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Riskmanagementstrategy

What Lot Size to Use in Forex for $10, $100, $1000 Account I will share with you a simple guide, that will help you to calculate a lot size for your forex trading account easily. In brief, let me explain to you why you should calculate a lot size for your trades. If you trade Forex with Fixed lot, you should be extremely careful. Too big lot size may lead too substantial losses or even blown trading account, while with a too small lot you may miss good profits. To calculate the best lot size, follow these 5 simple steps. 1. Make a list of all Forex pairs that you trade Let's say that you trade only major forex pairs: EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD, NZDUSD, AUDUSD 2. Back test every pair and identify at least 5 past trading setups on each pair Above, you can see 5 last trades on each 6 major forex pairs. 3. Measure stop losses of each trade 4. Find the trade with the biggest stop loss in pips In our example, the biggest stop loss in on GBPUSD pair. It is 34 pips. Remember this number and the name of a currency pair. Why we need to do that? Your lot size will primarily depend on your risk in pips. For example, scalpers may have 10/15 pips stop losses, while swing traders may have even 100 pips stop losses. 5. Open a Forex position size calculator You can use any free calculator that is available. They are all the same. 6. Input your account size, 2% as the risk ratio and a currency pair with the biggest stop loss (GBPUSD in our example) In "stop loss in pips" field, write down the pip value of your biggest stop loss - 34 pips in our example. For the account size of 1000$, the best lot size to use 0.05 standard lot. The idea is that your maximum loss should not exceed 2% of your account balance, while the average loss will be around 1%. Remember to carefully back test your strategy and now exactly your maximum risks in pips, to make proper calculations! ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Education
by VasilyTrader
10
How to Apply a Position Size Calculator in Forex Trading In this educational article, I will teach you how to apply a position size calculator in Forex and calculate a lot size for your trades depending on a desired risk . Why do you need a position size calculator? Even though, most of the newbie traders trade with the fixed lot , the truth is that fixed lot trading is considered to be very risky . Depending on the trading instrument, time frame and a desired stop loss, the risks from one trade to another are constantly floating . With the constant fluctuations of losses per trade, it is very complicated to control your risks and drawdowns. A lot size calculation , however, allows you to risk the desired percentage of your capital per trade , limiting the maximum you can potentially lose. A lot size is calculated with a position size calculator . How to Measure Lot Size for Trades? Let's measure a lot size for the following trade on EURUSD. Step 1: Measure a pip value of your stop loss. It is the distance from your entry level to your stop loss level. In the example on the picture, the stop loss is 35 pips. Step 2: Open a position size calculator Step 3: Fill the form. Inputs: Account currency, account balance, desired risk %, stop loss in pips, currency pair. Let's say that we are trading with USD account. Its balance is $10000. The risk for this trade is 1%. Step 4: Calculate a lot size. The system will calculate a lot size for your trade. 0.28 standard lot in our example. Taking a trade on EURUSD with $10000 deposit and 35 pips stop loss , you will need 0.28 lot size to risk 1% of your trading account. Learn to apply a position size calculator. That is the must-use tool for a proper risk management.
Education
by VasilyTrader
8
A note to Risk Management and Exit StrategyI had a message and was inspired to speak my mind about correct risk management. What is it? How can I use it? How does it serve me? First of all, positions with no SL are a really bad idea, I don't care what bankers do. It is not cool or useful at all. Depending on how refined your strategy is, you will be struggling with higher Exits in your beginnings. Risk Management for Beginners: Start with an 1:1 Risk Reward. Which means, exit all positions at the same amount where your Stop Loss would have been. It is the safest and fastest option until you know enough about the markets to aim for more. If not, most of your trades will land in BE and your losses will hurt even more. Trust me, I've been there. Risk Management for advanced traders: When your general win quota has reached about 70-90%, your account will not necessarily will be growing. Because we are humans and always will do some stupid experiments in between, whether we feel too safe with a bad idea, or want to try something new. Its time to set 2-3 Exits. Use multiple positions, so you can leave them running. 2 Exit Strategy (50% at Exit 1 and 50% at Exit 2) 3 Exit Strategy (25% at Exit 1, 50% at Exit 2, 25% at Exit 3) This way you secure 200% with every successful trade. Risk Management for Pros: You can aim for higher exits minimize your Stop Loss. When you know where to find an Exit5 or Exit 10. Never reenter the same trade, the first idea is always valid. Have a 4 Exit strategy without variation on the amount of risk per trade, and take an extra open trade for higher positions. Always know what your target is. (25% at Exit 1, 25% at Exit 2, 25% at Exit 3, 25% on the open position). Do never vary the amount of your risk. Be aware that emotions do not matter and there is no difference in between trades. All aim to be profitable, otherwise we would not be trading. If you decide for 0.5% or 1 or 5%, it doesn't matter, just do not vary ever. Down or upscale slow, very slow.
