BTC Looking For A Possible Short Squeeze To HappenI know I've mentioned this many times now, but still... Either it happens from here, or maybe we have to grind a bit lower to shake retail investors and grab large orders between 42-45k area. In such situations price first moves up relatively fast into the capitulation area (54-58k), that presents a huge resistence right now, then it BTC continues to crash. It is also a low possibility, that we could just broke 42k from here and finish the crash then go into a retracement, but i highly doubt that. I still expect prices to fall into the 33-38k, depending on how laveraged BTC is or will get especially if we get that massive short squeeze. A lot of retail investors will get euphoric on the squeeze and will open over laveraged long positions right at the end of a squeeze. What comes next is a massive liquidation event largely because of over laveraged market.
I am not a financial advisor so non of this should be taken as a financial advise.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Retracement
Will Harmony repeat the last run?During the first run Harmony reached a 5100% increase and then retraced to 0.61 Fibonacci within a symmetrical triangle.
This led to a breakout of the triangle in a positive way by proposing a new run that led us to an increase of 459% .
It currently appears to be heading towards a retracement in the 0.61 Fibonacci area within what appears to be a new symmetrical triangle .
If it continues inside the triangle we could expect new All Time Highs between May and July 2022.
Otherwise, if it were to break the pattern, we could find ourselves facing a bear market period.
Fibonacci levels giving crazy levelsIf we do a fib retracement from ATH to the local bottom of 30K we can notice that the middle top is located a 0.38 fib level.
If we then do a second fib retracement but this time using the 40K local bottom and align the 0.38 with the ATH we can see that it's targeting 110K
I'm not betting my life on this analysis but it's interesting to see what would happen if it played out.
ETH Bullish And Bearish Scenario - ETH In The Gray Area Eth is at really hard place right now. As with BTC its market cap chart has already extended aver all major fibonacci extension levels (will show the chart later in the update of this idea). While i am confident that BTC has entered a bear market, i am a little less with ETH. Imo there are two scenarios for eth, one is bullish , the other one is bearish . Whatever scenario first happens i think in both the price will likely pump a bit to retest a previous capitulation point (blue area). After that we should fall with BTC . If ETH is able to find support in the yellow area we should be able to eventually set a new ath , but not go above 6k as eth is very overvalued as it is with BTC . If we don't hold and fall in to the orange area or even set a new low, you can be quite shore that also eth has entered a bear market and the money will flow from BTC and eth into the rest of the alts as they are going into a ABC retracement.
Again with BTC a am shore we are done, but not so much with eth as we need more information of the price in the near future.
BINANCE:ETHUSDT
BTC My Personal View Of The Price Action For Next Few MonthsI expect BTC to eventually fall through this orange rectangle price area, like it did right after setting the ATH at 69k. Retail investors still have a lot of hope that BTC price will somehow recover from here and that is not usually the sign that we've bottomed yet. After capitulation i expect the price to first reach 0.618 fib. retr. lvl., then have a bit of correction, only to recover to right about 0.702 fib. retr.
Obviously price will almost certainly behave differently than what i have shown on the charts. It is just how i visualise it at the moment.
Below in the update a will show how such ABC retracement happened after BTC reached its ath 2013/14 and 2017/2018.
I am not a financial advisor so non of this should be taken as a financial advise. Be well.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC Has Finished Its Bull Run with a $~69000 for 2021.In my previous ideas about BTC i specifically sad that in order for btc bull run to continue we must hold 53k so we don't invalidate 5 elliott waves . With the recent liquidation event falling to 42k we can now say that btc has entered a bear market. I don't think 42k is a bottom yet. We could very well drop further into a 35k area. After that if we start recovering, we can then assume btc has started a retracement, usually this happens in a ABC fashion to the .702 fib. retracement level that is extended over the ATH and the new low.
With the Altseason i expect laggers to lead the show like XRP, DASH, EOS, BCH, IOTA, and all that haven't had their rusn yet and are still very below their previous 2018 ATH.
If we see, (which is extremely likely) altcoins start popping like crazy as btc strats recovering it will further confirm btc is in the retracement and therefore in a bear market.
Just so you know, this expected ABC retracement for BTC could take quite a while, even up to a year. With that sad, i expect btc will re-visit 15-13k prices, or in a case of a stock market crash (which btc also have not experienced yet) we can go MUCH lower. Also bear markets are faaar harder to predict than bull ones.
I am not a financial advisor so non of this should be taken as a financial advise. Be well.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈US30 - Daily is bullish so I'm looking to trade the retracement before potential continuation, currently have bearish momentum and a nice shark that lines up perfectly with the .886 pullback (This zone also has lots of confluence for a HTF continuation.
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
Potential Shark Forming 🦈🦈USDCHF - Potential shark, looking to short against the trend with the Bias of an .886 pullback on the weekly TF completing this shark/filling imbalances/mitigating OB's before then looking for a potential bullish continuation.
Let me know your thoughts!?
** Disclaimer ***
These ideas I never trade until the end target with my initial lots, I focused on high probable entries with higher lots and use a specific partial taking strategy giving me a very high win rate and take most of my profits very early, I only leave a small % of my capital to run the entire trade. On the flip side im constantly monitoring LTF momentum and will close early if things change, these analysis's are for research purposes only.
$LCID Stock Trend IdeaThe price of $LCID is in a Strong Upward Channel. As we can see on this chart, my thesis is that this stock is in a healthy pullback to continue its upward path. My analysis suggests a solid purchase at or below the 38 percent Fib level for a swing trade in today's unpredictable market.
GOLD SCALPING TODAYas for now thats might happened for today but not for intraday as daily bullish sign already shown to create HNS (RIGHT SHOULDER)..trader might wanna do some scalping around this area or just ready to do sell at shoulder..thats all..feel free to leave your comment so i can improve more my technical analysis
FTM CORRECTION INCOMINGFTM has seen a lot of growth the past few months, however it is due for a correction.
Looking at the chart we can see price always retraced back to the .786 fib support after each impulsive wave,
should we get that same retracement, FTM will be on a discount price at just below $1
Coupled with the bearish Divergence it seems just about right to me.
Did the analysis on a 1D Timeframe originally but uploading the 1W chart to avoid cluster and improve visibility.
Hope this helps.
[GBPJPY Backtest] Missed sell opportunity of 120+ pips w/ notesI briefly analyzed GBPJPY last night and saw that we were in a consolidation zone but in a downtrend. I attempted to take an entry based on the overall downtrend and assumed that the market was going to retrace to the 78.6 on the overall structure and touch the trendline again before going back down. However I missed many of the details of the current market structure. I went back and analyzed the things that I missed plus added some notes to explain why market made that 120+ pip move.
I had the overall direction correct, however I missed key details that the market was showing me before making the trade.