Buyback Watch for Swing TradingEarnings are over so buybacks are back in the mix. The market is likely to continue to be volatile and choppy until all the ETF investors who want to sell have done so. Then, the uptrend is likely to resume because there are not enough barometers warning of a recession AND we just had one 3 years ago.
Buybacks tend to drive price up, so they are a good swing and momentum trading strategy. Notice how neatly the support from previous highs halted the run down. Reversal points at strong support levels are one area to watch for buyback patterns.
Reversalpatterns
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsGold closed last week with a modest 0.59% gain, after touching an all-time high of $2,431. Geopolitical tensions spurred demand for safe-haven assets, pushing gold to its new peak before a pullback due to a strengthening US Dollar.
The release of US inflation data midweek introduced volatility in gold prices. Following the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, the price dipped to $2,320. However, this downturn was brief as inflation pressures eased, influenced by a lower-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) report.
Comments from Federal Reserve officials, including Boston Fed President Susan Collins, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, and Kansas City Fed’s Jeffrey Schmid, tempered expectations of rate cuts.
Given the recent attacks on Israel by Iranian military forces, this video will illustrate the technical implications on the chart and how to position ourselves for the market’s next moves.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of the XAUUSD chart, utilizing both technical and fundamental perspectives. Our examination included an in-depth study of key levels, historical price movements, market behaviours, and the interplay between buyers and sellers, aiming to unveil potential trading opportunities.
Our focal point for the week is the $2,335 zone, endowed with historical significance, rendering it a pivotal level for next week's trading activity. The sustainability of bullish momentum above this zone could pave the way for continued buying pressure, potentially propelling prices to new highs. Conversely, the appearance of a breach below the $2,335 level, coupled with persistent selling pressure, might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
#GoldMarket #SafeHavenAssets 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
XAU/USD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsGold closed last week deeply entrenched in negative territory, facing strong headwinds from a resilient US Dollar (USD) which hindered XAU/USD from capitalizing on declining bond yields. The Federal Reserve's March meeting highlighted the urgency for policymakers to consider interest rate reductions, despite recent inflation reports suggesting a potential reacceleration. This initially propelled XAU/USD to reach new all-time highs, albeit briefly.
Presently, the US economy exhibits signs of resilience, with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) projecting a growth rate of 2.1% for 2024, up from the previous estimate of 1.4%, while maintaining the Unemployment Rate at 4%. Attention now turns to inflation metrics, particularly the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, favored by the Fed, which is anticipated to reach 2.4%, with core PCE projected at 2.6%, an increase from 2.4%.
As we prepare for the upcoming week, this video serves as a guide to navigating the current market dynamics, offering insights into potential strategies amid these shifting economic conditions.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of the XAUUSD chart, utilizing both technical and fundamental perspectives. Our examination included an in-depth study of key levels, historical price movements, market behaviours, and the interplay between buyers and sellers, aiming to unveil potential trading opportunities.
Our focal point for the week is the $2,145 zone, endowed with historical significance, rendering it a pivotal level. The sustainability of bullish momentum above this zone could pave the way for continued buying pressure, potentially propelling prices to new highs. Conversely, the appearance of a reversal pattern or a breach below the $2,145 level, coupled with persistent selling pressure, might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
#GoldMarket #SafeHavenAssets 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upExplore the unfolding story of USDJPY in our latest technical analysis! Japan's Current Account growth fell short of expectations, printing at ¥1,925.6 billion in November. Despite markets anticipating ¥2,385.1 billion, the actual figure raised concerns. With expectations of the BoJ maintaining its ultra-dovish stance, we analyze how this might impact the JPY's upside potential.
The upcoming week brings Japan's Producer Price Index (PPI) figures for December, adding a layer of anticipation. Meanwhile, across the Pacific, the US Producer Price Index for final demand dipped 0.1% in the last month. This decline, coupled with service prices remaining unchanged, has heightened expectations of lower inflation in the future. Traders are now factoring in a 79% chance of a March rate cut, up from 73% on Thursday, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool.
USDJPY Technical Analysis:
As highlighted in the video, the recent upward pressure is beginning to ease, and the odds of USD pulling back further still exist. However, only persistent trading above 144.800 will validate an uptrend continuation. In this video, we conducted an in-depth technical analysis of the USDJPY chart, carefully examining the current bullish market structure. Our primary focus is within the key zone of 144.000/144.800, which will serve as our center of focus ahead of the upcoming week. The key level becomes an area of interest as continued buying pressure above this zone could incite a clear uptrend. The market's reaction around this area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the trajectory of price action in the days to come.
