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TLT: Time to scoop treasuriesWhen most people are fearing an asset bubble in treasuries, and after increasing fears of rising yields, with many doomsayers calling for the end of this 'bubble', and a rapid selloff, it's clear that $TLT has found support, and that we can take the long side if it breaks last week's high. An integral part in any portfolio, $CEF, and $TLT. See my previous $TLT publications to have an idea of how effective the trading in bonds has been. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by IvanLabrie
SPX: Short term updateWe have to keep in mind that next week we have OPEC's meeting on the 27th, and factor in that by Friday 30th, the weekly uptrend time expires, and we could expect a loss of bullish momentum, and a return to 2052.40. I think this is a lower probability occurrence, and will look to long and reasess as we go forward. Like I explain in my $SPY chart in related ideas, we have longer term signals that might pan out, and a possible short squeeze propelling us higher, so I remain bullish in the short term while we don't dip under 2133.6 here. Buying now, or buying dips to 2149.1 will remain my favored strategy for $SPX. Meanwhile I intend to hold my other longer term positions, in case the October close confirms the 2-month uptrend target of 2516. There's a chance oil breaks out into an uptrend too, but it's a lower probability event, so also factor that in. (See chart in comments) If we do break out and rally, coming back to test the levels on chart would give an actionable level to buy against as well. So, mark these on your charts: 2164.6 2136.3 2108.1 Good luck! Ivan Labrie.
FX:SPX500Long
by IvanLabrie
BAC: Potential shortWe can enter shorts in BAC at market, to diversify and avoid being 100% net long, and also, to fade this over loved and over owned stock's rally, as it moves back down to the triple key earnings support zone below. I'd like to hold some shorts, since I expect the markets to chop sideways for the most part, and also to minimize my long exposure. This trade is fighting the recent trend and RgMov direction, so don't risk too big on it. Maximum of 0.5% is ok. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
NYSE:BACShort
by IvanLabrie
QLD: Buying at market open, buying dipsSimple, let's buy dips to 84.98, and also buy at market open tomorrow. Risk 1% between both entries with stop at 83.91. Today's events pave the way for uptrend continuation in equities, as I had suggestes previously. Now we have firm confirmation with VIX retracing 75% of the recent spike. We only need QLD to sharply rally off this juncture, so be ready to join this trend. Target is a rally above 100 at least. If interested in access to my trading signals or tuition services, message me privately. I'm offering a discount for trading signals and tuition for one year. Contact me for details. Good luck! Ivan Labrie.
AMEX:QLDLong
by IvanLabrie
LUV: Great accumulation at key level$LUV is showing a great accumulation pattern, right above an older 'Key earnings support' level. We can long at market open risking a drop to 35.40, and aiming for a retest of 39.97 in the intermediate term. This is a good way of leveraging a potential retracement in crude oil to be seen soon, possibly after the next OPEC meeting shows leaders fail to reach an agreement, or if they simply 'freeze' production at record levels (which is the same as sitting on their hands, and maintaining the status quo). Feel free to comment. Also, if interested in learning more about my private tuition and/or trading signals service, message me privately. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
NYSE:LUVLong
by IvanLabrie
1
Gold priced in pesos: Argentinians, swap your USD for GoldPhysical gold is the asset to own, if you live in Argentina and don't trust in the government, the currency, or the stock market. Owning shares in $MERV stocks might work well, but I'd rather avoid that risk considering the country's fundamentals, and stick to physical gold. I had reccomended to buy dollars when price was around $13 something for USDARS (see related ideas). Well, that can still continue creeping higher, but I think it's a safer bet to swap (at least 50%) of your holdings for gold here. We have 15.41% upside vs the peso in store. Compared to 6.05% left for $USDARS to appreciate further. And, there are risks of dollar weakening until December, so, now is the time for action. Go, swap those USD for Gold, and thank me later. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by IvanLabrie
2
DXY: Remains trendless$DXY is in a giant triangle, we can easily define limits for the range and apex based on the range of the Brexit day. It's clear momentum favors the downside now, with potential for a time at mode signal to trigger. A good and logical target is the 93.45 mark, but the weekly signal entails potentially larger downside if we get confirmation during next week. You can opt for only taking the FX trades, but the index remains certainly tradeable here as well, defining risk as a rally back to 95.90, which is where your stop should be. Good luck, Ivan Labrie.
