Rising Wedge: Bitcoin Reaches Top Trendline for the Third TimeAs a follow-up to my previous update on the rising wedge situation with Bitcoin, I'd like to share some new developments and provide some educational insights on trading within this pattern. BTC has now reached the top trendline for the third time, and if we're going to see a downward movement, it's likely to occur from this point.
A rising wedge is a bearish chart pattern characterized by converging trendlines connecting higher highs and higher lows. While it can occasionally break to the upside, the typical scenario is a breakdown, which can offer traders a potential shorting opportunity.
Trading a rising wedge involves closely monitoring the price action around the trendlines. As the price reaches the top trendline, like we've just observed with Bitcoin, traders should consider several factors to catch the supposed top of the trendline:
Look for reversal signals: Keep an eye out for candlestick patterns that indicate a potential reversal, such as bearish engulfing or shooting star patterns. These may signal that the price is about to turn down from the top trendline.
Assess the trading volume : An increase in trading volume as the price approaches the top trendline could suggest that the market is preparing for a reversal. Conversely, if the volume remains low, the pattern may not yet be ready to break down. Notice the spike in volume in the last 4-6 hours.
Monitor support and resistance levels : While the trendlines in a rising wedge are essential, it's also crucial to pay attention to horizontal support and resistance levels. A break below a significant support level can provide confirmation that the price is likely to drop further.
Employ risk management : When trading any pattern, it's essential to use appropriate risk management strategies. This includes setting stop-loss orders above the top trendline to protect yourself if the price continues to rise against your short position.
Now that BTC has reached the top trendline for the third time, it's essential to keep these factors in mind when considering a short position. If the market does indeed turn bearish from this point, traders who have prepared and employed solid risk management strategies will be in a better position to capitalize on the potential downward move.
As always, I'll continue to monitor the market and provide updates on any significant developments. Remember, trading is all about understanding patterns and managing risk, so stay vigilant and make informed decisions.
Happy trading!
Rising Wedge
Bitcoin - Rising Wedge - Break Out TradingAs a cryptocurrency enthusiast and trader, I'm excited to share my technical analysis on Bitcoin and its potential movements this week. With the full moon approaching on Wednesday night, we may witness some increased volatility in the market. Although it may not necessarily set a new trend, I am confident that we will see some action in the days surrounding this event.
One crucial aspect I've been monitoring on the Bitcoin chart is the formation of a rising wedge. For those who might be unfamiliar with this term, a rising wedge is a bearish chart pattern that consists of two converging trendlines. The upper trendline is ascending, while the lower trendline is also ascending but at a steeper angle. This pattern indicates that the price is experiencing higher highs and higher lows, but the narrowing range suggests that a potential reversal may be on the horizon.
Currently, we have a few touches on the rising trendline, and we're in the process of defining the lower trendline. If we see a drop at the beginning of the week followed by a push upwards around Wednesday or Thursday, the rising wedge pattern may become more evident.
When trading a rising wedge, it's crucial to focus on the breakout trade and wait for confirmation. Going long at the lower trendline or short at the top trendline may be tempting, but it is essential to have a clear level of invalidation and quickly change your bias if your leveraged trade is invalidated. This approach helps to minimize potential losses while maximizing potential gains.
To sum up, it's vital to trade carefully and prioritize confirmation of the break rather than overleveraging yourself. Protecting your capital is of utmost importance in trading, as it allows you to stay in the game and make better decisions in the long run. While I haven't delved into Elliott wave analysis in this idea, I hope this brief insight into the rising wedge pattern and how to trade it effectively will prove helpful to fellow traders in the cryptocurrency space. Remember, always trade with caution and make informed decisions. Good luck!
Time to PLAY SHORT on USDJPY Dear Tradingview family,
Symbol: #USD JPY
Strategy: #Harmonic_Chart_Patterns, #Anti_Gartley_Pattern, #Rising_Wedge, #Trend_Reversal #Trendline #Support_Resistance #RSI_Bearish_Divergence.
