S&P500 - The bottom we have been waiting for!The S&P500 - TVC:SPX - officially created the bottom:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
This month we officially saw one of the craziest stock market fakeouts of the past decade. With a drop and reversal rally of about +15%, the S&P500 is about to even close with a green monthly candle, which then indicates that the stock market bottom was created.
Levels to watch: $120, $250
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Reversaltrading
Bitcoin - The Bottom Is In!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is reversing right now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It was really just a matter of time until Bitcoin actually manages to create a potential short term and longer term bottom. With this monthly candle, bulls are taking over again and starting to buy cryptos quite heavily. The chart just tells us that this is not the end, but rather the continuation.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NAS100USD: Rejection Block & Breaker Converge for Sell SetupMarket Context:
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we note that although the market has been trading within bullish institutional order flow, current price action is presenting multiple signs that a bearish reversal may be underway. Institutional behavior appears to have shifted, particularly after liquidity was swept and price began to respect resistance zones.
Key Observations:
Premium Buy Stop Sweep:
Price action swept the swing high rather than breaking it cleanly, indicating a stop raid. This is a common smart money tactic used to engage with buy stop liquidity in premium pricing before reversing.
Rejection Block Formation:
A sharp rejection followed the liquidity sweep, leaving behind a Rejection Block—a powerful institutional resistance zone. This suggests the institutions placed sell orders against willing buyers and are defending this level.
Market Structure Shift:
We observe a break in internal structure to the downside, further confirming that the prior bullish order flow may now be transitioning into a bearish phase.
Breaker Block Retest:
Price has retraced into a Breaker Block, where institutions typically revisit prior zones of buying to mitigate exposure and initiate new sell positions. This zone is reinforced by alignment with the previous buy stop sweep, providing a high-value confluence area for short opportunities.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Await confirmation within the breaker on the lower timeframes. Once confirmed, these zones offer a strong institutional case for short positioning.
Targets:
Focus on discount liquidity pools as the primary objective. Selling from premium levels with the intention of targeting undervalued zones mirrors institutional execution models.
Stay aligned with smart money behavior—observe, confirm, and act with precision.
Happy Trading!
The Architect
Tesla - The Next 7 Days Decide Everything!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is sitting at a crucial structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite the -60% correction which we have been seeing over the past couple of months, Tesla still continuously validates its overall uptrend. That's exactly the reason for my strong bullish thesis and the assumption, that after we see bullish confirmation, Tesla will reject the current support area.
Levels to watch: $250, $400
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NAS100USD: Is this a False Break?Greetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe sustained bullish volatility, indicating that the institutional order flow remains decisively bullish. As such, our objective is to align with that momentum and seek opportunities to position ourselves accordingly.
Current Market Context:
Now entering the New York session, we can anticipate continued upward movement. A key technical development is the recent liquidity sweep—price action took out a set of sell stops, creating the appearance of a potential bearish break of structure. However, this movement aligns with a classic “Turtle Soup” scenario, where a false break is engineered to trap liquidity before the market resumes in its dominant direction.
Institutional Insight:
This sweep suggests that institutions have likely order paired against willing sellers, using their stops as entry liquidity. With that liquidity now absorbed and price rejecting lower levels, we look for bullish confirmations to join the smart money narrative.
Trading Focus:
We are now monitoring for lower-timeframe confirmation entries to validate bullish setups, ideally supported by institutional arrays or bullish order blocks that hold as support.
Let the market reveal the footprints of smart money—our role is to read and respond with discipline.
Regards,
The Architect
Ethereum - The bottom is finally in!Ethereum - CRYPTO:ETHUSD - is starting the rally:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Finally, after dropping an expected -65% over the past couple of months, Ethereum is retesting and already rejecting a significant horizontal structure. Together with the strong confluence of support, Ethereum is now creating a long term bottom, initiating the next bullish cycle.
Levels to watch: $2.000, $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Amazon - Look At This All Time High Retest!Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) will create the bottom soon:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
The trend on Amazon is clearly towards the upside and the recent correction of about -30% did not change that at all. Rather, we are now witnessing an extremely bullish all time high break and retest and therefore, if Amazon actually creates bullish confirmation, this could form a bottom.
Levels to watch: $180
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NAS100USD: Discount Reversal & Bullish Continuation NarrativeGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe the market operating within a bullish institutional order flow—a clear signal for us to align with the prevailing momentum and look for high-probability buying opportunities.
