Solana - Here Comes The Bullish Reversal!Solana ( CRYPTO:SOLUSD ) might head for new all time highs:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just a couple of months ago, Solana perfectly retested the previous all time high and created an expected short term rejection. However, with the current major support area and a potential bullish reversal, Solana remains in a strong market, potentially heading for new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $120, $250
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Reversalpattern
Tesla - This Is Actually Not Gambling!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) still looks quite bullish:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just a couple of weeks ago I published a bunch of analysis, explaining all the reasons for a potential -40% drop on Tesla. However on the higher timeframe, Tesla still looks quite strong and with the bullish break and retest playing out so far, we could even see new all time highs soon.
Levels to watch: $260, $400
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Head and Shoulders Pattern: Advanced Analysis for Beginners█ Head and Shoulders Pattern: Advanced Analysis for Beginners
The Head and Shoulders pattern is one of the most widely recognized and reliable patterns in technical analysis. And today, I am going to teach you how to use it as efficiently as an experienced trader would.
Learning to spot and trade this pattern can be a great asset in your tool belt —whether you’re trading stocks, forex, or cryptocurrencies.
The Head and Shoulders is a well-known reversal pattern in technical analysis that signals a potential trend change.
⚪ It consists of three peaks:
The Left Shoulder: A peak followed by a decline.
The Head: A higher peak formed after the left shoulder, followed by a decline.
The Right Shoulder: A smaller peak resembling the left shoulder, followed by another decline.
When these peaks form in a specific order and the price breaks below the neckline (the line connecting the two troughs between the shoulders), it indicates a bearish reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend.
█ What about Bullish reversals? Don’t worry — there's good news!
Conversely, the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forms at the bottom of a downtrend and signals a potential reversal to the upside. By recognizing the pattern early, you can position yourself for a high-probability trade with a clear entry and exit strategy.
█ How to Identify a Head and Shoulders Pattern?
I truly believe the best way to learn any trading strategy is to keep it simple, away from the “technical” jargon unless absolutely necessary. We’ll do the same with this strategy.
Despite its varied usage, you can break it down into four simple steps:
1. Look for the Left Shoulder
The first part of the pattern forms when the price rises , creating a peak. Then, it declines back down to form the trough . This creates the Left Shoulder of the pattern.
Example: If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) rises from $85,000 to $90,000, and then declines to $87,500. This is your Left Shoulder.
2. Spot the Head
The second part of the pattern is the Head . After the Left Shoulder, the price rises again , but this time, it forms a higher peak than the Left Shoulder. The price then declines again, creating a second trough .
Example: Continuing with Bitcoin, after the price dropped to $87,500, it rises to a new high of $95,000 before dropping back to around $90,000. This $95,000 peak is the Head, which is higher than the Left Shoulder.
3. Find the Right Shoulder
After the decline from the Head, the price rises again, but this time, the peak should be smaller than the Head, forming the Right Shoulder . The price then starts declining again, and this is where the neckline is formed (connecting the two troughs).
Example: Bitcoin then rises from $90,000 to $92,000 (lower than the $95,000 peak). This forms the Right Shoulder, and the price starts to decline from there.
4. Draw the Neckline
The neckline is drawn by connecting the lows (troughs) between the Left Shoulder and the Head, and between the Head and the Right Shoulder. This is your key reference level.
█ How to Trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern
Once you've spotted the Head and Shoulders pattern on your chart, it’s time to trade it. And yes, it did need a separate section of its own. This is where most amateur traders mess up - the finish line.
1. Wait for the Neckline Breakout
The most crucial part of the Head and Shoulders pattern is the neckline breakout . This is when the price breaks below the neckline, signaling the start of the trend reversal.
Example: After the price rises to form the Right Shoulder at $92,000, Bitcoin then drops below the neckline (around $90,000). This is the confirmation that the pattern is complete. The price of BTCUSD is likely to continue downward past the 90k mark.
2. Enter the Trade
Once the price breaks below the neckline, enter a short position (for a bearish Head and Shoulders pattern). This is your signal that the market is reversing from an uptrend to a downtrend.
3. Set Your Stop Loss
Your stop loss should be placed just above the right shoulder for a bearish Head and Shoulders pattern . This makes sure you are protected in case the pattern fails and the price reverses back upward.
Example: Place your stop loss at around $93,000 (just above the Right Shoulder at $92,000) on BTCUSD.
You can also try one of these strategies I have used in the past:
⚪ Conservative Stop: Place the stop above the head (for bearish H&S) or below the head (for bullish iH&S) for maximum safety.
