Reward
"Money is made by SITTING, not TRADING" - Jesse LivermoreOne of the major reasons why traders lose money is because they ride out their losses and close profitable trades too early.
While being patient can help us to achieve our maximum profit potential, being patient on the wrong side of a trade can be costly.
This is a great insight into why we are naturally predisposed to riding out losses and not quitting while we are ahead. It's an exert from a book that I recommend you all read called "Trading For A Living" by Elder Alexander.
"Roy Shapiro, a New York psychologist from whose article this subtitle is borrowed, writes:
'With great hope, in the private place where we make our trading decisions, our current idea is made ready....one difficulty in selling is the attachment experienced toward the position. After all, once something is ours, we naturally tend to become attached to it....This attachment to the things we buy has been called the "endowment effect" by psychologists and economists and we all recognize it in our financial transactions as well as in our inability to part with that old sports jacket hanging in the closet.
The speculator is the parent of the idea....the position takes on meaning as a personal extension of self, almost as one's child might....Another reason that Johnny does not sell, even when the position may be losing ground, is because he wants to dream....For many, at the moment of purchase critical judgement weakens and hope ascends to govern the decision process.'
Dreaming in the markets is a luxury that nobody can afford. If your trades are based on dreams, you are better off putting your money into psychotherapy."
If your trades, before you enter them, do not have predetermined take levels and stop loss levels, then you are setting yourself up to fail.
Sitting really does make money, but before we sit, we must first SET and FORGET.
Happy trading,
AvidTrader
Potential Trend BatHey all,
Potential Bat pattern here with the underlying trend. Gives us a good Risk Reward based on a 113% X-A stop loss. Targets are a 38.2 and a 61.8 retracement of A-D - Cannot complain with 1:2.5 to target 2.
Pattern still needs to push a little lower until it can be considered valid though so will be paying attention to it later today and if not the start of next week. I'll update the post here.
Fibsii
OPXA Tight Coil and Potential BreakoutGreat coil over past 3 months. More recently the trend of higher lows has tightened. Today, on higher relative volume , it closed higher than it has in a month, and outside of coil I've drawn which shows downward trend of closes. Risk to below the new tighter trendline (.99), reward to 1.25/30 minimum based on width of recent tighter coil. In my opinion, based on how tight this coil has gotten over the last 3 months, big volume could send this to test spot before the gap at 1.49
USDJPY BatHey all,
Here is a bullish Bat pattern at market. I have labelled the legs that stand out to me and also drawn in the C-D Fibonacci retracement to show where targets are taken. Trading 2 positions and aiming for 2 different target levels.
Stop loss above X at a 113% Fibonacci retracement of X-A. With underlying trend so could aim for a third target at a retest of structure, however this depends on your comfort combining pattern trading with a trend continuation mindset.
Fibsii Team