Reversalpattern
GBPCHF Trade Idea Novenmber 8, 2021The long term trend on this pair is bearish but we're currently seeing reversal signals. Liquidity has been taken below and above the ranging area. But wih the reverals indications, a counter trend trade is possible, yet I'd not set my TP too far up, as price may not return to the order block that caused the previous break of structure as yet.
Remeber there will be news on GBP pairs tomorrow. So be mindful of the news when placing trades.
1INCH at reversalOk, if you watch the chart at daily timeframe you can see the daily candlestick closed as an hammer on the bottom, a clear bullish candlestick however I'm presenting here the 4h chart as more explicative.
Beside the reversal candlestick billinger bands are squeezing (not shown here) and Stochastic momentum indicator presents a bullish DIV, moreover VLPR shows there's a good requested over current price, meaning this is going up. On the other side volume is kinda flat... not very promising to be honest, however before sudden movements it is always like this.
If you don't have 1INCH this is a good entry point, stop loss at 3.93USDT (my support line), I'd say the current price 4.43 is a good entry price.
Good luck
EURUSD | Perspective for the new week In the wake of a stronger than expected US labour market report for October 2021, the Euro appear to be taking a bounce from fresh annual lows under $1.1520. Despite citing a Double Top pattern with a successful Breakdown of Neckline confirming a reversal pattern, I am looking forward to taking a "quick" countertrend in the coming week with my eyes still on the long-term expectation of a Bearish momentum evolving.
Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish)
Structure: Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom)
Observation: i. Since the beginning of September 2021, the Euro recorded a 3.39% drop against the Dollar and this is represented by the prior leading price action (Bearish Impulse leg).
ii. And since hitting bottom around $1.15200, the Bearish momentum appears to fizzle out as Buyers find what looks like a Demand level at this zone in the last 6 weeks to incite a Correction phase.
iii. It is also appropriate to note here that finding a bottom in a zone ($1.15200 area) that has a memory as far back as 2017 for the demand for Euro might not be a coincidence and seems to be a very good opportunity to take a "quick" countertrend😊.
iv. With recent structure and considering the Double Top pattern identified on the Weekly chart, I suspect that this potential correction phase will stall at the Neckline zone to incite a risk of further decline for the Euro.
v. Double Bottom: We do have a highly bullish technical reversal pattern forming at this juncture in the market with structure revealing a change in trend and a momentum reversal from the prior leading price action (major downtrend).
vi. Even as we await a confirmation which will happen if the price breaks out of resistance level @ $1.16750 (Neckline of potential Double Bottom) which equals the high between the two prior lows; I am willing to take a long position at a break and stay above of $1.16100 with an opportunity to add to the existing position at a Breakout/Retest of Neckline in the coming week(s)... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:4
Potential Duration: 5 to 12days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsWe experienced close to 100pips move in our direction following my last speculation on this pair (see link below for reference purposes) and a Breakdown of Demand structure (a level that held price "supported" throughout last month) early in the month of November 2021 insinuates that the Kiwi might witness a risk of further decline in the coming week(s).
From a fundamental perspective; a stronger than expected U.S. jobs report might bring the Fed closer to a rate hike which could put further pressure on the NZD/USD in the coming week(s), Let's see!
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Top look-a-like)
Observation: i. After breaking out of Double Bottom Neckline on the 14th of October 2021 (see daily chart ), the Kiwi recorded a 3.42% growth over the Dollar to set the tone for a Bullish momentum in the long term.
ii. However, after testing a temporary peak @ $0.72190, the price took a gradual nose dive, leading to a significant Breakdown of Key level during last week trading session.
iii. As expected, I stated in my last speculation on this pair (see link below) that we should be getting ready for a possible correction phase of the Impulse leg which might retest the Neckline of the Double Bottom that instigated the previous rally (see daily chart) to confirm a trend continuation setup.
iv. The appearance of a highly bearish technical reversal pattern on the chart which looks like a Double Top at $0.72190 & $0.72180 followed by a couple of Breakdowns of $0.71300 in the last week could be a sign that emphasizes the selling pressure accumulating under the Key level.
iv. In this regard, I shall be looking out for selling opportunities below Key level with an opportunity to add to my existing position should price Breakdown/retest of $0.70850... Trade consciously!😊
NB: It is very possible that the early hours/days of the new week might see a price climb into the Supply zone cited within $0.71850/0.71550 to incite further decline.
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 120 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:4
Potential Duration: 3 to 7days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
NZDCAD instant short order Hello traders.
this time I mapped NZDCAD with a risk reward ratio of 1:6.5 if it is in full accordance with the farthest target.
the assumption is that if you risk 2% of the capital, then when the price reaches target 1, you have saved 1:3 if it is according to the plan, the farthest target saves profit is 12% of the capital.
this analysis is not an invitation ... please make an entry consideration .
and if it is useful, you can like it and share it with friends. thanks
good luck
NIKLF Rounding BottomInteresting mining stock.
How long will the commodity boom last?
Technically speaking, this is a textbook example of a rounding bottom.
