BTC 4H chart update.since you guys liked the previous idea very much,I decided to post this one similar to it,SIMPLE AND PRICE ACTION! ;)
it's risky to open a trade midrange,the more you enter near the blue zone,the lower the risk.
so if you want to trade this, manage your risk properly !
good luck all!
Rising Wedge
DXY appears to be triggering a rising wedgeShown here on the 1 day chart is a rising wedge that is probably most valid on a 4-8hr time frame. However I wanted to show the 1 day 50ma (in orange) so I decided to post this idea on the 1 day time frame. We can see a big red candle has formed here and almost already reached the breakdown target of the wedge of 108. My thought was it was going to wait until the 1 day 50ma climbed up to the 108 zone for the breakdown to reach this target and the retest the 1 day 50ma’s support but it appears to be heading to this breakdown target much more quickly than I expected. We can see the green target I have above the wedge was almost reached to its full target but fell ever so slightly short…falling short of reaching 100% of the target suggests the bullish momentum for dxy may be waning and we could see a trend change to the down trend sooner than later. Especially if this current bearish pattern reaches 100% of its breakdown target or even more so, loses the 1 day 50ma as support. If we hit the full target and then it flips the 1 day 50ma to solid resistance the downtrend will likely be confirmed. If so it could mean yet another lower high has been established for DXY meaning that in the grand scheme of things the DXY would be very much still in a macro bear trend, despite all the FED induced”strength” it has seen as of yet…the recent surge in strength while everything else has plummeted does seem to bear the hallmarks of some sort of final exit pump but that is of course mostly speculation on my part. Al eyes on the 1 day 50ma *not financial advice*
NASDAQ INDEX SHORT TERM ANALYSIS (A CALL OPPORTUNITY!!)The total evaluation for the NASDAQ chart is concurrently bearish over the past few months, but remained bullish in an overall decades of terms. Please be mindful of your risk management and trade accordingly with fundamentals and proper market structure (this includes familiarity towards candlesticks, indicators, etc.)
There is a very good chance we will pump right above the point of control where the volume is at its strongest, this is called a "REACTION RALLY" to the dump we just suffered the past weeks. This is especially stronger since we are sitting on a support that we just bounced around June and May 2022, this is the 3rd back-test and re-test which can serve as a strong notion for a long/call position. Simultaneously, this pump can also push crypto to 19,800$-20,200$ and ETH to 1,720$-1,750$ only fo r EVERYTHING TO GO DOWN conveniently on a bad CPI report on September 13.
Quite coincidental am I right? Its approaching resistance and there's a cpi report, maybe too obvious of a pattern for market makers but fear not, I recognized this and wanted to share it to you all!
If you are wondering what are the jitteries on the circles and everything, the full chart can be found in my profile. Its in the same NASDAQ name but in a longer term of analysis, the same information and movement can be similar
to the SP500 therefore it is not necessary for me to make another chart regarding it.
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Ethereum ETHBTC - New all time high this year! Then a big crash?
Ethereum is much stronger than Bitcoin and this trend should continue until we hit the major resistance from 2017, which is approximately another 85% upwards.
As you can see on the chart, this whole market structure looks like an ascending triangle. This triangle should break downwards, if we don't want ETH to flip BTC on coinmarketcap.
Keep in mind that ETHBTC does not belong to a trending market. It's more like an oscillator. You can compare this pair to the EURUSD forex pair. So, forex strategies should work much better on this particular ETHBTC pair.
According to my Elliott Wave analysis, we are currently in the final 5th impulsive wave of the bigger impulsive wave.
Bitcoin's dominance is breaking down the key market structure, which, of course, greatly favors ETH.
Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below.
For more analysis, please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
ETHEREUM PERSONAL ANALYSIS IN THE SHORT TERM (ASCENDING MY BANK)The total evaluation for the Ethereum asset is bearish. Please be mindful of your risk management as always, this is number 1 -- even if you are the most amazing and colorful technical analyst with all those patterns and whatever, all of it are crap in the face of no risk management, in short you might as well be no different to wallstreet redditors. The asset as show in the chart has made a very convincing ascending line of triangle with continuous rejections on the 1620$ region. A breakthrough above 1620$ is very possible at this point and would potentially even reach a max level of 1720$ before dumping for a retest. To add for a further confirmation that this ascending triangle is valid is because we came from a triple bottom from BTC around 19,500-19,800$
The retest can be two things:
Either it breaks down and it was indeed a falling wedge now.
It continues to be a rising wedge.
