Veracyte Stock (VCYT) on the Rise, Just Hit 52-Week Highs MarkFrom a Technical Analysis point of view, our (Mstardom Finance) proprietary trading strategy told us that the moving average accumulated over a month’s time for VCYT is $11.54. So, we should buy the stock when it falls below $11.54 preferably when it falls anywhere between $8.85 and 11.54.
On the other hand, our proprietary trading tool told us that we should sell the stock when it gets close to the $14.32 level or above. Don’t be greedy, though. Traders don’t have to wait until the price hits the $14.32 target before taking profits. Traders can take profit at any price point that is close.
In fact, anywhere between $14.32 and $17.00 is a good take-profit point for VCYT because if Traders don't take profit along this range, They run the risk of losing out on a profit-taking opportunity and run the risk of having the stock fall back down toward its moving average. A stock will always revert back to its moving average or mean within a certain time. This is called mean reversion; look it up. It is a very important concept in institutional trading.
I will be releasing a book on institutional trading in a few months; this book will help the retail trader trade like the professional traders who trade for investment banks, mutual funds, and hedge funds.
Keep in mind that the stock VCYT will continue to rise with a steady moving-average-increase to the upside with the occasional short-term pullback. This stock is a good stock to buy the dips and sell the highs on. At a later date, we will probably write another technical analysis article on this stock. Click here for the full article which include Fundamental Analysis and confirmatory information on why the stock has hit new 52-Week Highs.
RISE
HTZ 10% rise?Can it pull a quickie? Can it pull up to the 20 ema before the earnings kicks it back down? Can I reach enlightenment? Ehh let's find out!
Bitcoin BTC - Futures Affecting BTC Whats Next? H&S That's What.Bitcoin BTC
Sorry for long hiatus, not being synced to the BTC market at the time, I thought it better to post nothing at all then attempts.
Simple analogy : Retail Investment, why HODL, trade but don't hold:
Stay strong people, When BTC was $20000, simply, the financial nature of the economy wouldn't allow that many millionaire's (statement related to inflated prices, BTC/ALTS trades, not $$$ trades) since then Alt coins have also diluted the market, taking $$$ away from traditional cryptocurrency's hence adding additional downward pressure to the BTC price. Therefore when weak hands are purged from the market....or more succinctly there money being taken through losses, the profit margin/manipulation will end & result in a stable, more resilient coin. This will allow the tech to catch up with the speculation...or crypto winter again, has tech improved since 2013?, you be the judge. Would like to see product innovation to reassure coin burnt investors, why to trade price speculation again. End of year Bitcoin, Bulletproof adoption/Lighting network.
Futures:
Weekly although turning +ive, not an issue really as the Daily/Hourly have more influence in current market environment. Both times this month, reversals have been initialised without sustained volume/strength but sharp inclines resulting in lower highs also within this timespan (black circles) This could show a lower support is needed for potential reversal. Futures impacting BTC price due simply to the fact that retail investors currently are in the minority. First Cboe traders selling BTC (10/06/18, $7600-$6100) to settle before expiry XBT contracts & hence re-buying after (14/06/18, $6100-$6900). CME was second with BTCM8 selling (22/06/18, $6800-$6000) & hence have re-bought (29/07/18, $5900-$6800), currently we see Cboe being sold off slowly to cover contract losses....do we expect to see BTC price rise after Cboe XBTN8 July 14/18th or weaken as the market unable to sustain shorts at this support level. Answer will come in what you believe drives the market : manipulation, futures, price speculation, proof of work eg projects.
Current Market:
RSI: Oversold @25 which aligns with previous price reversal attempts. Double bottoms have been the trend with slight fluidity between them. Could be slight dip before the rise satisfying both trend & H&S.
Volume: Max volume recorded @$6130 (vol per period) on the drop, showing support for the Right Shoulder incline.
Interesting volume on the monthly shows consistent downwards gradient & "volume precedes trend", not a good sign.
Ichi: Showing support level @$6300, merge of $6500-$6150 levels on lower time frames. If broken, this will provide resistance against the rebound as below, support is harder to find.
