EURCAD → Symmetrical triangle may continue the trend FX:EURCAD forms an interesting set-up, which in the medium term, if the right scenario is realized, can continue the previously formed bullish trend.
On the chart, I noted a symmetrical triangle, which is developing within a global flat formation after a prolonged growth of the currency pair. Another resistance retest still cannot break the resistance, the price will form a correction and local consolidation. It is possible that the price may form a small correction to the support at 1.4656. From the mentioned level may be followed by another rebound and further growth. But, the forming local consolidation near the triangle resistance may also lead to the breakout of the figure resistance, consolidation above the line will be the confirmation of the buy signal.
Also we should not forget that the price, on the background of unpredictable events, can break the support of the figure and in this case the price can quickly reach the support at 1.44894.
Resistance levels: the upper facet of the triangle, the level of 1.4771.
Support levels: support of the figure and 1.4656.
In the long term, I expect a breakout of resistance and further growth, but the opposite scenario may follow, when the price may break the support.
Regards R. Linda!
Rising Wedge
💱EURGBP - symmetrical triangle. What's next?EURGBP is forming consolidation. Two scenarios can develop in relation to the symmetrical triangle: breakout of resistance or support
TA on the high timeframe:
1) A bearish trend is formed. The price forms a pre-breakout consolidation around 0.85200
2) False breakout of liquidity area, price may reach 0.85300 area in the nearest future.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Symmetrical triangle, price bounces off resistance and may soon test support at 0.85300 area
2) A rebound from support is also likely.
3) It is actually difficult to trade inside triangles. It is best to wait for a breakout of one of the boundaries and open a trade in the direction of the breakout
Key support📉: 0.85300
Key resistance📈: 0.86000
BTCUSD: A Bearish Deep Gartley Has Staged BTC to Return to $6065This is a followup to the previous Bearish ABCD trade; BTC has officially with PPO Confirmation, has reversed from the PCZ of the Bearish ABCD to which I later realized the ABCD was part of a much greater Bearish Deep Gartley, and now we are below the 200-Day and 200-Week SMAs along with that we have broken below the demand line of an apparent Rising Wedge Pattern all at a 23.6% Fibonacci retrace which is a very shallow and weak retrace to have this all occur, but that only means the move back down will likely be much deeper and stronger.
We can consider what we initially got at the 0.786 PCZ of this Cypher as a Type 1 Reaction, but now it appears that price has been preparing itself to make a Type 2 Return, that will most likely take us to the Cypher HOP levels this time around which would land us at around $6000 once we hit that zone I will look for signs of Bullish PPO Confirmation before then anticipating a V-shaped recovery that should take us to new all-time highs.
There of course is a scenario in which instead of making a lower low to the HOP we just bounce back up again at around 16k and that was where my previous projection took it but upon taking in more of the weekly data I have concluded that 6-4k is more likely especially if we start getting super fast movement down week after week but if it is instead a more calm decline that gives us a clean double bottom with some PPO confirmation around 16k instead then I will jump in early; until then I see 6-4k as the most likely target.
For reference, I have included the link to the original Bearish ABCD chart and projection below as we may swap back to the original projection depending on the price action we get leading to both the original 16-12k Target and the new and current 6-4k target:
Idea update. Short and Long on BTCThis is an update to my previous Esoteric Long idea.
Beauty worked out perfect at 0.768
But VWAP reminded us that Smart Money likely are going to
grab liquidity in the shown bullish OB
I am short to 26750 and hope to enter Long tomorrow
Kind wishes to all smarties!
p.s. rising wedge on the downtrend
BTC QUICK UPDATE!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
Welcome to this quick BTC update. After the positive news of Grayscale's wins against the SEC, the market broke the long boring range. But the question is, is this enough to start a bullish rally? Let's find out....
As you see in the chart, BTC is forming a rising wedge-like structure in the daily time frame and it broke down. Now looks like it is going for a bearish retest.
We have a very strong resistance at the $28k- FWB:29K level. As of now price showing initial rejection from this level but in the short term we might see another test of this zone and after that real fall begins.
Overall the structure looks bearish. In the short term, we might see some greenery for a few days and after that another dump.
What do you think about this?
Share your views in the comment section.
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Ethereum - 76% crash to 389 USD! (must see, bear flag)
My analysis shows an impressive crash is prepared on ETH after 427 days of consolidation in this bear flag on the weekly chart! It was a long time, and ETH has been going pretty much sideways. Now we have to expect huge volatility!
