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Rising Wedge

Forget about chart patterns! Hello, my dear friends and happy New Year! I wish you to be healthy and reach all your goals in trading and not only! Never give up on this difficult way which we are going to overcome together! Today we have a very important topic. How to use Elliott waves instead of classical chart patterns. This is the natural exposure why the chart patterns are garbage. I remember my third year at university when we have the trading lessons. Our teacher gave us a lot of useless knowledges about support, resistance and chart patterns. I have not understood why it should working and it was not soo intereting subject for me. That’s why I returned back to trading much later using self-education. Now I have the clear understanding why Elliott waves is the best tool and why it’s working. Most of traders even don’t understand that chart patterns is just the special case of Elliott waves. That’s why today I decided to explain you how you can change the first one to the second one. Let’s go! Double Top(Bottom) On the chart above I drew the different types of double tops. Generally we have 3 types of this pattern Double top with the second top higher than the first one. In this case we can interpret it in two ways. It could be the classical waves 3, 4, 5 and the corrective wave A at the ending stage. In this case we can anticipate waves B and C. Also it could be the irregular correcton ABC inside wave 4 (rarely in wave 2). In this case we should wait for the wave 5 after that. Traders usually execute short position on the neckline breakdown and suffer when the wave 5 smashed their stop-loss. They are wondering why double top does not working. Double top with the equal highs has the same possible outcomes. The only one difference that correction called flat instead of irregular. Double top with the second top lower than the first one. Here is the most common variant is the end of the ABC correction. In this case we have the low potential for shorting the market becuase the new impulsive wave to the upside can hit all stop losses. Head & Shoulders This is the easiest pattern for analysis. The right sholder usually is the wave 4, the head, obviously is the wave 5 and the right shoulder is the wave B. On the neckline breakdown we have the shorting potential only in the rest part of the wave C. You could correctly count waves and short that the bearish reversal bar of the wave 5 or, as a last resort, at wave B potential top. Shorting at the neckline has sence only if you are sure that the wave B was the the wave 1 of the impulsive wave to the downside if higher degree and now the market is in wave 3. We have to learn how to count waves in a correct way. I would recommend you to read the Trading Chaos book by Bill Williams because it has the best explanation how do waves work. Triangles and Wedges This part is common for all types of triangles (ascending, descending, symmetrical) and wedges (falling and rising). This patterns have the similar structure. If we faced with one of these patterns we have 4 possible scenarios. Triangle in the downtrend after the wave 3. In this case triangle is the wave 4, which is represented as the triangle correction. This correction type consists of 5 waves A, B, C, D and E. When the wave E is finished market will continue it’s move in the direction of a trend, printing the wave 5. The same, but in the uptrend. When the market showed us the 5 waves cycle to the upside and the correction is in progress. Triangle can appears in the wave B. In this case the price will continue the corrective move in the wave C after it’s finished. The same with the downtrend. Guys, of course there are much more types of chart patterns. For example, tripple tops and bottoms and so on. The purpose of this article is giving you another view of the market structure and to motivate you studying the Elliott waves theory. Believe me, it has much more potential than it seems on the first glimplse. Best regards, Ivan ________________________________________________________________________________________________ If you like my educational ideas, please smash the boost button to stimulate me make more quality articles!
Education
by Skyrexio
Gold- Rising Wedge Bearish Potential As we can see Gold is forming a rising wedge as shown on the 4H chart. This also aligns with an impulse Elliott Wave pattern, along with some nice wicks bouncing off of the 1830s resistance level indicating bulls may be letting up. It seems Gold may be ready for a push to the down side with the confirmation of breaking out of the wedge. With breaking out we can see a retrace to the common FIB levels of 0.5 which is around 1725 and 0.618 which is around 1699. Around these levels we will likely see a bullsh scenario afterwards, but will have to wait and see what the market has in store. If you would like to see updates on this idea and many more please follow and hit the like button for more!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WrightWayInvestments
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsDespite missing out on the initial bearish move on Tuesday, we were still able to close the week on a profitable note with about 700 pips in total (see link below for reference purposes). The outcome from last week indicates that the U.S. dollar continues to plunge hereby handing back some of the previous session’s gains as participants attempt to gauge the Federal Reserve’s likely tightening path in the new year. And with BoJ's governor's speech coming up early in the new week, there might be fresh hopes for the US Dollar. In this video, we identified the 131.000 level as a critical point that has a memory for buying power. So, in the new week, we shall be using this zone as a yardstick for trading opportunities. Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
by darcsherry
3
