As of September 19, 2024, traders are closely monitoring the USDJPY pair for potential bullish momentum. Several fundamental factors and market conditions indicate that the pair might see a slight upward bias this week. Let’s dive into the key drivers affecting the USDJPY price action. 1. Diverging Central Bank Policies One of the primary influences on USDJPY...
Recently USTs moved a lot lower as yields continued to push higher on inflation fears and hawkish guidance and communication from Fed. With investors and traders focusing on the 3.5% before any significant correction in stocks. However with the recent push hitting 3.23%, US stocks plunged sparking global risk off sentiment. As such USTs found support from safe...
As long as the uncertainty over Brexit divorce deals and irish border remains, I will be bullish on the sterling overall. A hawkish tone from BOC later today could be a major catalyst for this pair to move lower. A positive development on the brexit issue and a dovish tone from BOC later are the major risks for this trading plan.
LONG VIX SEPT FUT @12.8 TP 16-20VOLS 1. Fading risk sentiment - back of googl, msft, fb strong earnings not able to push market higher implying risk bid is over. 2. Time value - 7wks for this view to play out. I expect maturity in around 2wks but an extra 5wks of float is only positive.