Gold Surges After U.S. Inflation Data | New perspective In this week’s analysis, we dive into Gold's 1% surge following U.S. inflation data, which has sparked fresh uncertainty over inflation trends and boosted demand for safe-haven assets. The Consumer Price Index rose by 0.2% last month, while bullish PPI figures suggest the Fed could be on track for interest rate cuts in 2024.
With escalating geopolitical tensions, could Gold rally beyond $3,000 before year-end?
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we’re zeroing in on the critical $2,660 zone. If Gold stays above this level, bulls may maintain control, potentially pushing prices to new highs. However, if Gold dips below, bears could force a pullback toward the descending channel’s support line.
📌 Stay tuned as we navigate the next big moves in the Gold market!
#GoldMarket #XAUUSD #InflationData #FederalReserve #SafeHavenAssets #Geopolitics #MarketAnalysis📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Reversalpattern
Intel - Back To A Bullish Market!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) perfectly rejected a major previous support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After being cut in half multiple times over the past couple of months, Intel finally managed to reverse at a strong previous support level. However market structure is still clearly not bullish and Intel has to break above the next resistance to start creating a new overall uptrend.
Levels to watch: $26, $20
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
US100 1.31212 -1.09% SHORT IDEA INTRADAY MULTI TF ANALYSISHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at NAS100 from MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
From the 4H TF
* we swept Thursday highs, which was the short term high within the range.
* Beautiful rejection forming a wick favouring bearish move.
* So seems we may see a reversal before continuation with the bulls.
US100 1H TF
* Strong bearish rejection.
* 1H looking for a push into the - FVG (po3) ✔ to sell intraday
.
US100 15 TF
* Multiple rejection of bullish move.
* Looking at the 1H -fvg, this is where I would look for short as we are rejecting upside.
* Should this PD ARRAY hold will be Short for the US100.
* BASED on the price action served this week.
- ASIA HIGHS
- DAILY OPEN
-TRUE DAILY OPEN
- LONDON HIGHS
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe GBP/USD hit its highest level against the US dollar in over two and a half years, and traders are closely watching for what's next. In this video, we break down the fundamental and technical factors driving the pair’s performance. With the Bank of England expected to move more slowly than the Federal Reserve on rate cuts, the pound is gaining an edge, though momentum has stalled at the $1.34350 resistance zone. Meanwhile, US inflation data shows signs of slowing, but this hasn't solidified expectations for a big rate cut from the Fed in November.
In this video, I walk you through the key technical structure that could guide trading decisions for the week ahead.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will buyers maintain momentum above $1.33700 next week? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
NVDA - Weekly Fall PotentialNASDAQ:NVDA ’s stock has been on a meteoric rise, fueled by the growing demand for AI technology and high-performance computing solutions. However, recent market behavior and technical analysis suggest that a significant pullback may be imminent. The company’s recent 10-for-1 stock split has made shares more accessible to retail investors, but it has also introduced increased volatility. The market has responded positively to the split, but the momentum might be slowing down.
Looking at the NVIDIA chart in a logarithmic scale, we observe three major bullish legs, each with gains exceeding 1000%. The current, third leg appears to be reaching its peak. This trend is further supported by the stock’s position within a rising channel, currently touching the upper boundary, indicating potential resistance. Additionally, lower time frame charts reveal a reversal pattern, suggesting a potential downturn.
Technical indicators show that NVIDIA’s price is at a critical juncture. The stock has demonstrated a reversal pattern in the lower time frames, which is often a precursor to a decline. Moreover, the price is at the top of a rising channel, which typically acts as a resistance level. Given these factors, a pullback seems likely, especially considering the stock’s impressive run-up without significant corrections.
In conclusion, while the broader market sentiment remains optimistic with expectations of new highs for NVIDIA, the technical indicators and recent stock behavior suggest a different story. Investors should be cautious and consider the possibility of a pullback. It is crucial to monitor the stock closely and be prepared for potential profit-taking, especially in the context of the recent stock split and the overall market dynamics.
Pre-earnings Run PatternBellwether of the ETF industry, NYSE:BLK reports Oct 11th and has already had a pre-earnings run. It is important to prepare ahead of earnings runs, which form 2-4 weeks ahead of the earnings release date. Dark Pools already know most of what is in the report. The long reversal tail candlestick signaled the probable run for a swing-style trade.
Amd - Targeting New All Time Highs! Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is targeting new all time highs:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
This month Amd perfectly retested and already rejected the previous resistance which was turned support after the bullish breakout. Following the overall swings inside of the rising channel formation, I do expect Amd to create new all time highs over the next months.
