EURCAD | NEw perspectiveIf we look closely into what has been happening since yesterday on a lower timeframe, we will notice how it appears that price action has been rejecting the Bearish trendline identified on the daily time frame. In this regard, I want to be looking forward to selling opportunities right below the key level identified at 1.36900
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Reversalpattern
NZDUSD | New perspectiveSince the price tested 0.64900 during yesterday's trading session, we witnessed a transition into what looks like a reversal structure as the price continued to find lower highs and lower lows which culminated in the breakdown of the key level at 0.64500.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThe pound clings to upbeat UK job data which appears to be evolving into a second bullish move from a technical perspective. The sharp rejection of the bearish trendline that was broken in mid-April 2022 during the course of last week's trading session appears to maintain a strong bid tone for the Pound going into the new week as I look forward to a breakout/retest of the key level at 160.000 area to join the potential rally.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
SPX: What does it take to reverse? Watch these technical points!Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how the index is doing today!
First, it is back to our “neutral zone”, but the reaction since the last bottom was quite strong, and we broke the 21 ema as well. Now, it seems it has only to break the resistance at the 3,979 area in order to fully reverse and enter bull territory.
If it drops again, that’s expected, but if it loses the 21 ema again, it’ll lose strength, and the bullish bias will get weaker again. Either way, we don’t see a clear bullish structure in the 1h chart yet, like a bullish reversal candlestick/chart pattern (just a V-shape recovery which is taking us to the resistance at 3,979, but that doesn’t mean much).
Let’s take a look at the daily chart for more clues:
Unlike the 1h chart, here we see some important reaction, it is not much, but might be the beginning of a bullish movement.
Last Friday we saw this Hammer candlestick pattern, closing above the previous support at 3,858 after a brief intra-day violation, aka false breakout. The size of the shadow under the candlestick’s body was impressive. Usually this indicates a lot of buy force, in an attempt to reverse, and this is our first bullish reversal sign.
Today’s candlestick is bullish, which is good, but the next thing the index must do in order to reverse is to break the purple trend line. The trend will remain bearish as long as we stay under this line. If we do break it, the next resistance will be the red line at 4,090.
If the index breaks the 4,090 it’ll trigger a Double Bottom chart pattern, a reversal pattern that could lead us to the 4,300, at least. This is what it takes for the index to reverse, and we must watch these key points closely from here.
I’ll keep you guys updated every day on this, so remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
EURUSD 1/18 RR ShortsNice entry caught on the 1/5 Minute time frames. We have a break of structure on the lower time frame. 1H chart indicates that the desired take profit level should be at around 1.048. This is a nice 1 to 18 risk reward ratio with the acquiring smart money concepts. Should land a big win here.
XAUUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsIt is believed that the Federal Reserve is letting the stock market crash in order to bring U.S. inflation under control. It was a challenging week for the value of Gold which plunged on Monday to $1,787, its lowest level since the beginning of the year to incite what looks like a reversal pattern as price action started to find higher lows that culminated in a breakout of structure on Friday (see 4H time frame). Hence from a technical perspective, I am looking forward to the confirmation of this reversal set-up to join the potential rally in the new week.
NB: I didn't know that the video length that can be recorded on Tradingview was capped at 20minutes hence the abrupt end of the video. So, the second possible entry point can be seen in the link in the comment section below.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Gu weekly outlook 22/5/22GU daily chart
Looking for the reverse head and shoulder formation to be formed.
MON-TUE I'm looking on the lower time frames for support to be formed in or above the green one to take buys to swing target.
If support fails or daily breaks and closes below green zone, trade will not be valid.
GBPUSD | Live position review | Follow-up detailsWith a breakout of the supply zone at 1.2400 during the course of yesterday trading session, I am of the opinion that buyers are beginning to gain traction with a potential of pushing price further into the selling opportunity zone identified on the daily timeframe. Going into the UK and New York session, the demand zone at 1.234500 shall be our guide for bullish momentum as a breakdown/retest of this zone shall welcome an opportunity to join the downtrend.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAUUSD | New perspective | follow-up detailsQuick trading set-up is identified here on the 1 hour time frame as the appearance of a reversal pattern sitting right on a new bullish trendline.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
AUDJPY | New perspectiveWith a simple trading set-up identified in the 1-hour timeframe, I am going to recommend selling the Aussie this week. In this regard, a key level at the 90.000 area and the bearish trendline identified on the 1-H timeframe shall be our guide going into the new week as we continue to look for a reversal set-up to join the potential decline. shall be
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
EURAUD | New perspective | follow-up detailsThis is a follow-up detail on the publication shared during last week's trading session (see link below for reference purposes), where the price moved over 200pips in our favour. Now, with the present structure on the chart, I am beginning to see a set-up that might allow us to add more selling positions as long as we do not see a breakout of the bearish trendline identified on the hour timeframes. I shall keep you updated as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPUSD Longs + BOSBreak of structure on the 1H chart may indicate that the recent tap into an order block may pull back GBPUSD into a higher high. Take profit is currently at previous high however with this strong movement to the upside, we could see a bigger move. Let me know if you take this setup. Great risk to reward.