Market Context:
The market has established a well-defined bullish swing, followed by a retracement that delivered price action deep into discount territory. Within this zone, a prior low was taken out, serving as a liquidity grab where institutions could execute order pairing—buying against the willing sellers (sell stops) positioned at discounted prices.
Key Observations:
Optimal Entry Zone: Price retraced into the 62%–79% Fibonacci levels, historically considered the optimal reversal zone. Following this, we observed a rejection—an early indication of bullish re-engagement.
Breaker Block Alignment: The rejection coincides with a breaker block array, a zone where previous selling orders are mitigated and fresh institutional buying begins. This strengthens the validity of the expected reversal.
Bullish Continuation Signs: Post-rejection, price action confirmed a shift in market structure, and prior order blocks have now begun to act as bullish support arrays.
Trading Strategy:
With institutional footprints aligning at key technical zones, I am anticipating further upside. Upon receiving confirmation on the lower timeframes, I will look to enter buy positions, aiming to target the liquidity pools resting in premium prices—the next logical draw for institutional interest.
Stay focused, follow the smart money, and let the structure guide your entries.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Solana - Here Comes The Bullish Reversal!Solana ( CRYPTO:SOLUSD ) might head for new all time highs:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just a couple of months ago, Solana perfectly retested the previous all time high and created an expected short term rejection. However, with the current major support area and a potential bullish reversal, Solana remains in a strong market, potentially heading for new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $120, $250
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nasdaq - Printing The Obvious Bottom!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) already finished the correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After we witnessed a minor "crash" of about -25% over the past couple of weeks, the bottom might be in on the Nasdaq. We simply saw another very bullish all time high break and retest and depite the possibility of a second retest, I am (still) extremely bullish at these levels.
Levels to watch: $17.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NAS100USD: SMT Divergence Hints at Potential ReversalGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, although the current market structure reflects bearish institutional order flow, there are growing signs that a potential reversal may be forming.
Key Observations:
1. Smart Money Technique (SMT) Divergence:
We are currently observing SMT divergence—a strategy where the underlying asset (NAS100) is compared against its benchmark (US500). These indices typically maintain a 90–100% correlation. However, when this correlation breaks down, it often signals that a reversal may be imminent. In this case, while NAS100 continues to show bearish momentum, the divergence from US500 suggests the possibility of bullish interest building.
2. Institutional Support at the Rejection Block:
Further confluence for a potential reversal lies in the presence of a rejection block acting as a strong institutional support level. This is a zone where smart money previously defended price, and if confirmed, it could provide an optimal entry for long positions.
Trading Plan:
We will monitor the rejection block for confirmation of bullish intent before entering any trades. If confirmed, the idea is to target the buy-side liquidity residing in premium pricing zones.
Invalidation Level : This reversal idea will be invalidated if NAS500 breaks below its most recent swing low.
Stay alert for confirmation, and always ensure the idea fits within your broader trading framework.
Kind regards,
The Architect
Meta - The Correction Is Officially Over!Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) is retesting the previous all time high:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For more than 7 years, Meta has been perfectly trading in a reverse triangle formation. And just three months ago, Meta once again retested the upper resistance trendline and reversed towards the downside. But with the retest of the previous all time high, this correction is over.
Levels to watch: $500, $800
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bitcoin - All Time Highs Are Inevitable!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still massively bullish:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite the correction of about -30% which we have been seeing lately, Bitcoin remains in a bullish market. Even if we see another drop of about -20%, this will still just turn into a textbook bullish break and retest and either way, new all time highs will follow on Bitcoin.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $400.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Xrp - Don't Underestimate The Bulls!Xrp ( CRYPTO:XRPUSD ) is bullish despite the recent drop:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Yes, we have been seeing a quite strong correction of about -50% on Xrp over the past couple of months. But no, this bullrun doesn't seem to be over yet but instead Xrp is creating a significant bullish break and retest formation. So if we get the bullish confirmation, we might see new highs.
Levels to watch: $1.8, $3.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nvidia - The Chart Just Told Us So!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) might just still head a little lower:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After Nvidia perfectly retested the previous rising channel resistance just a couple of months ago, it was quite expected that we'll see a retracement. The overall trend however still remains bullish and if Nvidia drops a little more, the overall bullrun continuation rally might just follow.