TVC:DXYShort
by IvanLabrie
Forex portfolio: Go long GBPUSDI'll be posting my current FX portfolio ideas now. Today's events pave the way for really big trends until the end of the year so don't miss out on these, and all the follow up trades we will get. Go long GBPUSD with stops under 1.29453. We can risk 0.5% on this trade. We're breaking above the options expirations resistance and we can expect a solid upwards move towards 1.36599. If interested in access to my trading signals or tuition services, message me privately. I'm offering a discount for trading signals and tuition for one year. Contact me for details. Good luck! Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
3
PGC: Cheap valuation, strong accumulation, ready to fly$PGC is offering an amazing buy signal here. We have a potential explosion pattern building, and if we break above the key earnings resistance above, we could see the 22.36 target get hit in the intermediate term. I'm already positionied in this stock, and looking to add once we break the resistance. For now, you can jump in at market and add aggressively above 20.85 using the same stop loss. Valuation for this company is very cheap, and they are profitable, which gives way for a perfect technical and fundamental trade. Good luck! Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:PGCLong
by IvanLabrie
GBPCHF: Prices are being drawn higherWe can look to go long on a break of yesterday's high, risking a drop under yesterday's low here. Risking 0.5%, and adding once the setup is confirmed is a good idea. The Brexit range defines a good way of weighing the price action in this pair. Keep an eye for the level at 1.28517, since once we cross it, $GBPCHF could accelerate rapidly and head towards the 1.366 mark. It's a lofty target, but in the realm of the logical and probable once conditions are met. Good luck! Ivan Labrie.
Long
by IvanLabrie
SPY: Smart money bought the dipThe VIX index shows us that the smart money actively bought the dip from the Sept. 12th, to yesterday's high. This range gives us a long lasting support/resistance level that the market will acknowledge in the future, and that can serve as guidance for us as well. If we see a breakout from here onwards, and we manage to stay above this range, upside is highly likely. There are a few angles we can take, when looking at the daily $SPY chart structure. From a 'Time at Mode' trend analysis perspective, the accumulation pattern from the 2016 low to today lasted 13 weeks, then we took off from that level and actually hit the top target, so now we need to see if the market is strong enough to trend even higher from it. To confirm this, we need to see a new 13 week+ accumulation level, ideally, before taking off, and considering we have 8 weeks at the top level, that would leave us waiting in a sideways range until the end of October. Now, it could also happen that we rally from this 8 week level once we break above it, but this would signal exhaustion in the trend (probably a huge short squeeze causing a rapid move), which would imply that this could be the last rally before a move down back to the 13 week mode from where we took off, which is around the 207 mark. This top could materialize within 8-9-10 weeks from the breakout above 217.36, putting a top after November 18th-December 2nd (which makes a lot of sense considering the date of the elections and the next FOMC). If we proyect a target based on this 8 week range, we can obtain two distinct figures, which we can also contrast to my longer term projections. Targets for the last 8+ weekly range above: 225, possibly 235. Long term uptrend targets if by October's close we don't retest 210: 235-250. In the short term, we look to buy at market, and buy dips towards 214.73, with all stops under 214.73. If we see 218.43 hit within 3 days we're in excellent shape for a rapid rally. If we don't we also have to see if we hit 217.92 by or before Sept. 29th. Short term risk comes from the OPEC meeting on the 27th which could create volatility, with my expectation of crude being sideways for the year, so we have keep this in mind. If we don't retest this target on time, it means we can go back down to 214.59 before rallying again, but I doubt it. Keep an eye on the RgMov speed line signal, if and once we break it, we'd be fairly safer on the long side. There you have it folks, you know what to look for, and how to trade from here onwards. Good luck, and if you have questions or are interested in learning more about these methods, contact me. Good luck! Ivan Labrie.
AMEX:SPYLong
by IvanLabrie
2
IBB: Could be range bound hereI'd reccomend looking to exit from biotech longs before news this week. The resistance level between 290.75 and 293.47 is quite significant, and the forecasted target from my previous chart is almost hit. Anything above that target is a really decent exit for now. The market being sideways, is what would frustrate the most people, and thus, it's the most likely scenario here, in the short term. I'll be focusing on riding the short term legs via SPX, while holding my longer term fundamentally biased trades, heding my exposure to longs by selling calls when viable, and/or buying puts, whilst also being able to quickly switch from long to short SPX cfds, and generating uncorrelated returns from FX and commodity trades. Good luck! Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:IBB
by IvanLabrie
Russell 2000: Time at mode break downIn this chart I examine the trends in the Russell 2000 index, from the perspective of the 3-day chart. We can see how the previous 'Time at mode' signals that triggered in the past, forecasted the duration and price range of each rally before a pull back started, and the speed line support levels held, giving way to uptrend continuation. Now, we're in a tight spot, we need to see bulls hold here, and prevent bears from dragging the index down under the red, or as a last stronghold for the bulls, the orange speed line support zone. If and when we see a new 11 bar level up here, we can assume trend continuation is in order. For the time being I remain cautiously long NAS and SPX cfds, as well as a few fundamental picks in equities, but I'm open to shorting the failure of bullish momentum that can trigger by the 20th's close. Good luck and remember to reduce your risk exposure this week, either via options, futures, or simply changing allocation of funds to more diversified and less correlated instruments, and different trading strategies. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
TVC:RUT
by IvanLabrie