Is it time to short the big banks with BNKD again?As shown on the 4H chart BNKD, a triple leveraged ETF inverse to big bank stocks has had
ups and downs reflecting the chaos in the banking system with some failures and federal support
or takeovers. Online banks are thriving while some smaller regional banks are challenged with
a portfolio of bonds and treasuries bearing low yields. Price is presently at the same level
as the high of December 22 and low of April 23. This level is acting as support also allowing for
a narrow stop loss for a long trade. Price is below the high volume area of the long term
volume profile which equates to the fair value area. Accordingly, BNKD is oversold and
discounted below fair value into the undervalued range. It is below the mean anchored VWAP
line and in the area of one standard deviation below that line. The zero-lag MACD shows an
early impending cross of the lines under the histogram another suggestion of a reversal
I will take a long trade with the stop loss directly below the horizontal support line by
$ 0.25 while the first target just below the confluence of the POC line and the mean VWAP
@ $.13.90 while the final target is $ 15.60 near the top of the high volume area. I see this
as a safe long trade with a high R:R and profit potential.
Reversal
Candlestick Mastery: Reading Price Action for Winning TradesIn the ever-evolving world of trading, mastering candlestick patterns and effectively interpreting price action can significantly enhance your ability to make winning trades. This trading idea aims to delve into the art of candlestick mastery, equipping traders with the knowledge and skills necessary to identify profitable opportunities in the market.
Objective:
The objective of this trading idea is to empower traders with a comprehensive understanding of candlestick patterns and their significance in analyzing price action. By leveraging these insights, traders can make informed decisions, enhance their risk management strategies, and improve their overall trading performance.
Key Components:
Candlestick Basics:
To build a strong foundation in candlestick trading, it is essential to understand the fundamentals of candlestick charts. Dive into the various types of candlestick patterns and their characteristics. Explore patterns such as doji, hammer, shooting star, engulfing patterns, and more. Learn how to interpret the different components of a candlestick, including the body, wicks, and their sizes. Understand the significance of bullish and bearish candlestick formations in identifying market sentiment and potential trend reversals.
Pattern Recognition:
Mastering pattern recognition is a crucial aspect of candlestick trading. Gain in-depth knowledge of bullish and bearish reversal patterns that can provide valuable entry or exit signals. Study patterns such as the hammer, engulfing patterns, harami, and more. These patterns indicate potential trend reversals and offer opportunities for profitable trades. Additionally, explore continuation patterns like the flag, pennant, and symmetrical triangle, which suggest the continuation of existing trends. Real-life examples and case studies can help reinforce your understanding and sharpen your ability to spot these patterns in real-time.
Price Action Analysis:
Integrating candlestick patterns with price action analysis is a powerful approach to trading. Learn how to incorporate other technical indicators and tools into your analysis to validate and enhance the accuracy of your candlestick signals. Understand the importance of support and resistance levels, trendlines, and moving averages as they relate to candlestick patterns. By analyzing price action in conjunction with candlestick formations, you can gain deeper insights into market dynamics and improve your decision-making process.
Risk Management Strategies:
Effective risk management is paramount to successful trading. Develop robust risk management strategies specifically tailored to candlestick trading. Learn how to set appropriate stop-loss levels based on the structure of candlestick patterns and the surrounding market conditions. Explore position sizing methods to optimize risk-reward ratios and protect your trading capital. By implementing disciplined risk management techniques, you can safeguard against potential losses and preserve your long-term profitability.
Backtesting and Paper Trading:
Put your knowledge into practice by conducting backtesting using historical market data. Use candlestick patterns and price action analysis to identify potential trade setups and simulate trade entries and exits. Evaluate the performance of your strategies over different market conditions and timeframes. Additionally, utilize paper trading or demo accounts to execute trades based on your analysis without risking real capital. This hands-on experience will help you refine your trading approach, gain confidence, and validate the effectiveness of your strategies.
Trade Execution and Management:
Develop a systematic approach to trade execution and management. Learn practical methods for entering trades based on candlestick patterns and price action analysis. Define clear entry and exit criteria, set profit targets, and employ trailing stops to maximize potential gains. Additionally, explore techniques such as scaling in or out of positions to adapt to changing market conditions. Effective trade management strategies will enable you to stay disciplined and minimize emotional decision-making, leading to improved trading outcomes.
Mastering candlestick patterns and effectively reading price action can significantly improve your trading outcomes. By honing your skills in these key components, you can gain a competitive edge and increase your chances of making winning trades in the financial markets.
Thank you for reading and feel free to share your progress, ask questions, and discuss your experiences in the comments section. Let's learn from each other and continue refining this strategy together. Best of luck on your trading journey!
Disclaimer: Trading carries a level of risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It is important to conduct thorough research, practice proper risk management, and consider personal circumstances before making any trading decisions.
ETH - Still Stuck 📦Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per my last analysis (attached on the chart), ETH rejected the lower bound of the flat rising broadening wedge and traded higher to reject the upper bound again.
🏹 As per my trading style , we will be trading the range UNLESS it is broken upward or downward.
📈 As ETH approaches the blue support again , we will be looking for short-term buy setups.