Levels to watch: $80
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bitcoin - This Is Just Unbelievable!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is not dropping at all:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After we have been seeing one of the craziest weekly drops which I have experienced in my entire trading history, all major cryptos and especially Bitcoin are strongly holding their levels. Since bullish strength continues quite often, I do expect new all time highs on Bitcoin soon.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
S&P500 - The Correction Is Over Now!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is retesting massive support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of days, we have been seeing a quite harsh stock market "crash" with an overall correction of about -20%. However, as we are speaking the S&P500 is already retesting a major confluence of support and if we see bullish confirmation, this drop might be over soon.
Levels to watch: $4.900
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Ethereum - The Perfect Crypto Trade!Ethereum ( CRYPTO:ETHUSD ) is retesting massive support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For the past four years, Ethereum has overall been trading sideways with significant swings towards the upside and downside. As we are speaking, Ethereum is retesting a significant confluence of support and if the bullrun actually continues, Ethereum will rally parabolically.
Levels to watch: $2.000, $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
How to use MAD Indicator to capture trend and reversals?Market Anomaly Detector (MAD): Real-Time Performance Analysis
Overview
The Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) Indicator efficiently identifies market momentum shifts and volatility breakouts, clearly marking bullish and bearish opportunities . This real-time chart demonstrates the practical efficacy of MAD in capturing timely market entries and exits.
Indicator Functionality
Mainline (Blue Line): Static reference indicating general market context about the trend (non-trading but act as support and resistance sometimes.
Upper Band (Green Line):
Buy signal when price closes above, indicating potential bullish continuation.
Sell signal triggered if price closes back below, indicating bearish reversal.
Lower Band (Red Line):
Sell signal when price closes below, confirming bearish momentum.
Buy signal activated if price closes back above, signaling bullish recovery.
Performance Insights (from attached chart)
Timely Bullish Signals
Strong bullish signals clearly marked with green backgrounds as price closed decisively above the green band, capturing rapid upward momentum.
Reversal entries triggered effectively as price reclaimed and sustained above the lower red band, indicating bullish recovery.
Accurate Bearish Entries
Precise bearish signals generated consistently upon the price closing below the lower red band, accurately capturing sustained downward movements.
Price rejection at the upper green band confirmed bearish reversals, signaling timely market exits.
Volatility and Momentum Clarity
Contraction phases reliably indicated reduced market activity, clearly distinguished from momentum-driven expansions.
Band expansion highlighted impending volatility, providing actionable insights for traders.
Key Takeaways
✅ Accurate bullish/bearish signal generation at key band interactions.
✅ Consistent reliability in pinpointing volatility-driven market shifts.
✅ Effective filtering of market noise, ensuring clarity in real-time analysis.
✅ Strong alignment of signals with subsequent market trends and reversals.
This performance snapshot reinforces MAD's utility as a robust analytical tool for traders navigating complex market conditions.
Potential Reversal on the NAS100. key level around 20700.0?The Nas100 has been in a downtrend since mid-February, primarily due to President Trump's tariffs, among other factors. The bearish trend began at a high of 22225.5 and has aggressively declined to 19171.0 without any significant corrections on the 1-day chart. However, currently, the price is forming a correction phase, and I am focusing on the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which is around 20700.0. This level coincides with a previous weekly higher high and higher low area.
Now on the 1D Chart
We can observe that the price bounced from 19171.0. After being choppy for a few days, the price has now broken the lower high structure. It appears that the price is aiming to return to the key level around the 20700.0 area, where we also have the aforementioned weekly levels.
The price seems to be making a gradual approach to the mentioned level, which I find favourable. As this develops on the daily chart, I will continue to monitor this setup in preparation for a bearish sell opportunity, when the price breaks the 1-day correction.
Thank you for reading! 🙋🏼♂️
How To Identify Market Reversals Using the MAD IndicatorOverview
The Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) Indicator is designed to capture market reversals, trend shifts, and volatility cycles using a combination of its Mainline (blue), Upper Band (green), and Lower Band (red) . This idea explores how the indicator performed in real market conditions, highlighting how price interactions with these bands provided trading signals.
How It Works
• Mainline (Blue Line - Dynamic Market Structure Guide)
• This acts as a key trend reference. When price trades above the Mainline , the structure is bullish ; when below, it’s bearish .
• Acts as floating resistance in downtrends and support in uptrends.
• Upper Band (Green Line - Dynamic Resistance Zone )
• Expands and contracts based on volatility.
• Acts as a dynamic resistance—when price struggles at this level, it often signals an overextended move.
• Breakout Above Green Band → Possible bullish expansion, highlighted by Green Background.
• Rejection at Green Band → Signals potential price exhaustion and reversal.
