Lordstown Motors dropping even more. RIDEBroken floor, the shallowest B Wave maybe this month or quarter. Could be quite a sizeable drop. We are relatively confident about this one, as Wave C is now confirmed.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
Ride
RIDE - long EVWe have a great Setup in Ride here, ranging in Week 5, daily signal is active, im in since lower but added last day,
if you want to play it safe you can set a tight stop loss to around 6.28 to join the trend which hopefully continue, but things look good in my view!
Have a good RIDE
$RIDE Target 10.89 $RIDE Target 10.89
Target it the same…
This was fun today… it did make a break above the long downward trendline… Let’s go for a full breakout…
let’s go, y’all…
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On the far right of the chart is my Average (Grey) Current Target (Green), and Next Level to add (Red) Percentage to target is from my average.
ONLY ADD at support levels & FIB levels… labeled
I start every position with .5 - 1% of my account and build from there as needed and as possible.
I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed.
GL and happy trading.
$RIDE Analysis & Key levels - Breakout time?? $RIDE Analysis & Key levels
I’m just sitting here… waiting for a breakout…$RIDE 🧘🏻♀️
ADDED to $RIDE Target 10.94 for 80.23%$RIDE Target 10.94 for 80.23%
Here’s another one that I added quite heavily into today to bring my average down. Technicals look pretty great here to and RIDE is getting squeezed between two trend lines… I’m hoping for a break UP…
RIDE UP…
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On the far right of the chart is my Average (Grey) Current Target (Green), and Next Level to add (Red) Percentage to target is from my average.
ONLY ADD at support levels & FIB levels… labeled
I start every position with .5 - 1% of my account and build from there as needed and as possible.
I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed.
GL and happy trading.
Starting to feel bullish on RIDEStarting to feel bullish on RIDE
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On the far right of the chart is my Average (Grey) Current Target (Green), and Next Level to add (Red) Percentage to target is from my average.
ONLY ADD at support levels & FIB levels… labeled
I start every position with .5 - 1% of my account and build from there as needed and as possible.
I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed.
GL and happy trading.
🟢 DOUBLED $RIDE Target 15.72 for 44.88% (Risk Level - MED)🟢 $RIDE Target 15.72 for 44.88% (Risk Level - MED)
Or double position at 5.98
WELL... I doubled yesterday + 1 add today, and I posted this one yesterday but they I got the dreaded 24 hr TV flag restriction 😬... haha... it's ok TV, it won't happen again...
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On the far right of the chart is my Average (Grey) Current Target (Green), and Next Level to add (Red) Percentage to target is from my average.
Numbers with an A are places that are a good idea to add if you can.
Numbers with a D are places where you should double your position.
I start every position with .5 - 1% of my account and build from there as needed and as possible.
I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed.
GL and happy trading.
Major Reversal for Lordstown?Big things could be in store for RIDE after a brutal yet easily foreseen correction in price for the larger part of the year so far.
This asset has been a bucking bronco and now looks to be whipsawing inside of an ascending channel on the weekly and daily timeframes. There appears to be support just below $10 at the moment and should this level hold on the weekly, a spike to the .236 fib level could be in store at $12.64 - a whopping 37% move to the upside. That will be the first level to take profit. The top of the ascending channel would be the ultimate target which currently stands at roughly 70% to the upside from the current price as of writing this.
The opening of this short week on Tuesday will be telling as this is an asset that moves very quickly.
Take note of the RSI on the weekly as it is at a low risk area with plenty of room to run to the upside if it so chooses to. The same can be said of the daily RSI as well.
Lastly, a breaking of the green support line with a confirmed close on the weekly would suggest a return to the $6.72 low - 27% drop from where we currently stand.
This trade will require one's active and preferably professional attention due to the volatile nature of this asset's price action.
WTF IS GOING ON WITH RIDE? PARADIGM SHIFT IN TRADING PSYCHOLOGY?Are we in the middle of a paradigm shift in the entire market? With everyone having access to investing, not everyone knows what to do. So they put money that sounds good or someone told them is good.
We need to keep watching RIDE and take a seat, it's gonna be a bumpy one.
Ride Lordstown Stock - My Worst Trade?You know, on YouTube, all these traders, they’re always showing you how much money they make with trading, but very few of them are actually talking about the bad trades.
Well, you know what? I thought today I’m going to address this head-on because many of you had questions about a bad trade that I’m in. That trade being RIDE , Lordstown Motors.