GOLD - This is brutal, no one expected it! Don't be surprised if you wake up in the morning to see a massive red dildo on the gold chart breaking down the wedge. In my opinion, it's very likely. GOLD is absolutely ready for a massive downtrend; it's going to happen very soon, so I hope you are prepared for it! We can clearly see a rising wedge on the 4h / daily charts, which is also an ending diagonal wedge from the Elliott Wave perspective. This indicates that the bulls are losing steam. The question now is, "How deep is the retracement going to be?" First of all, we should completely wipe out the wedge and also test the unfilled GAP, which is at the 0.618 FIB retracement. There is a parallel channel projection, so this is a good level to profit from your shorts. I marked this whole uptrend as an impulse Elliott wave pattern, which suggests that gold can potentially go much higher later next year. This is my bullish scenario, I also have a bearish scenario, that I will post sometimes, maybe in January, so follow me and hit the like! Maybe gold will be a good hedge against the upcoming recession. I think the bull market on the dollar is not over yet, and we are going to see new highs on the DXY index. Thank you, and have a good one!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by UnknownUnicorn2537518
93
Xauusd ! Gold is broke rising wedge, short trade ideaThe rising wedge — also called an ascending wedge — is a bearish reversal pattern. This means that after the pattern completes, you can expect the market to reverse direction. Confirming rising wedge. 1. Choppy and overlapping waves 2. Higher highs and higher lows 3. An upward sloping resistance trend line 4. An upward sloping support trend line 5. Resistance and support trend lines that converge and intersect when extrapolated Divergence with an Oscillator, Volume Tends to Fall, Oscillator divergence is created when the price makes a higher high, yet the oscillator makes a lower high. Price action The price of gold has broken the 1800 support level and is looking to pullback. Wait for bearish momentum candles then go to open short.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by YertuntsTrader
7
Microsoft - 2016 Trendline is breaking down! 43% CRASH. First Netflix, then META, TSLA, and now MSFT! The major trendline from 2016 is breaking down with a successful retest. This is not looking good. MSFT is still pretty strong compared to others, but the question is how long it can last. The next support is the base trendline from 2009. In this case, a 43% crash is possible. I don't see any good, strong support above the trendline. If we take a look at the MACD indicator, we can see that the histogram is very negative for the first time in a long time. It clearly broke the major uptrend. As per my Elliott Wave analysis, this whole uptrend is done. MSFT's uptrend was brutal, as it always is, but the impulse wave has been completed. Now we are looking for a retracement. The previous all-time high from 2000 is pretty much the worst-case scenario, just in case it starts to free fall like META. Buying Microsoft on this support is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. We are experiencing a historical crash in stocks and crypto. A lot of investors get rekt and it will be even worse. Great to be alive or not? :D I am not here to spread negativity, but I cannot pretend that everything is bullish. I don't want anyone to lose money with bad investments, but when the big players decide to crash the market, no problem for them. Thank you.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by UnknownUnicorn2537518
35
EUR/USD Corrective ShortAfter last weeks FED and ECB markets were left adjusting to Powell and Lagarde's comments. FED will have to continue on with rate hikes well into Q2 '23 when they can start a pivot of no hikes, but certainly not making any cuts either. Rates will be held until they feel they have things 'under control'. While Lagarde sounded 'hawkish' it doesn't change high inflation is here to stay and global growth concerns are starting to take headlines, weighing on sentiment. I scalped the range last week but focused on shorts after fibonacci extension target was reached at 1.07350. I took short from 1.07250 closing at the end of the week at 1.06050. This week I took entry short back at that same level, 1.06050 **If SL gets hit, it’s only 10 pips and I’ll hop in on a long scalp into 1.06500 - 1.06800 Market can range with end of year low volume so its best to cut it quick when you know a key level is failing and get in at a better entry. At the end of the day, trade you own levels..but I hope you found to be decent
Short
by Krecioch
2
AUD/USD ShortPossibly the Australian dollar against the American dollar has a fall because it has 4 confirmations: • Wyckoff Accumulation • Butterfly harmonic pattern • Rising wedge • Reaction of an Order Block in 4h The first three factors tend to reverse the trend or set the tone for a new trend, which in this case would be bearish apart from the fact that in elliot waves the rising wedge marks the end of a wave, whether it is "1", "5" or "C" wave. Wait for it to reach the entry area
Short
by Ed_Ale
5
Bitcoin - Bear flag, January is an extremely bearish month! Sell before Christmas because this is the time when Bitcoin falls like a rock pretty much every time! January is also a deep freeze for Bitcoin. At this point, this overlapy uptrend from 15450 to 18400 looks like an ABC correction to me. It shows all the signs of a correction. Altough I believe there will be a lot of buyers at the 0.618 FIB retracement because this uptrend can be considered a strong trend by some traders. I am buying here for short-term gains. The 0.618 FIB is a strong support because it coincides with the POC on the volume profile, the previous breakout level, and the beginning of the GAP. I give you the most professional outlook on bitcoin, so hit the like right now! Thank you. We can clearly see that Bitcoin is moving in an ascending parallel channel, or you can call it a bear flag as well. This is a big problem; you probably don't want to see this pattern at the start of something big. This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately. After we break this bear flag, Bitcoin can continue to drop to new lows and potentially hit 10k next year. I hope it happens very quickly, so we can start a new bull market as soon as possible. Of course, I don't want Bitcoin to be stuck in some range for another six months and then slowly bleed down. At this point, I cannot be bullish because of the DXY index, and if I take a look at altcoins, it looks even worse. Thanks for your attention!