The trendline of the bear flag is clearly breaking down with an ABC Elliott wave corrective pattern, which strengthens the bearish bias. It also looks like a wedge, but a wedge should have a 5-wave structure (a leading diagonal Elliott wave pattern). So this is a bearish pattern, and a 76% crash is absolutely coming in the next few months.
You probably don't have too much time to think about what to do with your investments, but consider if you can handle a 76% crash on your spot or futures holdings. My recommendation is to sell, as it's too risky to hold it, and buying cheap ether later in 2024 is definitely juicy!
Now what is the target, and where will the bottom be on ETH? We have a strong confluence at 389 USD and 387 USD because this is the Fibonacci 0.618 level of the previous bull market on the LOG scale and also because this is a 1:1 Fibonacci extension from wave (A) -> wave (B) of the current bear market! What's more, we have a first point of control over the volume profile, which you can see on the left side of the chart.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
As you know from my previous ideas, I expect Bitcoin to hit 10k next year. What would be really weird if BTC dropped and ETH rose? So 10k on BTC and 389 on ETH are my targets.
I also checked more altcoins, such as DOGE, SHIBA, XRP, and LTC, and none of them looked bullish. The best is to stay in USD.
Write a comment with your opinion, because I look forward to it!
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USDCHF → The currency pair may break through resistance FX:USDCHF continues to strengthen within the ascending triangle. The price is retesting the trend resistance. What can happen?
As we can see on the chart on the bottom left, the currency pair is forming a consolidation relative to a strong resistance area. The mentioned accumulation, when moving to the phase of implementation is able to change the direction of the trend, in this case, the global downtrend will begin to change its direction following the dollar index.
DXY breaks the key resistance and on the basis of fundamental factors begins the implementation of the strengthening strategy.
The USDCHF currency pair may go to 0.89088 if the resistance of the descending channel is broken.
Support levels: 0.87779
Resistance levels: 0.88133, 0.88250
I expect a small bounce from resistance and further retest of the area, which may break the resistance and trigger a rise in the market.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - will crash to 10,000! (Proof here)
10k in April 2024? This is not sci-fi, but a real scenario that is probably going to happen! Make sure you are ready for what is coming. In this analysis, I will tell you all of the reasons.
Bitcoin is extremely weak compared to the stock market or gold. While gold almost hit an all-time high, Bitcoin is near its low from November 2022, which is 16K. The current price of Bitcoin is 26k, and the previous all-time high was 69k. Compared to gold, Bitcoin should be worth 60k at this moment, but it's not.
A few days ago, we had a massive sell-off, not only on Bitcoin but on all altcoins. The charts on the majority of altcoins look absolutely bearish. We have entered a new bear market. No coin from the high-cap category looks bullish, to be honest.
From a technical perspective, the price is now below the 200-week simple moving average and also below the 20-month simple moving average. The bulls are not strong enough to sustain the uptrend, so it looks like the bears are in full control again, and it can be really nasty. I can see another 70% crash on DOGE and SHIBA.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
10k is definitely a strong support that should hold! I believe this will be the bottom on Bitcoin because we have the 0.618 FIB retracement and the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern from 2020.
On the chart, you can see my Elliott Wave count. Pretty much every Elliott Wave trader has bullish and bearish scenarios prepared. This is clearly my bearish scenario. Bear market 2022: impulse wave 12345; bull market 2023: triple three WXYXZ; bear market 2024: impulse wave. We can complete the ABC correction in April 2024.
Let me know in the comment section what you think about a crash to 10k! Are you prepared or all in?
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
💱EURCAD - Symmetrical triangle before the impulseEURCAD stops near strong resistance and on the background of bullish trend the chart is forming a pattern that can form both upward and downward momentum
TA on the high timeframe:
1) Globally, a bullish trend is visible, but before strong resistances the price stops and forms consolidation
2 Consolidation is forming between key liquidity areas
TA on the low timeframe:
1) A symmetrical triangle is formed against the background of a bullish trend
2) Positive aspects of this pattern are that it is clear where to open trades (border breakout).
3) But, at the same time, in a bullish trend the price can break the support of the pattern and we will see a correction.
4) It is not important for us which of the borders will be broken, we need to wait for a signal, and it will be a breakout of the border with subsequent consolidation below or above the line.
Key support📉: lower triangle boundary, 1.47000.
Key resistance📈: upper triangle boundary, 1.47978
Bitcoin is starting to crash to 20,330 USD! (emergency)
The major uptrend from 15500 to 32000 is over, and the bears are stepping in! I expect 20330 to be hit in the next few weeks, so make sure you are prepared for it!