I want to discuss why I entered the trade in the first place, what went wrong with this trade, how it is hurting my account right now, and what I’m personally doing to get out of it.
Why I Got Into RIDE
So far my realized profits for the year to date are at $94,476. So that’s pretty good, right? I mean, for trading for only 6 months and this is on a $250,000 cash account, which I’m using as a margin account.
So I have a stock buying power of 2:1. So $500,000 in buying power.
Well you see, all of this would be handy, dandy, and good if there weren’t this one pesky, huge unrealized loss.
This huge unrealized loss comes from one trade, RIDE. Now, I want to tell you first quickly why I got into this, and then I want to show you what happened, what I’ve been doing so far, and what I’m planning to do.
Back in mid-February or 2021, I am with my kids at a sailing regatta in Florida, and we’re doing good. I have a few positions on, all is planned and then this massive snowstorm hits Austin, Texas. Snowmageddon!
This meant that we are trapped in Florida. Yeah, boohoo, could be worse places to be.
Anyhow, I’m there in my RV. So it’s a 44-foot motor home and we are stuck there, and you know what? I’m bored out of my mind, and this is when I start tinkering around with my trading plan, which I definitely shouldn’t have done.
So I’m entering a trade and I’m taking it with my Mastermind group. And I say, “you know what? I am going to take an aggressive trade.”
Trading while bored is never a good idea, and I don’t like to trade the usual trades. But there was nothing to do, so I wanted to take a more aggressive trade. At that point, I liked Lordstown Motors and its story.
Again, this is mid-February, way before Hindenburg Report.
So I’m selling puts at a strike price of 21.50, the premium was good, and the current price was somewhere around $26, so all was looking good.
What Happened To RIDE?
Pretty much the day before my options expire, the Hindenburg Report comes out and says that they have a bunch of orders that are fake, that are not real orders, they are just pre-commitments, and their trucks catch on fire.
So it’s a scathing report.
Well the markets reacted, and within a few days, RIDE fell from $24 to around $17, and I got assigned 7,000 shares at my strike price of $21.50.
Now, first of all, getting assigned is not a problem at all. I’m trading The Wheel Strategy and getting assigned is part of it.
I’ve been stuck in trades before that went against me. My plan when this happens is, as soon as the stock dips more than 30 percent, I am flying a rescue mission .
A rescue mission means that now I am selling more puts hoping to get assigned, and therefore lowering my cost basis .
My Plan To Get Out of RIDE
So this all is still according to my plan, and that plan is, I will fly a rescue mission at some point when the stock is down more than 30 percent.
So this means I needed the price to go down to around $14. At this point, I flew a rescue mission and sold more puts. I do believe it was for a 10 strike price.
I didn’t want to use all of my buying power for a rescue mission. I like to fly rescue missions in thirds so instead of going in with 100 contracts, which I would usually do, I’m selling only 30 contracts.
So now after I’m doing this and getting assigned, I’m lowering my cost basis to $15.79.
This basically means that I bought 7,000 shares at $21.50, and I bought another 3,000 shares at around $10, I now own $10,000 shares at an average price, so this is the cost basis here, at an average price of $15.79, instead of $21.50.
Usually, what do you see? It is very, very rare that a stock will go down in a straight line.
Usually what you see that the stock is going down, bouncing a little bit back up, down, bouncing a little bit up.
This is where often you can apply Fibonacci lines, right? And this is why the Fibonacci tools are so powerful where you these retracements.
However, RIDE is one of the rare stocks that does not like to bounce back.
RIDE Is one of these rare stocks that actually went down almost in a straight line without ever bouncing back.
That, of course, causes a problem, because if I’m owning 10,000 shares at a cost basis of $15.79, and the prices are now at around $9-$10, I cannot sell calls anymore.
Now, this is part of my strategy The Wheel Strategy that again, I’ve been very successfully trading for a long, long time, where I made in almost $95,000 in realized profits.
How RIDE Has Affected My Account
But again, this one here is a bugger. It just did not want to bounce back. Now it gets even worse and here’s why.
Since I have been flying a rescue mission with one-third, where I actually bought another 3,000 shares, I am flying more rescue missions because I still have another two-thirds available for my rescue missions.
So I’m selling puts, 30 puts at a time, at a level of $8 and $7, hoping to get assigned.
What does RIDE do? Never goes low enough to actually get me in so that I can lower my cost basis anymore.