Join me on this journey as we explore potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Be sure to stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together.
Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week.
#USDJPY #technicalanalysis #tradingopportunities #inflation #monetarypolicy #Fed #interestrates #economicanalysis #Forextrading
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
Cup & Handle - EUHere I have EUR/USD on the 4Hr Chart!
Price has outlined what looks to be a Possible Cup & Handle Pattern with the Low @ 1.07238 being the bottom of the "Cup" followed by an IMMEDIATE reversal to the High @ 1.10089!
Now price is creating what should be the "Handle" where then price should go BULLISH breaking the Top of the Cup CONFIRMING the Pattern!
*If Price Breaks Down below my ENTRY ZONE, Pattern Set-up is INVALIDATED!
Fundamentally this week:
EUR - Core CPI (Tue)
USD - Building Permits (Tue) Consumer Confidence/Home Sales (Wed) Final GDP/Unemployment (Thur) Core PCE/ Durable Goods/ UoM Consumer Sentiment/ New Home Sales (Fri)
*TRADING INVOLVES RISK! DO NOT TRADE WHAT YOU DO NOT UNDERSTAND OR HAVE NOT TESTED BEFORE! THIS IS NOT TRADING ADVICE. EDUCTIONAL PURPOSES ONLY!*
-BUY-
{ SL } 1.08330
{ ENTRY } 1.09002 - 1.08834
{ TP } TBD
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upDespite a slight dip on Friday, the GBPUSD charts remain poised for potential new highs. The aftermath of the U.S. Federal Reserve's dovish pivot faced resistance from New York Federal Reserve President John Williams, moderating rate cut expectations and emphasizing the central bank's commitment to tackling inflation.
In this dynamic landscape, both the Bank of England (BoE) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) maintained unchanged rates but conveyed distinct messages. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey struck a hawkish tone, highlighting that there's "still some way to go" in their inflation battle. In contrast, Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted at sufficiently restrictive monetary policy, introducing discussions about rate cuts, a notion later tempered by New York Fed President John Williams, deeming March rate cut talks as "premature."
On the UK front, December witnessed an overall improvement in business activity, barring manufacturing, which lingered in recessionary territory since July 2022.
As we gear up for the upcoming week, the UK's economic docket will unveil crucial inflation figures and retail sales. Simultaneously, across the pond, the week kicks off with housing data and consumer confidence until Wednesday, followed by the final GDP print, unemployment claims, Durable Goods Orders, and consumer sentiment from Thursday onwards.
Given these developments, how should we approach the week ahead from a technical standpoint?
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound continue its trajectory and sustain its momentum above the $1.26000 zone? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats!
The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from both the US docket for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities.
In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure.
We are keeping a close eye on the potential range between $1.27350 and $1.26000 where a consolidation could happen before the next BIG move. It's a decisive structure where both sellers and buyers will be vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days.
Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsOn Thursday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell joined his teammates in endorsing a stable interest rate policy, providing further support for the XAUUSD. Amidst increasing geopolitical risks, with the conflict between Israel and Hamas spreading to more countries in the region, Gold extended its weekly rally and reached the $1,990 area for the first time in five months on Friday. This surge in Gold prices is driven by safe-haven flows as investors seek to reduce risk exposure, combined with a downward correction in US yields.
Additionally, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic has indicated the possibility of a rate cut in 2024, suggesting a potential shift in monetary policy if economic conditions warrant it. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester has also expressed that the Federal Reserve may be at or near the peak of its rate hike cycle, emphasizing that the central bank will closely depend on incoming data for its decision-making process in the next monetary policy meeting.
As we look ahead, this week's economic calendar will feature key events such as US flash PMI data, the release of Q3 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on its preliminary reading, Durable Goods Orders, unemployment claims, and the Fed's preferred gauge for inflation, the core PCE.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis:
In this video, we dissected the XAUUSD chart from a technical standpoint, analyzed the key levels, analyzed historical price moves, market behaviors, and buyer-seller dynamics, and uncovered potential trading opportunities.
The $1,985 zone will remain our center stage for this week. Its historical significance makes it a crucial point. If the bullish momentum is sustained then the breakout of the $1,985 will serve as a platform for new highs. However, if selling pressure persists below $1,985 just as it had done in the last 5 months $1,900 we could witness renewed selling pressure back into the demand zone at the $1,900 zone.
