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Rgmov

ETCEUR: Monitoring the consolidation hereI came to the realization that ETCEUR potentially offers us more upside than $ETHEUR, once both trigger a new T@M uptrend signal, probably by the end of the month. According to my projections, $ETCEUR could go as high as roughly 210 Euros within 10 weeks, after breaking a previous week high, during the week starting on July 31st. My reccomendation is to hold off from buying until then, specially if it consolidates here, showing that it is being accumulated for a new mode higher. This trade will offer a nice hedge, against our intended $ETHEUR long positions too. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
26
ZEC: Potential bottom of the correctionI'm long $ZECEUR from 225 euros here. I think we might have seen the bottom of the current correction in it, after a 6 week uptrend ended, despite extending gains a bit higher and for longer, it took 6 more weeks from the end of the first forecasted rally, to apparently form a bottom, so, it looks reasonable to assume that the spike in $ZECEUR isn't really significant (specially when pitted against $ZECUSDT for example, or $ZECBTC pairs). I will include those charts below to further illustrate my point. As you know, I trade using a method developed by my mentor, who is a hugely succesful trader and investor, called Tim West. One of the strategies developed by him, lets you determine the trend, and predict the time duration, as well as potential targets for the current trend in the instrument at hand. As fundamentals go, I think $ZEC is interesting to say the least, but, it raises some concerns among investors when you consider that there can be some hidden supply in it, that the market isn't aware of. I like the underperformance lately, relative to $XMR and $DASH, at least in the last month, probably related to fears connected to Alphabay ( themerkle.com ). Overall, I think this can resolve positively, and would induce a positive shock, and push $ZEC up again. I expect positive developments from the EEA, and Ethereum in the next month, there should be no shortage of bullish news for this and the broad crypto space. Keep in mind that sentiment is extremely negative right now, which is a good enough reason to pile in on the long side in our cryptocurrency basket again. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
4
TEO: Telecom is a longI'm holding longs in $TEO (via $TECO2 in the local stock market) before the big breakout happened, after the news of the Cablevision acquisition surfaced. Cablevision is a private company, leading internet and cable tv service provider. $TEO's acquisition would make it the largest firm in all of these spaces in the country. The chart is constructive for further upside, and I think fundamentals warrant strong growth in the stock. If you examine the monthly timeframe, or even yearly, we have a significant breakout there, so, I expect this to be a huge long term uptrend. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
NYSE:TEOLong
by IvanLabrie
2
ETCETH: Interesting pattern here$ETCETH implies that $ETC will outperform $ETH to the tune of 200%, give or take. By this week's close, we will trigger a 14 week rally, the daily chart is already in a strong uptrend here, just taking off. I added to my $ETC position, now holding a half position, and waiting to add some more on dips, after making some more progress. I think this is an interesting trade right now, with $ETCEUR's upside potential, and also as a hedge to our $ETH exposure. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
32
GOOG: Go long at market open...I'm initiating a position in $GOOG at market open tomorrow. There was some kind of glitch, and the chart looks really funny, so I decided to post it for posterity. The folks at Zerohedge were gloating, looking at the stocks limit down after this glitch, it's actually just that, and in fact, trades that might have taken place were reversed as far as I know. Either way, price hit support -before charts got messed up- so it's a really reasonable place to enter a 10% long position in $GOOG once more. For reference, this is the way the chart looked on close: Happy Independence Day to all Americans, and remember to go long burgers... www.zerohedge.com Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by IvanLabrie
4
EURUSD: Republishing my forecast and long entry hereIn one of my previous publications, I had indicated that the Euro needed time to break above the monthly downtrend resistance zone. We have spent enough time grinding below resistance now, and the market shows it's ready to shoot higher. A tight stop long is possible here, now, and on dips after today. See my previous publication here: It becomes interesting if this is indeed a trend reversal of the scale I had foreseen back then, since it implies a steady uptrend for months to come in the Euro. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
9
CX: Interesting monthly and quarterly signals$CX is an interesting company here. I have liked the negativity surrounding Mexico, and emerging markets since Trump got elected, now we have a solid breakout on strong volume, and a potential monthly and even quarterly uptrend taking off from here. $CX has had strong growth in the past quarter and year, I think it can be a solid performer going forward. Management efficiency has been high, when compared to the average of the past 5 years. Fundamentals are solid, with a decent 5.9% earnings yield, 15% free cash flow yield, this company might be a great value play going forward. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NYSE:CXLong
by IvanLabrie
3
LTCUSDT: Litecoin is accumulated, probably sideways for nowLitecoin has been acting stronger than $BTC, I assume it might grind sideways like practically all coins, until all hell breaks loose by August 1st. Most people are worried, or bearish overall, and in the recent bottoms, we saw traders unload long positions in loss, to quickly realize they had fallen for a bear trap. Until fundamental risks aren't out of the way, it is highly unlikely to see a strong trend in the cryptocurrency space, so, safest bet is to accumulate longs with the smart money in your preferred basket of solid fundamental picks in this market. I'll share my entries with my clients as usual, and we will continue to build our portfolio in preparation for the eventual resumption of the weekly rally in crypto, which might culminate in a blow off top, specially if it hits my weekly targets before the long term timeframe time expires for $BTC and $ETH. The closer we get to 29.54, the safer the long entry in this range...Try to average in gradually, specially when traders become vocally negative, and specially if oversold, on dips. Coins like $LTC and $XRP, have been accumulated for long periods of time, and might be extremely resilient, despite being affected by short term volatility and bear traps/shakeouts during periods of negativity. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie. Disclaimer: I'm long $LTC, $BTC, $XRP, among other currencies and tokens.
