EBON... is this the bottom?$EBON, as blockchain stocks (mara, riot, sos) are seeing decent movement with Bitcoins push this past weekend, Ebon seems to be lagging behind, trending in a nice channel up. at the bottom of the channel here with lots of upside to run. Good point to long here with shares or get leaps (options premiums are cheap now and not jacked up). Watching for reversal as we break this triangle to go for that gap fill at $10.87. If BTC continues to this flat choppy correction ebon will be very choppy as well. If BTC rallies to 55k+ blockchain stocks will rally as well.
Key Levels
Support: $6.53, $5.79 (oversold under this level)
Resistance: $7.18, $8.56, $9.98
RIOT
RIOT BlockChain Priced In BitCoin!RIOT is a BitCoin mining company so the price closely follows bitcoin in most cases, but the added valuation and specualtion, in addition to the accessibility to standard markets, makes RIOT a great proxy so long as the reversal we're seeing on this chart continues.
Nice break to the upside. Let's see if we can hold support.
RIOT Cross under 50, 200 sma bullish pattern detected on the 5d5d chart shows a cross under the 200 day sma and a ounce right off the nearest support. the trend line from its initial break out last week shows a nice symmetrical triangle forming and converging right above that same support. given its volatility and relationship to BTC however, its always plausible a breakdown under this support and settling in at the mid 20's range is never out of question. but given the trend here and what seems to be relatively stable floor for BTC, we can expect more likely a breakout ot he upside in my opinion.
This is a risky derivative, use caution and do your own DD, NO finance , No Financials here
Companies Selling Stock Were Outperforming The Nasdaq By 40%ZeroHedge, Wed, 08/26/2020 - 10:05
"2020 has been a stunning year for countless reasons, and one of them as we previously reported is that following the covid pandemic there was an absolute avalanche of equity offerings, culminating with some $113 billion in stock sales in the second quarter as we showed before.
"Yet while the staggering amount of follow-on offerings is not news, the performance of companies selling their stock is nothing short of shocking, because whereas in a normal world the association dilution with new equity sales would in theory result in depressed stock prices, the reality of the past few months has been anything but.
First, a quick update on equity offerings as of late August.
As Bloomberg notes today, a new milestone in secondary offerings shows the power of this year’s unique market in bringing together sellers and buyers. Issuers and their largest holders have now priced 783 secondary offerings on U.S. exchanges this year, with the total surpassing 2019’s full-year total of 780 on Monday.
In terms of cash proceeds, the $169 billion raised in this year’s secondaries is already the most for a full calendar year since 2015. And unlike the surge in IPOs, which has been driven largely by special purposes acquisition companies, Bloomberg notes that these secondary offerings are being conducted in real businesses.
Two main factors deserve the credit for this years-high in deal flow. On the sell side, companies found themselves scrambling to cover cash needs, while a pandemic spoiled expectations for revenue. On the buy side, traders kept coming back for more after recent deals shocking outperformed the broader market.
And here is the punchline: stocks sold in 2020 secondary offerings closed on Tuesday 39% above their offering price on average. That’s outpacing the year’s 28% gain in the Nasdaq Composite Index, a 40% outperformance.
There's more: the performance of July’s 98 secondaries, which closed Tuesday an average of 278% above their offering price, serves as a recent and major source of excitement for more paper in the market. Indeed, if investors are clamoring for public companies to sell their stock and raise cash, which company in its right mind would say no?
As Bloomberg concludes, while the pace of deals is now slowing heading into a traditional vacation period for equity capital markets, bankers are optimistic that the final four months of 2020 continue to serve as fertile grounds for even more secondary offerings."
"Companies raised more money through stock market listings in 2020 than in any year besides 2007", FT
"Companies raised more money through stock market listings in 2020 than in any year besides 2007, as a rebound in equities valuations lured in businesses and blank-cheque acquisition vehicles rushed to list in the US.
Businesses raised almost $300bn through flotations globally in 2020, including a record $159bn in the US, according to data provider Refinitiv. The boom included the public debuts of high-flying tech businesses such as DoorDash and Airbnb, as well as listings for groups that seek to buy others and fast-track them on to public markets."
BTC consumes as much energy as the entire country of Pakistan?According to MarketWatch, bitcoin consumes as much energy as the entire country of Pakistan, and almost as much as the Netherlands..
Hard to believe, but that's what it says.
Is that really sustainable? Or even necessary, for that matter..