Stay tuned for more thrilling updates on the Gold market! Hit the like button if you found this analysis helpful, and don't forget to subscribe for more insightful content! 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsWith increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, having Gold in your portfolio can serve as a perfect hedge against international turmoil. As investors closely monitor events in Israel, any increase in geopolitical risk is certain to trigger panic demand for safe-haven buying in gold. Our analysis indicates that the rally is likely to reach $1930 in a quick chase.
Last Friday, buying pressure built up within the $1,810 zone after markets reacted positively to the US Non-Farm Payrolls report. The report handily beat the street, printing at a forecast-clobbering 336K against the anticipated 170K, and the previous figure was also revised higher to 227K from 187K. As a result, market sentiment has turned firmly bullish, taking XAUUSD back up the charts after most of the week saw spot Gold prices firmly on the low end.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis:
In this video, we dissected the XAUUSD chart from a technical standpoint, analyzed the key levels, analyzed historical price moves, market behaviors, and buyer-seller dynamics, and uncovered potential trading opportunities.
The $1,810 and $1,830 zones will remain our center stage for this week. Its historical significance makes it a crucial point. If the bearish momentum is sustained then the breakdown of the $1,810 and the support line on the 4H timeframe could incite a strong downtrend continuation. However, for a sustained recovery the asset has to recapture the crucial $1,830.00.
Stay tuned for more thrilling updates on the Gold market! Remember, trading involves risks, and I always recommend exercising caution and seeking advice from financial professionals. Hit the like button if you found this analysis helpful, and don't forget to subscribe for more insightful content! 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsIn the latest twist of events, gold prices have experienced a significant downturn, marking the second consecutive quarterly decline. This decline, which initiated in August and persisted through September, reached a pinnacle this week, marking the most substantial drop in over two years.
What's particularly noteworthy is gold's relinquishment of its stronghold on the crucial bullish threshold of $1,900 an ounce, a level it had firmly maintained since mid-August. This strategic shift occurred as investors sought refuge in the dollar, deeming it a safer haven, especially given the relatively robust performance of the U.S. economy in comparison to the global landscape.
The U.S. economic growth, standing at 2.1% year-on-year in the second quarter (following 2.2% in the first quarter), underscores this strength. Projections indicate a consistent 2.1% expansion for the entirety of 2023. While factors such as inflation, the labor market, and consumer spending have contributed to this stability, concerns loom over factory activity due to a bleak demand outlook.
To gain further insights into the state of the factory sector, all eyes are on the Manufacturing PMI report for September, set to be released on Monday. This report is anticipated to provide crucial clues about the current health of the manufacturing industry, influencing the market sentiment significantly.
In terms of gold prices, there's a glimmer of hope as the asset found interim support after hitting a fresh six-month low at $1,847.00. The recent five-day losing streak appears to have paused, yet for a sustainable recovery, gold must reclaim the pivotal $1,900.00 mark. Despite this temporary reprieve, the overarching trend remains bearish.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis:
In this video, we dissected the XAUUSD chart from a technical standpoint, analyzed the key levels, analyzed historical price moves, market behaviors, and buyer-seller dynamics and uncovered potential trading opportunities.
The $1,847 and $1,885 zone will remain our center stage for this week. Its historical significance makes it a crucial point. If the bearish momentum is sustained then the breakdown of the $1,847 and the support line of the descending channel on the 4H timeframe could incite a strong downtrend continuation. However, for a sustained recovery the asset has to recapture the crucial $1,900.00.
Stay tuned for more thrilling updates on the Gold market! Remember, trading involves risks, and I always recommend exercising caution and seeking advice from financial professionals. Hit the like button if you found this analysis helpful, and don't forget to subscribe for more insightful content! 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsGold's recent performance faced an unexpected twist, challenging the notion that a Fed rate pause could be its ticket to a breakout. Instead, the precious metal found itself in the shadow of its formidable rival, the US dollar.
The preceding week had seen gold bask in the glory of the US non-farm payrolls report for August. Despite an employment gain of 187,000 jobs, surpassing the forecasted 170,000, the unemployment rate inched up from July's 3.5% to 3.8%. This unexpected rise fueled speculation that the upcoming Fed meeting on Sept. 20 might result in unchanged interest rates, briefly propelling gold higher.
