HOW TO TRADE WITH EMA STRATEGYExponential Moving Average Strategy
(Trading Rules – Sell Trade)
Our exponential moving average strategy is comprised of two elements. The first degree to capture a new trend is to use two exponential moving averages as an entry filter.
By using one moving average with a longer period and one with a shorter period, we automate the strategy. This removes any form of subjectivity from our trading process.
Step #1: Plot on your chart the 20 and 50 EMA
The first step is to properly set up our charts with the right moving averages. We can identify the EMA crossover at the later stage. The exponential moving average strategy uses the 20 and 50 periods EMA.
Most standard trading platforms come with default moving average indicators. It should not be a problem to locate the EMA either on your MT4 platform or Tradingview.
Step #2: Wait for the EMA crossover and for the price to trade below the 20 and 50 EMA.
The second rule of this moving average strategy is the need for the price to trade below both 20 and 50 EMA. Secondly, we need to wait for the EMA crossover, which will add weight to the bullish case.
We refer to the EMA crossover for a sell trade when the 20-EMA crosses below the 50-EMA.
By looking at the EMA crossover, we create an automatic buy and sell signals.
Since the market is prone to false breakouts, we need more evidence than a simple EMA crossover. At this stage, we don’t know if the bearish sentiment is strong enough to push the price further after we sell to make a profit.
To avoid the false breakout, we added a new confluence to support our view. This brings us to the next step of the strategy.
Step #3: Wait for the zone between 20 and 50 EMA to be tested once on a sell trade (twice on a buy trade) then look for selling opportunities.
The conviction behind this moving average strategy relies on multiple factors. After the EMA crossover happened, we need to exercise more patience. We will wait for one successive and successful retest of the zone between the 20 and 50 EMA on a sell order but twp retests on a buy order.
The two successful retests of the zone between 20 and 50 EMA give the market enough time to develop a trend on a buy order. However, because the market goes down much faster, we sell on the 1st retest of the zone between 20 and 50. After the EMA crossover happened. .
Never forget that no price is too high to buy in trading. And no price is too low to sell.
Note* When we refer to the “zone between 20 and 50EMA,” we actually don’t mean that the price needs to trade in the space between the two moving averages.
We just wanted to cover the whole price spectrum between the two EMAs. This is because the price will only briefly touch the shorter moving average (20-EMA). But this is still a successful retest.
Now, we still need to define where exactly we are going to buy. This brings us to the next step of the strategy.
Step #4: Sell at the market when we retest the zone between 20 and 50 EMA for the third time.
If the price successfully retests the zone between 20 and 50 EMA for the third time, we go ahead and sell at the market price. We now have enough evidence that the bearish momentum is strong to continue pushing this market lower.
Now, we still need to define where to place our protective stop loss and where to take profits. This brings us to the next step of the strategy.
Step #5: Place the protective Stop Los 20 pips above the 50 EMA
After the EMA crossover happened, and after we had two successive retests, we know the trend is down. As long as we trade below both exponential moving averages the trend remains intact.
In this regard, we place our protective stop loss 20 pips above the 50 EMA. We added a buffer of 20 pips because we understand we’re not living in a perfect world. The market is prone to do false breakouts.
Step #6: You pick your own TP strategy or Take Profit once we break and close above the 50-EMA
If we waited for the EMA crossover to happen on the other side, we would have given back some of the potential profits. We need to consider the fact that the exponential moving averages are a lagging indicator.
The exponential moving average formula used to plot our EMAs allow us to still take profits right at the time the market is about to reverse.
Note** The above was an example of a SELL trade. Use the same rules – but in reverse – for a BUY trade. However, because the market goes down much faster, we sell on the 1st retest of the zone between 20 and 50. After the EMA crossover happened.
The exponential moving average strategy is a classic example of how to construct a simple EMA crossover system. With this exponential moving average system, we’re not trying to predict the market. But rather to react to the current market condition which is a much better way to trade the market.
The advantage of our trading strategy stands in the exponential moving average formula. It plots a much smoother EMA that gives better entries and exits.
Retesting
Tentative Possible Completion of SPX WXY Corrective RetracementPre-called 2802 and saw it touch today. There is strong support on upper channel trendline; doubtful we will see retest of lower channel line, barring catastrophic geopolitics.
Expect more turbulence and consolidation at this level just above support in the 2810 - 2840 area for a week or so; eventually should breakout thru strong R at 2640.
This is not advice and Im not an advisor, it's purely an educational post. Good luck traders!