Is this the right time to take profits out of RIOT?Let’s review my analysis on RIOT
1st- Nov 5,2020, Long: price : 3.81 (target 46 in 1-2 years)
2nd- Nov 10,2020, long : price 3.34
3rd- Nov 13, 2020, Long: price 4.08
4th- Nov 17, 2020, Long: price 6.08
5th- Jan 31, 2021, Long: price 20.52
After 14900% gain in less than a year RIOT has just touched the upper border of the quadrant channel and early sign of reversal appeared today!
IMO: cash out the primary capital and a big chunk of you profit, keep some free stuff if you think there will be another bullish rally. From the early days I said this will outperform Bitcoin in a bullish rally. Honestly, I couldn’t imagine it would be 12 times better..!
At this moment I believe it couldn’t outperform Bitcoin any more..!
Moshkelgosha
I still believe stock market is the HOTEST market!Professional traders love turbulence in the markets because bigger fluctuations means bigger opportunities to buy/sell.
When newbies panicking, the real wolves come out for hunts. They are disciplined strategist who have action plans for different markets.
What makes a trader exceptional is his mindset..! To be exceptional you should have NEUTRAL MINDSET, you should trade like machines, there should be zero tolerance for your feelings.
An exceptional trader has action plan for every moment of the market, it doesn’t matter it is bullish/Bearish, you should be prepared for every situation, if you don’t want to be washed away by big waves.
To maximize your profits you should first recognize the most emerging market. As you see RIOT and MARA are influenced by Bitcoin price and react more aggressively in bullish rallies they out perform Bitcoin itself by huge, and in correction they provide bigger sell opportunities! In the most recent 23% correction theses stocks corrected 43-47% in less than 4 days. Assume you bought their put options!
Last week I asked my followers to take profits out of these stocks and 48 hours ago when Bitcoin was 56975, I send them an EMERGENCY NOTICE of 10-20% correction in Bitcoin price!
For more information and evidence, please review my analysis in the related links
Moshkelgosha
RIOT for 2/22We need to hold above $68 tomorrow. Bullish long term but it looks like RIOT is finding its place. BTC hit new highs over the weekend and I think a key level on it is $56700 vs $78 RIOT. We might have an interesting open, I'm looking for a rise in BTC above $57k to add here if RIOT gets above $78. RIOT right now is figuring out its place, the short term holds are the ones that will bail on any weakness. If BTC isnt strong we will have some chop tomorrow. I like the 58-60 zone to add more right now. Towards close of trading if it holds above $68, I might add if the market overall isnt a selloff.
So Sideways day: No change
Holds above $68: Add some
Above $78 and hold at any point: Add some
Below $58: Short term bearish
This is being posted before after hours trading opens. If we get a run up overnight with BTC, look for a selloff on the open back to fridays closing price and watch for a move back up. Stay away from options expiring this friday unless you are confidently day trading. Give yourself a couple weeks or more on any positions, from this price level up is a longer term play. There could be more pullback possible!
BTBT (bit-digital), the forgotten bitcoin miner to 45?Of the three big public bitcoin mining companies (excluding CAN), you'd expect all three (RIOT, MARA, and BTBT) to look the same. But they don't. RIOT, which has a 100m shelf offering has been the biggest gainer. MARA meanwhile is forming a bit of a bearish wedge on it's ascent, and then we have bit digital, BTBT. This is showing a nice rounded bottom with clear resistance around 30. At 2.2 exahash (per their website front page), this is more than twice the hashing power of RIOT. MARA claims to have funding and orders for 100k machines, putting it at over 10 exahash! So, why is it that BTBT is lagging behind?
I can't say, but the chart shows a very nice rounded bottom pattern. Breaking the congestion around the 30 level could open this up to 45-50 (low of the rounded bottom at 15; top at 30).
MMNG mining global mining-global.com
Not current with Sec
Was registered as mineral mining outfit.
Working on the website
Looks like they gunna try their hand at bitcoin mining. Who else mines bitcoin? Riot and Mara. If your not familiar, I suggest you look at those charts to get an idea of what could happen.
Will it happen Monday? This week? Next month? Most likely not, but investing is about patience and using that one muscle god gave us that separates us from the ape.
Gl all.
RIOT Long Term AnalysisSo I've been watching BTC for the past two years now and from my experience seeing how it moves, I have nothing bad to say about where it's heading. And with the continuous adoption of crypto payments by different financial companies such as Mastercard, and newly acquired TSLA stake, I think the accumulation phase is still underway.