However, as the week unfolded, a new narrative emerged. Speculation resurfaced, suggesting that the Fed might consider not just a pause but potentially more rate hikes before year-end to achieve its 2% annual inflation target. Inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rekindled in July, surging to 3.2%. These mounting concerns prompted the Dollar Index to soar to six-month highs.
Now, the burning question is: What lies ahead for the Gold market in the coming week? Join us as we unravel the intricacies and potential scenarios in this ever-evolving landscape.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis:
In this video, we delve into XAUUSD from a price action-based technical analysis standpoint. By analyzing historical price moves, market behaviors, and buyer-seller dynamics, we extract insightful cues.
The $1,915 zone will take center stage for this week. Its historical significance makes it a crucial point. If the bullish momentum is sustained then the breakout of the uptrend continuation pattern - falling wedge identified on the daily timeframe could incite a strong uptrend continuation. However, if the price breaks below both the ascending trendline and the $1,915 zone then some selling opportunities could take center stage to trigger a USD-favored sell-off.
Stay tuned for more thrilling updates on the Gold market! Remember, trading involves risks, and I always recommend exercising caution and seeking advice from financial professionals. Hit the like button if you found this analysis helpful, and don't forget to subscribe for more insightful content! 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upWelcome, traders, to another exciting episode of my weekly price action-based technical analysis series, dedicated to unraveling the intricacies of the GBPUSD market.
The Bank of England (BoE) gears up for its 15th consecutive interest rate hike on September 21st. Join us as we dissect the implications of this development on price action!
August witnessed a notable surge in the British public's expectations for medium to long-term inflation. The BoE, confronting the highest inflation rate among leading global economies, has set the stage for yet another rate hike. However, the anticipation has stirred a cauldron of mixed reactions. Recent surveys have hinted at a softening outlook for inflation, further fueled by Governor Andrew Bailey's remark that the rate peak is now 'much nearer.'
Throughout the second half of the previous week, the pound oscillated just above a three-month low, eventually finding equilibrium around the $1.24500 territory as the week drew to a close. The brewing uncertainties, coupled with signs of a jobs market slowdown in Britain and an impressive dollar rally, have driven the pound to a 5% decline against the U.S. dollar since mid-July.
With the BoE's next interest rate decision looming on September 21st, traders are keeping a close watch. Derivatives markets indicate a 73% probability of a 25 bps rate hike, while a 27% chance exists that rates will remain steady at the current 5.25% level.
How will these prevailing sentiments sculpt the terrain of this market in the week ahead?
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound find solid support at the $1.24500 zone, or are we heading towards a potential breakdown and a possible sell-off? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats!
The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from both the UK and US dockets for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities.
In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure.
Keep a close eye on that critical confluence at $1.24500. It's a decisive moment where both sellers and buyers are vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days.
Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading!
Disclaimer:
Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment.
I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it.
Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upIn a fresh turn of events, USDJPY surged to new intraday highs on Friday, but the question remains: Can it sustain its four-week uptrend? Meanwhile, Japan's economic output hit levels above full capacity in April-June for the first time in nearly four years, raising questions about the possibility of a shift in ultra-low interest rate policy.
Adding to the intrigue, Japan’s Finance Minister, Shunichi Suzuki, weighed in on Friday, emphasizing the undesirability of sudden FX movements and asserting that Forex rates should be influenced by market conditions and fundamental factors.
On the flip side, wage growth in the U.S. is showing signs of slowing down, adding a layer of complexity to the job market. These mixed signals are fueling uncertainty about the Federal Reserve's forthcoming interest-rate decision, scheduled for September 20th. Fed Chair Jerome Powell's recent remarks at the Jackson Hole Symposium underscored the importance of incoming data, particularly in the context of the evolving relationship between inflation and employment.
So, as we look ahead, what does the coming week hold in store for USDJPY?
USDJPY Technical Analysis:
In this video, we conducted an in-depth technical analysis of the USDJPY chart, carefully examining the current market structure which is evidently bullish. Our primary focus is still within the key zone of 144. 600 and 146.600 zone, which will serve as our center of focus ahead of the upcoming week. As price action remains within this zone, it becomes an area of interest that has led to choppy consolidation before a clear direction emerges. The market's reaction around this area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the trajectory of price action in the days to come.
Join me on this journey as we explore potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Be sure to stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together.
Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week.
#USDJPY #technicalanalysis #tradingopportunities #inflation #monetarypolicy #Fed #interestrates #economicanalysis #Forextrading
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upExplore the GBPUSD landscape as it maintains its optimistic stance above $1.2710 market, driven by robust UK inflation data. The Pound Sterling gains strength from this report and the potential for further interest rate adjustments by the Bank of England (BoE).
