EURUSD | Follow-up detailsThis is a follow-up detail on the analysis shared on Sunday as the price moved over 100pips in our favour (see link below for reference purposes).
From a fundamental perspective and following the recent Fed chair Powell's speech, it is clear that there will not be policy change on the basis that the supply chain will improve.
Technically, price action is currently oscillating right around the temporary bearish trendline where both a strong move to the upside or downside is very possible at this point and if we put into consideration the long term bearish momentum, we want to be on standby to catch the move as any move, either way is going to be massive... stay tuned in!
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Reversalpattern
Stay alert. a few important suggestionsAMEX:SPY
For a few days now I have been posting about a big drop that I expect. today I am again confirmed about that idea. As I said in previous ideas, is that we fell through the neckline of a huge Head and Shoulders Pattern. a few days ago we rose back to the previous breakout point, yesterday we tested that level and the neckline now so to speak serves as resistance, that was confirmed today. In my opinion a drop from the neckline is not unusual, so watch out.
Here some important things to remember:
- Try to keep your cool, and keep thinking rationally.
- Make sure you have a protective Stop-Loss set up.
- Be careful about adding money to a losing position.
- Guessing a bottom is difficult, and can go very wrong.
- Keep your emotions under control, notice you're getting frustrated? Then maybe go find some distraction, but never leave your computer until you have set a stop-loss.
I can see myself that this is very standard advice, but I and many others have experienced what happens when your emotions take over. Hence, I share this anyway.
Please leave in the comments if you have another suggestion on how to manage your account in these volatile times.
I wish you all the best.
This is not financial advice.
NZDUSD | Live position reviewAfter price action has hit our stop loss at 0.63350 where we locked in around 54 pips profit. Considering the long term bearish momentum on this pair (see the daily time frame for reference purposes or previous broadcast in the link below); The current consolidation phase (that has lasted over 24 hours) on the 1-hour time frame is looking more like a reversal set-up is evolving as I wait for a breakdown retest of neckline for signal and confirmation to join the potential decline.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
AUDUSD | New perspective | Follow-up detailsThis is a follow-up detail on the publication shared during the weekend (see link below for reference purposes), where we already have a counter-trend opportunity running with over 160pips (2 positions) in our favour. With the current consolidation pattern projecting a triple top look-a-like structure since yesterday morning, I am anticipating the confirmation of a reversal pattern in the form of a breakdown of structure to signal a bearish momentum right below the key level identified at $0.7000 ( a very strong psychological level).
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new weekNZDUSD is down by more than 9% since the beginning of April 2022. With the pair looking increasingly oversold as the appearance of a reversal pattern on the 2H timeframe could probably be signalling the incitation of a retracement wave into the major bearish trendline identified on the daily time frame or we might be having a downtrend continuation right below the key level at 0.62700 in the new week.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
EURUSD | Perspective for the new weekGoing into the new week, market experts warn of EURUSD dropping under parity if Russia shuts off the gas to Europe. However, from a technical perspective, there appear to be two scenarios we should be looking out for when the market opens. The first is a countertrend opportunity if we witness a breakout/retest of a reversal pattern identified on the lower time frame where a bullish momentum is inciting a retracement wave into the bearish trendline on the daily time frame; then secondly is that we use below the key level identified at 1.05200 to join the potential decline. Let's keep our fingers and see what happens to the structure when the market resumes.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Bump-and-Run Reversal Bottom?The bump-and-run reversal bottom is a chart pattern that is a surprisingly good performer in both bull (ranking best for performance) and bear markets (ranking second best). It has a low break even failure rate and high average rise after the breakout. Discovered by Thomas Bulkowski in 1999
Bump-and-Run Reversal Bottom: Important Bull Market Results
Overall performance rank: 1 (best) out of 39
Break even failure rate: 9%
Average rise: 55%
Throwback rate: 61%
Percentage meeting price target (pattern's top): 76%
Shape: A frying pan, tilted down, with the handle on the left.
Trendline: During the beginning of the pattern, price often follows a down-sloping trendline that ranges from 0 to 45 degrees (rarely more).
Lead-in phase: The handle portion of the frying pan is called the lead-in phase as it leads in to the bump phase. The chart to the lower right shows the location.
Lead-in height: Measures from the trendline drawn across the highs to the handle low. Select the widest distance between the trendline and the low, measured vertically, in the first quarter of the chart pattern. The chart to the right shows an example. The height is between the two blue dots.