Long
by IvanLabrie
15
Oil: Might have bottomed here, next week the downtrend expiresAs discussed in the KHL chatroom, it is likely that oil has bottomed here, considering the sentiment extreme and the situation in Saudi Arabia, with Mohammed Bin Salman appointed as the next in line for the throne, replacing his uncle: www.bloomberg.com This is an interesting signal in its own right, maybe signaling a bottom, which Tim West pointed out as logical. Sentiment is very negative, with analysts claiming oil is basically a 'worthless commodity'...do your own due diligence. Good luck! Ivan Labrie.
TVC:USOILLong
by IvanLabrie
19
TWTR: Shot in the dark...Maybe this time is different. I'm back in the $TWTR long trade, with a small 2.95% stake in it. I think there is a chance to start a rally from here, after the recent daily downtrend time runs out tomorrow. While above the levels in yellow, we could trigger a monthly uptrend, at any time, so, it is a good idea in my opinion to enter prematurely, and see if we gain traction. Perhaps stories about acquisition finally surface, and this time, we do hit our top targets succesfully. Potential monthly upside shown by the red dashed lines on chart, by year end. Now that even my president uses $TWTR for policy announcements, maybe things become more positive for the company. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NYSE:TWTRLong
by IvanLabrie
10
DXY: Logical bottoming area according to KHL and T@MThe Time at mode analysis of the dollar shows an exhausted downtrend in the weekly, hitting a long term uptrend support, paired with extreme pessimism according to RgMov, which is a trend and sentiment analysis proprietary indicator that we use to assist us in our trading decision making. I think the dollar can bottom here, and this could prove to be bullish for US equities. Interestingly, I see gold, oil and other commodities like corn as potentially interesting on the long side too. I mostly use gold to hedge my risk on trades, so I don't mind buying it when the chart gives an opportunity, even if I lose, since it means that my risk on trades will cover that loss more than handsomely. This chart was born out of a discussion with @zhipengcfel in the KHL chatroom. Feel free to stop by or contact me if interested in the methodology that we use, which was created by my mentor, @timwest. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
TVC:DXYLong
by IvanLabrie
4
ETHBTC: Chillax, once more...I'm flat and monitoring the action in $ETHBTC. I think we need to get some kind of sentiment reset to be able to buy it again. In general, I don't advocate shorts in cryptocurrencies, it is a lot more productive to trade the long side only. There are some fundamental risks at play, which would be interesting to see Vitalik Buterin and friends iron out succesfully. For now, I remain skeptical, and the market's exhuberance doesn't do much to calm my anxiety. I will let it form a new buy signal and follow the developments closely to buy back when viable. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
by IvanLabrie
15
XBTEUR: Sideways consolidationPeak sentiment helped us find the top a few times. The last one was a nice bear market in BTC for a few days. I covered my shorts, and bought part of my BTC position (10% of net worth). I aim to have a maximum of 25%, after we get all the scaling news out of the way, and once we have a new weekly uptrend signal. For now, we are under pressure, and we might see a volatile sideways range ensue. The daily chart shows a potential uptrend starting, which points to a sharp 10 day advance, today being day #1, which could top and reverse back down to support, be it at the starting point of the move like the previous 9 day rally, or maybe to the 2170 mark. I noticed people were starting to become negative a day ago, when we were hitting support, and traders who were complaining about being in cash, and even worse shorting, started to complain about NOT being in a short anymore, and missing this action. This is typical behavior at turning points. The thing is that sentiment is rapidly switching, turning 180 degrees over the course of 2 weeks...Interesting to say the least. Combine the crowd behavior, with the fundamental information available to us from multiple sources and we can paint a vivid picture of what's going on, and what we can expect from this or any market. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie. ps: this is the signal I sent to my clients to long: imgur.com "Let's try buying a 10% long in BTC now. We will add back to longs gradually."