With core CPI data raising inflation concerns within the UK economy, the BoE might opt for more interest rate hikes, adding more fuel to the fire of the Pound Sterling's rise. The stage is set for the GBPUSD pair to reap the benefits of this pivotal scenario.
Across the Atlantic, declining US unemployment claims for the week ending August 12 underscore the tightness of the labor market, potentially paving the way for another Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate rise. Fresh FOMC Minutes emphasized the challenge of high inflation and the need for possible monetary policy tightening.
In the upcoming week, eyes will turn to key macroeconomic events from both economies, including the Jackson Hole Symposium and PMI data releases from the UK and US. These data points will shape market sentiment and drive opportunities for the GBPUSD pair.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound find solid support at the $1.27000/$1.26700 zone, or are we heading towards a potential breakdown and a possible sell-off? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats!
The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from both the UK and US dockets for clues. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities.
In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure.
Keep a close eye on that critical confluence at $1.27000, where an ascending trendline intersects in the Daily timeframe. It's a decisive moment where both sellers and buyers are vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days.
Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading!
Disclaimer:
Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment.
I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it.
Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results
XAUUSD | Price Action | New Week perspective | follow-up detailsWelcome back to another episode where we dive deep into the dynamic world of Gold. The bulls' recent positive traction lifted Gold's price on Friday; Breaking a four-day losing streak, it surged from its lowest point since March, hovering above the pivotal $1,885 zone.
Adding to the intrigue, the US macro data paints a portrait of an exceptionally resilient economy, lending strength to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance. This fortifies the US Dollar (USD), holding it near its peak for over two months, thus constraining Gold's ascent.
Beyond these nuances, traders exhibit a certain caution, likely opting to wait on the sidelines as the momentous Jackson Hole Symposium looms on the horizon next week. Brace yourselves for market volatility as central bankers' comments wield their influence. As the anticipation builds, US bond yields emerge as the juggernauts shaping USD dynamics in the absence of significant domestic economic data.
The broader risk sentiment becomes a compass that will be guiding our trading decision toward short-term opportunities.
Stay tuned as we navigate through the intricate tapestry of Gold's journey, dissecting trends, patterns, and possibilities.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis:
In this video, we delve into XAUUSD's price action, decoding accumulation, and distribution patterns. By analyzing historical price moves, market behaviors, and buyer-seller dynamics, we extract insightful cues. The strategic approach? Waiting for compelling follow-through buying signals to confirm a potential near-term bottom for the USD-linked Gold before diving into bullish ventures.
The $1,895 and $1,885 zones take center stage. Its historical significance makes it a crucial point. If the reversal set-up sustains and the price breaks out both the descending trendline and the $1,895 level, a bullish week could unfold. However, the breakdown of the $1,895 level can trigger a USD-favored sell-off.
Stay tuned for more thrilling updates on the Gold market! Remember, trading involves risks, and I always recommend exercising caution and seeking advice from financial professionals. Hit the like button if you found this analysis helpful, and don't forget to subscribe for more insightful content! 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upAmidst Uncertainties, Cable Market Grapples Despite U.K. Economy's 0.2% Growth
In a twist against expectations for a flat reading, the U.K. economy witnessed a 0.2% growth in the second quarter, bolstered by a 0.5% monthly increase in June. However, lingering inflation concerns loom, potentially restraining future growth with the looming possibility of further interest rate hikes.
Shifting gears, the U.S. Dollar held steady on Friday, its value scarcely wavering as traders absorbed the latest inflation data. The U.S. consumer price index matched predictions, showing growth in July compared to the previous month. This outcome prompted speculation that the Fed might maintain current interest rates in September, while also prompting a reduction in expectations for a rate cut this year, maintaining rates near 22-year highs.
At this pivotal juncture, the market's focus tightens on impending economic indicators from both economies in the upcoming week. All eyes are on the 1.27000 level; any failure to defend it could usher in a deeper downtrend movement.
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will the pound find solid support at $1.27000, or are we heading towards a potential breakdown and a possible sell-off? The stakes are high, and we're on the edge of our seats!
The spotlight is on high-impact economic events from both the UK and US dockets, including the Claimant Count Change, ILO Unemployment Rate, Retail Sales, Consumer Price Index, and FOMC Minutes. Brace yourselves as the anticipation and the actual events may trigger sharp price movements that could present incredible trading opportunities.