Trade Call Type: #Short.
Order Type: Sell Stop
Indicators: #Price_Action. #Chart_patterns, #Anti_Gartley_Pattern, #Rising_Wedge #Trendline #Support_Resistance #RSI_Bearish_Divergence. #RSI #RichTL
Entry: Short when price breaks Lower High after break down of Rising Wedge Pattern.
Anchor Time: 4 Hours
Trading Time Frame: 1 Hours.
Entry price: 132.544
Take Profit: 131.252
Stop Loss: 133.860
RRR- 1:1
Methodology:
As a professional and experienced forex, crypto and stocks trader, I will be using a rigorous methodology that involves analyzing the price action and key levels and using a combination of indicators, harmonic chart patterns and chart patterns. I will be looking for potential trendlines , support & resistance levels where the price action may reverse and using our indicators to confirm the validity of our analysis. Based on my analysis, I will then determine the optimal entry and exit points for our trade, as well as the appropriate stop loss level to manage risk.
Analysis:
The current price action on the USDJPY chart is showing a clear Breakout of #Anti_Gartley_Pattern, #Rising_Wedge on 4 & 1 hourly timeframes. Additionally, the Bearish RSI divergence on 4 Hour & 1 hour time frame add value to the strength of reversal pattern.
Price action’s this move provides me opportunity to earn some profits on when it is providing a great value of RRR of 1:1.
My Sell Stop entry is planned to execute when price action comes down to break patterns.
Conclusion:
Based on our analysis, I believe that there is a potential trading opportunity for a SHORT trade.
Risk Assessment:
Conservative Traders risk 0.5% to 1.5%, moderator traders risk 1.6% to 3.5% and aggressive traders risk 3.6% to 5% of their account per trade.
Please use Position size calculator to calculate your risk per trade.
Overall, I believe this setup has a good chance of success based on the technical analysis , but as always, it's important to monitor the price action closely and adjust the trade if necessary based on new information.
EURAUD - Bearish Rising Wedge 📉Hello Traders!
On The Weekly Time Frame The EURAUD Price Reached a Major Key Level !
Currently, The Price formed a Rising Wedge Pattern 📈
The Support Line of the Pattern is Broken 🔥
So, I Expect a Bearish Move 📈
i'm Waiting for a Retest...
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TARGET: 1.59190
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if you agreed with this IDEA, please leave a LIKE, FOLLOW or COMMENT!
Symmetrical Triangle - Update Posting an update on the SPY here as the markets closed out the week in somewhat of a make-or-break spot. The SPY continued to follow the bearish megaphone that it's been holding for months with its 50-day SMA slipping below its 200-day SMA (Death Cross). However, the SPY is holding a notable rising wedge on the weekly timeframe accompanied by declining bullish momentum as the Heikin Ashi Candles would indicate. The SPY is holding a nice symmetrical triangle on the daily timeframe, with buyers and sellers fighting all week. This comes as the markets head into a big week economically speaking. With the USD sliding and geo-political turmoil rising, the markets are in unchartered territory. Treading lightly here, some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the interim, bearish and hedged-
--Previous Charts Attached Below--
--Weekly Timeframe--
--Previously Charted--
Bitcoin to 1 USD - Whales plan revealed! it's over! (99% CRASH)
It's over for Bitcoin because the whales started to manipulate the price. But fortunately, I know their plan, which is why I have to share it with you as soon as possible!
First of all, whales. They want as low a price as possible because why should they buy at the current expensive price when they can send Bitcoin back and buy it cheaper?
This is an analysis of the monthly chart with full history. We need to take the FIB retracement for the whole uptrend and look for the 0.618 value. Whales love to buy Bitcoin at the 0.618 FIB retracement, and in this case, it's 0.80 USDT.
FAIR VALUE GAP BETWEEN 0.97 - 1.99 USDT (UNFILLED GAP) is another confluence why we should go down. All gaps tend to be filled sooner or later.