We can clearly see that the major trendline / parallel channel is breaking down! The price is below the trendline, and what's more, if we take a look at altcoins such as ETH, it confirms this analysis!
We have finished the first cycle (1) of a huge (1)(2)(3)(4)(5) impulse wave. Now we are in cycle (2), which will send the price of Bitcoin to 20330, according to my technical analysis. Why 20330? We still have the unfilled CME GAP, which you know because I have been talking about it for more than a few months. Also, we have the 0.618 FIB retracement in confluence.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, waves marked as (1) have usually deeper retracements, such as 0.618, 0.764, or almost 1:1. It also tends to fill previous gaps because breakaway gaps usually appear when wave (3) starts.
It took 234 days for wave (1) to be completed. Compared to the stock market or gold, Bitcoin is struggling this year. Gains were overall pretty low.
Bitcoin has been going sideways for a long time, and the direction is unclear. The volatility index on Bitcoin is at extreme lows, so a big move is expected! A big pump at the current price doesn't make too much sense. But a big dump is definitely on the table.
Let me know what you think about BTC in the comment section!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
BTC: AT DESICIVE POINT!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
Welcome to this quick BTC update. BTC is still at the same range of FWB:29K level.
It is forming a rising wedge-like structure in the daily time frame and currently, at the lower trendline of the wedge. If it breaks down from here then expect a big dump in the next month.
If it holds the lower trendline and bounce then we might see another small pump up to FWB:31K -$32k but this scenario is less likely IMO.
We have strong support at around the FWB:25K level. So there is a high chance that we visit the FWB:25K level before any big upside move.
What do you think about this?
Share your views in the comment section.
If you like this idea then do support it with like and follow.
Thank You!
EUR-JPY Bearish Wedge Pattern! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend but the pair has
Formed a bearish wedge
Pattern and is trying to make
A bearish breakout so I think
That If the breakout is confirmed
Then we can expect a local
Bearish move down
Sell!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
XRP - Time to buy for a 500% profit! (now)
XRP is currently retesting a major trendline from 2022, and this retest is exactly where you want to buy this coin! This trendline is also part of an ascending parallel channel on the daily chart, which strengthens the support.
What's more, we have had a strong 0.618 FIB retracement on the LOG scale. We hit this level almost to the dollar, so if you bought at this level, congratulations! I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
We also need to take a look at the volume indicator. Clearly, since the downtrend finished in 2022, the bullish volume is overwhelming. That's definitely positive, and XRP could reach much higher levels in the next few weeks and months!
Now the most important question is: what is the profit target, and where do I take it? To answer this question, we need to take a look at the market caps of XRP and BTC. The current market cap of XRP is $33,134,349,311 and that of BTC is $574,121,632,744. The market capitalization of BTC is 17x higher than XRP! This means that XRP could theoretically make a 1500% profit and still be number 2. But be optimistic and stay with a 500% profit because it's possible that XRP will go through a 1-year consolidation period before another huge pump. So you want to use your money on something else if it happens.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, this is really a strong setup. We have a nest (1-2-1-2), which is a bullish base. Now we are waiting for the 3rd wave to finish.
XRP won the SEC case recently, and that caused a 100% pump in a few days. New developments are good and positive, so I don't see any reason why XRP should go down.
We will take a look at all profit targets from a technical perspective in the next update on this post tomorrow.
Thanks for reading! I hope you learn something new, and let me know your thoughts in the comment section!
HDFC BANK pattern breakdown?A rising wedge type of pattern can be observed in the weekly chart of HDFC Bank. Price has failed to breakout above the 1750 level 4 times in the past 2 years. Price seems to have broken down on the weekly chart from the pattern.
Supports at 1580, 1530.
Good medium to long term buying opportunity if it reaches around 1410 which is the 200 EMA on the weekly.
💱USDJPY - Bounce from the level before resistance breakout USDJPY is testing the resistance of the ascending channel and the resistance of the 144.897 range. On the local timeframe, the price is preparing for a breakout and further growth
TA on the high timeframe:
1) A retest after a month, and a quick approach to the level may give a bounce down, for example to 143.7
2) Price has stopped and is forming a decrease in volatility, most likely the consolidation phase begins, another retest of resistance may follow.
TA on the low timeframe:
1) Price is sandwiched between rising resistance and rising support line, but at a less acute angle.
2) Buyers continue to make an onslaught on the resistance
3) The price may break the resistance after the next retest.
Key support📉: 144.3, 143.7
Key resistance📈: 144.69, 144.89
XAUUSD - Waiting for a Breakout 📈📉Hello Traders!