In this video, we've analyzed the Daily and 4-hour timeframes, exploring bullish and bearish sentiments to uncover the most promising trades for the week ahead. We've delved into key levels, trendlines, and support/resistance points, unveiling essential insights into the current market structure.
Keep a close eye on that critical confluence at $1.27000, where an ascending trendline intersects in the Daily timeframe. It's a decisive moment where both sellers and buyers are vying for control, and how the market reacts here will set the course for GBPUSD in the upcoming days.
Stay connected and join the conversation in the comment section to stay updated on the latest developments. Thank you for tuning in, and get ready for more enlightening insights into GBPUSD in our upcoming content. Buckle up for a thrilling journey ahead! Happy trading!
Disclaimer:
Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment.
I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it.
Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upIn light of recent data, Thursday's release indicated that U.S. consumer price index (CPI) inflation for July met expectations, mirroring the previous month's trajectory. This outcome has fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve will maintain its current interest rates in September. However, this development has concurrently prompted a reduction in expectations for a rate cut within the current year, leading to the anticipation of sustained rates at their 22-year highs.
Consequently, this adjustment has exerted downward pressure on risk-oriented assets, inducing a sense of caution among investors reluctant to engage with Asian currencies, given the prevailing robust outlook on U.S. interest rates.
As a result, the Japanese yen bore the brunt of this shift, registering a decline to a one-month low during overnight trading, only to stabilize in proximity to the pivotal 145 threshold on Friday. However, it is noteworthy that trading volumes remained subdued due to a market holiday observed in the country.
USDJPY Technical Analysis:
In this video, we conduct an in-depth technical analysis of the USDJPY chart, carefully examining the current market structure. Our primary focus is within the key zone of 145.000, which will serve as our center of focus ahead of the upcoming week. As price action remains within this zone, it becomes an area of interest that could lead to choppy consolidation before a clear direction emerges. The market's reaction around this area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the trajectory of price action in the days to come.
Join me on this journey as we explore potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Be sure to stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together.
Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week.
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
USOILSPOT Weekly Analysis: New Perspective and Follow-Up DetailsWelcome back to our weekly US Oil market analysis! Oil prices have been on a remarkable upward trend, extending their gains for a fifth consecutive week. The rally has been driven by perceptions that supply is increasingly tightening in comparison to demand, although recent US government petroleum data has only marginally supported this notion. Despite the impressive gains, signs of strain in the rally are starting to emerge.
Throughout July, US Oil prices surged by an astonishing 14%, capturing the attention of investors worldwide. As we approach the next OPEC+ meeting, scheduled for next Friday, the bulls are eagerly anticipating further discussions on production levels that could potentially propel prices to new highs.
In this video, we'll delve deep into the factors influencing the current Oil market dynamics and explore the possible scenarios that lie ahead. As traders, it's crucial to stay well-informed and prepared for all potential outcomes.
US Oil Technical Analysis:
In this video, we delve deep into the 4-hour timeframe, dissecting key supply and demand zones to uncover invaluable insights into the potential trajectory of price action for USOILSPOT in the week ahead.
Don't miss out on this golden opportunity to elevate your understanding of the future path of USOILSPOT. Stay ahead of the curve and gain a distinct competitive edge by immersing yourself in this price-action-based technical analysis. Unlock the secrets of the oil market's evolution and be at the forefront of every profitable move.
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
USDJPY Forecast: Insights for the New Week & Follow-Up AnalysisThe Japanese authorities are facing mounting pressure as the yen continues to weaken due to market expectations of ultra-low interest rates maintained by the Bank of Japan. The yen gained traction in the second half of the previous week. Speculation of government intervention to counter the currency's weakness added further support. Although direct intervention did not occur, we witnessed a pullback from the key 145 level against the dollar, amidst numerous verbal warnings from Japanese officials cautioning against betting against the yen.
Despite these developments, the outlook for the yen remains uncertain, especially as the Bank of Japan maintains its commitment to loose monetary policy.
Shifting our attention to the U.S. economic landscape, the Labor Department's recent report revealed that June experienced a lower-than-expected increase in new hires, with downward revisions to May's figures. However, the unemployment rate declined to 3.6% in June, and average hourly earnings mirrored the growth seen in May.
Amidst the recent market volatility, there is speculation that despite pausing its rate hike cycle last month, the Federal Reserve might resume rate hikes during its upcoming meeting on July 26.