Levels to watch: $250
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Hariom Pipe Industries Ltd. (NSE) Positional trade IdeaObservations:
Current Price: ₹764.40, with a 5.77% increase on the day.
Resistance and Support Levels:
Resistance near ₹800 (marked by the green horizontal line).
Support near ₹715 (marked by the red horizontal line).
Trend: The stock has been in an uptrend but appears to have corrected recently and is now bouncing off a support level.
Indicators:
The stock is trading close to its TEMA (Triple Exponential Moving Average) lines (TEMA 8, 13, 21).
The price has bounced near the support and may retest resistance levels soon.
Trade Ideas:
1. Long Position (Bullish Strategy):
Entry: If the stock sustains above ₹765 (current price), one can consider entering with the expectation of an upward move towards ₹800 and beyond.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss around ₹715 (below the recent support line).
Target: First target at ₹800. If broken, the next resistance could be around ₹850-₹875, which may offer further upside potential.
2. Short Position (Bearish Strategy) if Support Breaks:
Entry: If the stock breaks below ₹715 and sustains, one can consider a short position.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss around ₹765.
Target: First target near ₹680, with a potential further downside toward ₹650 if the bearish trend continues.
3. Wait for Breakout/Breakdown (Neutral Strategy):
If you prefer confirmation, you could wait for a clear breakout above ₹800 or a breakdown below ₹715 to initiate a trade.
Breakout Trade: Enter long above ₹800 for a target of ₹850+.
Breakdown Trade: Enter short below ₹715 for a target of ₹680 or lower.
Risk Management:
Keep your risk-to-reward ratio favorable, at least 1:2.
Stay alert for any macroeconomic news or sector-specific developments that might impact the stock’s price action.
AUDUSD 0.67582 -0.09% SHORT MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS + DXYHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at The AUDUSD At the close of ASIA GOING INTO THE LONDON, TO NY PM SESSION
* With a bullish run into Monday CLOSE ( PO3) today will be looking for some retracement.
* looking at the daily last week Friday failed to take high which is a sign of weakness on AU alike with EU & GU.
* Looking at the +FVG below as targets as well.
* on the 4H looking for a bullish open to take ASIA high LQ.
* PO3
* Push higher before going for lower structures.
* AU sweeping the ASIA HIGH.
* Looking for an AGGRESIVE MOVE back into the range.
* this where I would look for entries short.
* Looking for the take of that ERL.
* with two possible OTE ( ASIA HIGHS, AND LONG TERM HIGH) , EXECUTION IS BASED ON RR & RISK MANAGEMENT.
* DXY 4H
- Will wait for the DXY to take ASIA lows and trade back in the range as a confirmation as well...
* BASED on the price action served next session...
* We will see what does the market dish.
🤷♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
|
* ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
EURUSD 1.11305 -0.02% SHORT MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS + DXYHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at The EURUSD At the close of ASIA GOING INTO THE LONDON, TO NY PM SESSION
* With a bullish run into Monday CLOSE (PO3) today will be looking for some retracement.
* looking at the daily last week Friday failed to take high which is a sign of weakness on EU.
* Looking at the IFVG below as targets as well.
* even though the -OB is violated looking for a retracement.
* on the 4H looking for a bullish open to take ASIA high LQ.
* PO3
* Push higher before going for lower structures.
* looking for an aggressive move above out of the range to sweep.
* and aggressive in.
* this where I would look for entries short.
* Looking for the take of that ERL.
* with two possible OTE ( ASIA HIGHS, AND LONG TERM HIGH) , EXECUTION IS BASED ON RR & RISK MANAGEMENT.
* DXY 4H
- Will wait for the DXY to take ASIA lows and trade back in the range as a confirmation as well...
* BASED on the price action served next session...
* We will see what does the market dish.
🤷♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
|
* ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Market Indecision 2024! (Diamond Reversal)It has been an interesting few years in the markets. One of the hottest bull runs coming off the Pandemic lows to a 7 month bear market in 2022, followed by another epic bull run! We are now at a major decision point for markets. Up or Down! Recession fears abound while small caps are ready to pop waiting on rate cuts. The S&P as lopsided as ever with Mag 7 carrying the entire index for 2 years. Where are we going next?
At every "potential" market top, the convergence between an ascending channel meets a potential descending channel forming a diamond shaped pattern. This pattern is the indecision point of any given market, but don't get bearish yet. A diamond reversal pattern can break in either direction, reversal or continuation .
I have documented both the historical moves and the future potential paths. Remember that markets are not pre-ordained to do anything. They have to make decisions, and while you may have already decided your personal view, you can let the market confirm your biases one step at a time.
React! Don't predict!