The impulse wave from 2009 to 2021 has finished, and we are looking for an ABC correction. No doubt about it at all.
The MACD indicator is absolutely terrible. We can see that the histogram was at the lowest level in history, this is not good.
What's more, if we take a look at the volume indicator, we can see absolutely low volume. The whales are not buying at all.
The whales will send Bitcoin temporarily to zero until there are no orders in the orderbook from retail traders. (It happened with OIL before, so why not?)
I hope you like this secret gameplan from whales; do not tell anyone, because it should be only for my followers.
Today is April 1, so happy Easter and April Fools' Day! If you think this analysis is for real, then you have been pranked!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
TSLA Break-Out & Fake-Out?Tsla has been consolidating and broke-out of a bullish bullish flag today with weak conviction ...
Bulls need to see a big volume break-out tomorrow and regain $200 as support.
*Call Wall Options may have prevented Tsla from advancing with a strong break-out
$197 is strong resistance + weekly resistance line just above @ $198 $198.84
If Tsla does not open above $198 we may see a drop to test bull flag break-out & gap-fill.
Close below $195 Tsla will consolidate until re-testing highs.
*Bulls: Tsla is above 8 ema, 20 ma & 50 ma -Cup & Handle on Daily w/ Bullish Flag Break-Out....
Dips are being bought up *APRIL is STRONG Month for Growth & Tech
Bears- Weakness compared to overall Bull Run in Tech & Markets - Selling volume has been larger on 1 hr, 4hr, daily. Markets are feeling pretty Frothy
Possible Bearish Wedge Pattern...this could be wave a of c in Correction Pattern - lack of testing or either Strong Rejection at $200 could begin wave b.
Bearish Divergence on MACD & RSI 1hr & likely forming on Daily if we see the move past $200.66
This could go Bullish or Bearish *Key Points of interest: Key Close above $198.84 / Ability to Test $200.66 & Rection off of that will give us a better Idea of where TSLA Plans to go for the next 3 weeks until next Earnings
Current Bias: Neutral to Slightly Bearish
ADT - rising wedge patternWhat we can see on the chart is a rising wedge pattern. The price did not break out of the pattern yet.
We are expecting that the price will break down and continue the previous downtrend.
The stochastic shows us that the price is overbought but it is not pointing downwards yet.
How to trade:
Enter the short position only if/when the price breaks down out of the wedge with the volume increase which would be the confirmation.
Do not forget about the stop loss to protect your capital.
Trading ETHUSD with RSI and Pattern Recognition ⏳Greetings, fellow traders! I have identified a potential 5% profit opportunity on ETHUSD. The RSI indicator suggests that the bulls are gaining momentum in this dungeon of despair 🐂. The RO Flash indicator confirms this bullish sentiment by flashing green 🔥. I have placed a stop loss slightly below the target of the Rising Wedge pattern (kudos to TradingView for the new pattern recognition feature!). Let’s see how this trade plays out…🤞 According to a recent lesson I learned, consolidation near resistance or support levels often leads to a breakout failure. Will history repeat itself? Only time will tell! ⏳ To add more confidence to my analysis, I have also used the Anker Technical Analysis (TA) Kit indicator, which combines multiple technical tools such as moving averages, trend lines, Fibonacci retracements and more. This indicator shows me that ETHUSD is following a strong uptrend line and has bounced off the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. This is a sign of strength and continuation 🚀
Bitcoin is retesting a trendline from 2013! (right now)
This trendline is 10 years old, and Bitcoin is currently retesting it from the opposite direction. If this was the same trendline on the 1h chart, it's likely to go down at this point.
We have multiple touches on this trendline: 2013, 2015, 2015, 2020, and 2022 on the LOG scale. Make sure you switch to LOG scale to see it.
So what now? Will the bears step in and send bitcoin to 10k - 15k? Let me know in the comment section. I look forward to your comments!