Lead-in duration: At least a month (average is 35 days), but this varies widely.
Bump phase: This is the frying pan. The down-sloping trendline deepens to 60 degrees or more. Price drops rapidly then levels out and turns around, forming a rounded turn. Price may pause at the 0 to 45-degree trendline (see Trendline above) before moving higher. The chart to the right shows the location of the bump phase.
Bump height: Measured from the trendline to the lowest low, vertically, and it should be at least twice the lead-in height (but allow variation). The chart to the right shows the measure between the two blue dots.
Uphill run: After the bump phase, price begins an uphill run. I show the run phase on the chart to the right.
Volume: High during the start of the pattern, the bump start, and upward breakout.
Confirmation: The pattern confirms when price closes above the down-sloping trendline. Do NOT accept any patterns which does not show a close above the blue trendline (after pattern's end).
AUDUSD | New perspectiveThe Aussie staged a rebound on Friday in tandem with other recently hard-hit risk assets, though remains on course for a possible retracement into the major bearish trendline identified on the daily timeframe. Therefore, we are bound to witness two possibilities in the new week as I expect selling opportunities at around 0.705/0.71750 and below the key level at 0.69150 which also welcome a possible counter-trend where buyers could accumulate right above the key level to complete a retracement phase.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPNZD | Perspective for the new weekFrom a technical perspective on the daily timeframe; the strong bearish impulse leg will be our yardstick going into the new week as we should be looking forward to the exhaustion of the retracement wave to join the decline.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
#GBPJPY# BUY SETUPPrice respected weekly zone and bearish channel end lining with level of 156.610. 4h bullish high volume candle closed above previous weekly resistance level showing buying confluence . I just expecting an retracement to 157.260 level to be an discounted buy targeting to 160 pip stoploss 500 pip take profit SWING ENTRY. thanks.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new weekThe GBPUSD is trading to a new session high since the beginning of last week and has reached its 32.8% retracement of the week's downward trading range as bears refused to give up. However, from a technical perspective; As at the close of the trading week price action is oscillating right within a strong demand zone that has a memory for buying power that spans over 6 years and we might be looking forward to an opportunity to join a potential retracement wave into 50 to 78.6% retracement before a projected selling opportunity within 1.26 and 1.29 area in the near future.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
EURAUD | Perspective for the new weekGoing into the new week; we might be expecting the confirmation of a reversal structure to tend towards a bullish momentum but the multiple rejections of 1.49 during the course of last week's trading session could be giving us a clue into the strength of the sellers at this juncture in the market without ignoring the potential of the Aussie against the Euro since February 2022.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPAUD | Follow-up detailsThis is a follow-up detail on the publication shared during the weekend (see link below for reference purposes), and the price appears to be moving as expected as we are right at the area where we were expecting to do a temporary sell opportunity at 1.764... In the video, I have explained what my plans are going to be in taking advantage of the selling momentum if it finally happens.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAUUSD | New short term perspectiveWith a bearish trendline holding since the beginning of the day, we want to be ready to take a potential sharp decline.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Ethereum- lower prices in the way!!Hello everyone
In daily chart on ETHUSDT, we can see a steep bear market, so the context is a bear channel, and taking long positions is not recommended, and it's better to trade micro channels if you are a trader.With the long shadows on the daily chart we might get a foundation of a reversal pattern in lower time frames.
For now, the resistance levels are 2150$ and the top of our bear channel and supports levels are 1950$ which is being tested right now,and the key level 1750$.
P.S. : Don't take trades if you are feeling anything.
GBPUSD | New perspectiveThe appearance of a reversal pattern on the 2H time frame coupled with recent bullish traction across GBP pairs, we might be looking forward to a short term recovery and a profit target at a point where the bullish trendline (identified in the 2H timeframe) share a confluence with the key level at 1.26.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | follow-up detailsThis is a follow-up detail to my previous speculation about this pair (see link below for reference purposes). So in this video, I explained how I plan to take advantage of a buying opportunity.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPCHF | New perspective | Follow-up detailsPrice is currently sitting on a strong demand zone and I am of the opinion that we might be going for a short term uptrend.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new weekUSDJPY traded up and down as participants anticipate Fed speak during the course of last week's trading session after which we witnessed a spike down into the buy opportunity area around 128.5 that we identified at the beginning of last week's trading session ( see link below for reference purposes - Following the test 128.5 was the appearance of a reversal pattern which might be the basis for a bullish bias going into the new week.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.