On The Daily Time Frame, The EURUSD Reached a Srong Support Level and formed a Falling wedge Pattern!
so, we have 2 scenarios!
Scenario 1
if the Resistance Line will broke, i will buy in retest 📈
TARGET: 1972.000🎯
Scenario 2
the support level will be broken .
then, we will see a huge bearish move📉
TARGET: 1911.200🎯
___________
if you agreed with this IDEA, please leave a LIKE, SUBSCRIBE or COMMENT!
EURUSD - Huge uptrend is ready! (prepare longs)
EURUSD is still extremely bullish because the price is above the 200-day daily moving average and also above the major white trendline. Trend is your friend, so we want to take only longs!
The price is also inside this ascending parallel channel, and I expect another push to the upside to test the upward trendline of the channel. It's possible to bull-break this channel!
In the last 2 weeks, EURUSD has been going down, but it's just a re-test of the previous 2 trendlines. We needed this pullback for continuation to the upside. The retest was a great buying opportunity, but of course you can still enter the market at the current price if you find a good setup on lower timeframes.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
When trading EURUSD, we need to consider the DXY index. This index is pretty bearish, and I will probably do an analysis on it as well, so make sure you follow me for more updates!
The MACD indicator tells us that the trend is rolling over from bearish to bullish again. The histogram is ticking to the upside, which is of course a bullish sign.
In conclusion, I am bullish on the euro, and I would take only longs for the next few weeks!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
I post ideas mainly on BTC, so if you want more EURUSD ideas, support with like and comment, so I know I should continue!
Bitcoin prediction 2028 (Fibonacci channel, must know)!
This is my projection for the next 5 years. Bitcoin always rapidly grows after the halving event. But around 16 months after the halving event, Bitcoin started to crash significantly.
On the chart, we can see a very important Fibonacci channel on the LOG scale. The 0.618 FIB is always a strong level, and bitcoin hit it almost to the dollar in 2022. Take a look at it! We deeply need to keep this Fibonacci channel in mind. The strongest FIB levels are 0.618 and 0.382. 0.618 + 0.382 = 1. Bitcoin loves these Fibos.
Please do not expect some big parabolic phase to reach 500,000 USD in the next few months or years. This is not going to happen because you are too late for the exponential party. 100,000 - 120,000 in 2025 is a realistic target!
Bitcoin is a good investment, and you can trade the major cycles. Buy low, sell high. It's easy to say, but it's not that easy for the majority of market participants.
As per my calculations, the price of Bitcoin will be 1 million USD in 2044, which is 21 years ahead.
In approx. 2140, all Bitcoins should be mined, and there will be no new BTC mined at all. Miners will receive rewards from the transactions of chain users.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Bear markets and crashes:
2011 - 93.75%
2014 - 86.94%
2018 - 84.22%
2022 - 77.57%
2026 - 71.67% ?
Bitcoin - Bart pattern + Comment your altcoin!Make a comment with your altcoin below this idea, and I will give you my opinion/analysis of it in reply! Make sure you hit the boost button as well to participate. I will answer your comment with an analysis for you on the weekly/daily chart (long term). I start my analysis with Bitcoin:
The bart pattern is a new type of chart pattern that occurs specifically on Bitcoin but sometimes also on other coins. It's something like pump and dump, but at the top of the pattern we have a sideways price action that looks like a Bart's head.
Usually August and September are the most bearish months on Bitcoin, so I would not be surprised!
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When we look at the daily chart, we can see an ascending parallel channel with 3 touches at the bottom. This indicates to me that the bulls are losing steam because they are unable to make a parabolic uptrend!
There is still a possibility of going up to 32k - 33K in the short term, but this is something I don't want to speculate on. And even if Bitcoin could pump to these higher levels, the crash would follow either way.
My Elliott Wave count suggests that a deep retracement is on the way up back to 20k or 21k, which is definitely a good price to buy as much Bitcoin as possible and prepare for the new bull market in 2024 and 2025. Also, you can open a long-term leveraged position on futures in this zone.
We still need to wait around 8 months for the halving event, and that's plenty of time for a crash. We have a lot of unfilled FVGAPs and a CME GAP below the current price. They are going to be filled sooner or later.
If we take a LOG fibonacci retracement from 16.3k to 31.5k, we can see that the 0.618 golden ratio is at 20303. The whales really like to buy BTC at this specific Fibonacci level, as it has the highest successful rate of all Fibonacci levels.
This bart pattern looks pretty funny, but if you are on the wrong side of the market, it's definitely not funny. The price moves extremely fast, and you can wake up into a massive red dildo.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I share my trades transparently and post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!