Aside from this, my favorite sympathy play to BTC would have to be RIOT . Not only is the name catchy, but the fact that it has just 6 employees catches my eye. I hear a lot about MARA yet they only have 3!! I like the fact that it also has 11.55% Held by Institution over MARA's minuscule 5.46%. This tells me RIOT 's more invested. Could be because they have double the employees, but either way, it's a win-win.
Sitting at a shallow 4.13 B, the current MKT Cap is nothing compared to upside potential. To put things into perspective, CHWY, a pet food company was acquired for 3.35 billion back in 2017. It now has a market cap of 47.8 B just 4 years later.
To conclude my thesis on RIOT , I'll finish off with a tweet made by Elon Musk yesterday:
" To be clear, I am *not* an investor, I am an engineer. I don’t even own any publicly traded stock besides Tesla.
However, when fiat currency has negative real interest, only a fool wouldn’t look elsewhere.
Bitcoin is almost as bs as fiat money. The key word is 'almost'. "
The real crypto investment lies elsewhere. That's for me to know, and you to find out ;)
h pattern and my green box from earlierUpdate before close, an h pattern has formed. If this breaks that 58-60 zone box, I'm bailing on this. Be very careful what happens overnight here. Pull in your size, there is no guarantee on a short here but aside from the bearish market and tape on the stock today, the following 2 things I observed:
a. RIOT has decoupled from BTCs price reads - BTC is not significantly down at all but RIOT is.
b. The h pattern is a pretty reliable stock/forex pattern for a bearish turn over. I'm not going to trade it until it breaks $58, perhaps it could be too late by morning anyway. The only reason I'm not going short is because the market itself has had a down day overall, so we might just pick back up with business as usual tomorrow.
Be careful overnight. If you long on it, hedge your position some here. Pull in size if you are able to.
SOS-did you buy too high -what to do next ? SOS
So let's talk technicals :
The stock shot up 263% (red trend line) in 6 days. It did it in 2 waves of impulse.
The stock got massively dumped on the 17th of Feb – this is a big drop in a 2-hour time frame with over 50% retraced. Not a good behavior of an asset with a catalyst on it as it looks like a pump and dump which is not the case but traders took it as a flip!
Correction on the drop of 50% up from 10.5$ to 13$ -then stock lost traction several dojis in a row.
Guess what comes after several dojis in a row – a drop😊 that’s usually the case if you have an igniting bar followed by Dojis.
The stock touched below 10 – notice 10.5 is a KEY number on this trade!
Volume of entry is bigger than the volume of exit meaning the cycle is completed and now we wait to see where the second cycle takes us (opening volume vs closing volume)
RSI showing more room on the downside on 1H meaning on a 4H we are on the mid of the RSI level
What's the play?
Simple :
If the stock crosses 10.5 below and hits 9 this could be a convergence level where the stock will slowly travel downwards…. We must watch out for 10.5 level and 9 levels!
on the Other hand, if the stock bounces off the 10.5 to the 11.5 line and CROSSES it – we are good to go to the previous high at 16$ and potentially get a new higher high.
Notice accumulation is needed above 11.5 so we may get a side trend on that level before we go to the 16$
Volume Analysis :
3-month average: 23.5M
1-month average volume: 48M
Volume that drove the first wave up 70M
Volume that drove the price down 60M (good means we still have a lot of traders in on this one)
Current volume: appx 10M -keep an eye if crosses 30M we may get another wave up
FDGT will wait to see whats the stocks next move and if we get 11.5$ + we may jump in
Please do your own DD on the stock and trade safe!
We expect a correction on BTC soon that may correlate with the stock
Trade safe and be safe
FDGT the traders union
The interested parties.."I generally ask and receive calls on a block of stock. I insist upon graduated calls as the fairest to all concerned. The price of the call begins at a little below the prevailing market price and goes up; say, for example, that I get calls on one hundred thousand shares and the stock is quoted at 40. I begin with a call for some thousands of shares at 35, another at 37, another at 40, and at 45 and 50, and so on up to 75 or 80."
Jesse Livermore describes how he manipulates share prices in Reminiscences Of A Stock Operator, written 1923.
(NCTY, January.4th, 2021)
"Our goal is to build up cryptocurrencies mining machines for The9 that will contribute 8% to 10% of the global hash rate of Bitcoin, 10% of the global hash rate of Ethereum and 10% of the global hash rate of Grin and become one of the world's largest cryptocurrencies mining companies in terms of hash rate."