⚪ Aggressive Stop: Place the stop above the right shoulder (for bearish H&S) or below the right shoulder (for bullish iH&S) to reduce your stop size.
⚪ Neckline Reclaim Invalidation: Exit the trade if the price reclaims the neckline after breaking it. This could be an indication of a false positive/invalid pattern.
4. Set Your Profit Target
To calculate your profit target, measure the distance from the top of the Head to the neckline and project that distance downward from the breakout point.
Example: The distance from the Head at $95,000 to the neckline at $90,000 is $5,000. So, after the price breaks the neckline, project that $5,000 downward from the breakout point ($89,800), which gives you a target of $84,800.
5. Monitor the Trade
We’re in the home stretch now, people. This is the 9th inning.
There’s only one job left: keeping an eye on any retests or contrarian moves.
As the price moves in your favor, you can scale out or move your stop loss to break even to lock in profits.
█ What makes H&S strategy an all-time classic?
It’s simple. It works.
This pattern works because it reflects a shift in market sentiment:
In a Head and Shoulders pattern , the uptrend slows down as the market struggles to make new highs, and then the price ultimately breaks down, signaling that the bulls have lost control.
In an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern , the downtrend weakens as the market fails to make new lows, and the price breaks upwards, signaling a bullish reversal.
⚪ Here are a few points to remember as a cheatsheet for Head and Shoulders patterns:
Wait for the neckline breakout to confirm the pattern.
Set a stop loss above the right shoulder for protection.
Project the price target using the height of the head for a realistic profit goal.
Always monitor the trade for any signs of reversal or false breakouts.
Mastering this pattern can be a game-changer for any trader, but like any tool, it’s only effective when combined with other indicators, strategies, and a solid risk management plan.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Google - Fantastic Bullish Break And Retest!Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) just looks amazing:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For more than a decade, Google has been trading in a rising channel formation, perfectly respecting all market structure. Now, Google is about to retest the previous all time high once again and with a sharp correction of about -25%, this offers a significant bullish reversal setup.
Levels to watch: $150
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Dow Jones - Value Is The King Of 2025!Dow Jones ( TVC:DJI ) withstands all bearish struggles:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
All major U.S. indices have been weakening lately but the Dow Jones is clearly the strongest of all. It seems like big institutions are shifting back to value stocks and therefore the Dow Jones remains very strong. Looking at technicals, this trend is rather likely to continue during 2025.
Levels to watch: $40.000, $50.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
$BTC Not Out Of The Weeds Yet - Must Break $84kIf CRYPTOCAP:BTC can break back above ~$84k then we could continue to follow my OG setup (yellow) and rip,
but since PA dumped slightly below the 50WMA it technically invalidated my inverse h & s idea.
A rejection of $84k would dump us back to ~$78k to form the right shoulder (red) and complete the setup.
nonetheless, i believe we've seen the bottom 👋
Amd - The One And Only Setup For 2025!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) shifts to a very bullish market:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Perfectly following previous cycles, Amd corrected about -60% over the past couple of months. However now we are seeing some first bullish signs at a major confluence of support. If we actually also witness bullish confirmation, an incredible rally of about +200% could follow.
Levels to watch: $100, $300
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Intel - This Stock Is A Goldmine!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) perfectly respects all structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of years Intel clearly established a significant downtrend, dropping about -70% after we saw the previous all time high. This bearish pressure is now ending though and if Intel manages to create a bullish reversal break and retest, a new uptrend is starting to form.
Levels to watch: $25
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
"Gold Approaching Key Support – Will Bulls Take Control?"🔹 Market Structure:
Gold is currently in a corrective phase after a strong bullish run, facing a pullback from recent highs around $3,160. The price has now approached a key horizontal support zone near $2,980 - $3,020.
🔹 Key Levels:
✅ Resistance: ~$3,160 (previous high)
✅ Horizontal Support: ~$2,980 - $3,020 (marked in blue)
✅ Target Level: ~$3,099 (potential bounce area)
🔹 Potential Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish Reversal: If the price finds support in the marked zone and forms bullish confirmation (e.g., hammer candle, bullish engulfing), we could see a retest of $3,099 and potentially higher levels.
2️⃣ Breakdown Scenario: If support fails, gold may see further downside towards $2,950 or lower.
🔹 Trading Plan:
📈 Buy Setup: Look for bullish confirmation near support (~$3,020) with a target of $3,099 - $3,120.
📉 Sell Setup: If support breaks, short positions could target $2,950 - $2,920.
🔸 Bias: Bullish above support, bearish below it.
🔸 Risk Management: Use a stop-loss below support (~$2,980) to manage risk.
