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BTCUSD: Estimated path from here onwards...This is just an application of Time@Mode rules and fundamentals (and sentiment) to plot what the Bitcoin chart will possibly look like over time according to my analysis. I'll be monitoring sentiment and fundamentals to determine if we do bottom and start basing here, or if we will test the next support level below, since there is an active 2-week time-frame downtrend still active as per the chart on the left. The 2-month bars show a potential level where the next long term mode will form, similarly to the level we saw form at $442 from 2013 to 2015, before starting to trend steadily up when breaking up from it. The next bull run will also adhere to Time@Mode logic, like any trend does, so we can already guesstimate even how high and for how long it may go, with moderate accuracy right now. This is subject to change over time, but most of the structure for the trend is already set in place. I expect to maintain 75% of this analysis intact, or more. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by IvanLabrie
13
USDMXN: Topped as per the weekly timeframe...I think the Peso will regain strength over time from this juncture. The weekly Time@Mode trend signal we had here expires next week but price already seems to be trending down in the daily timeframe, and broke a previous weekly low, so I think we're safe to assume the decline started already. The G20 talks and oil related news might be behind the strength in commodities, EM currencies and weakness in the dollar. Either way, I'd like to have some exposure to oil and gold, at the very least, but also look into agricultural futures and related stocks, since the trade truce signaled strength might be seen in these markets. Another interesting market to monitor is tech, in particular $QCOM in the event of a merger...I'll be watching $SPY, since I fear it is a bit stretched, and might go back down, if it's still range bound and not trending. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
Short
by IvanLabrie
GDXJ: Daily, Weekly and Quarterly viewI'm long Jr. miners here, together with positions in oil and oil services, and gold, (and probably silver soon). I think we may get a weekly uptrend confirmation to trigger as a result of the jump towards daily targets that is likely to occur within this week. The move forecasted by the weekly chart would put $GDXJ back at the quarterly time-frame mode, from where we could consider the possibility of prices surging like my quarterly chart show...very lofty targets indeed. I'm holding a 13% position in this stock as of now. Best of luck if you take the trade. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
AMEX:GDXJLong
by IvanLabrie
1
USDCAD: Major topping patternI think $USDCAD might be ready to trend down from here and fulfill the long term chart pattern implications. A long term decline back down to the mode in the 6-month timeframe is possible, but won't be a straight line down naturally. Ideally one would seek to short it when it gets overbought in weekly charts, for example, and aim to cover once oversold...rinse and repeat. This will provide countless trading opportunities for those who are patient and know how to read charts using Key Hidden Levels and Time@Mode. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
Short
by IvanLabrie
USOIL: Correction is likely overI think we have decent odds for a bottom in oil here, after some talks about big players indulging in naked put selling surfaced, banks that -violating regulations- sold put options without any kind of coverage. It could have been that the market was being pushed down to margin call the traders behind these leveraged long positions in oil. Natural gas has surged tremendously since oil topped, which likely is a short squeeze as well, as per @timwest's analysis, but interestingly, the last spike to the upside didn't correlate with a spike to the downside in oil... Evidence indicates oil has bottomed, holding technical support from fundamental events (OPEC meeting key level price zone), since we haven't plotted daily highs below this zone yet and the decline has slowed down, forming a couple of inside days. I bought into a few oil related names and oil futs today, my clients have received updates revealing these picks and the entry and sizing earlier today. Best of luck for us all, Ivan Labrie.
TVC:USOILLong
by IvanLabrie
1
USDCHF: 4H possibly leading to a larger daily rallyThe 4H timeframe looks appealing here in $USDCHF. I'm holding a daily long entry, and speculating on it triggering a larger rally that can last 2 weeks, and reach the vicinity of 1.02332. Currently my stop loss is below the recent low in the daily, but we can look into adding and trailing stops higher once we have further confirmation in a day or two. This trade serves as a hedge for my intermediate term $XAUUSD longs, which I've been holding ever since I called the bottom in precious metals (see related ideas). A pullback in gold would be a nice opportunity to add and buy back silver and mining stocks as well. Keep an eye on those in the coming weeks. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
DIS: Multi-timeframe Time@Mode trendsThe yearly and quarterly trends are up in $DIS. Weekly is back at accumulation support here, and bouncing off it, while the quarterly had retraced down into an ideal long entry level to capture the trend in motion in that timeframe. Signals have large targets, so any dip in this stock is a buy. Key Hidden Levels in the daily offer multitude of profitable long entries, while the trend consolidates in lower timeframes, following the bullish bias from longer term patterns. In short: buy the dip! Weekly can trigger a trend in a week or two, I plotted the potential upside on chart, in cyan. Daily is oversold, but needs to climb back above the last earnings support level, see the chart below: Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NYSE:DISLong
by IvanLabrie
WMT: Retraced into an optimal buy zone$WMT has retraced back down into support here, and it is an attractive buy for anyone using @timwest's methodology and indicators. I'm looking to average into a long position here next week, buying into support, adding into strength, or even averaging down if we test lower support levels...as long as holding above this zone we're in good shape. There's a 9 week uptrend active, as per Time@Mode, so, until this signal expires, or if we fail to hold support at the mode where most of the accumulation happened, prices are likely to trend up from here. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
NYSE:WMTLong
by IvanLabrie
BTCUSD: Bear market still ongoing...The 2 week timeframe has flashed a sell signal in #BTCUSD, the market might trend down until April 2019. I'd stay on the sidelines and wait to buy the bottom by then, it matches the timing of fundamental events yet to pan out, which makes me think this is IT. The market needed a catalyst to move, and we have the Bitcoin ABC mess right now, bullish catalysts are not enough, and not yet here, to reverse this decline...and we still have the supply from Gox creditors that will eventually hit the market at exchanges, which puts a lid on investors' confidence. Stay safe, stay out...trade at your own risk. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by IvanLabrie
13
SPY: Potential market bottom during consolidation phaseI think we may have seen the bottom in $SPY, judging by the action in the last couple days. The market had reached the peak of a weekly signal, and after time ran out for the projected advance started a steep correction until now. Sentiment has peaked apparently, and we could be seeing a turn around in bonds, oil, and $VIX. Keep in mind we might be consolidating, and moving sideways all year, which is what long term (2 month bars) Time@Mode signals imply, and which also aligns with fundamentals here overall. Despite this, the market is supported, and a larger decline is not likely to happen. I hold larger positions in metals, and miners, with some exposure to oil, Euro and $SPY here. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
AMEX:SPYLong
by IvanLabrie
2
USOIL: Correction in a monthly trendI'd reccomend to stand aside, or, look to trade the extremes of the range if you are adept at chop trading. In my case, I'm more of a trend trader, but could look to trade $PBR on dips to support and exit when valuation is stretched again, after an overbought rally...Or stocks like $OXY, or refineries, like $MPC, $PBF, etc. If you expect oil to make a big move, you will get disappointed and probably buy into fake breakouts multiple times, to then get tempted to sell or flip short on fake break downs...The green vertical line on chart is the estimated time required to start a big monthly trend again. Until then, expect a volatile sideways range. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
TVC:USOIL
by IvanLabrie
4