The9 Ltd – ‘POS AM’ on 2/9/21
"On January 25, 2021, we entered into a share subscription and warrant purchase agreement, or the Purchase Agreement, with several investors in the cryptocurrencies mining industry, including Jianping Kong, the former Director and Co-Chairman of Canaan Inc. (Nasdaq: CAN), a Bitcoin mining machine manufacturer listed on Nasdaq, Qifeng Sun, Li Zhang and Enguang Li, based on the pre-agreed legally-binding term sheet. Those investors are collectively referred to as the Investors in this prospectus. Pursuant to the Purchase Agreement, we issued 8,108,100 Class A ordinary shares in aggregate at US$0.1233 per Class A ordinary share and 207,891,840 warrants in aggregate, each warrant representing the right to purchase one Class A ordinary share, to the Investors in February 2020. The warrants are divided into four equal tranches: Tranche I Warrants, Tranche II Warrants, Tranche III Warrants and Tranche IV Warrants. The exercise price of each of the Tranche I Warrants, Tranche II Warrants and Tranche III Warrants is US$0.1233 per Class A ordinary share while the exercise price of the Tranche IV Warrants is US$0.2667 per Class A ordinary share. Each tranche of the warrants will only be exercisable upon the satisfaction of its respective condition in connection with the market capitalization of our company reaching US$100 million, US$300 million, US$500 million and US$1 billion within the timeframes of 6 months, 12 months, 24 months and 36 months from its issuance date, respectively. In addition, the Tranche III Warrants will be automatically forfeited with nil consideration in the event that the Tranche II Warrants fail to become exercisable within the specified timeframe and the Tranche IV Warrants will be automatically forfeited with nil consideration in the event that Tranche II or the Tranche III Warrants fail to become exercisable within the specified timeframe. The Investors shall make payment of the purchase price and the exercise price for the warrants in (i) cash, (ii) cryptocurrencies, or (iii) a combination of both, at our election. Pursuant to the Purchase Agreement, upon the satisfaction of the market capitalization condition of Tranche III Warrants, the Investors will be entitled to collectively appoint one director to our board of directors. Such appointment right will automatically terminate on the later of (i) the third anniversary of the closing date, and (ii) the date on which the Investors collectively hold less than 5% of our total number of ordinary shares on a fully diluted basis. The transaction was closed in February 2021. The Investors are expected to devote cryptocurrencies mining industry resources to us for our development of cryptocurrencies mining business.
In February 2021, we issued and sold (i) a one-year convertible note in a principal amount of US$5,000,000, (ii) 50,000 ADSs, and (iii) 10,000,000 Class A ordinary shares, for an aggregate consideration of US$5,000,000 to Streeterville Capital LLC, or Streeterville. The convertible note bears interest at a rate of 6.0% per year, computed on the basis of a 360-day year. Streeterville has the right, at any time after six months have elapsed since the purchase date until the outstanding balance has been paid in full, at its election, to convert all or any portion of the outstanding balance into ADSs of our company at an initial conversion price of US$14 per ADS, each ADS representing thirty Class A ordinary shares, subject to adjustment. Beginning on the date that is six months from the note purchase date, Streeterville has the right, exercisable at any time in its sole and absolute discretion, to redeem any portion of the convertible note up to US$840,000 per calendar month. Payment of the redemption amount could be in cash or our ADSs, provided that any redemptions made in cash which exceed half of the original principal amount will be subject to a ten percent (10%) premium. In the event the principal amount and interest accrued for the convertible note issued to Streeterville are fully repaid, we have the right to repurchase the remaining Class A ordinary shares held by Streeterville that are unsold at US$0.0001 per share.
In February 2021, NBTC Limited, our wholly-owned subsidiary, signed a strategic cooperation framework purchase agreement, or the Cooperation Agreement, with Shenzhen MicroBT Electronics Technology Co., Ltd., the manufacturer of WhatsMiner bitcoin mining machines. Pursuant to the Cooperation Agreement, upon the payment of a deposit, NBTC Limited has the right of first offer to purchase 5,000 WhatsMiner bitcoin mining machines from MicroBT within one year, including but not limited to models M32 and M31S. We completed first batch purchase of 440 WhatsMiner M32 machines in February 2020. Other than WhatsMiner bitcoin mining machines, we also plan to continue purchasing different types of cryptocurrency mining machines in the near future.
In February 2021. we entered into a standby equity distribution agreement, or the SEDA, with YA II PN, LTD., a Cayman Islands exempt limited partnership managed by Yorkville Advisor Global, LP pursuant to which we are able to sell up to US$100.0 million of our ADSs solely at our request at any time during the 36 months following the date of the SEDA. For details of the SEDA, see “Corporate History and Structure.”