For the bulls to take over medium-term, we need a break above the red zone.
📉 In parallel , if as ETH approaches the red resistance, we will be looking for short-term sell setups.
And if ETH breaks below the blue zone, we will be expecting further bearish movement till the 1700 daily support.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
EURJPY - Strong Resistance 👌Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
EURJPY has been overall bullish trading inside the red rising broadening wedge pattern, however it is currently approaching the upper red trendline.
Moreover, the blue zone 150.0 is a strong round number.
🏹 So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the green resistance and upper red trendline. (acting as non-horizontal resistance)
As per my trading style:
As EURJPY approaches the upper purple circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
AUDUSD short this morningI decided that this pair is relatively close to retracing as the 30min moving average crossed over to the downside and a 30min trendline break. I placed a short order based on the false break close on the monthly resistance. The 4H turned out to be a shooting star at a key area. I believe that Buys are short term over. Now is the time to profit from shorts. Looking to catch the reversal. from Bullish to Bearish.
Is AUDNZD due for a reversal?AUDNZD as shown on the 15- minute chart is rising after the Australian central bank raised its
prime rate in keeping up with another global tightening. Since May 24th AUDNZD has risen 4%
in various legs with some consolidation but no downturns. ADUNZD may be due for a correction.
IT is shown here on the 15-minute chart along with the "Alpha Trend" indicator, the zero lag
MACD indicator and the visible range volume profile. AUDNZD is above the POC line
showing bullish buying pressure to have pushed it higher. However, on the MACD, the K/ D lines
are setting up a cross over the histogram which typically is a sell signal. AUDNZED may hae
had a decent trend up but could now be getting ready for a "reversion to the mean"
Because of this I will watch AUDNZD as a candidate for a short trade perhaps with a
retracement of 2% ( 1/2 of the trend up) over a period of several days.
EURAUD I Wait for rejection at supportWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURAUD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
USDCAD - Video Top-Down Analysis!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for USDCAD.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTCUSDT: Bullish Reversal Signal in progressJust a few moments ago, the price of BTCUSDT exhibited an fast movement down within the 25000-25800 zone, setting the stage for a compelling BUY opportunity (As I said in my previous idea)
What caught my attention is the chart's depiction of a significant shift in price momentum. Take a look at the bottom purple-colored moving average (MA) line—it hits the last candle. This alignment hints at an imminent reversal in the ongoing downtrend, signaling a potentially powerful bullish surge.
However, the real fireworks will commence when the purple line will cross the blue one. This event will serve as the catalyst for a definitive shift in the market sentiment, further solidifying our bullish stance. before that, the price will range near the 25000-25800 zone.
With all these factors falling into place, we have a good scenario to enter a truly bullish period. And in my humble opinion I don't think the price will descend below the 25K mark, as mentioned in my previous idea post. Brace yourselves for the Bulls to seize control and propel us towards the exciting 40K+ territory.
Remember, trading always carries some level of risk, so ensure you implement proper risk management strategies.
Disclaimer: This analysis is solely based on my personal observations and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your thorough analysis and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Food Gaint Kroger reverses from a trend downKR has an overall fairly narrow trading range. On this 4H chart, it is presently in a symmetrical
triangle or slowly rising wedge. Earnings beats have been respectable. KR reversed on June 1
at the trending support line and is heading toward overhead resistance. Just before that upper
resistance trendline is the POC line of the high volume area of the profile where high volatility
and increased trading could result in a bounce and fall. Confirmation is found in the zero-lag
MACD indicator which shows a K /D line cross under the histogram.
I will take a long trade on KR (reversion to the mean) with the stop loss at that pivot low on
June 1st and the target a nickel below the POC line at 48.95. I see this as a low-risk and low
reward trade which may also be the basis for adding a low risk call options trade to the
options portfolio.
Does SPY want a correction? Maybe not but it will get one.SPY has had a good run this spring. However, things are changing. Just this week, the debt \
ceiling got raised. The fed will be auctioning large amounts of treasuries to pay bills. This is
money that will not go into the equities markets. Buying volume on a dollar basis will likely go
down as a consequence.
On the daily chart with a double Bollinger Band setup, SPY is more overbought than ever.
The part of the body of the last candle of this past week went outside of both the inner and
outer bands. Looking back this has not occurred in well over a year. Candle wicks did go
outside the bands in late October 22 and mid-December 22. On lower time-frames SPY
has already pulled back into the Bollinger Bands and begun a reversal. I believe that
many traders will take their profits off the table and take another look at bonds and treasuries.
ETFs like TLT and TMF may see significant inflows no matter for stocks in general may not.
I see this as a SPY pullback or correction upcoming for which to take a short trade.
I will look at SPY and QQQ put options with very short DTEs as well as call options on SQQQ.
For stock purchases, I might go with the ETFs SPXS and SPXU. The simple and basic analysis is
their chart shows price candles partially below the lower Bollinger Bands, the inverse of
the SPY. They are oversold and accordingly available for purchase at a discount.