ShortsVSLongs show the market expecting a rise as longs have 2:1 on shorts, this trend preceded jump in price on many previous occasions.......except 1 :)
Overall:
Coming week will be important for Bitcoin (seem to say that every couple weeks) as CME/Cboe Futures are within a week of each other resulting in larger push & pull between traders.
BTC Volume continual decline, Low Highs/High lows, all point to downward trend continuing Mid-term, as would like to see reversal price spike with reason behind it or solid bottom to instill confidence/stop manipulated shorting.
Short term reversal seems to be on the cards or at least support on the price drop. Again if traders feel risk after the initial spike in price.....low high/high low we are back to the grindstone.
BTC is seeing some tough times , so I should write this:
***Education Purposes only***
Rise to $7,700 -- And What's NextEither we'll have enough buy pressure to breakout of the downtrend/descending wedge, OR, we'll move down to $5,500 before rebounding to meet the trend line.
If we fail to break out of the trend at $6,400, which I don't believe we would fail, we'll fall out of the descending wedge to $4,800 and $3,000.
With lower volume comes more oblique angles in the reversals of price. These means less momentum/pressure to both the up and down side. The first reversal line is almost vertical, the second at a 45 degree and the third even more shallow. We can expect the pattern to continue for the next waves. For this current wave, the resistances and fibonacci line up well with each other. Elliot waves can tell a rather predictable climb up, assuming things go well. Finally, if volume doesn't kick this reversal beyond the down trend line, we'll see $5,800 and $5,500 as new bottom targets as we reach the bottom of the descending wedge.
BITCOIN TECH ANALYSIS NEXT COUPLE DAYSWill stabilize for a bit and will go bullish or bearish. (More likely to be bearish)
Watch area of relative stability and look at trend using different analysis strategies (I'll be doing that too so follow or something to see a future update)
Trend shld finalize in a couple dayes!
BTC - Bitcoin RISE or FALL!?Exciting times are happening in the crypto world.
We hit the trend line today and bounced back up straight to 7500!
Does this mean we have a reversal? Or will we continue downward and break the trend line?
RISE:
1. A possible inverse Head and Shoulder pattern could happen.
2. A similar fractal exists before the pig pump in december.
3. Indicators showing room for growth.
4. Perhaps manipulated pump?
FALL:
1. Breaking trend line.
2. MEDIA FUD.
3. Manipulated dump.
But as always nothing is certain. Patience is key.
Bitcoin BTC - Daily Rise?Bit of Trend Analysis on the major rises over 2018
RSI on the Daily historically exhibiting little fluid sideways movement as its usually one to watch in these regards, eg higher highs, lower lows. Its gets straight to the extremes and as I have circled the major recoveries over 2018, its seems it in a pretty good position to repeat this.
Again MACD on the turn in the Hourly chart although may need help from volume to achieve. Currently holding 24HR 5Bln, dont want to see it slip into 4's.
Pretty simple, no need for that much explaination :)
BTC 0.29% is seeing some tough times , so I should write this:
***Education Purposes only***
Bitcoin BTC - The End is Nigh or To The SkyOverall view of Market direction using the weekly to foresee possible exit/rise positions.
Break of Weekly 50MA is worrying as has been years since this was the case.
Rapid rise during Nov/Dec gave little chance for supports to be established under $5800 and would worry most investors if the possibility arose.
1st July (which may see action early, due to 20th June Cboe Ftuures expiry/27th June CME Futures Expiry) will be decisive as Trend Line (dashed blue line) which has been a resilient support during entire crash, its actually been the saving grace & would be concerned if broken, meets the Ichimoku cloud (years since been broken). Direction is dependent on current fight between bulls/bears @ $7900 & where the markets heads leading into this timespan.
Manipulation on speculation of Futures at the end of the 2017, I believe rose the price from $2000 - $20000 so it would be feasible that if funds are removed in range under $5800 due to risk would add pressure downwards (would exchanges "allow" BTC to get to these prices?) ....cause I worry Volume not setting mean reversions as we are back on low 24HR BTC - 4Bln
Sharp price action rose BTC to $10000 at the start of April from $6600, so again this should be taken as possible support bottom which seems again would need manipulation to impede further downward pressure.