USDJPY Technical Analysis (Price Action):
This video offers a comprehensive analysis of the current market structure. Our focus centers around the key level of 142.500, which was broken to the downside following a strong bearish move. As price action remains within this zone, it becomes an area of concern, which could potentially lead to choppy consolidation before a clear direction is established. Market participants will closely watch the key economic indicators from the U.S. docket to gauge sentiment. The video examines potential trading opportunities within this area using trendlines and key levels, with particular emphasis on the significance of the 144.000 level as a potential retest for a continuation of the downtrend. The market's reaction to the range around the 142.500 area at the beginning of the new week will heavily influence the direction of price action throughout the upcoming week.
Stay connected to my channel, stay informed by following my updates, and actively engage in the comment section. Together, we'll navigate the dynamic USDJPY market. Wishing you the best of luck as you chart your course in the USDJPY market this week.
Disclaimer:
Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment.
I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it.
Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USOILSPOT Weekly Analysis: New Perspective and Follow-Up DetailsGet ready for an exciting dive into the world of oil markets! As we kick off the bullish messaging from Saudi Arabia and other oil producers, we have an important event on the horizon. The July 5-6 seminar will bring together oil industry CEOs and energy ministers from OPEC - the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. OPEC+, which includes Saudi Arabia and Russia among its allies, holds the reins of over 40% of the world's oil supply.
The bull thesis for oil in the second half gains strength as expectations rise of significant production cuts by major player Saudi Arabia. The goal? To push Brent prices above $80 per barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate to a minimum of $75.
Saudi Arabia, at the forefront of OPEC+, has already announced three production cuts since October, theoretically eliminating 2.5 million barrels per day from their output. As a result, their production in July is expected to hover around 9 million barrels per day.
However, despite these announcements, crude prices have experienced only fleeting rallies. Rate hikes by the Federal Reserve and other central banks have emerged as major factors, causing concerns over a global economic slowdown that could impact energy demand.
Now, the crucial question arises: Will the bullish sentiment prevail as global travel rates are projected to surge in July and August? This surge could potentially lead to a critical shortage of crude oil for U.S. refineries, especially considering the intentional reduction in oil supply from the Saudis to this particular destination. Furthermore, unless extended, the weekly sales of crude from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve will come to a halt, removing one of the tools employed by the Biden administration to keep prices in check.
In this video, I present a comprehensive technical analysis of USOILSPOT, focusing on key supply and demand zones within the Daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour timeframes. By closely examining these indicators, our goal is to provide valuable insights into the potential direction of price action for USOILSPOT in the upcoming week.
Don't miss out on this invaluable technical analysis that will enhance your understanding of the future trajectory of USOILSPOT. Stay one step ahead of the curve by watching the video now!
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
USDJPY Forecast: Insights for the New Week & Follow-Up AnalysisThe USDJPY has experienced a depreciation of over 9% against the yen in the current year. Last Friday, the Japanese currency hit a low of 145.07 per dollar in early Asia trade, the lowest it had been in over seven months. However, it stabilized at 144.30 later on Friday following statements from Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki. Suzuki emphasized that Japan would take appropriate measures if the yen weakened excessively, cautioning against investors selling the currency too aggressively. This level, 145 to the dollar, has historically made speculators wary of potential intervention by Japanese authorities, as demonstrated last September when authorities intervened in the markets to support the currency for the first time in 24 years.
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has been closely monitoring various economic aspects such as the labor market and energy-induced inflation as it prepares for its meeting on July 26 to decide on interest rates. The Fed's decision-making process is influenced by two crucial data points in the U.S.: the first quarter GDP and the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index. These indicators will help determine whether the central bank will proceed with rate hikes in the coming weeks or maintain the current pause in monetary tightening, which was decided on June 14.
According to the Commerce Department, the U.S. GDP grew at an annualized rate of 2% in the first quarter of this year, providing some relief to the Fed and indicating that previous rate hikes did not significantly impede economic growth. However, inflation remains a concern, with a slowdown in the overall trend but still at relatively high levels.
Next Friday, the US will release the June official employment report. The market consensus is for an increase of 200K in payrolls.
Considering these factors, market expectations lean towards the Fed raising lending rates by another quarter percentage point on July 26, reaching a peak of 5.25%.
