Ratio between IWC ( Microcap ETF ) and DIA ( Mega Cap) - picked this up from a presentation by Gundlach of Doubleline Funds. A good gauge of risk appetite. You can clearly see the blow off in Nov 20, Last Hurrah in Nov 21 and where we are now.
I have this quotient in my watchlist to monitor the risk appetite of the market. The AMEX:XLY ETF (Consumer Discretionary) is a good indicator of high risk appetite because its holdings are more focus on growth therefore are more volatile. And the AMEX:XLP ETF (Consumer Staples) is more focus in value stocks, therefore less volatile. AMEX:XLY with holdings...
Hello dear traders. Here my idea to AUDJPY . we will expect bullish continuation to 78.132 level. Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments.please like and subscribe to my profile. Good luck to you. This idea does not provide the financial advice.
Here it is, up cluse and personal. This is the Put/Call Ratio 14 day RSI. - A highly reliable indicator of 93.8% accuracy. Dump ALL risk assets - including the highly correlated Precious Metals!! - here! The raw PCCE Here is the VIX ... and the FAANGs ... and the AUDUSD ... and the USD (DXY) ... and Gold Just how many more clues does one really...
There is some issue regarding the dollar at this point. The devaluation could be in the process so far there are a lot of things behind but let's make it easier. If price breaks from this rising trendline lower It could lead price further lower indicating bearish domination. Expect S1 or S2 of weekly pivot if this breakout happens lower with strong momentum.
Remembered this chart from my older idea? No much changes from the technical point of view but things do change around beyond technical and I just want to tell my good folks that I am a guy who go with the follow. Kinda like trend following trader you can take but I don't mean the overall reversal of trend on this major pair but just the personality I got during...
When the whole town runs for risk bets man how the hell might this yellow metal shine?
Risk appetite appears to have improved somewhat during the Asian session, and the Loonie has been the strongest among the comdoll bunch. This is likely because the commodity currency is having some strength after Canadian data and a pickup in crude oil as well. After all, there are speculations that the OPEC could consider an increase in output cuts or at least...
After breaking below its long period ascending trend line, this pair pulled up for a quick retest and is now ready to gain power on its downtrend. EUR/JPY is now down to the 38.2% Fibonacci extension, and moving averages suggest that further losses are in the works. The 100 SMA crossed below the 200 SMA to confirm that bearish momentum is in play, and the former...
It looks like a successful break-and-retest. AUD/JPY found resistance at the former support level around 74.25 and is resuming its slide to the next downside targets. The 38.2% Fibonacci extension level appears to be holding as support at the moment, but stochastic has room to move lower before reflecting exhaustion among sellers. Bearish pressure could still...
Risk appetite has recovered in recent trading sessions as China seems to be stepping up its game when it comes to keeping the coronavirus outbreak and its impact on the economy contained. This was enough to bring EUR/NZD down to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level on its recent rally, and it appears that buyers are trying to defend this area. Price is currently...
A strong U.S equities market and risk-friendly trading environment have helped push and breakout USD/JPY above a descending trend line on the 1-hour time frame. The pair were consolidated for a while London entered but then somehow the global positive risk sentiment news concern to coronavirus saying "China finding an effective drug to treat people with new...
In today’s #marketinsights video recording, I talk about #SPX and #DXY. SPX keeps going up, and with structural variances playing in we could see fresh highs reached in no time. Will the US-China situation and a dovish #Fed boost appetite for equities more? The US Index, on the other hand, should be watched cautiously. Will this upside impulsive move turn out to...
In today’s #marketinsights video recording, I talk about the latest geopolitical and economic developments affecting #FXMajor pairs #USDJPY and #GBPUSD. For one, US confirmed that rollbacks on previously imposed tariffs against Ciina are possible, pushing #safehavens down and #dollaryen to a fresh multimonth high! At the #BoE meeting yesterday, #Carney re-cited...
Final capitulation occurred on 12 JAN 2015, during a time in which the personal saving rate made a multi-year high, peaking on 30 JAN 2015. This could help us identify a max point of financial opportunity in overall market conditions and investor psychology. Q4 2018 ended the year with the highest personal saving rate of 2018. Q1 and Q2 readings in 2019 could be...
Increased spread between Germany 10-year bond yield vs Japan 10-year yield could indicate a slide in the Euro against the Yen. Even though the yield is higher for European bund, the risk appetite is declining, while the global economy is projected to have a slow growth rate through out 2019. This means that investors seek safe heaven assets like the Yen and JP10...
- As many of you know ive been tracking/ am keen on this whole macro "net risk sentiment" theme to gauge what direction markets are heading in for the day/ week/ several weeks. - We started today as planned, with both safe havens and risk asset relatively flat, before risk-on sentiment dominated early trading with yen breaking out the 107 level and equity indexes...