Would you like me to refine this further or add any indicators like RSI, Moving Averages, etc.? 🚀
Reversal Trade - Godfrey PhilipGodfrey Philip
This stock is forming good Weekly Tighter Close. Let's wait & check out how it behaves this week.
17 Feb Week Rejection is alarming.
No follow through to that rejection in last week. This week is defending last weekly low so far.
Highly Risky Trade, Rs.600, I am targeting 10% i.e. 24 Feb 25 Weekly High.
This is not a Buy Reco, Do your own Diligence. This is purely for educational purpose.
USDCAD Trade Idea (1H Chart Analysis)**USDCAD Trade Idea (1H Chart Analysis)**
**Market Structure:**
- The price is in a **downtrend** on the 1H chart, with lower highs and lower lows forming.
- It is currently testing a **key support level** around **1.4350**.
- The **50 EMA (black line) is above the price**, confirming bearish momentum.
- The recent candles show **decreasing volume**, indicating possible consolidation before the next move.
**Trade Plan**
**Scenario 1: Bearish Breakdown (Sell Trade)**
📉 **Entry:** Below **1.4350**, after a strong bearish candle closes.
🎯 **Target 1:** **1.4320** (previous minor support)
🎯 **Target 2:** **1.4280** (stronger support zone)
🛑 **Stop Loss:** **1.4375** (above recent lower high)
📊 **Risk-to-Reward Ratio:** 1:2 or better
**Confirmation:** If price breaks 1.4350 with strong volume, it signals continuation of the downtrend.
**Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal (Buy Trade)**
📈 **Entry:** If price **bounces from 1.4350** and forms a strong bullish engulfing candle.
🎯 **Target 1:** **1.4395** (previous resistance)
🎯 **Target 2:** **1.4415-1.4420** (major resistance zone)
🛑 **Stop Loss:** **1.4335** (below recent low)
📊 **Risk-to-Reward Ratio:** 1:2
**Confirmation:** A strong rejection from 1.4350 with bullish volume indicates potential reversal.
**Final Thoughts**
- **Bias:** Bearish unless we see a clear reversal signal at 1.4350.
- **Watch for a breakout or bounce at key levels before entering.**
- **Always use risk management** – never risk more than 1-2% per trade!
Diamond Pattern Trading: How to Spot and Trade This SignalSome patterns scream for attention, while others sneak up on traders who aren’t looking closely. The diamond pattern is one of those sneaky ones—a formation that hints at a brewing reversal but requires a sharp eye to catch. Let’s dive into what this pattern looks like, how it forms, and the best strategies for effectively trading diamond top patterns and diamond bottom patterns.
What Is a Diamond Pattern?
The diamond pattern is a reversal chart pattern that occurs after a strong trend, indicating a potential shift in market direction. It forms when price action expands and then contracts, creating a shape that resembles a diamond.
This pattern is rare compared to triangles or head and shoulders formations, but it often signals significant price moves when it appears. There are two types of diamond patterns:
Diamond Top Pattern – A 🐻 Reversal Pattern That Appears After an Uptrend.
Diamond Bottom Pattern – A 🐂 Reversal Pattern That Forms After a Downtrend.
These patterns can help traders identify potential turning points and prepare for a change in trend.
How to Identify a Diamond Pattern in Trading?
To spot a diamond pattern trading setup, look for the following characteristics:
Broadening Formation: The price action initially expands, creating higher highs and lower lows.
Narrowing Structure: After the expansion, the price contracts, forming lower highs and higher lows.
Symmetrical Shape: When trendlines are drawn connecting the highs and lows, they create a diamond shape.
Breakout Point: The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks out of the structure, either to the upside or downside.
While it might resemble a diamond quilt pattern or diamond tile pattern on the chart, the key difference is its role as a market reversal signal.
Diamond Top Pattern: Bearish Reversal
A diamond top pattern forms at the peak of an uptrend and signals that bullish momentum is weakening. Traders often look for a downside breakout to confirm the reversal.
How to Trade a Diamond Top Pattern:
Identify the diamond formation after a strong uptrend.
Wait for a breakout below the lower trendline with increased volume.
Enter a short position once the breakout is confirmed.
Set a stop-loss above the recent high.
Target price: Measure the height of the pattern and project it downward.
This pattern suggests buyers are losing control, and a downtrend will likely follow.
Diamond Bottom Pattern: Bullish Reversal
A diamond bottom pattern appears at the end of a downtrend, indicating a potential shift to bullish momentum.
How to Trade a Diamond Bottom Pattern:
Identify the diamond shape forming after a downtrend.
