Reversalpattern
XAUUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsIn anticipation of the NFP result on Friday, Gold plunged to about 50% retracement of the bullish momentum that started the week but still posted a second straight weekly gain as price action evolved into a reversal pattern just around the bearish trend line identified on the daily time frame. The current structure screams a possible downtrend continuation but I am very much open to the possibility of a bullish continuation after considering the last week's activities.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) is high-risk and unsuitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, and risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAGUSD | New perspective The appearance of a reversal pattern around the bearish trendline identified on the daily time frame insinuates a bearish momentum for the week.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) is high-risk and unsuitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailOPEC+ had its first physical meeting since the pandemic last Thursday and has decided to cut oil production which is definitely going to have an immense impact on price movement in the coming week(s). The impact of this event could be seen on the chart as we witnessed a significant breakout of the key level at $86.00 to set a bullish tone against the new week as Crude oil continues to soar on the wave of this decision.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) is high-risk and unsuitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsThis is a follow-up video to my previous analysis on the CHFJPY where we were able to close last week with about 130pips profit as the Yen continues to gain traction. So, after testing its highest point since 1980 - just right above the 151.00 area last week, the price has continued to find lower lows and lower highs. Will the BoJ's intervention continue to have a positive impact on the Yen in the coming week(s)?
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new weekThe U.S. dollar plunged as the Pound sterling graduated to near one-week highs which appears to be a result of the intervention by the Bank of England and announcing emergency bond buying. Despite a solid bearish momentum which has characterized this market since the beginning of the year, I am of the opinion that we might be witnessing a temporary bullish momentum in the new week which could turn out to be a retracement of the bearish impulse leg.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAUUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsThis is a follow-up video to my previous analysis on the Gold metal as we were able to close our position on a positive note last week. Even though the price of Gold surged in the last four days of last week's trading session to reach a one-week high after a depressed September; I am of the opinion that a selling move might be setting up for the new week as the price continues to trade below the key level at $1,685.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThis is a follow-up video to my previous analysis on the USDJPY as trading activities were largely sideways during the course of last week's trading session. So, price action was caught within the 145.000 and 144.200 zone, emphasising the indecision in the market at this juncture. Though price action is still within the sell window at the psychologically important 145.000 area which was identified in my previous analysis (see the link which includes daily commentary for reference purposes), the current structure could lead either way as participants in this market anticipate NFP coming up this week.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailThis is a follow-up video to my previous analysis on the USOil as we did make a minimum of 350pips in total to close last week. Oil bulls culminated in a loss during the later part of last week's trading session after a surprisingly higher U.S. inflation print for August reinforced expectations for more super-sized Federal Reserve rate hikes. Even as the selling pressure appears emphatic, the current market structure remains ambiguous.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
NVDA: Doing as planned. Could it keep climbing?• NVDA is still in a bear trend, doing lower highs/lows, while trading below the 21 ema;
• In theory, the 21 ema is supposed to work as a resistance, and NVDA would perform a top sign in this area before resuming the bearish sentiment;
• In this scenario, we would just head to the $115, the next support level;
• However, if NVDA breaks the 21 ema, and closes a candlestick above it, then it might seek the $144 next. This wouldn’t be a reversal sign yet, but could be the beginning of one;
• If NVDA triggers a reversal sign in the future, the next resistance to work with would be the $192;
• Read my last analysis on NVDA for more details on what it takes for NVDA to reverse (link to it is below this post);
• For now, there’s no evidence of a reversal, but it is important to keep an eye on the 21 ema in the daily chart for now, as this is the most important resistance in the short-term for NVDA;
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
AB=CD PatternThis pattern is actually in high reliability as the price action shows a pivotal sign in confluence to a 88.6% Fibonacci Retracement. Hidden bearish divergence on Fisher Transform oscillator which crossing on H1 reinforces the idea of a peak for this cycle. A 2nd target to watch @ 14.6%.
SPY: Could this be the DIP on SPY? Let's see.• SPY is trying to react today, however, this reaction alone is not good enough;
• SPY is still in a Descending Channel, as evidenced by the purple lines above;
• Only if SPY breaks the upper trend line it’ll trigger a stronger reversal sign. As long as it doesn’t, or if it loses the lower trend line, it’ll just resume the bear trend;
• If SPY is about to react, now is the best time since June, as the index is reacting just above the support at $360 and the volume is as high as seen in nearly four months;
• The sentiment is still bearish, and there’s no bottom sign confirmed on SPY yet. For now, let’s focus on the Descending Channel in the 1h chart, as this pattern could trigger a reversal, if a breakout occurs.
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
AAPL: Time to BUY the DIP? Let's see.• AAPL dropped sharply last week, and it lost its previous support level at $141.92;
• In theory, since it is a bearish momentum, our next stop is the support at $133;
• However, today’s reaction might jeopardize this reading;
• So far, AAPL is doing a bullish reaction, and if it closes above the $141.92, it’ll give the impression of a false breakout and a bear trap;
• If this scenario materialize, AAPL will probably bounce back up to the next resistance at $148;
• This isn’t a mid-term bullish reversal, but could be the beginning of one;
• For now, let’s focus on the $141.92, and on how it’ll close today.
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsAfter testing its highest point since 1980 - just right above the 151.00 area last week, the CHFJPY lost over 600 pips to signal a risk of further decline as projected in my previous analysis on this pair (see link below for reference purposes). Will the BoJ's intervention in the FX market signal a boost for the Yen in the coming week(s)? This video illustrates the trading option I am looking forward to in the coming week(s).
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThe BoJ kept rates unchanged which diverged from other central banks but at the same time intervening in the USD forex market which sent the USDJPY pair sharply lower during the latter part of last week's trading session. This illustrates how I intend to sell the USDJPY as long as the price does not break above the supply zone at 145 area.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
UBER: A bullish reversal pattern! Will it REVERSE?• UBER is reacting today, however, this reaction alone is not good enough to characterize a true bullish reversal;
• Today it is doing a Piercing Line candlestick pattern just above the previous support at $27.10 (black line) – a bullish reversal structure;
• Although this is a decent reaction, it seems it is too soon to tell if this reaction will last long enough. As far as I know, the trend is still bearish, and UBER is heading to fill the last gap at $24.62;
• In addition, UBER did a Double Top chart pattern at $33.78, which indicates more sell-off in the mid-term;
• Could UBER perform a better reversal sign? Yes, but it must not frustrate this Piercing Line candlestick pattern (meaning, it must not lose yesterday’s low at $26), and it must close above the $27.69 (dotted line);
• Why above the $27.69? By doing this, it’ll frustrate the Double Top chart pattern I mentioned above. This point is the previous bottom seen on September/August and the trigger point of this Double Top;
• Only if UBER does both things I’ll see a recover to the $33 again (mid-term). The volume must increase as well, as it has been quite low recently.
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.
MU: Reacting at a SUPPORT LEVEL!• MU is reacting this week, but the trend is still bearish;
• MU is doing lower highs/lows, and in theory, it is seeking the next support at $46.23 (red line);
• Could MU bounce from here? Yes, and this week is doing a bullish reaction, but it must close above the $51.30 again in order to recover to the $58 - $60 area again;
• By closing above $51.30, MU will trigger a false breakout from a previous support level. Along with the recent increase on the volume, this might be what it takes for MU to recover;
• MU is a promising stock, but for now, it must do better signs in order to become attractive again.
I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me for more analysis like this! Keep in touch.