Please do not consider this as your edge towards your mega bullishness, the markets in both forex and crypto are still in a bear trend, a macro bear trend. This is just one of those mini-bull price action that will often reflect itself on the weekly as a higher low. Do you like this chart? Save it then! Comment on it, share it, boost it, bookmark it -- its yours! For free!
BINANCE COIN PERSONAL ANALYSIS IN THE LONG TERM (SECOND TRY!?)The total evaluation for the BNB coin is bearish. Please be mindful of the risks in each trade you do and consider your risk tolerance as well to avoid any sort of unnecessary repositioning or panic selling/buying. I see a big potential for BNB to break to the upside, embarrassingly enough the breakdown we just had days ago is still within the rising wedge for BNB but not with others, this means that BNB can still go form a higher-high and then dump. However, this higher high would more likely to be a fake-out and a desperate plea.
The NASDAQ and the SP500 was able to end the day with a bullish harami which is a very bullish indication of a reversal point, now we are currently building a healthy market structure based on RE-TEST instead of just dropping rapidly in one fell swoop.
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BITCOIN PERSONAL ANALYSIS IN THE SHORT TERM (TO THE MOON!)The total evaluation for the bitcoin chart is currently bearish. Please be mindful of your risk management as always, I sincerely think we are now in for the low. We re-tested 19,500-19,800$ as much as we want with now a confirmed triple bottom. Do I still stay bearish in a macro time frame? Absolutely, since the SP500 and NASDAQ are far from actual dumping considering how bad our macro-economic factors are such as inflation rate, gas prices, food commodity prices, house sale -- in short, there is still a ton of problems.
We have already tested 20,400-20,500 multiple times, you can barely even draw an ascending triangle now and would break to 20,800-21,200$ -- From there, I see a very strong rejection, so be warned!
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Bitcoin BTC - Ready for a massive uptrend! | Elliott wave
Bitcoin has successfully completed a retracement of the first impulsive wave! This correction was very fast but also relatively strong (almost 0.618 FIB). This was a classic retracement for the second wave.
It is possible that we see these lower prices for the last time, so if you are still hesitating and waiting for 13 000 USDT or even 6 000 USDT per bitcoin, then I think it's not going to happen. It's everyone's dream to buy cheap Bitcoin.
We must remember that Bitcoin successfully defended its previous all-time high from 2017, which was around 19 000 USDT, depending on exchanges.
The third wave of the first impulsive wave is an extended diagonal, which is pretty rare to see in the market. But as per Elliott Wave himself, diagonals also appear in third waves.
The next major resistance and high liquidity area is exactly at 34000 USDT. It's very likely that we will make a pullback here.
Bitcoin is pretty weak compared to altcoins like BNB or ETH, because the BTC.D (Dominance) chart is going down and people prefer altcoins instead of Bitcoin at this moment. This trend should continue for another year (alt season).
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Bitcoin - Correction has been completed! New bull run started.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, an ABC correction (ZigZag) has been finally completed, and we have to start a new impulse wave! Now or never.
We have a falling wedge pattern that is very close to a breakout. Indeed, this is definitely not a nice wedge, but the shape is similar.
The previous first impulse wave has a third wave overlap structure, which is definitely acceptable. It's pretty rare to see it, but Elliott said it's possible.
Bitcoin's dominance is going down - LTCBTC is breaking out of the major downtrend from 2018. ETH looks much stronger together with BNB. This indicates an alt season in progress.
I am bullish on Bitcoin and on the stock market, and I don't think we will go to 13 000 USDT. Prepare for the 10-year biggest bear market in Bitcoin history if we fall to 13 000 USDT.
I expect tremendous gains for selected altcoins. You can find them in the related section down below.
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Bearish Thesis Bitcoin to 20800-then drop to 18500 WIP (Short)Elliot Wave continuing from the drop from 25200, ABCDE. Rising Wedge to about 20750-850 (not exact), then a drop from there to 18400-600 as measured from the last drop. Not a guarantee. I haven't entered a short, I might take a swing with my hedge account. Work-In-Progress. This doesn't mean, "short now" but for traders that already have established shorts from higher levels, this would add to the "hold your shorts" argument. I might set some very small sell stops on my hedge account with very little risk. I'd be placing stops a few hundred above just in case. I would also be taking healthy profits in my very light long position on my main account if we approach this level, but that is already a given. Also 18400 would not necessarily be the stopping point for the drop, as it is simply a measured move based on the last one that played out.
A secondary target might actually be to "sweep the lows" of 17600... implying at least a few hundred below that, or possibly thousands depending on catalysts, positioning, and where everyone's stops are placed.