Now, with my Mastermind members, we have been following this trade together, and many of them have actually been able to get assigned and lower their cost basis.
I don’t know what happened here, this is just one of these trades where nothing goes according to plan. Well, a few things went according to plan, but here I didn’t get assigned.
So this means that my cost basis is still sitting at $15.79 and RIDE at one point went all the way down to a low of $6.69. Now, when you have a cost basis of $15.79, you have a difference of $9.10.
When you have a loss per share of $9.10, and you own 10,000 shares, that is an unrealized loss of $91,000.
This is how bad it got. However, I was still following my plan because that’s what I like to do. I have a plan, and I’m following my plan, and I’m selling more and more premium.
By doing so was able to collect $14,248 in premium. So yes, I am sitting on a big unrealized loss, but then I have realized $14,248 that I collected in premium.
That money has been deposited in my account. So I can subtract this, which is around $14.28.
So I’m deducting this from my cost basis to get at a new break-even of $14.37.
What Is Happening With RIDE Now?
OK, so this is where my cost basis is and now the magic happens. RIDE actually popped up to $15.80.
Now the key question here is that you might ask, “Did you get out?” No, I did not, and there are actually two reasons for it and I want to show you exactly why.
1) When that happened I wasn’t in front of my computer. I’m not watching the stocks all day long. Usually, my trading routine is such that I’m only looking at the markets for thirty minutes in the morning. After this, I’m walking away, I’m doing other stuff, and I’m living my life.
So I did not see when RIDE went all the way up to $15.80, and I did not see when shortly after this it crashed all the way down to $11.
2) The 2nd reason is super important. So let me explain this to you according to my plan. According to my plan, I am selling calls against my existing position.
I sold 100 hundred calls, at 15.50. These are covered calls because I own these 10,000 shares, and I sold another 200 calls that expire tomorrow (at the time of this writing).
Now, here is what happens when the stock jumps up to call options. I mean, if you know options, then you know that as the stock goes up, these call options become worth more money.
This is why I’m making money on the stock. So on the stock, yay, I’m making money, and on these options, before expiration, I would lose money. Part of the game.
How much were these options down when this happened?
So we are talking about the 15.50 call, and they went as high as $1.07, so means that on the option, I would lose $10,700, even though right now with the stocks, I would be at break even.
So even if I were in front of my computer at this time, I might not have liquidated it, because if I had, I would have still suffered a $10,700 loss.
Now, obviously, everybody can say, “Well Markus you should have done this.” Yeah of course. Woulda, coulda, shoulda.
You see, in hindsight, we are all the greatest traders. So what happened here? We had positive momentum, this was all before the report with the SEC was filed and it looked good, right?
I mean, Lordstown Motors just announced that they will take their Lordstown week virtual, where they let the whole world see what is going on.
I mean, I don’t know how good you are at chart reading, but even if you just know some simple chart reading, you would have been able to see a solid one, two, three formation, and we broke above number two.
So this from a chart formation standpoint is a solid uptrend.
Also, you know that I like to use my indicators and the three indicators that I like to use, according to the PowerX Strategy, are RSI, they are stochastics, they are MACD.
So all of this looked really, really good, and this is where we saw that RIDE has been in an uptrend. Then the news hit and of course, you can never factor in the news, and it went all the way down.
What Do I Do Now?
Honestly, when I looked at the chart, at this point when everything was going on, it looked good. RIDE just recently had the highest volume ever.
So what am I doing right now? I am aggressively selling calls at, or slightly below, my break even.
So I have an order in there to basically roll this week’s, so this will expire worthless. By doing so, it will add another $1,000 to the existing $14,000. So this is good. It brings me up to more than $15,000.
And now the next thing that I want to do here is, for next week, sell the 14 call. My idea here is that for this I would like to achieve a credit of 50 cents. Now, just to let you know, a credit of 50 cents means for the size that I’m trading, $5,000.
Now for tomorrow (time of writing was on 6–10–2021), depending on what Lordstown does tomorrow, I’m willing to lower it to $3,000. You see, if I can make $3,000 per week on Lordstown Motors, that will be good.
Obviously, I know that there is a good possibility that Lordstown can go further down.
Yesterday that there was a massive move. We went from $10 to almost $13 on some rumors that they might have secured funding.
Now, hope is not a strategy. I’m not hoping that they will secure funding, but here’s what I see.
I see that if there is a small pump, and at this point the pump might only be, right now we are trading at $10.59, so if it is from $10.59 to $11.50, the 14 call option will double in value.