Would love to see Positive news...which should come in the short term, whereas Weekly chart poses that BTC has a decision that will eventually provide forward direction, my previous analysis showed $10000 July so lets hope for little wins up to that point.
BTC is seeing some tough times , so I should write this:
***Education Purposes only***
Bitcoin BTC - Supports/Rise & Alternate Routes
Looking at the Ichomoku "double settings" we can see the attempted break through Ichimoku was rejected at Fibonacci (0.618) with profit taking forcing BTC to slide along the Seknou (green line) wedging itself between the 200EMA, rising support & Fibonacci (0.382).
MACD shows its ready for slight cool off but overall, volume/rally would over come this and push higher.
RSI is in the region of becoming overbought and has dropped accordingly and remains below this years average 60, currently at 55 but the whales have pushed above 80 previously and should better aligned with trend/volume/signals.
These would be my critical points:
1 Drop in price towards last channel support, < $8700
- 200EMA (red) will provide mid level Fibonacci support at this point as it has recently done also converging with above channel to strengthen & historically to break the 200EMA, large volume is needed, in this environment, possible. Under this, Fibonacci (0.382) and Ichimoku "Double Settings" would seem to provide an alternate, although longer route upwards $7800, trading around these Fibonacci levels would not be advised in current environment.
2 Fibonacci Level (0.382) support consolidating sideways price action leading to alternate Ichimoku route or shorting resulting in the test of lower (0.236) $8400
- During the alternate route The 50MA would turn +ive with early bull rally of April...last time this scenario came up, the price was dumped to delay the 50/200 cross. Remembering large buys initialised at $7000, this would be a conceivable bottom or higher depending on market conditions/volume, but would expect the 50MA and Fibonacci (0.236) to strongly protect this level.
3 Pattern analysis previous post "Bitcoin (BTC) - Symmetrical Pattern"
- Rise upwards within the green ellipse, would require using the channel support/200EMA to bounce, encountering major profit taking on the way up although reducing the higher BTC goes.
Thoughts:
Taking Bitcoin as an asset or commodity (at least a commodity within Cryptocurrency) will require working product (low fee, fast transaction-end of year) and/or low volatility, but is there a better business model where the community do the work to upgrade your tech....for free (less so with alt coins)
also profit taking/volume of this size is unheard of lately......so is the heard is back?
this seems plausible as Korean alts still strong, (EOS,TRX,QTUM,ADA,XPR,BCH) all largest 24 HR volume. Scary thing
seems Tether still lingers.
BTC is seeing some tough times , so I should write this:
***Education Purposes only***
Bitcoin BTC - Sentiment Change or Trap & Alt CoinsIt seems a change in sentiment might be initializing as we see a change from sharp jagged rises (circled black) it can be seen as positive or negative depending where your portfolio lies i guess. Time is Bitcoin's friend at the moment as it provides the ability for technical analysis to "catch up" and turn positive. The previous February rise I saw as more sustainable steady growth but at present TA adds alternate layer of support, which should become profit sell resistant as momentum grows along with price and volume, these terms seem to be too closely linked lately which needs to be watched closely as can change on dime. I would say the Tax Drop had priced in already and the rise in Alt coins after the date would be indicative of this.
If we apply Fibonacci Retracement levels on the current price action showing aligned correction areas (dark horizontal lines) TA indicates the uptrend gaining momentum in which would naturally lead to larger volatility hence profit taking and larger losses, its all a matter of risk/time span of trade in this environment as seems pullback is inevitable but TA cant predict whale manipulation.
Looking at supports within supports, the 4HR 50MA will act as support heading upwards but will only need loss of volume or profit taking to drop below and bring the 100EMA into play, this support has been difficult for BTC to stay above and usually needs large volume to onset the price drop. Below this we have the Weekly 50MA which has proved to be quite resilient in its bottom base level support, as it is moving away from the 200MA quite rapidly leading to the path of least resistance upwards and strengthening the chance the uptrend could use the Weekly 50MA as support before commencing.
Bitfinex, seemed to initialise the price jump which isn't the most trusting of exchanges and ill leave it at that.