Wait for an upside breakout above the upper trendline with strong volume.
Enter a long position once the breakout is confirmed.
Set a stop-loss below the recent low.
Target price: Measure the pattern’s height and project it upward.
This pattern signals that selling pressure decreases, and buyers may take control.
Why the Diamond Pattern Is Important for Traders
Reliable Reversal Signal. The diamond pattern trading setup strongly indicates trend reversals.
Clear Entry and Exit Points. Well-defined breakout levels make risk management easier.
Works in Different Markets. Whether trading stocks, forex, or crypto, the diamond pattern remains effective.
Final Thoughts
The diamond pattern is a rare but powerful tool that can help traders confidently spot trend reversals. Whether you’re trading a diamond top pattern for bearish setups or a diamond bottom pattern for bullish breakouts, understanding this formation can give you an edge in the market.
So, traders, have you spotted a diamond pattern trading setup recently? Share your experiences and strategies in the comments!
Different Types of W Patterns and How to Trade ThemHello dear KIU_COIN family 🐺 .
Recently, I decided to provide some educational content for you, my dear audience, and introduce some essential and basic trading terms.
Here’s what you should know: In these lessons, we will cover three different seasons:
🔹 Season 1: Reversal and continuation patterns.
🔹 Season 2: How to use RSI and other indicators to find good entry points.
🔹 Season 3: Definitions of Fibonacci and seasonality in trading.
Stay tuned for valuable insights! 🚀
✅ For the first section of 🔹 Season 1 , I’ll be covering W patterns— a well-known bullish reversal pattern :
As you can see in the chart above, we usually have three types of W recovery patterns , which are the most important ones for us. However, in this section, we just want to get a general understanding of them. In the upcoming section, we will learn how to trade them and explore how they actually appear on the chart and the story behind them !
✅ This is the first and most common type of W pattern:
✅ This is the second type of W pattern:
✅ This is the third type of W pattern:
Ok, guys; I think this is enough for today, and I hope you enjoyed this educational content. However, don't forget to ask your questions below and support me with your likes and follows for more of this content. 🐺🔥
NVIDIA (NVDA) - Failed Bear Flag, Bullish Reversal in Play📉 Failed Bear Flag Pattern
NVDA initially formed a bear flag, with a strong downward flagpole followed by consolidation in an upward-sloping channel. However, instead of breaking down as expected, the price reversed at the lower boundary, signaling bulls absorbing selling pressure.
📈 Breakout Potential
The recent impulse move out of the flag formation aligns with a Wave 1 breakout, confirming a potential bullish trend. If the Wave 2 retracement holds above previous lows, NVDA could see a strong Wave 3 rally towards $130-$140.
🔍 Key Resistance & Confirmation Levels
Immediate resistance around $122-$124 (previous highs & bear flag upper boundary). A break above $124 with volume could trigger further bullish momentum. Downside risk remains if NVDA re-enters the bear flag below $115.
🚀 Bullish Bias Unless Invalidated
Given the failed bear flag breakdown and Elliott Wave structure, the bias shifts bullish towards higher highs. Watch for strong follow-through on Wave 3 to confirm this setup.
📊 Trade Plan:
Entry: On pullbacks above $118-$120
Target: $130-$145
Stop: Below $115
💡 Let me know your thoughts! Do you agree with this bullish outlook?
Don't forget,
Patience is Paramount.
NVDA Topping PatternUnlike the previous call, I made in NVDA that was corrective.
This double-top pattern is signaling a reversal pattern.
From a trading perspective, this is a great risk/reward setup that is relatively simple. A CRACK! here will likely lead to at least the right side filling, with the potential deeper pullback (reversal)
If on the other hand, it pops above recent highs then no trade or an easy stop out.
As you all know I don't do targets, I think they are silly and only used to pretend one has such insight not only can they call the move but also a "target" too. Yeah well, I'll leave that to the "experts" ;)
Bulls don't be a dick for tick.
Shorts take some early profits to improve cost basis but let this one ride!
"Ronin (RON) Gearing Up for a Massive Reversal – $10 in Sight?" The chart of Ronin (RON/USD) shows key technical levels and indicators suggesting a potential reversal from the current order block zone. Here's a structured analysis:
1. Current Market Structure & Order Block Potential
Price: $1.619 (as per the chart)
Support Zone: Around $1.50–$1.60, marked by a blue order block, indicating a potential demand area.
Resistance Levels:
$2.00 (200 EMA resistance)
$2.50 (previous liquidity zone)
$3.50 & $4.50 (major resistance levels)
Above $4.50, the price could experience strong upside momentum towards $8 or even $10.