USDJPY Technical Analysis (Price Action):
This video provides an extensive analysis of the current market structure. The focus is on the key level of 145.000, which played a crucial role in the Bank of Japan's intervention last September. With price action returning to this zone, it becomes a point of concern, acting as either key support or resistance depending on how market participants react in the upcoming week. The video explores potential trading opportunities in this area using trendlines and key levels, highlighting the significance of the 144.200 level as a recent support line, particularly observed on Friday. The market's response to the range between 144.200 and 145.000 at the beginning of the new week will greatly influence the direction of price action in the upcoming week.
Stay connected to my channel, follow my updates, and actively engage in the comment section to stay informed about further technical developments in the USDJPY market. I wish you the best of luck as you navigate the USDJPY market this week.
Disclaimer:
Trading on margin in the foreign exchange market (including commodities, CFDs, stocks, etc.) carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is provided by me for educational and informational purposes only to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not accept any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your situation before making any investment.
I do not guarantee the accuracy of the information provided and shall not be held liable for any loss or damage that may arise directly or indirectly from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications related to it.
Please note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAUUSD | Price Action | New perspective | follow-up detailsA panel discussion took place in Sinatra on Wednesday, hosted by the European Central Bank and attended by the heads of the Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and Bank of Japan. The discussion revealed that nearly all participants agreed on the need for higher interest rates to curb higher-than-expected inflation.
Following the panel discussion, Fed Chair Powell addressed a banking event in Madrid on Thursday, where he mentioned that the U.S. central bank was actively seeking the appropriate level of rates to control economic activity and inflation without causing unnecessary weakness.
The Fed has been closely monitoring various aspects of the economy, including the labor market and energy-induced inflation, among others, in preparation for its July 26 meeting to decide on interest rates.
Two important data points in the U.S. are influencing the Fed's decision-making process: First quarter GDP and the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index. These indicators will play a role in determining whether the central bank will proceed with rate hikes over the next few weeks or maintain the current pause in monetary tightening, which was decided on June 14.
According to the Commerce Department, U.S. GDP grew by an annualized rate of 2% in the first quarter of this year. This revelation is likely to provide some relief to the Fed, indicating that its previous rate hikes did not overly impede economic growth. However, inflation remains a concern, with the overall trend showing a slowdown but still at relatively high levels.
Based on these factors, expectations are that the Fed will raise lending rates by another quarter percentage point on July 26, bringing them to a peak of 5.25%.
In the gold market, prices experienced a gain of approximately 5% in both futures trading and the spot price of bullion during the first half of the year. However, concerns over additional rate hikes by the Federal Reserve have caused some uncertainty, leading to a weakening of gold's support at the $1,900 level as price action remains within correction territory. Weekly price action suggests a correction may be underway or has culminated, as seen on the daily time frame in the video, with prices reaching $1,893 during the week despite a rebound on Friday to bring it back to $1,900.
In the video, a comprehensive price action-based technical analysis of the XAUUSD market was conducted. The analysis considered both bullish and bearish sentiments, as well as accumulation and distribution patterns. Valuable insights into potential buyer and seller behavior were gained by examining past price patterns, market behavior, recurring trends, and significant support and resistance levels.
Given the information gathered from this technical perspective, particular emphasis was placed on the key level at $1,900, which will play a crucial role in determining the direction of price action in the upcoming week. The reactions observed within this zone on Monday will provide valuable indicators, especially during the first half of the week. Prepare yourself to capitalize on the opportunities that lie ahead! Stay tuned for updates that will assist in making informed trading decisions throughout the week.
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsFollwing the Bank of Japan’s policy meeting on Friday, the US Dollar moved a significant 1.74% against the Japanese Yen to settle above the 135.000 for the first time in six weeks. The risk-averse market atmosphere helped the Greenback find demand as a safe haven while hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) bets provide an additional boost to the currency. The coming week is laced with a handful of high impact macroeconomic event hence the need to consider different factors before making an informed decision. In this video, we dissected the current market structure form a technical stanpoint to figure out how to position ourselves ahead of the new week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsThe Yen rose 0.3%, as Japan's core consumer price index inflation remained steady in March from the prior month, at 3.1% hereby confirming that inflation still remained above the BOJ’s 2% annual target and with a series of high-impact macroeconomic events from the Japanese docket in the coming week, we could have some prominent price movement ahead and post the events. Events unfolding from the US docket, especially from Fed officials; insinuates that US interest rates will likely rise further even as economic activity cools. This video illustrates the technicality surrounding price action in the last couple of weeks for an insight into the possibilities of both buyers and sellers in this market in the coming week(s).
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.