VANTAGE:DJ30Education
by Heaven10
Risk Management Guide for Beginner TradersHello traders. In this video, I delve into the fundamental principles of risk management tailored specifically for beginner traders entering the world of financial markets. I start by emphasizing the importance of understanding risk and its implications on trading outcomes. By setting clear goals and objectives, traders can align their risk management strategies with their investment aspirations. We explore practical risk management tools such as stop loss orders, which act as a safety net to limit potential losses on trades. Calculating position sizes based on risk tolerance and stop loss levels ensures traders are not overexposed to any single trade. Continuous monitoring and review of trading performance enable adjustments to risk parameters in response to changing market conditions. I also shared some tools that can be used to help make the process of calculating risk efficient and accurate. By mastering these risk management techniques, beginner traders can safeguard their capital and embark on their trading journey with confidence and resilience.
Education
by Pips4Breakfastx
A Trading Plan MUST Include A Sound Risk Management StrategyOne of the biggest mistakes a trader can make is to neglect the aspect of risk management. In this video, I divulge the most pivotal lesson I’ve gleaned from my experience in trading. During the initial years of my trading journey, I disregarded the importance of risk management, which proved to be detrimental in a significant way. The watershed moment of my trading career came after incurring substantial financial losses. This experience was a stark revelation of the imperative nature of a robust risk management strategy for trading success. It was an excruciatingly costly lesson. Should you have bypassed dedicating time to understand risk management, you might be on the brink of a potential calamity. By watching this video, I hope you can sidestep the blunder I once made in the nascent stage of my trading endeavors.
Education
by fxtraderanthony
Weakening Patterns: NVDANASDAQ:NVDA is over-speculated on the short-term and intermediate-term trends. It has minimal support nearby for holding for a position trade. Without retail groups or smaller funds, the price action is weakening at this time. Nvidia doesn't report until May 22 which is very late in the season but for now, it has some minor rotation going on. If it continues to hold above the black line, then it can pattern out the excessive price gains. This is not a strong sell short opportunity, but it is important to keep an eye on this stock for the next couple of weeks.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
BAT Weekly Analysis: Seizing Entry Opportunities🔍In the weekly timeframe, BAT has broken its trend line, with the trigger at 0.3159 confirming the breakout convincingly. The notable volume surge since early February 2024 suggests increasing interest from market whales and participants, likely indicating significant buy-side activity. ✅Additionally, the presence of a curvature line suggests a diminishing bearish trend, ultimately breaking the upward support, further bolstering the bullish sentiment. 🛒However, it's essential to acknowledge that the primary trend trigger rests at 0.4522. Although entering trades with the current candle presents an enticing opportunity, it also carries elevated risk, potentially exceeding acceptable loss thresholds. Nevertheless, capitalizing on the strength of this candle for buying purposes is a viable strategy. 🛑Setting a maximum of 1% capital allocation for trades without stop-loss and considering a range of 0.2 for stop-loss trades is advisable to manage risk effectively. 💥RSI resistance at 61.24 has been breached, confirming overbought conditions and supporting the bullish bias. 📰Fundamentally, BAT is the token associated with the Brave browser. Considering the browser's potential for growth, investing in its token could be lucrative. 🧠💼Just remember, jumping into trades too quickly before the main trigger can be risky. Always manage your money wisely and be aware of the risks involved.
