fundamental elements. They serve as critical points that delineate potential price movements and are pivotal in decision-making processes for traders and investors alike
The basis:
There are several fundamental concepts in trading that remain the same over a long period of time. Among them, the concepts of support and resistance levels stand out. When used correctly, support and resistance levels improve trading efficiency in financial markets.
Today we will delve deeper into these concepts.
Price behavior:
The fundamental principle of price behavior lies in the concept of supply and demand, governing the existence and operation of any market.
When demand outweighs supply, it prompts an upward push in prices, while in reverse circumstances, a decrease is observed. By identifying levels of supply and demand, traders significantly enhance their success rate.
A support level indicates a price range where strong buying positions are concentrated, typically defined by two minimum price points.
A resistance level, conversely, denotes a price range around which strong selling positions are clustered, often marked by two maximum price points.
It's important to note that support and resistance levels should not be viewed as precise lines. Prices may not necessarily adhere to these levels point by point; often, they may not even touch the level directly, sometimes piercing through it. This variability is normal, so these levels should be perceived more as zones of support and resistance. The width of these zones can vary, with the magnitude of dispersion dependent on the timeframe in which trading occurs. The higher the timeframe, the potentially broader the range of support and resistance levels.
Once again for strengthening:
Support and resistance levels represent specific price ranges on a chart (often represented by rectangles in my analysis) where the direction of price movement has historically changed. These ranges attract traders' attention because they provide clear points for setting stop losses and entering trades. In addition, these levels usually attract large buyers or sellers whose limit orders contribute to market dynamics.
Essentially, the level denotes the price area in the market where traders perceive the price to be either overpriced or underpriced, depending on the prevailing market conditions. Therefore, it is extremely important to closely monitor key levels where the role of support and resistance has changed or where significant price reversals have occurred.
Blending levels signify pivotal points on a price chart where price action can prompt a reversal in the opposite direction. In the presence of a robust trend, price movements may penetrate through these supply and demand levels, leading to potential shifts in direction. Such occurrences typically coincide with heightened transaction volumes. The interplay of price adjustments, heightened market activity, and trading volumes collectively influence market direction.
When resistance is breached and the price retraces to its previous level, there's a likelihood that bulls will once again push it upwards. Conversely, if the price retraces to the breached level after breaking through support, bears are likely to actively drive it downwards. Support and resistance levels can be identified as areas in the market where traders are more inclined to buy or sell, depending on current market conditions. This creates a zone of collision between buyers and sellers, often prompting the market to change its direction.
Retest:
A retest of a level refers to a brief return of the price to the breached support or resistance line for testing purposes. Following the retest, the price typically continues its movement in the direction of the breakout.
On higher time frames, support and resistance levels become more powerful:
It is important to observe the price action around levels:
If the price swiftly reverses from a level into the opposite trend, it indicates significant importance of that level.
If the price tests a specific area multiple times with minor retracements, it's likely that the level will eventually be breached.
Swing zones refer to areas where the price retraces to the previous pullback in either a downtrend or uptrend. In less robust trends, the price tends to return to the boundary of the previous correction before continuing its movement.
Of course, support and resistance are dynamic concepts that require constant attention and analysis as their meaning changes depending on prevailing market conditions. Moreover, it is critical to consider multiple confirmations such as volume analysis and breakouts to confirm the strength of these levels.
Thank you for your attention!