EURUSD | Follow-up detailsThis is a follow-up detail on the analysis shared on Sunday as the price moved over 100pips in our favour (see link below for reference purposes).
From a fundamental perspective and following the recent Fed chair Powell's speech, it is clear that there will not be policy change on the basis that the supply chain will improve.
Technically, price action is currently oscillating right around the temporary bearish trendline where both a strong move to the upside or downside is very possible at this point and if we put into consideration the long term bearish momentum, we want to be on standby to catch the move as any move, either way is going to be massive... stay tuned in!
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Stay alert. a few important suggestionsAMEX:SPY
For a few days now I have been posting about a big drop that I expect. today I am again confirmed about that idea. As I said in previous ideas, is that we fell through the neckline of a huge Head and Shoulders Pattern. a few days ago we rose back to the previous breakout point, yesterday we tested that level and the neckline now so to speak serves as resistance, that was confirmed today. In my opinion a drop from the neckline is not unusual, so watch out.
Here some important things to remember:
- Try to keep your cool, and keep thinking rationally.
- Make sure you have a protective Stop-Loss set up.
- Be careful about adding money to a losing position.
- Guessing a bottom is difficult, and can go very wrong.
- Keep your emotions under control, notice you're getting frustrated? Then maybe go find some distraction, but never leave your computer until you have set a stop-loss.
I can see myself that this is very standard advice, but I and many others have experienced what happens when your emotions take over. Hence, I share this anyway.
Please leave in the comments if you have another suggestion on how to manage your account in these volatile times.
I wish you all the best.
This is not financial advice.
NZDUSD | Live position reviewAfter price action has hit our stop loss at 0.63350 where we locked in around 54 pips profit. Considering the long term bearish momentum on this pair (see the daily time frame for reference purposes or previous broadcast in the link below); The current consolidation phase (that has lasted over 24 hours) on the 1-hour time frame is looking more like a reversal set-up is evolving as I wait for a breakdown retest of neckline for signal and confirmation to join the potential decline.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
AUDUSD | New perspective | Follow-up detailsThis is a follow-up detail on the publication shared during the weekend (see link below for reference purposes), where we already have a counter-trend opportunity running with over 160pips (2 positions) in our favour. With the current consolidation pattern projecting a triple top look-a-like structure since yesterday morning, I am anticipating the confirmation of a reversal pattern in the form of a breakdown of structure to signal a bearish momentum right below the key level identified at $0.7000 ( a very strong psychological level).
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new weekNZDUSD is down by more than 9% since the beginning of April 2022. With the pair looking increasingly oversold as the appearance of a reversal pattern on the 2H timeframe could probably be signalling the incitation of a retracement wave into the major bearish trendline identified on the daily time frame or we might be having a downtrend continuation right below the key level at 0.62700 in the new week.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
EURUSD | Perspective for the new weekGoing into the new week, market experts warn of EURUSD dropping under parity if Russia shuts off the gas to Europe. However, from a technical perspective, there appear to be two scenarios we should be looking out for when the market opens. The first is a countertrend opportunity if we witness a breakout/retest of a reversal pattern identified on the lower time frame where a bullish momentum is inciting a retracement wave into the bearish trendline on the daily time frame; then secondly is that we use below the key level identified at 1.05200 to join the potential decline. Let's keep our fingers and see what happens to the structure when the market resumes.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Bump-and-Run Reversal Bottom?The bump-and-run reversal bottom is a chart pattern that is a surprisingly good performer in both bull (ranking best for performance) and bear markets (ranking second best). It has a low break even failure rate and high average rise after the breakout. Discovered by Thomas Bulkowski in 1999
Bump-and-Run Reversal Bottom: Important Bull Market Results
Overall performance rank: 1 (best) out of 39
Break even failure rate: 9%
Average rise: 55%
Throwback rate: 61%
Percentage meeting price target (pattern's top): 76%
Shape: A frying pan, tilted down, with the handle on the left.
Trendline: During the beginning of the pattern, price often follows a down-sloping trendline that ranges from 0 to 45 degrees (rarely more).
Lead-in phase: The handle portion of the frying pan is called the lead-in phase as it leads in to the bump phase. The chart to the lower right shows the location.
Lead-in height: Measures from the trendline drawn across the highs to the handle low. Select the widest distance between the trendline and the low, measured vertically, in the first quarter of the chart pattern. The chart to the right shows an example. The height is between the two blue dots.
Lead-in duration: At least a month (average is 35 days), but this varies widely.
Bump phase: This is the frying pan. The down-sloping trendline deepens to 60 degrees or more. Price drops rapidly then levels out and turns around, forming a rounded turn. Price may pause at the 0 to 45-degree trendline (see Trendline above) before moving higher. The chart to the right shows the location of the bump phase.
Bump height: Measured from the trendline to the lowest low, vertically, and it should be at least twice the lead-in height (but allow variation). The chart to the right shows the measure between the two blue dots.
Uphill run: After the bump phase, price begins an uphill run. I show the run phase on the chart to the right.
Volume: High during the start of the pattern, the bump start, and upward breakout.
Confirmation: The pattern confirms when price closes above the down-sloping trendline. Do NOT accept any patterns which does not show a close above the blue trendline (after pattern's end).