• Lower Band (Red Line - Dynamic Support Zone)
• Functions as a strong support—if price holds, a reversal is likely.
• Break Below Red Band → Sell confirmation, as bearish momentum increases highlighted by Red Background.
Performance in This Case Study (Based on this chart)
1. Reversal Accuracy & Trend Reactions
• Multiple green buy signals were generated as the price bounced from the red lower band, confirming it as a strong support zone.
• When price broke below the red band, sell signals followed, aligning with the continuation of a bearish move.
• Sell signals near the green upper band played out well, confirming resistance rejection.
2. Trend Shrinking & Expansion Dynamics
• The bands contracted during sideways market phases, signaling low volatility and a lack of momentum.
• Expansion occurred before sharp price moves, giving early volatility warnings.
3. Resistance & Support Behavior
• The Blue Mainline rejected price during a downtrend, acting as dynamic resistance.
• Price failed to hold above the Green Upper Band, confirming trend weakness.
4. Strong Market Moves & Confirmation
• The break below the red band led to a clear downward trend, reinforcing the sell signal’s validity.
• The indicator effectively filtered false breakouts by ensuring a clean move beyond its bands before confirming signals.
Key Takeaways
✅ Lower Band (Red Line) = Strong Support → If price holds, reversals occur; if broken, sell-offs follow.
✅ Upper Band (Green Line) = Strong Resistance → Price rejection confirms weakness; breakout signals potential expansion.
✅ Mainline (Blue Line) = Dynamic Trend Guide → Price below = bearish, price above = bullish.
✅ Band Contraction = Low Volatility, Band Expansion = Impending Breakout.
✅ MAD Indicator accurately detected reversals and trend shifts in this case study.
Candle Momentum Exhaustion🚀 Candle Momentum Exhaustion Indicator – Spotting Market Reversals Like a Pro!
🔥 Live in Action! Our Candle Momentum Exhaustion Indicator is pr oving its strength in identifying key exhaustion points in the market. Using a black candle fill to highlight exhaustion areas, the indicator successfully detects when momentum weakens, signaling potential reversals with high accuracy.
📊 Key Features & Observations:
✅ Precision Exhaustion Signals – Captures exhaustion points before reversals, helping traders make informed entries & exits.
✅ Works Across Market Conditions – Whether in a strong trend or sideways movement, it adapts dynamically.
✅ Volume Confirmation – Signals align well with increasing/decreasing volume, adding credibility.
✅ Enhanced Visuals – The black-filled exhaustion candles make it easier to spot momentum weakness at a glance!
🔍 How It’s Performing in Nifty 50:
📌 Recent market structure shows consistent accuracy, with exhaustion points appearing at peaks & dips before trend shifts.
📌 Strong signal clusters near resistance zones indicate potential profit booking areas for traders.
📌 Support areas see exhaustion candles aligning with buying interest, helping catch potential reversals early.
🚀 Conclusion:
This indicator is proving to be an essential tool for traders looking to catch momentum exhaustion before price reverses. With strong visual cues and volume correlation, it’s a game-changer for intraday and swing trading!
💬 How are you using the Candle Momentum Exhaustion Indicator? Drop your feedback below! 👇
NEIRO/USDT: A Hidden Gem Ready for a Massive 300% Breakout!📉 Current Position: NEIRO/USDT is finding strong support near the discount level, signaling a potential reversal. The price is consolidating after a prolonged downtrend, indicating possible smart money accumulation.
📊 Technical Setup:
✅ Support Zone: NEIRO is holding a key support level, preventing further downside. A bounce from here could ignite a powerful bullish reversal.
✅ Fair Value Gap (FVG) Re-Test: The first major target lies in the FVG resistance zone around $0.0010. A clean breakout above this level will confirm the bullish shift.
✅ Break of Resistance: If NEIRO decisively clears the FVG resistance, it unlocks an explosive move towards $0.0025 and eventually $0.0030, representing a 300% gain from current levels.
🔥 Investor Opportunity:
High Reward Potential: Breaking above resistance could lead to massive price appreciation, rewarding early investors.
Smart Money Accumulation: Price action suggests large players might already be positioning before the breakout.
Bullish Confluence: Multiple indicators support an upcoming surge, making this a prime investment opportunity.
💡 Final Thoughts: NEIRO/USDT is setting up for a monumental breakout. A push above $0.0010 could send it soaring toward $0.0030, delivering a 300%+ gain. This might be the perfect time to position ahead of the rally before the market catches on! 🚀📈