SJS Fib trade set up1. Trend: Bullish to sideays
2. Set up: Reversal
3. RR: 1:5 to all the way to 10R
4. Stop loss: 2 SL can be followed, aggressive with 4.3%
or easy room to avoid volatility.
Reversalpattern
VETO Trade set up1. Trend: Bullish to sideways
2. 7 Months consolidation
3. RR very lucrative
4. 1 false breakout & also false breakdown to collect all the stop losses, now chances are high price will shot up at unusal speed
XAU/USD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsThe Gold price (XAU/USD) surges to a new record high above $2,180 as yields on 10-year US bonds dip to 4.04% following the release of the US NFP data.
According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Unemployment Rate climbed to 3.9%, exceeding expectations and up from the previous 3.7%. While Nonfarm Payrolls for February surpassed projections at 275K compared to the anticipated 200K, they still fell short of the previous reading of 353K.
Expectations for inflation have cooled as Average Hourly Earnings grew slower than anticipated by market participants. Monthly wages saw a modest 0.1% increase, contrasting with the 0.6% rise in January. Investors had predicted a 0.3% growth in wage, but annual wage growth slowed to 4.3% from both expectations and the prior reading of 4.4%. January's wage growth was revised downward from 4.5%.
The combination of sluggish wage growth and a high jobless rate has intensified selling pressure on the US Dollar.
During his congressional testimony, Jerome Powell highlighted that policymakers are nearing confidence in the return of inflation to the 2% target. He acknowledged the necessity of easing the current monetary policy stance to avert an economic downturn. The rally in Gold prices suggests that investors are buoyed by Powell's slightly dovish tone, anticipating earlier rate cuts.
As we gear up for the upcoming week, this video will delve into our strategic approach to navigating the evolving market dynamics from a technical perspective.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of the XAUUSD chart, utilizing both technical and fundamental perspectives. Our examination included an in-depth study of key levels, historical price movements, market behaviors, and the interplay between buyers and sellers, aiming to unveil potential trading opportunities.
Our focal point for the week is the $2,143.50 zone, endowed with historical significance, rendering it a pivotal level. The sustainability of bullish momentum above this zone could pave the way for continued buying pressure, potentially propelling prices to new highs. Conversely, the appearance of a reversal pattern or a breach below the $2,143.50 level, coupled with persistent selling pressure, might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
#GoldMarket #SafeHavenAssets 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
Understanding Trend Analysis, SMT and ICT ConceptsIn this video, I'll delve into the concept of Institutional Market Structure, a vital tool for trend analysis. Specifically, we'll explore the Smart Money Tool/Technique (SMT), which provides insights into whether a market will continue its trend or potentially reverse. Understanding these concepts is crucial for effective trading strategies. Sit back, relax, and enjoy the video!
Please do leave any questions in the comment section if you have any.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe Pound Sterling (GBP) gains strength as market sentiment improves, driven by a growing appetite for risk-sensitive assets. This sentiment is reinforced by soft wage growth and a sharp rise in the Unemployment Rate reported by the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) for February.
The outlook for the GBP/USD pair remains positive, with widespread expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates before the Bank of England (BoE), potentially narrowing the policy gap between them for the foreseeable future. While investors anticipate a Fed rate cut in June, the BoE is seen likely to follow suit from August onward.
Despite inflation in the UK remaining higher than other developed countries in the Group of Seven (G-7) nations, driven by robust wage growth, market volatility is anticipated, particularly as expectations for a June rate cut decision by the Fed solidify, following Fed Chair Jerome Powell's less hawkish tone in his recent congressional testimony.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound continue its trajectory and sustain its momentum above the $1.28000 zone?
The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from the US docket for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities.
In this video, we've analyzed the daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure.
We are keeping a close eye on the potential range between $1.28000 and $1.28900 where a breakdown or breakdown could incite the next BIG move. It's a decisive structure where both sellers and buyers will be vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days.
Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
AMD Corrected Again- Buy the Dip Idea LONGAMD on the 15 minute chart breakout through anchord VWAP bands starting on February 29th
from the mean anchored VWAP support. Two days later finding itself extended to the second
upper VWAP band, price corrected over the next day down to the first upper band and then
after a few hours reversed and headed back toward the second upper band going somewhat
sideways and getting there two and a half days later. Price was rejected from that dynamic
resistance and fell into the first band which provided support to close the week.
The Luxalgo regression line forecast is for yet another more up to test the resistance of that
second upper band. I will take a long trade here recognizing that the forecast is for a 10-12%
move in the immediate term. If the forecast is accurate a stop loss will not be necessary. I will
set it at 204 to prevent anything other than an insignificant loss.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upOn Friday, GBP/USD saw a modest rebound post-testing 1.2600. The US Dollar is struggling to maintain its strength following the release of weaker-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI data from the US.
February's US ISM Manufacturing PMI dropped to 47.8, contrary to the anticipated rise to 49.5 from the previous month's 49.1. The diminishing PMI sentiment is fueling expectations for potential rate cuts by the Fed. These expectations are further reinforced by the Fed's recent Monetary Policy Report, where they reiterated their belief that inflation is gradually moving towards the upper end of the 2% target band.
While economic data from the UK remains scarce this week and the next, focus will shift to the US labor data next week. The upcoming week will feature the Services component of the ISM PMI figures on Tuesday, a preview of the ADP Employment Change for February on Wednesday, and will culminate with the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report at the end of the week.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound continue its trajectory and sustain its momentum above the $1.26700 zone?
The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from the US docket for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities.
In this video, we've analyzed the 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure.
We are keeping a close eye on the potential range between $1.26000 and $1.27000 where a breakdown or breakdown could incite the next BIG move. It's a decisive structure where both sellers and buyers will be vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days.
Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
XAU/USD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsGold surged on Friday, reaching its highest level since early January, surpassing
2,080 as the 10−year US Treasury bond yield dropped by approximately 1.52% following the release of mixed economic data. S&P Global's report indicated an expanding US economy, while the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) highlighted a contraction in manufacturing activity, overshadowing the former report.
S&P Global's announcement on Friday showcased the fastest improvement in manufacturing conditions since July 2022. The Manufacturing PMI for February rose to 52.2 from 50.7, whereas the ISM February Manufacturing PMI declined to 47.8 from 49.1.
This data prompted a rise in Gold prices as US Treasury bond yields plummeted on expectations of earlier-than-expected rate cuts. Additionally, the Fed's latest Monetary Policy Report suggested cautious optimism regarding inflation control, despite lingering challenges in the tight labor market.
Considering these developments and the upcoming week packed with high-impact events, the question arises: How will Gold, as a safe-haven asset, perform in this market scenario? This video will shed light on navigating the current market dynamics from a technical perspective.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of the XAUUSD chart, utilizing both technical and fundamental perspectives. Our examination included an in-depth study of key levels, historical price movements, market behaviors, and the interplay between buyers and sellers, aiming to unveil potential trading opportunities.
Our focal point for the week is the $2,080 zone, endowed with historical significance, rendering it a pivotal level. The sustainability of bullish momentum above this zone could pave the way for continued buying pressure, potentially propelling prices to new highs. Conversely, a breach below the $2,080 level, coupled with persistent selling pressure, might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
#GoldMarket #SafeHavenAssets 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
Is MRVL overextended ? SHORTMRVL on the 60 minute chart certainly had an impressive run for two days gaining 16%.
The chart however shows the bullish candles are decreasing in range and price is more than
two standard deviations above the mean VWAP and far outside the high volume area of
the volume profile. Bullish volatility fell to close the trading week on Friday afternoon.
My trade plan is to watch MRVL for consolidation and then a retracement of its bullish
move. A cross of the faster green RSI down under the slower red RSI will be the bearish
divergence to be seen to consider MRVL for a short trade.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/5/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024
- PR High: 18254.00
- PR Low: 18217.50
- NZ Spread: 81.5
No significant calendar events
Continuing inventory hunt below prev session close
- Mechanical response to PR-1, dip below
- Relatively avg vols to start session
- 50% area of Friday's range
Evening Stats (As of 12:15 AM)
- Weekend Gap: +0.08 (filled)
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 230.55
- Volume: 29K
- Open Int: 295K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
LEU - Finally a bullish signal with lots of room to the upsideI've been watching Centrus Energy (LEU) for the past few weeks considering they are a strong company and we're in a very strong controlled selling (yellow) algorithm for some time. I was waiting for a bullish sign of reversal prior to finding support at tapered blue - which we saw last week when price was picked up by teal buying continuation. We are now gapping up above our strong yellow selling algo and our next stop will be to test the breakout of orange more tapered selling.