I would see profit taking at points along downward trend line but this unpredictability means it is difficult to analyse whether these dramatic gains signify an upturn on previous spikes. Volume/price quickly weakened on previous attempts although this time volume is holding. Alt coins, first sign of alternate reversal is speculation, Verge (pornhub announced) Vechain (partnership with the world...they have a lot partnerships), Ripple should be announcing soon, which have been holding off and seem to think markets ready to absorb. Although the reversal wont be successful until it re-enters the green upward trend which investment know, and believe they will be the stepping stone to full reversal.
Alternate
Thought: Seems the Cryptocurrency Market isn't strong enough yet to withstand a Stock Market crash as Gold, Fiat maybe Bonds seem best bet in this scenario, I believe the market needs working product to become a safe commodities in these times and this would probably be Nano as they have pretty much finished what the intended purpose was, a simple digital currency with scalability or by the end of 2018 BTC as lighting network (Sigwit V0.16 needs to be market adopted first) bulletproof, increased awareness will all be released in Q4.
BTC is seeing some tough times , so I should write this:
***Education Purposes only***
Xrp to Rise?Looking at the graph, higher lows are being formed on the 4H chart. The MACD shows earlier the 12-day EMA dropped below the 26-day EMA, the stochastic and CCI both confirm a slight drop. However, now the stochastic is low, the MACD 12-day EMA has started to rise and is at the point where it is looking it could pass the 26-day EMA. The slight dip in indicators could have been a whipsaw and we might start to see a small rise in Xrp again.
On the other hand, the 1H chart shows something a bit different. The stochastic is high, the CCI is high and the MACD is on the rise. This could indicate a small retracement before the rise in the 4H chart.
Overall I'm Bullish on this to take some profit. Keep in mind there is no confirmation we are out of the Bearish trend yet, but things are slowing down in my opinion.
This is my opinion. I am not a financial adviser. This is information for analysis and educational purposes only.
Bitcoin BTC - Future's indicator directionBitcoin Futures being a indicator within itself, although considered small in comparison to traditional futures, can predict trend reversals. Using three indicators:
Price (direction), Contract Volume (contracts traded within day increases pressure related to price direction) and Open Interest "OI" (contracts rolled over at end of day determine flow of revenue) as criteria become particularly useful as reversal signals.
We have had net-long positions (both early contracts and current, for those who expected price reversal) liquidated due to downward price trend and market uncertainty, this is displayed within both Cboe & CME. Onward from this we had an increase to contract volume & open interest as shorts were created now currently being covered as slight consolidation of both volume & open interest showing.
The pattern displayed is that of initial bottoming of price/volume/open interest, following the "flowchart" of futures indicates consolidation of all three indicators before a final direction is chosen being these three indicators are contained which provides large leeway either side. While futures are affected by technical analysis such as Flags, H&S, EMA, those are usually on smaller time spans and rely on previous data and a lot of the time are already priced into the futures created.
Looking at the CME Futures spread, overall the contracts are increasing hence the black upward trend which should be expected due to the limited time-span and nature of Bitcoin Futures, this should be taken into account when determining levels but should also be taken as positive when viewing Bitcoins future (as need both buyer/seller to create contract, spread hasn't changed much)
Quite interesting the US capital gains first quarterly tax is due around the April expiry of Cboe Futures.
Futures would indicate that the price range is bottoming with possibilities of most likely one more price drop before market rise, before US tax, Market rise after vol/OI consolidation or most unlikely, replay of net-longs being liquidated adding downward pressure to price to find a new bottom.
This being only an signal should be taken into account with others such as volume (Sigwit now implemented by major exchanges but volume level seems to indicate traders are selling to traders, Retail is needed for recovery) and the Trend Line & Weekly 50MA converging to add support to break $11500 major resistance, both of these are needed for overall trend reversal but with volume proceeding trend, Futures are starting to become effective indicator for when large flow of money initiates.
www.cftc.gov
www.cmegroup.com
BTC is seeing some tough times , so I should write this:
***Education Purposes only***
Bitcoin BTC - Fate Decided In 24HRSJust a thought more then directional analysis:
Using the Weekly to find support levels as below $6000 being untested for the short-mid term,
The Weekly 200MA seems to be the strongest Moving Average support, as attempts to break have resulted in "short term" reversal with intended volume, this a positive sign showing traders are anticipating double bottom or slightly above as the trend line rises away from the downward channel, this does not mean Bull capitulation wont result in a lower low, e.g $6000 but we will see increased price action one way or another as this cross-over forces a direction.