1) Halfway mark from 10/23 run to $6000 target
-4/19 bottom starts 2nd leg
-Bull Flag Consolidation
2) Diamond Reversal (Minor)
-Rate cuts? Yes/No
-And Why? Economy vs Inflation
**Upside Breakout on 9/13
3) Rate cuts hinted for Sep FOMC
-Halted 38% run from 10/23
-Halted 62% run from 10/22
4) Required drop to form minor/major diamond of indecision.
-Blamed on Japanese Carry Trade*
-Note the drop is perfect 78.6% retrace from 4/19 Run
*Japanese Carry Trade margin collapse was instead caused by formation.
**This was also opportunistic early rotation into treasuries.
5) Bullish rejection of minor diamond
-Resilient CPI and Jobs provide cover for soft landing narrative.
-Note the rejection confirms on diamond neutral line @ 38.2% 4/19 fib and healthy 20WMA bounce
6) Rate Cuts!!!
-Rate cut odds are near equal between .25 vs .50
-Note a rejection confirms Double Top
-Breakout confirms $6000
7) Blow off top!!!
-Note the identical pattern to 2022 top
*The Ancient Trendline is based on a back-dated creation of the S&P 500 by Standard & Poors as the index was founded in 1957
8) Bullish Ascending Channel starts in Jun-Oct 2022
-A short break here confirms new bearish descending channel and major diamond reversal.
-This will be your bearish hint towards bearish 2025 but don't short yet!!
-No break confirms ascending channel but EOY will give one more opportunity for a break.
9) End of Year typical Tax Loss Harvesting, Santa Rally, etc.
-Unlikely to see a bullish breakout here
-If Continuation occurs, it will be Jan into Feb
10) Last chance for Bears!
-Need bearish breakdown to confirm both diamond and descending channel
11) Descension confirmation marks several opportunities on path down for bullish break outs
-Initial Support @ $4800 (20% drop from top)
-Secondary Support @ $4450 (25% drop from top)
-Massive Support @ $4144 (30% drop from top)
Best of luck in 2025 whatever you decide! Game on!
GBPJPY 185.745 0.32% LONG IDEA MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSISHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at STERLING from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
GBPJPY DAILY TF
* With las weeks bearish momentum coming into play,looking for a bit of a push up as we close the week on GJ.
* The weekly & daily TF show we are still showing signs of a BEARISH move, but looking for some retracement before continuation bearish.
* GJ took External range LQ, looking for that internal range LQ to be taken.
* We are trading in discount of the move,This is where I would be looking for long entries.
* With PO3 looking to open bearish this week to confirm a move higher into premium PD ARRAYS.
GBPJPY 4H TF
snapshot
* HTF BIAS (PO3) Is bullish .
* looking for long positions OPPORTUNITIES.
snapshot
* We saw a rally with the bears, strong momentum to the downside.
* Looking at the 1H MMS, this is where I would look for LONG entries this week.
* Should this PD ARRAY hold will be long for the GJ.
* BASED on the price action served this week.
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
*
Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
ALLCARGO Logistics are Stablishing and Sustaining in PerformanceNSE:ALLCARGO
...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
KEY BUSSINESS HIGHLIGHTS
Global events coupled with high demand across trade lanes during the second quarter of 2024 (calendar year) has led toimproved volumes and increased freight rates. Demand is expected to continue through the peak season till end of theyear.
LCL volume for the quarter ended June’24 stood at 2.25 million CBM, similar on YoY basis and representing a QoQ growth of6%. FCL volume for the quarter stood at 156K TEUs, similar to last quarter and up 9% on a YoY basis.
ECU Worldwide onboarded a new leadership team in Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay as part of growth initiatives in LatinAmerica.
Contract Logistics business has reported a revenue growth of 13% on a QoQ basis and 22% on a YoY basis on the back ofincreased wallet share from existing clients.
Express Business: Operating cost continues to get optimized to bring about future growth in EBITDA. For Q1FY25 EBITDAstood at Rs. 20 crores, up 11% YoY and 33% on QoQ basis
...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Supply chain market is estimated to be at ₹63,000
crores.
• ASCPL is a leading pan india 3PL player with an
expansive network
• Market leadership in chemical warehousing and
dominance in western India
• Building strengths in auto & engineering and ecommerce
...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
EURUSD - Technical Analysis [Long Setup]EURUSD
The current trend is bearish but a bullish divergence exists on the RSI indicator. Also, double double-bottom bullish reversal pattern is formed. Let's wait for confirmation. If it breaks lower high then we are in a bullish trend.
