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Reversalpattern

XAUUSD | New perspective | follow-up detailsFollowing another profitable week for us on the XAUUSD (see link below for reference purposes); Gold hit a one-month high on Friday with strong signals that it may be ready to break free of the mid-$1,800 - $1,820 range it has been trapped in the past four weeks. Following the Labor Department reporting a number that again beat forecasts but not as much as in January, a smaller rate hike of probably 25bps looks more likely as against the broadly anticipated 50bps. In this video, we looked at the market strcuture from a technical standpoint with the hopes of identifying a potential trading opportunity ahead of the new week.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
8
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailWell, the past three to four months have shown that the only reason crude prices aren’t breaking out of the channel ($83/$70) is because of the inflation hangover in the U.S and the Fed’s hawkish outlook emphasizes how far and high it is ready to increase rates. This was further reiterated by Fed Chair Jerome Powell during his testimony before Congress as the central bank is more than prepared to hike rates beyond the previously indicated margin if that’s what will bring inflation down. This video illustrates in detail the technical parameters and what to look out for in the coming week. 00:50 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results 05:50 USOil Technical analysis on Daily chart 08:30 USOil Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe against next week 08:44 Conclusion on next week's expectation for the USOil Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
FX:USOILSPOT
by darcsherry
1
GBPUSDHi GBPUSD has been examined in different dimensions: 1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system. 2- The structure of recently formed waves 3- Current market momentum 4- The structure of classical and price patterns In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis. In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
Short
by HamidRamezani1992
Possible beginning of a new bearish leg for SPXSummary: Main bearish trend (dotted teal downtrend line) Reversal attempt in progress (purple uptrend line) 200-SMA breakout in jan-2023 Failure to continue the breakout (failed bull flag - orange lines) Arrow #3 as a good entry option for a bear trade. Possible beginning of a new bearish leg, aligned with the main trend Possibility to surpass the last low (oct-13-2022). Set target @3,330.00. Timeframe expected: 3 to 4 months. Detailed explanation: 2022 was a very bearish year for stock markets, and prices have navigated under the 200-days simple moving average (200-SMA) for the most part of the year. On the other hand, the first months of 2023 had some attempts of breakout to this widely known indicator. By December, 2022, prices tried to break-up the 200-SMA, but failed, then pulled back and tried a new breakout in January, 2023, that succeeded and provided some hope for a reversal. Arrow #1 is signaling the top of this bullish leg. After this, prices developed a little bull flag (orange lines) , near a resistance level. I have been closely following the price movement on this flag, to try to catch a trading opportunity, bullish or bearish. The bullish case was the most evident, and would happen with the breakout of the flag, confirming the continuation of the main trend reversal. But if it didn’t come true, prices could continue on a longer range or even breakdown the 200-SMA, providing, hence, a bearish trade. It turned out that the second case is being developed. On February 21st the bull flag was undone, by a very bearish -2% candle, then some days passed and the 200-SMA offered a support for the prices, this movement came along with some doubt candles (tiny ranges, long wicks), their in the area near arrow #2. This arrow points specifically to a bullish engulfing candle, that signaled a possible return of the bull and that the 200-SMA would indeed sustain the prices. After that, a bullish candle confirmed the engulfing pattern, and I considered that now it was a “make or break” situation, that either had to continue with strong buyings or finally give away and return to the main bearish trend (dotted teal downtrend line) . The second scenario happened, with a classical shooting star candle denoting a top, indicated by arrow #3 and followed by a relevant -1.53% bearish candle. I consider it can turn out to be the beginning of a new bearish leg in favor of the main market trend. If it breakdown the 200-SMA (and the previous bottom, of arrow #2) we will probably be full gas back to the bearish trend, reverting that secondary bullish trend indicated by the purple line. Predicting the future is impossible, but trading is a probability game, and to my criteria the odds are high enough to make a bet now. So, I started a trade yesterday near the market close. The stop zone is a little above the high of the shooting star candle of mar-06-2023, and my target is @3,300.00, I chose this number considering that this is a movement with the main trend, and that the last low (oct-13-2022) is usually surpassed in this kind of situation. PS: I know there’s a whole FED policy/interest rates discussion going on, and that it provides much of the ultimate reasons for the market movements I described, but I will stick to technical analysis here and to the principle that the chart sums it all up, hence I considered only price patterns in my analysis.