So where is BTC going to end up?
Within the next 24hrs will go along way to determining the direction BTC will delicately tread over next few months (layers of resistance above, break in clouds at $11500)
Black dotted line in above graph shows a path which leads to potential breakout from the downward channel hence the giant leap to confirming a reversal..............Yes I put it out there.
24HR volume > 7 Billion is needed to for the Green arrow to initiate however the longer BTC price maintains above Weekly 50MA and the Trend Line, the more prominent the gap becomes instilling this position.
4HR 50MA will become variable in this scenario later within the week (rise above or added pressure to force price lower, market conditions would most likely determine this)
Convergence support of the Weekly 50MA and Trend Line will help but without volume increasing (would like to see 24Hr 8-9 Billion) and being that BTC has fallen below these supports previously, we are likely to see capitulation to lower support (W50MA/Trend Line/$6000)
BTC 24HR Volume seems to be problem as lately its been limited at 7 Billion in moments of trend reversals, its possible $$$ have been waiting for trend reversal to mature before entering, this scenario would dramatically raise volume and add pressure for price reversal although I believe BTC may have to fend for itself to $11500.
P.S Recent trading on Bitfenix show large bot action limiting price action while holding off tsunami of Sell Orders, would be interesting to know why? Is it, short BTC, which is risky as indicators have evolved yet, although low volume means price manipulation with least resistance downwards or a sign of net-longs appearing.
Futures CBOE (14th April/CME 27th April) Looking for decrease in open Interest/Positions (previous post "Bitcoin - Analysed From Future's Traders View") in which CFTC statistics released tomorrow, could indicate short sellers are reluctant to enter market and net-longs have liquidated positions from $10000 - $12000 (margin requirement of 30 percent CME) which will slow/stop the downtrend.
CerealTrader
BTC is seeing some tough times , so I should write this:
***Education Purposes only***
Bitcoin - Analysed From Future's Traders ViewIn the above graph, Green Channels show large volume for CME future contracts where Red Channels indicate small volume, the darker the colour, the more intense the volume. As you can see, the early Green Channels signal large volatility hence large price rises where low volume future contracts resulted in significant drops, now later along in March, Contract volumes steadily rose, in which its seems this increase in Fututes volume has taken the volatility out of the market.
MACD appears to be tightly entangled within the closing wedge, either this will limit future corrections or force an breakout with the amplitude of the wedge ranges from $6000 - $9000,
Latest futures trading data shows net-long traders are converting to shorts although currently longs have just over 2-1 lead, there is rumors longs are coming back into favor yet the trends show differently, as two-three weeks of reversal hint at perpetual shorts. Taking a view of traders and their attitudes, seems to exhibit pressure to force BTC prices low although changes in sentiment suggest a reversal of the BTC downtrend despite the fact traders remain net-long, this could change with current price action as low BTC price mean net-longs are lucrative.
We have declining open interest indicating the market is liquidating and could lead to current downward trend coming to an end. This is a contradiction as the overall Futures volume shows we can expect the existing trend to continue rather than reverse.
Here is CBOE views on it:
“The daily volume has mostly been concentrated in the near-month future and the open interest doesn’t change much from day to day,” said Gary Compton, a spokesperson for the CBOE, to Modern Consensus. “This could indicate that short term or day traders are concentrating on this contract. The farthest-dated contracts haven’t been trading too much"
"This shows that asset managers and institutional investors—pension funds, insurance companies, and the like—have switched from being completely short bitcoin to long the Cryptocurrency, at least when ti comes to the futures contract on the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE)"
According to the COT report, “Asset manager/institutional” traders required to report to the regulator are now long a total of 220 contracts, worth a little above $1.7 million as of Monday. There are no new short contracts. Just two weeks before, they were short 110 contracts but long no contracts.
They are currently long 2,323 BTC contracts and short 953 contracts (for a net of 1,370 contracts). Two weeks ago, they were 2,531 contracts while short 815 (for a net of 1,716).