Trade Plan
Entry Level = 1.10551
Stop Loss = 1.10302
TP1 = 1.108
TP2 = 1.1105
Microsoft - Correction Is Not Over Yet!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) can still drop a little lower:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It seems like the correction on Microsoft is not over yet and following previous price action and market structure, a move back to the previous triangle breakout level seems to be quite likely. However Microsoft still remains in an overall bullish market so looking for long setups is best.
Levels to watch: $350
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nvidia - The -60% correction is starting!NASDAQ:NVDA is showing us multiple confluences which will lead to a massive move lower.
Be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy. But on Nvidia we cannot be fearful yet - so far, the smaller timeframes are still bullish. Everything makes me believe though that we will see a significant move lower soon: Nvidia is retesting massive channel resistance, repeated the previous bullish cycles and is preparing for the next correction cycle!
Levels to watch: $120, $50
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
US100 19,554.8 -0.21% SHORT INTRADAY IDEA US500 SMTHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at NAS 100 & S&P500 intra-day set up
A look from the 4H ON NAS100
* 7am 4H candle closes bearish but which is currently seeing a beautiful rejection heading into London session probably heading into that 4H fvg, should this fvg hold looking for a bearish NY AM & PM SESSION.
* with a -FVG & -OB looking for a small reversal Into the PD ARRAY before bearish continuation or LQ RUNS.
* Because The weekly & daily TF show we are still trading in BULLISH conditions on the NAS100 & S&P500.
* This is just a short term bias on the indices.
* we just rejected from a weekly FVG possibly signalling we might see bullish momentum.
ON THE HOURLY
* What is most interesting is the hourly SMT between NAS100 & THE S&P500, whereby we see the S&P 500 take highs and the NAS100 fails to do so which could be a signal to prepare for some short moves on NAS100 or even S&P500 depending on price action and which gives nice set-ups.
S&P500
NAS100
* It becomes interesting as this DIVEGENCE is a strong signal SO WE WILL SEE .
On the 15M not looking for much
* I just wanna see upwards moves to prepare for sells
* from the 4H fvg to sell side.
* same sentiment with the S&P500
* JUST WAITING TO SEE WHAT LONDON DOES, as we just opened.
* We will see what does the market dish.
🤷♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
GBPUSD 1.31790 -0.09 % LONG IDEA PM SESSIONHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at The CABLE Heading into the NY PM SESSION
* With With string bearish run open today, looking for a possible bullish PM session.
* On the 1h we see a CISD + CHOCH on lower tf + fvg on the 15M.
* looking for some sort of reversal before continuation bearish.
* Looking for the take of that IRL.
* Looks like we are in a seek & destroy profile looking to take as such
* with two possible OTE, EXECUTION IS BASED ON RR & RISK MANAGEMENT.
* Looking at the 1H FVG, POSSIBLE TARGETS .
* Should this PD ARRAY hold will be LONG for the GBPUSD intraday PM session.
* BASED on the price action served next session...
* We will see what does the market dish.
🤷♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
|
* ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Analyzing the XAUUSD Chart: A Potential Major Trend Reversal?Key Observations: OANDA:XAUUSD
Trend Channel: XAUUSD is in an upward trend channel, defined by the upper and lower bands.
Previous High: The price has recently tested the previous high of the trend channel.
Rejection at Upper Band: If price breaks the previous high and is rejected at the upper band, it could signal a potential reversal of the upward trend.
Pattern Formation: There is a developing pattern, a rising wedge reversal pattern.
Interpretation:
The analysis suggests that the XAUUSD pair might be nearing a significant turning point. If the price fails to break above the previous high or breaks it and is subsequently rejected at the upper band, it could indicate a potential reversal of the upward trend.
Potential Trade Ideas:
Short-Term: If the price is rejected at the upper band, traders might consider selling with a stop-loss placed above the recent high.
Short-Term Bullish: If the price successfully breaks above the previous high and shows sustained strength, it could signal a continuation of the bullish trend. In this case, buying with a stop-loss below the recent low might be considered.
Long-Term Bearish: If the price is rejected at the previous high or the upper band, traders might consider a swing trade targeting the 2440-2480 zone with targets at 2472 and 2455. A safe stop-loss would be above the previous high or just outside the upper band.
Additional Considerations:
Fundamental Factors: After yesterdays positive GDP data we can anticipate a stronger USD.
Risk Management: Always use appropriate risk management techniques, such as stop-loss orders, to protect your capital.
Confirmation: Wait for further confirmation of the pattern or trend reversal before entering trades.
Conclusion:
The XAUUSD chart presents an intriguing possibility for a potential major trend reversal. However, it's crucial to exercise caution and conduct thorough analysis before making any trading decisions.