BTC PERSONAL ANALYSIS IN THE SHORT TERM (RAIN OF FIREEE!)Greetings fellow crypto fam! I am here to share a fairly well conclusion on what's gonna happen with bitcoin, we have been so exposed with lots of bearishness with all of the charts and patterns pointing more downside action. We have bearflags, rising wedges, inflation, rate hikes, housing market crashes, war, pandemic -- there's too much of anything in this world to even be at least interested in becoming a bull so I implore you to carefully consider your options in this market. There are two choices here,, either you enter shorts or puts in this monthly trend of bearishness or you can sit it out, wait for everything to settle probably 6 months or so and then decide from there.
The totality of Jack Powell's speech in the Jackson Hole is a huge U-turn on his image basically because everyone was expecting for a neutral-rate hike or even a standard Jack Powell optimistic speech, but no he literally admitted that along the way some pain will happen and this cannot be helped by taking more of this approach aggressively and possibly even end it quickly. I like the brashness of it all, however he just nailed the door shut when he said that their decisions or outlook towards the economy would largely depend on "data".
The bad thing about being data-dependent is that the economy could crash tons of money tomorrow and they will only act FROM there, there are no preventive measures, there are no concrete risk managements -- just pure reliance on what the potential future data can display and that's just sending everyone to their financial graves. This only proves that they literally cannot do anything to change what is happening and would prefer to just let the market settle ITSELF, all on its own , with continuous monitoring by yours truly, the FED.
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Bottom will be in December most likely: rising wedge on invertedSeptember: 15-16k per BTC, run up to 19.5K by October, resistance
October end: dump to 14.8k per BTC run to 16.7k by December
December: bottom - 12-13k
This coincides with 2018, the bottom was also in December.
The moment you see a double retest and a bullish divergence shows we are in bottom. But RSI keeps going to the high and the price is much lower, which is extremely bearish
BTC 15 min time frame looks good for short BTC 15 min time frame looks good for short as the trend is bearish so looks so good and also look for reversal if it breaks for upside might give up move also but however the overall all markets are down so impact will on BTC also so look this watch this in 5 min time frame for target and stop ;loss
Potential LTF BTC trade (Falling Wedge)BTC is coming out of a falling wedge of which’s target has been met. During this, the price action created a falling wedge which could take us higher until we reach the HTF resistance line in yellow which has continuously pushed price back down.
I think upon touching this yellow resistance line we will fall down to around the 13k level as there is major support there, please check out my other chart for BTC where I detail this. (BTC Price Prediction - TA)
ETHEREUM PERSONAL ANALYSIS IN THE VERY SHORT TERM (LANDSLIDE!)Total evaluation for the ETH asset is completely bearish. I repeat, bearish. Its quite obvious where we are going at this point. I don't see any particular bounce until we hit the previous support which is around 1500$ and even then depending on the current situation for Jack Powell's speech, we might see a more bearish approach. Lets tune in together at this very important day because there is a huge chance whatever happens today will reverberate all throughout our low volume weekends which is hugely prone for manipulation pumps either way.
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SPX500 DAX40 NASDAQ - more downward pressureSPX500 DAX40 NASDAQ - more downward pressure
Next support levels:
DAX at 13,000 (FIB golden pocket)
NASDAQ at 12,612 (FIB 50%) and 12,275 (FIB golden pocket)
SPX at 4,028 (FIB 50%) and 3,938 (FIB golden pocket)
Likely we meet these targets IMO dear Crypto Nation
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
ETH PERSONAL ANALYSIS IN THE SHORT TERM (CONFIRMED!!!)The total current evaluation for Ethereum is a massive bear. Yes, you are reading that right, it is a complete breakdown of a confirmed rising wedge on the daily and you know what that means? This means that the price will now go back to where it originally started. Please be mindful of longing anything right now as we do not have any confirmations on any sentiment or fundamental or economical news to support a bullish reversal. The NASDAQ and the SP500 are on its way down, you can check it on my profile. You are in a bear market after all, shorting is the best move as is longing in a bull market!
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SPX500 DAX40 NASDAQ - volume support after breakdown ??!!SPX500 DAX40 NASDAQ - volume support after breakdown ??!!
All three traditional indices had a breakout of their rising wedges to the downside
Might be time for some recovery since prices meet volume profile support
Also hidden bullish divergence still in play
What do you think dear Crypto Nation
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
2X $COST 1D Tech. Analysis!COSTCO IS A GREAT STOCK, but the price action is showing a cool off after this strong run up almost 40% from the May lows! The current bull trend is in a Huge rising Wedge, and also the overall chart is showing a head and shoulders formation in the making in the near future. Look to load up on puts at these 2 marked areas!