This is when I can possibly, instead of $3,000, bring in $6,000 or $8,000 per week.
Now, what does this do? It lowers my break-even to a point where I can get out with maybe a small loss. And you see, for the size that I’m trading, for me a small loss, I discussed it with my head coach Mark Hodge earlier, would be around $20,000 That’s a fairly small loss for me. That would be absolutely OK.
See, based on $250,000 in cash, $20,000 is less than 10 percent, closer to an 8 percent hit. If I’m basing it on the margin of $500,000, it would be a 4 percent hit.
It really depends on how you see it. You see, some of you might do it based on the cash, others might do it on the margin. So that’s what I’m looking for.
Where Do I Stand With RIDE Now?
So where do I stand right now? So as of now, RIDE is down. The stock is down $51,000, and I collected $14,284 in premium. So right now I’m down about $36,000.
It’s not too bad. I mean, yes, let’s face it, that’s not nice. $36,000 based on my account size is around 15 percent. So it’s not nice, but it’s manageable. I mean, think about it. Have you ever done a trade that took down your account by half, or by even more?
I mean, in the beginning of my trading career, I did super stupid trades. I was placing trades that really brought my account down by 50 to 60 percent.
So what I’m looking for right now are these pops where we go from $10.50 to $11.50. Because the implied volatility that is governing options premium for RIDE is kind of off the chart.
The implied volatility, right now, 242 percent. Two days ago it was 300 and 400 percent.
So what I noticed earlier today and yesterday is, as soon as we see a one-dollar pop, which again happens all the time, this is when it’s not that nice.
I have to watch it a little bit more throughout the day, which is really not my style. I really don’t like to obsess about stocks. I don’t know about you, I like to go on with my life.
But here, since right now we are really in trouble and I have to get out of this trade. This is my goal here, again with hopefully a small loss, we shall see.
This is why I’m looking right now for these pops, because honestly, this little pop for the size that I’m trading, this here is probably worth to be around $1,000. Currently, every $1,000 helps.
So right now, the loss is around $35,000. Once I’m getting to a loss of $20,000, I’ll be fine.
Tomorrow, another $1,000 is being added to the realized profits. So I’m going from $14,284 to $15,284. And then the idea is right now to sell the 14 call, and by selling the 14 call I would probably make $5,000.
Now, why would I sell the 14 call, if my break-even right now is $14.39? Doesn’t that mean that I’m losing money? No, because for this I’m bringing in 50 cents so this lowers my break-even to $13.89.
Anyhow, this is what is currently happening, and this by no means is ruining me or, I don’t know, changing my living style.
Yeah, it would suck if I lost $20,000, but it’ll probably honestly take me four to six weeks to make back that money.
So this is why I’ve shown you earlier thus far I’m sitting in $95,000 in realized profits, but let’s see how it goes.
$RIDE Target 18.48 for 35.29% $RIDE Target 18.48 for 35.29%
Or next add level is at 8.84
Hey Hey... Why you gotta be like that, RIDE... ADDED here... target updated...
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On the far right of the chart is my Average (Grey) Current Target (Green), and Next Level to add (Red) Percentage to target is from my average.
I start every position with 1% of my account and build from there as needed and as possible.
I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed.
GL and happy trading.
RIDE concerns with News, month old chart still accounts for it!Made this chart 05.19.2021 Almost a month ago.... and then added some new stuff to it about a week ago. I find it interesting that it accounts for the current news and shows where price action will drop to. Will it continue to stay true to this trend that is Drawn? Whats the likelihood of this getting bought out by a bigger company? If you know or have a view on this please put them in the comments below. Thank you.
by iCantw84it
06.08.2021
$RIDE Target 18.77 for 34.55% $RIDE Target 18.77 for 34.55%
Or next add level is at 9.13
This one is following right along the intended path... NICE, ride, nice. I must have added and not published my updated chart, because the target is slightly closer... GL Ride traders... 😜
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On the far right of the chart is my Average (Grey) Current Target (Green), and Next Level to add (Red) Percentage to target is from my average.
I start every position with 1% of my account and build from there as needed and as possible.
I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed.
GL and happy trading.
Covering all the Plays made a month ago to about a week agoThis is a video I made to cover all the plays made about a month ago up until about two weeks ago. I cut off half way through and honestly I thought it didn't record any of it. So I am posting it now. and I will pick up where it left off probably tomorrow.