2. Moving Averages (EMA)
50 EMA (yellow) at $1.833: Currently acting as resistance.
200 EMA (pink) at $2.005: A crucial breakout level for confirming a bullish reversal.
3. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
Current RSI: ~39.78 (neutral to slightly bearish).
Oversold Region (~30 RSI) is close, suggesting a potential bounce.
Confirmation: RSI crossing above 50 will signal strength in momentum.
4. Key Triggers for Bullish Reversal
✅ Rebound from the current order block (~$1.50–$1.60)
✅ Break and hold above 50 EMA ($1.83) and 200 EMA ($2.00)
✅ Volume increase to confirm buying interest
✅ RSI pushing above 50-60 range
5. Potential Targets & Pathway
1️⃣ Short-term target: $2.00 (EMA 200 resistance)
2️⃣ Mid-term: $2.50 and $3.50 (historical liquidity zones)
3️⃣ Long-term: $4.50 (breakout level, unlocking $8–$10 potential)
Final Thoughts
If the order block holds, we could see a bullish reversal leading to higher highs.
A break below $1.50 may invalidate this setup, leading to a bearish continuation.
Volume confirmation and market sentiment will play a key role.
ON Semi is fundamentally undervalued and ready for a reversalTechnical View
NASDAQ:ON ON bounce off from a bigger support area from 2022 at around $53 building an ascending triangle. We have a gap above our current price (which can function as a magnet for the stock price). A smaller resistance at $60 might be our first target and the bigger resistance at $77 could be our final target resulting in 36% ROI. The trade would be invalidated below $50. Since this is a bigger swing trade, I would not put my SL to close to the current stock price. If you’re interested why this is a mid- to long-term swing trade read the fundamental information below.
Support Zones
$50-53
Target Zones
$60
$77
Fundamental View
ON Semiconductor concluded the third quarter of 2024 with revenue amounting to $1,762 million, reflecting a 2% increase from the second quarter but a -19.2% year-over-year decline. Nevertheless, the revenue for the quarter exceeded the consensus estimate by 0.70%. The most significant revenue losses were observed in the industrial end-market, with figures reaching $439.90 million compared to the average estimate of $464.97 million, marking a -28.6% decrease.
The gross margin experienced a 2% improvement, now constituting 45.4% of total revenue. Looking ahead, the acquisition of GlobalFoundries’ New York plant is anticipated to enhance the company's chip production capabilities. This facility is expected to maintain consistent production costs while simultaneously increasing production efficiency, in anticipation of a future rise in demand.
The stock has decreased by 11.26% on a year-to-date basis, with a reported trailing twelve months (TTM) earnings per share (EPS) of $4.03. Management has reported having over $1 billion in free cash flow and plans, according to Barron’s, to utilize half of each quarter’s cash flow to repurchase shares under onsemi’s Share Repurchase Program. The reduction in investments will contribute to increasing free cash flow margins, thereby reinforcing OnSemi’s objective of returning 50% of free cash flow to investors. This, combined with a projected slight improvement in sales growth and profitability, is expected to elevate EPS to $7.11 by 2027.
Currently, the company's valuation appears reasonable, trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.49, which is lower than 90% of the time over the past five years and significantly beneath the S&P 500 P/E ratio as well as the industry median P/E of 25.4. Based on analysts' projections for EPS and maintaining a steady P/E ratio, the company is anticipated to reach a price of $95.91 within the next two years. While this scenario may seem overly optimistic, it is evident that the market is currently undervaluing the stock, especially when compared to its main competitors, such as Texas Instruments and Analog Devices.
Since EV is a superior trend I don’t think Trumps political decision will have an impact. In addition, “Vice President” Musk has a, let’s say, not so little interest in selling more EVs.
LXRX PENNY BIOTECH SHORT SETUPNASDAQ:LXRX
LXRX has gained over 100% in the past month
However it appears to be forming a double top
in a potential short trade setup on the two hour chart.
The K/D crossover on the hot RSI oscillator provides
confirmation.
Short Sale Volume is rising in the past two days.
Findamentals - LXRX has a new medication for heart failure
a common medical problem with a massive market
It recently launched a public offering to raise capital
to fund general operations and in doing so
diluted the share holders. The good news is
it is unlikely to do another in the near term.
An entry would be at the current price with a stop loss
above the highest volume bar on the profile.
The first target is the POC of the volume profile
about a 15% price drop . The second target is
the pivot low on August 1st for another 15% drop.
Taking of 1/2 at each target yields an expected
23% return over a period of about 5 trading days
since drops are faster than rises.
The call options of mid September have low volumes
so I will not consider them.