Long
by IvanLabrie
34
XBTEUR: To the gamblers, latecomers, and bubble chasersI think it's a good time to reevaluate divesting from crypto once again. We have considerable risks, yet no one even bothers thinking about them. Anyone aware of fundamentals knows that we can see some nasty scenarios in the coming weeks and months. I would reccomend taking a break from crypto, and for instance, holding only 25% of your capital in it, be it in the shape of some cryptocurrency or cash at exchanges. The former induces risk from potential volatility to come, the latter, from 3rd party risks. Either way, it is a risky proposition, so however you look at it, try to use reason, and not emotions to decide how to protect your wealth. Upside vs downside risk favors being in cash, or even short. Fundamental risks, and sentiment extreme in BTC, and the broad crypto markets make me think the technical setup is likely to materialize, and that we can get a correction any time soon. Perhaps after June 16th, since that is the earlierst known date where we might encounter 'scaling risks'. After August 1st, some risky scenarios might ensue, some of which could cause difficulties to exchange operators, and all of which can cause this market's value to decrease significantly. The technical chart called for a rally to 3000 euros, by the end of Dec 2017, or sooner. In this case, I could assume that we have two main scenarios going forward: #1: The time duration of the rally is valid, and we get continued upside. This doesn't imply a correction won't happen. The market can take many detours before finally topping by year end. Sentiment and shorter term signals would be our guide, to navigate trends while risk/reward is positive in the short term and sentiment still negative or neutral. Sentiment is extremely bullish now, which is a contrarian signal and a cause for concern for any astute investor. In this positive scenario, we get a healthy correction during this time and going into August events, and maybe lasting for a while longer until sentiment resets, everyone panics and we bottom in the weeky timeframe again. Then we launch into a rally for the duration of the year again. #2: This was IT, the crypto bubble peaked, we get a nasty 2 year+ correction or consolidation akin to 2013 to 2015. If this is the case, which I fear might be, we might never hit the 3000 euro mark or we hit now before the time expires for the long term rally. This could easily form a top any time soon, and the fundamental events to come would exacerbate the selloff causing the newcomers to lose all their money, longs to get margin called, maybe some exchanges to go bust, and then get a continuous chain of negative events, and increasingly negative sentiment...some possible events include problems after the scaling solutions are implemented in BTC, ETH facing technical design problems that cause the rally in it to peak and massively decline back to monthly support at 11 eur after PoS gets delayed again, China to regulate ICOs, maybe harsher regulations take place broadly accross crypto markets globally, etc. People should be wiser investors, and not gamblers who chase momentum. This never ends well, or at least is not a wise investment strategy. The insanity in sentiment has made people very critical of my work, I get ridiculed, insulted, mocked often. When all is said and done, I might be proven right, to the permabulls dismay. Disclaimer: I think BTC and cryptocurrencies are of tremendous utility in the world, and a new asset class in their own right. I would like to maintain 25% exposure to this market at all times, but it's wise to diversify into 3 other asset classes to store and grow your wealth. (local and foreign stocks, bonds/gold/silver, cash, real world businesses/passive income sources). Specially after a huge win in one market, pour the gains into equalizing your exposure in other fields.
Education
by IvanLabrie
80
DASHUSD: Potential upside is significant stillThis is my updated analysis for $DASH, seems like we have a new uptrend signal kicking off today. The action is very explosive and suggests immediate upside. The weekly targets are potentially 2, $280.3 and $646.28. The quarterly chart implies that upside to $757 is possible too. I am long $DASH, and will look to ride this trend as best as possible while it lasts. The fundamentals of many altcoins present opportunities, specially when paired against a $BTC short, so, it is a good time to trade the BTC ratio pairs. Comparing $BTC's current scaling and sentiment exhuberance risks, with other offerings in this space risks, which are better in your opinion? Comment below. Best of luck, Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
14