If we reject off of orange, we will be looking for one of our buying continuation channels, preferably yellow (very strong) to pick up price and take us out of orange where we will then have the opportunity to attempt a magenta tapered break.
Will keep you posted with further analysis as price develops!
Happy Monday and as always,
Happy Trading :)
Right shoulder forming on Ocado A head and shoulder reversal pattern is forming on Ocado. Started in August 2022, this is likely to complete this December, but not guaranteed. The left shoulder is forming as expected. But will it bottom at about 380p and then rise?
Identify reversals and confirmation.Step to identify the beginning of a reversal and making a decision for a trade.
1. Draw/mark the current trend based on HH/HL/LH/LL, and use the trend line at those points.
2. If the current price crosses the trendline, that's an early signal for a reversal.
3. confirmation of a reversal when the price breaks the structure/pattern (bottom/top).
4. After the above happens, the weighting of the position in the small timeframe (3m/5m) is
based on the larger timeframe (1H). For example, 1H reversal up and then 5m should look
for a buy signal/keep buy.
5. The distances of target for the buy condition must be limited in the supply zone=previous
higher high/lower high. Vice versa, a distance of targets for the sell condition must be limit
in the demand zone=previous higher low/lower low.
6. you can combine with other measuring tools such as stochastic or RSI. The example here uses
Trend Circle Divergence (TCD) based on RSI, wave of momentum, EMAs, and MACD.
*Please refer to the chart below for in-depth information and analysis.
How do reversals happen and identify appropriate positions?
Price action/movement, patterns, and their effects
XAU/USD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsGold prices resumed it's upward momentum on Friday, closing the week with gains amid a decrease in US Treasury bond yields. The 10-year benchmark note saw a decline of three and a half basis points, settling at 4.248%. Despite recent comments from Federal Reserve officials suggesting a somewhat hawkish stance, investors responded positively by reducing expectations for Fed interest rate cuts.
The release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes for January revealed a cautious approach among policymakers regarding rate cuts, particularly in light of recent inflationary pressures. While recognizing a more balanced outlook for achieving both mandates, policymakers emphasized their continued vigilance towards inflation, with economic risks perceived as tilted to the downside. The Fed aims to maintain interest rates in the range of 5.25% to 5.50% for the time being, seeking to assess whether January's inflation data reflects a temporary spike or a sustained trend.
This reluctance to immediately implement rate cuts is seen as a measure to mitigate potential upward pressures on consumer prices. In light of this, the cost of holding assets like Gold, which do not provide yields is likely going to go up. The future movement of safe-haven assets will be influenced by market expectations regarding potential Fed rate cuts.
This video sheds light on the technical understanding of the market structure in other to unravel the potential trajectory of price action in the upcoming week.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of the XAUUSD chart, utilizing both technical and fundamental perspectives. Our examination included an in-depth study of key levels, historical price movements, market behaviors, and the interplay between buyers and sellers, aiming to unveil potential trading opportunities.
Our focal point for the week is the $2,025 zone, endowed with historical significance, rendering it a pivotal level. The sustainability of bullish momentum above this zone could pave the way for continued buying pressure, potentially propelling prices to new highs. Conversely, a breach below the $2,025 level, coupled with persistent selling pressure, might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
#GoldMarket #SafeHavenAssets 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upMarket participants are eagerly awaiting fresh guidance on Bank of England (BoE) interest rates as uncertainty lingers over the timing of potential rate cuts. Speculation suggests the central bank might consider reducing interest rates in the early part of the second half of the year, with the likelihood of a rate cut in the June policy meeting currently below 50% and a dovish decision for August appearing increasingly probable.