If these have helped you trade please like and follow.
by iCantw84it
05.26.2021
ADDED to $RIDE Target New Target 19.53 for 32.77% $RIDE Target 19.53 for 32.77%
Or next add level is at anywhere here
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On the far right of the chart is my Average (Grey) Current Target (Green), and Next Level to add (Red) Percentage to target is from my average.
I start every position with 1% of my account and build from there as needed and as possible.
I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed.
GL and happy trading.
$Ride shark reversalshark harmonic pattern:
AB=0.38 XA=$12
BC=1.6 AB=$4.61
tp1=0.78 BC=$9.77
tp2=1.6 BC=$21.75
tp3=0.88 XA=$26.38
tp4=1.13 XA=$38.61
tp5=2.24 BC=$39
Greater Fool TheoryBar chart: Monthly trading value estimation(Close price*TradeVolume)
Orange line: Average of the last 12 Months trading value estimation
December 2019:
Closing above the previous range, and 65% increase in monthly trading value compared to the average of the last 12 months.
February 2021:
Closing 15% below the previous high, 25% decrease in monthly trading value compared to the average of the last 12 months, and 59% decrease in trading value in the first 2 months of 2021..!
Money is the true drive behind any price movements in any market. When money influx increases, prices will go up unless supply increases more than demand.
Since January 2021, money outflux started in most EV companies, and their bubble burst in February 2021.
Now you see why I insist Tesla is bearish since mid-February 2021.
What Is the Greater Fool Theory?
The greater fool theory argues that prices go up because people are able to sell overpriced securities to a "greater fool," whether or not they are overvalued. That is, of course, until there are no greater fools left.
Investing, according to the greater fool theory, means ignoring valuations, earnings reports, and all the other data. Ignoring the fundamentals is, of course, risky; and so people subscribing to the greater fool theory could be left holding the bag after a correction.
Institutional investors and mutual fund companies are labeled “the smart money," while retail (individual) investors are called "dumb money."
Because the “dumb money” group doesn't have access to teams of analysts or carefully compiled data, they often make trades based on instinct—and to buy and sell investments at the worst possible time.
Moshkelgosha
February 17th, 2021:
Educational Articles:
1- www.investopedia.com
2- www.investopedia.com
RIDE is pathetic and bears in controlRIDE is pathetic and bears in control. Well below the 10 bucks spac price. Don't be surprised if it goes to 5 bucks. But if it does and it bounces to 10 bucks, that would double your money easily. So just be patient for the real bounce.
The worst has yet to come for the EV Mania..! Have you ever asked yourself how much these small companies other than Tesla would compete with big names which showed up with their fully electric cars in the 2021 Auto shanghai show??? Especially Toyota bz4X and Volkswagen?
Some may think after a 60-90% price crash there is nothing left for more correction, but I believe many companies will file for bankruptcy in less than the next 5 years! So it is better to Forget the return to time highs and take what is left. Even Tesla will experience a huge correction.
Tesla's market cap (660B) could not be more than Toyota's(210B), time will prove it..!
Keep in mind a bubble is an economic cycle that is characterized by the rapid escalation of market value, particularly in the price of assets. This fast inflation is followed by a quick decrease in value or a contraction, which is sometimes referred to as a "crash" or a "bubble burst."
Educational article:
Bubble:
www.investopedia.com
Addec to $RIDE New Target 20.40 for 29.36% $RIDE Target 20.40 for 29.36%
Or next add level is at {Adding anywhere around here will pay off well}
@M_Asim_Qamar here is my ride chart. I believe adding anywhere at this level will pay off beautifully. Anyone who starts a position here is going to do amazingly well... I am very down on this one but I am also a very patient trader. GL
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On the far right of the chart is my Average (Grey) Current Target (Green), and Next Level to add (Red) Percentage to target is from my average.
I start every position with 1% of my account and build from there as needed and as possible.
I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed.
GL and happy trading.
US Stock In Play: $RIDE (Lordstown Motors Corp)$RIDE continues its all time low breakdown, with its latest trading session closing at $9.20. The technical support breakdown of $RIDE since a month ago has tumbled its share price by -18.31%, a loss of approximately US300mil from its market capitalization. SEC is currently investigating the company on the authenticity of $RIDE 100k pre-orders that are months away from its first delivery.
$RIDE operates as an original equipment manufacturer of light duty fleet vehicles. It develops, manufactures, and sells Endurance, an electric full-size pickup truck targeted for sale to fleet customers.