SP:SPXShort
by thessia_
1
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThe US dollar pulled back a bit during the trading session on Friday as it looks like a potential sell-off in the short term is building up behind the scenes. Overall CPI inflation in Tokyo, rose 3.4% in February, compared to a 4.4% rise in the prior month - a negative variance of 1.0% which doesn't appear rosy for the Yen. The Bank of Japan continues to print more Yen in order to keep interest rates down and recently the Bank of Japan hinted that inflation will ease in the near term and that its 2% annual target will be achieved anytime soon and has projected 2025. From a technical standpoint, this video illustrates a potential trading opportunity around the 135.800 zone in the coming week. 01:00 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results 03:49 USDJPY analysis on Daily Timeframe 07:53 Macroeconomic event for the week 09:59 USDJPY analysis on the 4H Timeframe 12:45 Conclusion on next week's projections Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailFollowing the reversal of Covid-19 policy — the Chinese manufacturing sector posted its biggest improvement in more than a decade last month, service/activity is climbing and the housing market is stabilizing. Economists speculate that the reopening may see Chinese oil consumption hit a record high this year and It was indeed a positive week for the oil commodity with data showing demand figures hitting a record 101.9 million barrels per day this year. In this video, we highlighted from a technical standpoint trading opportunities for the incoming week. 00:50 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results 04:25 USOil Technical analysis on Daily chart 07:40 USOil Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe against next week 08:44 Conclusion on next week's expectation for the USOil Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
FX:USOILSPOTLong
by darcsherry
XAUUSD | New perspective | follow-up detailsAmidst uncertainty over the extent of the Federal Reserve’s future tightening path, the U.S. dollar weakened and went on to close the week at a 2.7% loss. Despite a series of robust economic data releases in recent times, including inflation pushing in at elevated levels, there are high expectations that the U.S. central bank will deliver a 50 basis point rate hike in two weeks’ time. So in this video, we have taken the time to observe the charts from a technical standpoint to decipher how to prepare for the new week. 00:45 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results 05:05 XAUUSD Technical analysis on Daily chart 09:00 Macroeconomic events to look out for the week 11:05 XAUUSD Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe 13:54 Conclusion on next week's expectation on XAUUSD Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
2
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upIn the absence of high-impact events from the UK this week, the anticipation of the testimony by Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday and Wednesday as he delivers the semi-annual monetary policy report to lawmakers is on everyone's radar. Obviously, his comments will shed light on whether stakeholders are in tune with the central bank’s view on how high it will have to raise rates to knock down inflation. From a technical standpoint, this video shed light on what to look out for in the charts as bullish activities from last week's trading session may linger into the new week. 00:48 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results 04:27 GBPUSD Technical analysis on Daily chart 04:35 Macroeconomic events to look out for the week 10:12 GBPUSD Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe 12:40 Conclusion on next week's expectation on GBPUSD Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailThe US oil still found a way to finish in neutral territories as bulls jumped in to buy into a market that scraped three-week lows just two days earlier at the $74.00 zone. The hopes of increased demand are still a possibility in this market as the Chinese government (the world's largest importer of crude oil) has lifted all COVID restriction policies hereby opening their economy for renewed transactions. From a technical standpoint, the appearance of buying pressure above the $76.00 level this week will be seen as an endorsement of bullish expectation, and failure to sustain a break above the $76.00 level has a high chance of inciting a sell-off, prompting a drop to new lows. 00:20 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results 03:35 USOil Technical analysis on Daily chart 06:25 USOil Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe against next week 08:35 Conclusion on next week's expectation for the USOil Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
FX:USOILSPOTLong
by darcsherry
FCPO PALM CRUDE OIL INDEX BURSA MALAYSIABottom reversal pattern has been form on week 03-Oct-2022 Currently FCPO price in sideway range between 3730 (support)- 4500 (resistant) Trade Strategy: (BUY / CALL) Once FCPO price break out & goes beyond price 4500 with increasing volume. TP1: 4990 TP2: 6230 CL: 3730 Risk Ratio Reward - 1 : 2 Fact supporting indicator: Smart Money Pro bullish Profit-Chip (red bar) continuous increases for 3weeks and crossed over Profit-Chip Moving Average line. #bursasaham #malaysiastockmarket #fcpo #palmcrude #bursamalaysia #malaysia #bursa #trendline #trendanalysis #technicalanalysis #chartpattern #trendpattern #uptrend #bullbear #supportresistance #technicalindicator #indicator #waveanalysis #bottomcatch #reversalsignal Disclaimer: This published Idea is solely for the purpose of education and opinion sharing, and should not be construed as investment advice or recommendations to buy or sell any security. Get your trade advise from a legit broker, you are responsible on your own trade.