The primary issue I have with this idea is the relatively short amount of time that the pattern has taken to carry out, although this may just be a product of a late-stage bull market and massive liquidity injection.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new weekThe US dollar appears to have regained bullish traction as we witnessed a bounce back and forth before the price finally broke out of the Key level @ Y130.800 to reveal buyers strength at this juncture in the market.
As we all have noticed that the Yen is being sold off against almost every major pair in recent time, and following Higher US bond yields and hawkish Fed expectations the scenario painted here is not a different one at the moment. The present market structure could probably explain what is going on with the Japanese yen as I look forward to a buying opportunity on this one in the coming week.
Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish)
Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Trendline
Observation: I. Since mid-September 2021, the USD recorded a 5.05% growth over the Yen to set the tone for a Bullish momentum in the long term.
ii. Despite citing a reversal pattern after hitting a peak at Y114.700 in mid-October 2021; Sellers have been finding it difficult to push the price below Y113.400.
iii. Bearish Trendline: A visual representation of resistance line drawn over pivot highs reveals the prevailing direction of price and speed of price in the last couple of weeks.
iv. However, the Y113.400 Level has kept price "supported" in the last couple of weeks to suggest a decline in Bearish momentum.
v. In this regard, it is obvious to state here that buyers have continued to pick prices up from Y113.400 hereby making this zone a significant demand level in the meantime.
vi. Following a Breakout of Key level @ Y113.800 during last week trading session, I shall anticipate a Breakout of Bearish Trendline for signal confirming a rally in the coming week(s).
vii. Even as above Key level remain a yardstick for taking a long position, I have identified a "New Demand level" on the chart for trading opportunities should the price plunge... Trade consciously!😊
NB: Considering the reversal pattern identified after hitting Y114.700, It is worthy to state here that a significant Breakdown of Y113.400 should render the narrative invalid hereby welcoming an opportunity to short the pair temporarily (correction phase) at a retest of the Demand zone broken.
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 100 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:4
Potential Duration: 4 to 10days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDCNH | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsWe witnessed a 1,000pips run in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purpose) and the confirmation of reversal set-up at the Breakout of Neckline (CNY 6.39500) during last week trading session is the final straw that broke the camel's back for me.
Higher US bond yields and hawkish Fed expectations shine the light of hope on the Greenback and we could witness a continued bullish momentum as investors brace for the Fed's meeting next week.
Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish)
Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom)
Observation: i. It has been a mix of Bearish momentum for the USD since the beginning of this year.
ii. Finding a bottom twice at CNY6.36800 within the month of October 2021 - this level in recent time sharing memory for Demand (May 2021) could be an opportunity to take advantage of a short term rally.
iii. Double Bottom: The appearance of an extremely bullish technical reversal pattern describing a change in trend and a momentum reversal from prior leading price action may not be a coincidence.
iv. And since testing the demand zone the second time, the price continued to find higher highs that culminated in a Breakout of Neckline @ CNY6.39500 on Friday to signify the potential direction majority might be heading in the coming week.
v. With this development in place, it will be appropriate that we take advantage of this potential rally at the retest of Neckline.
vi. The early hours/days of the new week might witness a further plunge in price to test the Neckline @ CNY6.39500 or below to incite Trend continuation.
vii. Hence, above the Neckline remains a comfortable level to take a long position on this pair.
NB: Please note that the narrative so far supports a temporary bullish momentum and this is so after putting into consideration the long term downtrend perspective... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:4
Potential Duration: 2 to 7days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Market Structure Simplified It is easy to get confused with overflowing information about market structure in the trading world.
To simplify things we have come up with a way of analysing market structure simply by marking each high or low.
In this particular example, you can see that higher lows were being created all the way down the bearish trend, so we knew that it was a seller's market UNTIL we got our break of structure .
When the BOS became apparent, we began to shift our attention to the possibility of reversals and used our magic tool, the Fibonacci.
This technique can be used in any trend, try it for yourselves!
Please, support this post with a like and comment!
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsMy last speculation on this pair earned us over 200pips before the Bullish momentum began (see link below for reference purposes); Despite a long term Bullish perspective, I am beginning to see a short term opportunity to do a temporary sell on the Kiwi in the coming week as the Bears gear to step into the game.
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Top)
Observation: i. After breaking out of Double Bottom Neckline on the 14th of October 2021 (see daily chart), the Kiwi recorded a 3.42% growth over the Dollar to set the tone for a Bullish momentum in the long term.
ii. As it is now, it appears we are about to witness a correction phase into the Double Bottom Neckline (see daily chart) to incite a bullish trend continuation.
iii. Double Top: An extremely bearish technical reversal pattern forming after price tested a peak two consecutive times with a moderate decline between the two highs ($0.72100/0.71900) is an emphatic signal that awaits confirmation in the mode of a fall below the support level which is also equal to the low between the two prior highs (Neckline @ $0.71500).
iv. At this juncture, the Breakdown/Retest of the identified Neckline shall welcome an opportunity to open a position in the coming week.
v. In the midst of a potential Breakout/Retest of Neckline, there is a possibility that the price might do a climb to test the identified "New Supply level" within $0.71800/0.71500 in the early hours/days of the new week to incite further decline in price... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:5
Potential Duration: 4 to 10days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.