In February 2021, we entered into purchase agreements with five Bitcoin mining machine owners to purchase Bitcoin mining machines by issuance of our Class A ordinary shares. Pursuant to the purchase agreements, we issued an aggregate of 26,838,360 Class A ordinary shares in exchange for 26,007 Bitcoin mining machines, with a total hash rate of approximately 549PH/S, accounting for about 0.36% of the global hash rate of Bitcoin. Majority of these mining machines have already been deployed in Xinjiang, Sichuan and Gansu in China. The number of Class A ordinary shares issued to each owner was determined based on the fair market value of Bitcoin mining machines, as apprised by an independent valuation firm prior to the execution of the purchase agreements, at a pre-agreed per share price of approximately US$0.37 per Class A ordinary share (equivalent to US$11.18 per ADS)."
The difference between Prediction and Analysis..!A prediction, or forecast, is a statement about a future event. They are often, but not always, based upon experience or knowledge. There is no universal agreement about the exact difference from "estimation"; different authors and disciplines ascribe different connotations.
Analysis is the process of breaking a complex topic or substance into smaller parts in order to gain a better understanding of it. The technique has been applied in the study of mathematics and logic since before Aristotle (384–322 B.C.), though analysis as a formal concept is a relatively recent development.
It would be a learning opportunity if you review my RIOT,MARA,and BITCOIN analysis since November 2020.
Please read the comments below the posts, some said RIOT is a scam, some said “haha” to price target.
But they did not bother themselves to read the merits behind my analysis..!
Moshkelgosha
RIOT: Afraid of a pullback? A few points to keep in mind!Hello traders and investors! Let’s talk about RIOT today! This one is flying, but is there any reason to worry about it? Let’s see.
First, in the hourly chart we see that it is showing some weakness, but this alone is not going to be enough to make it drop. Yes, it might do a top lower than the previous top, as evidenced by the purple line, but RIOT did this sometimes in the past, and it didn’t work.
I would focus more on the black line at $ 58.78 , because it would lose the previous bottom along with the 21 ema, and this would be something new for the stock. So, the black line is a possible Pivot Point , that could trigger a short-term bear trend, and sharper pullback in the daily chart:
The black line in the 1h chart is today’s low, and so far, we can assume we have a classic Bearish Harami candlestick pattern here. Since it is not near any resistance level, it is not a reliable reversal sign, but it could work as a pullback.
The volume is quite high on RIOT, which is curious, as the volume on BTC has been decreasing in the past few days.
If RIOT triggers a pullback by losing the points mentioned above, the next stop would be the 21 ema . I find it hard to tell if it could seek the support at the $ 29.28, as it is too far away right now, so, I would focus on the 21 ema first.
This would be a pullback, but we have no reversal signs around . In fact, as far as I know, pullbacks are opportunities to buy at a cheaper price, with an optimized Risk/Reward ratio. But first, RIOT must trigger the pivot in the 1h chart!
Let’s follow RIOT closely and remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses on stocks and indices. Also, support this idea if you liked it!
For more analyses, just check the links below.
Thank you very much!
RIOT PullbackLooks like we've established to volume zones. I dont want to go as far as to say they are Support though. The green box is where we found buyers in the hard selloff today on unemployment news. What does unemployment have to do with crypto or a company with 7 employees? Well I'm sure you know the answer to that. It also looks like we've decoupled RIOTs price level from BTC because the crypto price is back up near all time highs and RIOT has sold off and is trailing now.
Personally I bought the dip and went net long. I pulled back the long positions to a lower price point and moved one out to next weeks expiry.
RIOT Volume and price actionThe volume of the first day this thing started to move a week ago vs today, its higher. The selloff this morning while BTC was staying steady spooked me a little bit so I sold off my LEAPS and a few calls that were already in a profit. Going forward, I'm just going to go with more of a neutral strategy, expecting that one day where we get a big selloff. With the current price action and volume though, it might not come. We do have to expect it though and not give back the majority of our gains.
This is my strategy until something changes:
Put and Call side Back ratios:
Sell 1 Put at the money, 2 at a distance away where I can either do it for no cost or a small credit. Same thing on the Call side.
The risk on this strategy is if the stock doesnt move the $10 a day. Essentially i will end up with one extra call or put in the direction of the movement. Opening of the next trading day, I'll make adjustments, if it keeps going in a direction I can eventually buy back the short calls/puts and have free ones to cover retracement. I'll cover the in the money spreads as needed and re-establish
At this point I'm still long on it until it stops going up!