MYX:FCPO1!Long
by magicswings
1
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsSince the last publication; price action moved over 400 pips in our direction (see link below for reference purposes) as the Greenback rose 0.6% to close the week just below the 135.000 zone. The Japanese yen was among the worst-hit Asian currencies as the US Dollar hit a six-week high against a basket of currencies after stronger-than-expected inflation readings and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve. This video illustrates what we should be expecting from the current market structure in the coming week as price action trades between the 133.900 and 135.000 range. 00:50 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results 05:30 USDJPY analysis on Daily Timeframe 09:50 Macroeconomic event for the week 11:00 USDJPY analysis on the 4H Timeframe 13:10 Conclusion on next week's projections Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1
XAUUSD | New perspective | follow-up detailsThe $1,860 level held price strongly "supported" while participants in this market await next week's U.S. inflation data that could influence the Fed's rates policy. Last week's trading session was characterized by a consolidation phase as price action was caught within the $1,880 and $1,860 range to pronounce the indecision at this juncture in the market. This video illustrates the technical perspective as we anticipate trading opportunities off the breakout or breakdown of the channel in the coming week. Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
4
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe GBPUSD traded in a relatively tight range during the course of last week's trading session as participants digest economic data and try to parse speeches from a series of Fed policymakers for clues of the likely future pace of the Federal Reserve's rate hikes. In this video, we looked at the current market structure from a technical standpoint and identified potential trading set-up ahead of the new week. 00:38 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results 04:00 GBPUSD Technical analysis on Daily chart 06:55 Highlight of Macroeconomic event for the week 07:51 GBPUSD Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe 09:50 Conclusion on next week's expectation for GBPUSD Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
2
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThe U.S. labor market report remained surprisingly strong despite ongoing efforts by the Federal Reserve to tamp down demand. The US Dollar rallied about 2% on Friday following higher-than-expected non-farm payroll data which came in at a whopping 517,000 through the middle of January. This video illustrates a technical perspective on the current market structure to decipher potential trading opportunities in the coming week. Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
3
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe Greenback's biggest gains in the last week have been against the Pound sterling after the BoE's dovish hint that it may have finished raising interest rates after a 50 basis points hike last Thursday. However, the higher-than-expected non-farm payroll data of 517,000 jobs in January did not help matters as the Pound slumped further to close the week below the 1.21000 level hereby recording a 2.7% decline in value. This video illustrates a detailed technical perspective on what to expect from the current market structure in the new week. Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
1
XAUUSD | New perspective | follow-up detailsFollowing a massively profitable week for us (see the link below for reference purposes); The Gold tumbled almost 3% on Friday after a blockbuster U.S. jobs report for January which came in with whopping 517,000 jobs hereby triggering profit-taking activities on the yellow metal’s long-running rally since the beginning of the year. Price is currently trading at a critical point where the bullish trendline and the $1,860 share a confluence on the daily timeframe. This video illustrates the technical perspective of the current market structure to figure out trading opportunities for the new week. Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
2