BoE Governor Andrew Bailey anticipates price pressures to ease towards the 2% target in spring before resuming an upward trajectory. This could pave the way for the BoE to contemplate a significant unwinding of its historically tight monetary policy stance. Recent UK data indicates an improving economic outlook, suggesting that the technical recession experienced in the latter half of last year may have come to an end. Despite these positive developments, the Pound's performance remains subdued relative to expectations given the better UK data and strong risk appetite.
On the other hand, the US Dollar has stabilized following a recovery amidst tightening labor market conditions. Initial jobless claims for the week ending February 16 came in lower than anticipated at 201K, compared to expectations of 218,000 and the previous reading of 213,000. Additionally, Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers emphasize the need for further evidence to support the expectation of inflation declining towards the 2% target.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound continue its trajectory and sustain its momentum above the $1.27200 zone? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats!
The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from the US docket for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities.
In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure.
We are keeping a close eye on the potential range between $1.26150 and $1.28200 where a breakdown or breakdown could incite the next BIG move. It's a decisive structure where both sellers and buyers will be vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days.
Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
Pattern within a pattern confirmation // EURGBP shortA reversal channel pattern is forming on the 1hr time frame, within a bearish flag that was formed in a HTF (4hr - Daily) of the EURGBP. If the price completes the reversal channel pattern, then there's a high probability of price dropping towards the weekly support area or reverse on the trendline that was formed by the falling wedge Pattern on the HTF (Daily).
Place a pending order on the 15m time frame near the top of the reversal channel that is potentially forming currently.
AXTI saw a massive pump this past week REVERSAL SHORTAXTI a penny stock in the semi-conductor supply chain business saw a great price gain this past
week going more than 65% The call options ran 2000% on Friday along. On the 15 minute chart,
I see signs it is in high overbought territory and setup for a reversal. Price fell below the longer
of the two paired Hull Moving Averages which death crossed. The price volume trend indicator
put in a massive bullish trend and then went flatline while the mass index indicator triggered
a reversal. I have closed my call options and opened put contracts costing $130 each. I have
considered that they could do 2000% a few days just as the call options did on Friday.
Fundamentally, I beleive that semi-conductors have a down week ahead, see the idea uploaed
for SOXS.
( If you wonder how i screened for and found AXTI like this idea and drop me a private
message)
Using Multi-timeframe analysis to make better trading decisionsTrading on multiple timeframes can significantly improve your risk-reward ratio, regardless of what TA technique, you are using. Let’s look at the recent example (SPY ETF)
Third week of February started with a strong sell-off (Monday-Tuesday 13th). Price retraced >50% of the previous move, signaling potential trend reversal. At this point market Bears started scouting for daily low high to enter short trade. They received signal on Friday 16th when price broke previous day low.
A short trader, who trades only daily chart, would enter this trade at Friday close with stop-loss slightly above daily high and 1st profit target near Tuesday low. This setup provides a decent risk-reward ration >2. There is also a chance that previous low will be broken and price will fall even further, adding to profit. So taking this trade makes a lot of sense. On the main graph to this post you can see how it developed.
Price has not reached our profit target, reversed and made new high. Trade got stopped-out. Even if trader was using trailing stop (stop moved slightly above each new day high) this would not have saved him from huge overnight price jump
Could have the trader done better? Yes, if he had zoomed into lower timeframe and monitored price action there.
Here is what we can see on the 15m chart. (boxes show hourly candles, color coding matches hourly wave direction, you can read about how waves are constructed here )
Bearish reversal pattern shaped on Thursday- Friday. It is not an ideal triple top but there was a clear weakening of upthrust. Also, on Friday morning price broke previous day low, a sign of an increased bearish strength.
Basically, at 21.30 (UTC+1) short trader already had enough evidence to enter trade. He could have done it w/o waiting for day closure. This would have already been a better entrance than in the first scenario.
After entering the trade, trader could start monitoring for continuation. Tuesday was clearly bearish but on Wednesday there were multiple signs of shift of control. Firstly, price was able to set hourly higher low. Secondly, bearish wave was progressing very slowly. Finally, there was a 15 m equilibrium (end of Wednesday RTH) that resolved convincingly bullish. At this point a reasonable trader should have closed his trade without hesitation.