But I want to tell you that this trendline is parabolic, and if it is reclaimed and followed, then theoretically the price of Bitcoin will be around 5 000 000 dollars in 2030, which is absolutely almost impossible, and the higher chance is that this world will end than this.
On the chart, you can also see previous halving dates and a prediction for the next halving, which should occur on April 8, 2024. Historically, Bitcoin always goes up after the halving, but we still need to wait more than a year for this event.
Meanwhile, we could experience a huge flash crash to liquidate high-leverage traders with a strong and steep rebound back to 30k. Bitcoin is very volatile, and a 50% or 80% crash is nothing.
I hope you like this short and juicy description. I don't want you to spend too much time reading, so let's get straight to the point.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Bitcoin - No one talks about this trendline, last wave up!
Bitcoin is appraoching an extremely strong resistance at around 30k. The chance of crash from this level is extremely high!
We can see that the uptrend from 20k to almost 30k in March is steep and without any major corrections.
From the Elliott Wave perspective I expect last fifth wave to the upside to complete an impulse wave. We can find a resistance at the major trendline that you can see on the chart, or you can call it a broadening wedge.
If you open a short position slightly below 30k, then what is the profit target? 0.618 FIB and POC of the previous structure is at 23k. If you want to take profit earlier than 0.382 FIB at around 25k is the next option because it is also a strong horizontal resistance on the weekly chart.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
If we take a look at the RSI indicator on the daily chart, we can be sure that after the final impulse wave the indicator will be oversold, so this is probably not the best time to buy/long at this point.
In my opinion, a CRASH to 15k is probable later this year, maybe in September / October, so be prepared for it because this will be the best time for an investment position with a target of around 150k!
I took a look at all major altcoins on major exchanges and I can tell you that 95% of them looks totally bearish on the highest timeframe, the bottom is definitely not in for them.
This is my game plan for Bitcoin at this moment as I said I expect one last wave to the upside before a huge crash. I am not going to long or buy Bitcoin at this point after this pump because it's of course dangerous and we have a lot of unfilled GAPs below the current price.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Btcusd : Bitcoin sharp price actionBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Hi trader's , Bitcoin after yesterday fed news of interest rate
Price went down with immense pressure and hit 50 ema of 4hr
50 ema support's the buyer's and price went up sharply again
price trading around daily resistance , if candle of daily closes below 28350 than u can see a downtrend for next few day's
vice versa if candle closes above than u can see upward movement to 30k mark , where major resistance can push market down again
❤️ Please, support my work with follow ,share and like, thank you! ❤️
Bitcoin - 10% crash, pullback is very likely!
Bitcoin is likely to go down, because this falling wedge is breaking down and also because the impulse wave has been completed!
10% crash is the minimum at this point, but we could go even lower.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
As you can see, we have 2 trendlines, and both of them are breaking down.
In my opinion, this trend is already overextended and we should see a bearish retracement.
We have a lot of unfilled GAPs below the current price, and usually gaps act like a magnet, sooner or later.
This is a quick update on the Bitcoin price; if you want more updates on lower timeframes, make sure you hit the like button right now so I know you are interested!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
BTC BREAKS DOWN! READY TO TEST $25K BEFORE FOMC!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
Welcome to this quick BTC update.
BTC breaks down the rising wedge in 1hr time frame. Also, breaks below the 50MA. High chance that we see a pullback up to $25k-$25.5k level before the FOMC meeting yesterday.
Invalidation:- Breaks above $28.5k will invalidate this bearish scenario.
What do you think about this?
Share your views in the comment section.
If you like this idea then do support it with like and follow.
Thank You!
Bitcoin's Battle! Bulls vs. Bears! (TA - FA)Bitcoin is currently trading at $27,280, which is near the upper Bollinger band of the 4-hour timeframe. This indicates that Bitcoin is trading at a relatively high price compared to its recent price range, and it may face some resistance at this level. The RSI of 56 is in the neutral zone, indicating that Bitcoin is neither overbought nor oversold.