Is DISH ready to dish out some profits?On the weekly chart, DISH has been in a steady decline for over a year and is now on sale for
20% of the asking price a year ago. It is sitting on the long term support zone and has passed
over the POC line of the volume profile putting buyers in control. The red doji candle followed
by the green doji candle is the capitulation of the bottom. Volume in 2023 has steadily and
persistently grown compared with 2022. The accumulation/distribution curve slope has
finally approached zero to suggest a price action reversal
. I will take a long trade early and beon the leading edge of the uptrend after noting a 15%
breakout to kick off the month of June.
NZD-USD|POSSIBLE TREND REVERSAL| LONG SETUP|ONE HOURThe current technical analysis of the NZD-USD currency trading pair reveals an DECREASING trend that has been shaping from last few hours. However, there is also an indication of BULLISH divergence, suggesting that the bearish momentum may be losing its momentum.
Looking at the charts, we can see that the price of NZD-USD has been steadily FALLING forming Lower Highs and Lower Lows, indicating a clear down trend.
However, there is a notable bullish divergence pattern emerging, indicating that the bearish momentum may be losing steam. While the price of NZD-USD has been decreasing, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been showing a upward. This divergence between the price and the RSI suggests that the price may be oversold and due for a correction.
Considering all the technical indicators, it appears that the NZD-USD currency trading pair may take the bullish movement from the ENTRY PRICE mentioned in the chart. Thus, it can be an opportunity for a LONG TRADE if it breaks the ENTRY PRICE.
EURGBP - Strong Support Ahead ↗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
EURGBP has been overall bearish trading inside the falling channel in orange, and it is now approaching the lower trendline in orange.
Moreover, the zone 0.855 is a support zone .
🏹 So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue support and lower orange trendline.
As per my trading style:
As EURGBP is sitting around the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
All Eyes On Litecoin 👀Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
LTC has been stuck inside a range between 80.0 and 100.0
📈 For the bulls to take over from a MACRO perspective, we need a weekly candle close above 100.0
In this case, a movement till the 150.0 would be expected.
📉 Meanwhile , If we break below 80.0 and lower orange trendline, we will expect further bearish movement.
Which scenario is more likely to happen next? and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Long Scalp on ETHAfter the daily made a bearish push to the downside I wanted to see how price reacted to the 38.2 prz level. on the 4H, a hammer on top of the 38.2 fib as well as support. Breaking things down to a lower timeframe I had a correction trendline drawn from the latest swing highs. Price had broken the correction trendline and began up trending on the 15min and 30min chart so i bought with my stop loss being below the 30min low. take profit at -27.% from that 38%.
GBPAUD I Approaching supply zone where it may fallWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPAUD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
BTC - The Road Not Taken 🛣Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per my last BTC analysis (attached on the chart), we were expecting a short-term bullish movement till the upper orange trendline before we get one more deep bearish dive till the 25,000 zone.
📈 Now BTC is sitting around that the upper orange trendline.
For the bulls to remain in control , and invalidate that bearish trend / channel, we need a momentum H4 candle close above the upper orange trendline.
Meanwhile , the bears can still kick in; and the confirmation would be by breaking below the previous highs (in red) downward again.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen next? and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
I might buy this minor uptrend but GOLD IS BEARISHGold is coming off of lower low after lower low on all major timeframes so its not surprise that my first bias is bearish. However, when it comes to intraday trading, momentum is important for swings in the market and the difference between volatility or consolidation while profits float. I'm going to take this opportunity to buy gold if a structural higher high is formed since my immediate correction trendline has already been broken. Any buys are short term countertrend moves as the winning team is currently the bears. The neckline of the daily double top and retest of weekly resistance will not go unnoticed.
Don't be fooled by reversal candlesticks this pair BULLISHUSDJPY may be slowing down in pertaining to bullish momentum, but a few other things need to happen for a short. A correction trendline has already been broken which is the first sign. The following must occur on the intraday 4H timeframe for me to short. I need to see a Lower low along with the moving average crossover to the downside. then a retest to the neckline and providing indecisiveness and volatility on the 1H. My first target for any shorts will be the major 38.2 PRZ level. Because this pair is massively bullish, all targets for buys are locked in at -27% then then next daily resistance since price is creating record highs.
AU providing a hint for a reversalAUDUSD is currently at its lowest point since breaking out of consolidation on last week. This week it may look to re-test the bottom of the range or the neckline of a confirmed double top bearish reversal pattern. However, the case, this pair is overall bearish. The big move will come from a short. I've noticed that its currently trading around the weekly support and has performed a higher high, would be a trendline break if price wasn't moving so fast but the moving average has already crossed to the upside. If that low holds as support, I'll look to buy to the 38.2 Price reversal zone (PRZ).
Potential for a key monthly reversal on GoldGold needs to go back on to your radar, not only has the market halted at the major resistance 2070/91 (2022 high, top of the 12-year up channel AND Fib extension) BUT it is threatening to chart a key monthly reversal.
Should we see a monthly CLOSE below last month's low of 1949 this will be a key month reversal. For a likely top, these happen when a market trades higher than the previous months high BUT closes lower than the previous months low.
You might want to tighten up stops or at the very least keep a close eye on this market.
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