This would not be a great trade still, but it will be a profitable one, with risk-reward 1.7 . It is nearly impossible to achieve same results looking just on the daily chart.
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advices, just sharing my thoughts
BOIL ( Natural Gas Futures 3X leveraged) heats up LONGBOIL in the past month fell from a head and shoulders pattern on the 15 minute time frame
into a trend down which leveled out into a double bottom. Supply is in a draw
down right now as might be expected when gas production is diminished in the middle of winter
while demand is rising. The Economics 101 expectation is rising prices on the futures market.
The chart shows a Fibonacci retracement would take price from its current level to about 29
or about 20% upside if that level holds and more if prices can make a stronger more or
if short positions or puts are forced to closed causing some buying pressure synergy.
The RSI indicator confirms the reversal at the double bottom and adds a bit of insurance
to the risk. Accordingly, I am expecting a 20% in the next 2-3 weeks. Target for 2/3 of
the position is 29 while the other 1/3 ( short squeeze scenario) to run to a target of 33
which is the neckline of the H & S pattern. Taking a look at OTM call options striking
$ 30-31 range. Additionally, I will watch the AI algo indicator for a Sell Signal and reassess the
position at that time given its 90% accuracy at this given time frame as evidenced by
a 2000 candle backtest ( or about 500 hours or 82 trading days). Energy may not be the hottest
sector right now but nor is it the coldest.
XAU/USD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsAt the close of last week's trading, Gold has shown resilience by surpassing the $2,000 mark. Recent US economic indicators hint at persistent inflation, despite signals of potential policy adjustments from the Federal Reserve. Notably, Producer Price Index (PPI) data exceeded expectations, underscoring the Fed's ongoing efforts to manage inflation. Additionally, a positive shift in Consumer Sentiment reflects American optimism towards economic conditions. Considering these factors, Gold's trajectory remains intertwined with US economic prospects. Potential upticks in inflation could drive up US Treasury bond yields, leading to anticipated XAU/USD downside movements. Conversely, if inflation aligns with the Fed's targets, the possibility of rate cuts may weaken the US Dollar, potentially supporting XAU/USD upside potentials. This video delves into dissecting the current market landscape to help navigate strategic positioning for upcoming market movements.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of the XAUUSD chart, utilizing both technical and fundamental perspectives. Our examination included an in-depth study of key levels, historical price movements, market behaviors, and the interplay between buyers and sellers, aiming to unveil potential trading opportunities.
Our focal point for the week is the $1,985 zone, endowed with historical significance, rendering it a pivotal level. The sustainability of bullish momentum above this zone could pave the way for continued buying pressure, potentially propelling prices to new highs. Conversely, a breach below the $1,985 level, coupled with persistent selling pressure, might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
Immerse yourself in the latest dynamics of the Gold market! Stay well-informed to make strategic investment decisions.
#GoldMarket #SafeHavenAssets 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
DXY Bullish Flagpole and Reversal Candle PatternSo I was thinking DXY was going to change in sentiment since 2/14 but I believe this pattern with the bullish candle on multiple timeframes confirm continuation of bullish trend.
TSLA - Where and why we can enter a confident long-term positionAside from Elon taking a stronger control position of the operations of the company (upping his equity stake from 10% to 20%), I also like the technicals of this chart for a near-term entry.
We just bounced off of our handy dandy blue tapered HTF selling channel and are looking for some of our buying algorithms to take hold. We are also forming a nice inverse head and shoulders to further indicate this reversal.
As always, I will keep you posted with analysis as price continues to move
Happy Trading :)
ROKU falls after an earnings beat dissapointmentROKU on the 30 minute chart had a sell-off after earnings which were okay not great. Traders
reacted. The question is whether it was an overreaction. I think it was. I am looking for a slow
recovery over a week or more to at least the standard retracement level which I will call 98 as
drawn by the tool. further upside targets are 101 and 104 based on VWAP bandlines.
Buying on the discount is sometimes an excellent tool to reduce risk and use the reversion to
the mean to best advantage and seize an overreaction in the market.