Short
by UnknownUnicorn2537518
67
ETH QUICK UPDATE! LOOKS BEARISH!!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow. Welcome to this quick ETH update. ETH is not looking good here. Forming a rising wedge in 6hr time frame which is a bearish pattern. ETH breaks down this rising wedge and currently retesting. After this retest, we might see more drop in ETH. Important support for ETH is at the $1220-$1230 level. Let's see how price reacts there. Invalidation Level:- Breaks above $1300 will invalidate this rising wedge pattern. If you like this idea then do support it with like and follow. Also, share your views in the comment section. Thank you!
Short
by CoreCrypto1
9
✅UNDERSTAND THE RISING WEDGE PATTERN✅ ☑️WHAT IS THE RISING WEDGE PATTERN? The rising (ascending) wedge pattern is a bearish chart pattern that signals a highly probable breakout to the downside. It’s the opposite of the falling (descending) wedge pattern (bullish). A rising wedge can be both a continuation and reversal pattern, although the former is more common and more efficient as it follows the direction of an overall trend. The rising wedge consists of two converging trend lines that connect the most recent higher lows and higher highs. In a rising wedge, the lows are catching up with the highs at a higher pace, which means that the lower (supporting) trend line is steeper. ☑️KEY FEATURES • The price action temporarily trades in an uptrend (the higher highs and higher lows) • Two trend lines (support and resistance) that are converging • The decrease in volume as the wedge progresses towards the breakout The third point is seen more as a boost to the validity and effectiveness of the pattern, rather than a mandatory element. And it is applicable either for stocks trading mostly. ☑️SPOTTING THE RISING WEDGE Identifying a rising wedge is not so difficult. As a first step, you should eliminate all types of wedges that are present in the sideways-trading environment. The ascending wedge occurs either in a downtrend as the price action temporarily corrects higher, or in an uptrend. ☑️TRADING THE RISING WEDGE Trading the rising wedge pattern is pretty easy. After we correctly identified the pattern all we need to do is wait patiently for the breakout of the wedge to the downside. After the breakout is confirmed(usually at least a 4H candle needs to close below the broken level) we can place a limit order to short the pair on a pullback giving us a better risk to reward ratio. The correct Stop Loss should be placed above the last higher high established by the wedge before the breakout. What concerns the Take Profit level, it must be based on the technical levels below( If there are any). If not, then we might use Trailing Stop or just choose a minimal acceptable RR of 1:1,5 I Hope you guys learned something new today✅ Wish you all Best Of Luck👍 😇And may the odds be always in your favor😇 Do you like this post? Do you want more articles like that?
Education
by ProSignalsFx
11
BTC short TradingplanHi @everone, i Added on top of previous chart i would like to share some pattern wavecouts on top of it. rule nr 1 : never short at a potential wave D ( this is often a huge trap) same for an falling wedge, its exact the opposite. rule nr 2 : now how to count your waves, you want to spot a 5 wave structure with higher highs and higher lows with an apex wich is declining. the first wave needs to be inpulsive and may not made an lower low. This would inval your wave count for an wedge. rule nr 3 : ONLY enter if you spotted an valid wave E with some bearish divergence on top of it! Everyone nows what is an wedge.. But almost no one seems to knows how to really trade them. Enjoy your new set of rules, If u found this valueble please put your comment below, Thanks! Goodluck, Team Quantistic
Short
by Quantistic
3
BTC at a critical level! Can It break 18.2k?!Here's a quick look at the BTC 6 hr. chart. As we can see, the price has been printing a bigger rising channel, and if the price gets rejected from its current level, we may see a drop to the bottom of the rising channel! If the price breaks above the channel and thereby 18.2k, the price will probably retest the 18.8k level! A rising channel has a 30% chance of breaking higher, and a 70% chance of breaking lower! ------------------------------------------- If you like the content, then make sure to comment and like the post :D Follow me for daily profitable trading setups BTC dictates the market. If BTC falls, then Alts will fall as well. Trade safe!
by MBM_Crypto
10
BTCUSDT is testing the 0.618 Fibonacci level inside a wedge The price is testing a crucial level on the daily and 4h timeframe inside a rising wedge How to approach it? IF the price is going to have a breakout from the rising wedge and support, According to Plancton's strategy , we can set a nice order ––––– Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ⚫️ black structure -> <= 1h structure. ––––– Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Short
by InkyGrip
8
NFLX- Ascending Wedge Pattern Setting up Bearish SHORTNFLX has been in an uptrend and quite bullish and relatively strong on the 2H chart an ascending wedge pattern is seen. Moving Averages confirm the present trend as bullish with no crossovers and the price above all of them. Given the ascending wedge I will take a small position now at the trendline resistance as a swing short. I will add to it if/when price breaksdown below the green trendline support and the fast moving average crosses the intermediate moving average as well as a line crossover on the MACD or bearish divergence on a RSI indicator.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by AwesomeAvani