Using commodities index as a base for open interest volume, states Falling Price + Falling Contract Volume + Falling Open Interest represents a market that is Strengthening for an uptrend where the price decline is likely being caused by disgruntled net-long traders liquidating their positions on current price action. The market in this scenario is viewed as in an strong position because the downtrend will end once all the sellers have sold their positions.
Another option is Falling Price + Rising Open Interest + Falling Contract Volume is indicative of a weak market downtrend. During the course of the current trend, high and rising volume in Jan, Feb suggests trading activity supported the downward trend and that the trend continuation happened due to increased investors supporting overall downward price movement.
TA possibly showing XRP rise?Looking at the chart, there could be a descending wedge on the 1H chart. A possible rise could take place if it reaches its major resistance at $0.54. However, it could drop slightly lower as the daily chart indicates each time Xrp has contested the resistance, it falls slightly lower and then bounces back up. Overall, this creates a small decline trendline on the Daily chart. If Xrp does bounce when it hits the resistance, it could hit $0.67 or maybe at a push hit $0.74 (next Fibonacci levels).
The CCI is rising on the 1H chart while the commodity is losing downward momentum. Back this up the stochastic is incredibly low, K% at 9 while D% at 12, meaning a small drop followed by a rise. The RSI as of writing is at a very oversold state, sitting at 27 as of writing.
If Xrp does rise, I expect it will follow its bearish trend until the top trendline meets the major resistance line. The Bears aren't finished yet, but soon they will be.
This is my opinion. I am not a financial adviser. This is information for analysis and educational purposes only.
Please feel free to add comments, ideas and critics of any areas I could improve my analysis.
Bitcoin - Elliott Wave RiseAnalysing this channel for a possible exit...not downwards/sideways but upwards.
Can see price consolidation within the current channel of Mcginley Dynamic and 200EMA as volume is now at lowest level since $6000 although becoming reactive at any chance of trend reversal, good sign, showing trader's hunting for a bottom. It seems likely volume will continue to be a issue during future resistance levels, as they say "volume goes with the trend" so without volume we are going nowhere.
.......how do you get volume without volume, still researching this question.
RSI - holding steady around 40, definitely can be seen as undersold with room to rise but without volume it may have to retrace slightly downward under 30 or align with another indicator for this to be beneficial.
StochRSI - Bearish, oversold and heading downwards, will add pressure to increase time span before Elliott (ABC) commences.
MACD - Bearish, waiting for lead up with entanglement on the cross-over.
The end of the Elliott Wave (12345) price dip could lead to a increase of volume, if this happens, it could result in an initial RSI dip making undersold a viable trade.
What would make the Elliott Correction Wave (ABC) attractive is if BTC price rebounds back into the Green upward channel (created from current price stagnation and current Fibonacci Retracement) & above the McGinley Dynamic (which would become support) This would likely see slight trend correction which will again face resistance at 0.786 Fibonacci & then 200EMA (B & C).
Being that BTC is currently holding the 0.50 Fibonacci level which is converging with McGinley Dynamic, sideways movement from this point may break down the future Elliot wave (ABC)
Side Note: With Volume so low and CME Futures at record Contracts (Open Interest is low, but this could be seen as reason why price has lost volatility.
www.cmegroup.com
IT'S XRP TIMEYes, it's time XRPUSD to uprise
the price zone which marked by arrows is HARD support for XRP, and it had worked three times SO we expect it works this time too
Let's just wait for (a couple of days ) for enter Very long position
Thank you
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Are you in on STEEM??On my one day chart, STEEM has been holding above a long-term support line below the .382 on my fib extension. Remaining in the green channel of my pitchfork for the better part of the last 2 months this coin looks set to see a possible 10-20 percent rise within the next month with potential to rise significantly beyond that if it breaks resistance.
Zooming into the four-hour chart the MACD seems about to cross over the centerline reacting well with my pitch fan. Looking at the RSI in the same time frame it seems to be about to bounce from resistance keeping it out of overbought territory. For the last few weeks, the RSI has remained above 25, another indicator that STEEM remains in bullish territory for now.