GBP/AUD Short Trading Setup GBP/AUD is seeing a much anticipated retracement after melting out of a series of consolidation ranges that kept price action in between since mid June. Subsequently this pair has created a new lower low before initiating this correction that is taking place which seems to be coming to a halt as we can see a bearish divergence on the H1. RSI illustrates that price is losing its momentum and as a result becoming exhausted during this short uptrend, which comes at a time where the 61.8 golden ratio fibonacci is approaching and price action seems to be retesting and rejecting the previous upwards channel which was formed on the D1 and broke out of last week. Also on the H4 a pin bar candlestick has been formed earlier on today following by a spinning top and pin bar on the hourly as well. These are all indicating towards a short position to be taken as we could see a reversal, hence a continuation of the overall downtrend for GBP/AUD.
The target for this trade setup would be around 150 pips taking it to the major support at 1.7400. Stop loss can be set at 75 pips giving this trade a 1:2 risk/reward. After this level is met, i do see GBP/AUD matching the previous low of 1.7300 and if this is breached, it may take this pair lower to the 1.7100 region.
[LTC-USD]DIPS-BULLISH REVERSAL IMMINENTLTC may be dipping down slightly more, attempting to finish its final correction leg at C. Then starting a new Elliot wave cycle. Bouncing back up between the 38.20 and 61.80 Fib Retracement level at 1.
It continues to struggle to break the $155 price mark, and hopefully on this 2nd wave it will push through that, making its way to $160 as predicted!
24 hr volume is $347,774,000 USD ...Overall since April 11th, for about 10 days, the OBV- On Balance Volume shows increasing buying volume. Taking a halt on April 21st, then leveling out for about 10 days or so as well. We need to see the OBV rise steadily again. LTC is staying 14 dollars above the 200 MA level. Decisively, in between the 50-100 MA seems to be the middle ground consolidation range for the next few days on LTC. If it breaks down and thru the heavy support of $141, then it will spell struggling trouble for LTC. Watch BTC since LTC does not run independently on its own!
Special Note: A falling wedge as you see on this TA indicates a Bullish Reversal Overall. I believe the price of LTC will bounce back up.
PS: This is not financial advice and only for education purposes. Perform your own TA!
If you learned even one thing, then like my TA and follow me to support my channel.
Thanks
CryptoBuzzAnalyst
Ngas short opportunity Outlook Ngas on Friday prices dropped in a downtrend (a bearish bias) through trendline support near Fibo 0.618 level which is now seen as Resistance at 2.92. Support is seen near 2.86 Fibo 1 level
As we can see on the 1hr Chart Momentum is bullish and technically I will be looking for a retest / pull back sell.!!
Have a nice weekend
HMC / Bearish Retest / Short-Strategy / Short-TermThis is a chart I made mapping out some Support/Resistance lines for HMC which is on a downward trend long-term. The Old Support / New Resistance candles, as well as Old Resistance / New Support candles, are all marked and match with a connection line displaying the correlation. There are 23"soon-to-be" bearish old support candles which I think will have bullish new resistance candles in the next 2-3 days.
Planning for a Bearish Retest Bounce (based on the 3 previous day black candles) so I can later short the stock. Thinking of entering STO at $27.80-ish area for the bounce and then exiting BTC at $27.50-ish, shorting the stock. I'm assuming this trade will take roughly 2-7 days based on previous data.
I'm extremely new to trading, just started learning June 25th, so please let me know what you think of the plan and if you have any ideas about what I could do differently or change. I am also open to ideas on PUT orders.
USDCAD Sell IdeaOn the W! chart, duplication of first bearish leg is expected. Price moving lower now after respecting the weekly channel..
On the D1 chart, price broke the uptrend line and duplication of first leg is expected.
On the H4 chart, we will be looking for the broken trend line to be retested and corrections towards the zone 1.3390 – 1.3440 which will provide us sell opportunities.
Protection above 1.3550.
Target 1 – Risk-Reward of 1:2.
NOTE – move the stop loss to break even, once the trade has risk:reward of 1:1.
Target 2 – 1.2890.
Target 3 – 1.2570.
EURAUD short trade idea 23-4-17A beginning downtrend started a few days ago, price broke through and bigger timeframe key level (red line), we see the first retest of the line. The idea is to get a second retest to the line and then break through the countertrend. Target would be the next key level 1.4111.
I will update this idea when price moves
NZDUSD: The Retesting of Two Big LevelsHey guys! NZDUSD has been retracing and it has retested a big trendline's resistance and the Double Top pattern that I found a few days earlier! This means it might be a good short should it rebound! Currently waiting for the 4H candlestick to show a rebound before I enter!
Good luck guys!
For those wanting to see the retracement happening on the Hourly chart:
Harmonics could helpIn this strong downtrend a broken structure to the downside became a resitence. Price is retesting this area which is also a Fib retracement level. Think this is a nice opportunity to sell and ride the move. As target 2 the use of harmonics (dashed red segment) could help to figure out where price should take a breath.