The Fibonacci retracement levels of the 4-hour timeframe are also important to consider. The 0.5 Fibonacci level at $25,827 may act as a support level if Bitcoin faces a price correction, while the 1 Fibonacci level at $23,900 may act as a stronger support level. On the other hand, the 0 Fibonacci level at $27,757 may act as a resistance level if Bitcoin continues to rise.
The volume oscillator of -18% suggests that the trading volume of Bitcoin has decreased recently, which may indicate a lack of interest from traders. However, the MACD of 792 is in positive territory, which suggests that the momentum of Bitcoin's price is currently bullish. The Stochastic oscillators of 75 also indicate that Bitcoin is currently in a bullish phase.
The 4-hour EMA 50 of $25,042 may act as a support level if Bitcoin faces a price correction. This is also near the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which strengthens the support level. The middle Bollinger band of the 4-hour timeframe at $26,563 may also act as a support level.
On the daily timeframe, the Fibonacci retracement levels are also important to consider. The 0.5 Fibonacci level at $22,399 may act as a strong support level if Bitcoin faces a significant price correction, while the 1 Fibonacci level at $25,250 may act as an even stronger support level. The daily timeframe also suggests that Bitcoin has been in a bullish trend since it broke above the 0 Fibonacci level at $19,549.
The recent news that Bitcoin's market dominance has hit a 9-month high as altcoins turn red is also worth considering. This indicates that Bitcoin is currently outperforming other cryptocurrencies in terms of market capitalization. However, this could also indicate a potential shift in the cryptocurrency market, as investors may be moving away from altcoins and towards Bitcoin.
Bullish scenario:
If Bitcoin continues to hold above the 4-hour timeframe 0.5 Fibonacci support level of $25,827 and the daily timeframe 0.5 Fibonacci support level of $22,399, it may continue its bullish trend. In this scenario, Bitcoin may break through the 4-hour timeframe 0 Fibonacci resistance level of $27,757 and the 4-hour timeframe upper Bollinger band of $28,418. The MACD of 792 and Stochastic oscillators of 75 both suggest that Bitcoin's momentum is currently bullish, and if these indicators remain positive, Bitcoin may continue to rise and potentially reach new highs.
In conclusion, Bitcoin is currently trading at a relatively high price compared to its recent price range, and it may face some resistance at the upper Bollinger band of the 4-hour timeframe. However, the momentum of Bitcoin's price is currently bullish, and there are several support levels that may prevent a significant price correction. The recent news of Bitcoin's market dominance may also have an impact on its future price movements.
Bearish scenario:
If Bitcoin falls below the 4-hour timeframe 0.5 Fibonacci support level of $25,827 or the daily timeframe 0.5 Fibonacci support level of $22,399, it may indicate a potential shift to a bearish trend. In this scenario, Bitcoin may face resistance at the 4-hour timeframe 0 Fibonacci resistance level of $27,757 and potentially even the 4-hour timeframe middle Bollinger band of $26,563. The volume oscillator of -18% and the recent news of Bitcoin's market dominance hitting a 9-month high as altcoins turn red suggest a lack of interest from traders and a potential shift away from altcoins to Bitcoin. If these indicators remain negative, Bitcoin may continue to fall and potentially test its solid support levels at the 4-hour timeframe 1 Fibonacci level of $23,900 and the daily timeframe 1 Fibonacci level of $25,250.
BTC/USD : Rising Wedge identified on 4-hour timeframeRising wedge identified on 4 hour time frame. Bearish divergences on different timeframes seen. I will be looking for a sweet short from here, technical target for rising wedge is $24,688. However in my opinion we will test the $20-22k area before further upside. BTC had a crazy run last few days, a good correction is due indeed. Not a financial advice. BTC wrecking TAs recently. Manage the risk accordingly !