Long
by itsparham96
TLT Long Treasury ETF- an options straddle idea TLT is here on a 15-minute chart. Price action is orderly and somewhat related to treasury yield fluctuations and the value of the existing securities adjusting from those fluctuations. There is adequate volatility. A straddle options strategy can be employed. Positions can be taken in both directions. Depending on price action, one leg will rise and the other will fall. Overall the trades make profit so long as there is volatility in one direction or the other. Additionally, if the instrument is oversold and upward price action is more likely, the proportions between the two legs can be skewed toward calls and vice-versa in overbought /overvalued scenarios. Here in TLT, price is near to support and so relatively oversold. The hypothetical setup is tipped in favor of the probabilities and expectations for a rise in TLT. Options can be OTM or ITM depending on trader preference. In this example the calls selected are OTM at the level of a Fibonacci retracement of the prior trend down and the puts selected are slight OTM at the horizontal support level and the trade is skewed 70/30 ( by AMEX:USD ) toward the calls. For a more astute explanation see the webpage from the link
NASDAQ:TLT
by AwesomeAvani
GBPUSD Post Trade Analysis 2024-01-29 : Valid LossGBPUSD Post Trade Analysis 2024-01-29 *Loss* 1. Valid risk entry loss for a valid loss A. Entry Valid B. Point of Interest Valid - 4H A.3 C. Valid Exit 2.What can I improve ? A. - I can input trade concept into Edgewonk Advance Journal Section. - I can add all info, pre trade screenshots, fundamental news - I can improved my fundamental analysis - First Mitigation Failed - will track and possible add no first mitigation to trade plan What would be my entry model Price Levels ? 1. Entry Price : 1.26750 2. Stop Loss : 1.26450 3. Take Profit : 1.27200 Could I take this Trade ? - Would set alert and have 1 hour to place trade - Valid Entry and Win Lessons - First mitigation is lower probability and Entry Model is a more valid Trade
Long
by Trader_Miles
[EDU] Lossing How much is too Much? (Risk Management)Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. A picture speaks a 1000 words and that is so true! Recently I came across this picture from moo moo. It actually strike a chord with the message that I always wanted to bring across, which is the importance of risk management! Always keep in mind that having your trade size manageable such that is wont devastate your trading account is very important. So let's say you are trading between 1-2% risk per trade, if you are so unlucky to have 10 straight losses, you will be down with a drawdown of 10-20%, as shown in the picture you will need almost equal % of profit to get back your losses. But, what if you were to trade with 4 or 5% risk per trade? With that,10 straight losses will get you a drawdown of 40-50%! And as you can see the gains you need to recoup these losses will be 67 to 100%. It is not hard to imagine what will happen if you are risky 10 or 20% risk per trade. So anything can happen in trading and it is always wise to protect your downside! Trade Safe! Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
Education
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
Avoid Forex Mayhem with Good Risk ManagemenTrading forex? Stop gambling with your capital! This video exposes the massive mistake new traders make - using inconsistent lot sizes. It's a recipe for disaster, blowing accounts and crushing dreams. But there's good news. Discover the secret weapon of successful traders: consistent lot sizing. In this actionable video, you'll learn: Why fluctuating lot sizes blindfold you to risk and leave you exposed The simple formula to calculate safe and sustainable lot sizes How consistent sizing fuels confidence and boosts profits Bonus tips to maximize your forex trading performance Say goodbye to trading nightmares and hello to controlled growth! Watch this video now and take control of your forex future. P.S. Don't be the trader left behind. Watch before it's too late!
Education
by fxtraderanthony
GoldViewFX - Gold Route Map UPDATEHey Everyone, PIPTASTIC finish to the week with our chart idea playing out perfectly in true level to level fashion with setups giving plenty of time to prepare and get ready for the entries and exits. We started the week with ema5 lock below 2044 opening the retracement range, which was HIT with plenty of retests. Ema5 failed to lock below the retracement level at 2024 and therefore no swing range confirming the support and bounce followed with the push up hitting both our Bullish targets 2044 and 2055. We are now seeing the weighted level at 2055 being tested and will need to see ema5 lock above this level to open the range above or failure to lock will see another dip down. A perfect week of buying dips!!! BULLISH TARGETS 2044 - DONE 2055 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2055 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2065 2070 BEARISH TARGETS 2044 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2044 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH RETRACEMENT TARGET 2024 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2024 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 1999 We will now come back Sunday with our multi timeframe analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the coming week. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it! Have a wonderful weekend, we all deserve it!! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
Multi-time Frame Analysis of GBPUSD Jan 4th 2023 - Daily Chart Analysis 1. The Daily swing range is from 1 & 2 (See Blue 1 & 2 for reference) My prediction will move from 1 than to 2 but that is in a long term horizon 2. Current price action is between the D-Ibos high weak & the 4h-Swing High Weak. 3. Price has mitigated the equilibrium of the daily swing range 4. The trades off the supply and demand zones are lower probability tend to be lower probability 5. Price entered the daily phase B (see blue 3 for reference) and had a reaction causing a push down back to the EQ of the daily low strong (See 4 for reference) 6. Price is currently in the daily C.4 demand zone. A. Price is bearish on the daily and 4h in between the daily high weak and daily low strong. If price switches to bullish by breaking the daily internal break of structure than I will look for longs off demand zone generated from the break. B. If price breaks the daily low strong (blue 4 for reference) than I will switch to bearish set-ups (A.1)
by Trader_Miles
Happy New Year 2024| Learn Our Methods | Read Description|Happy New Year Everyone 2024: Let's first talk about CHFJPY then we will talk about how you can improve and learn some tips. CHFJPY in last six or seven months price overbought heavily due to JPY poor performance and government's zero intention to interfere in the market. However, many reports suggests that JPY will likely to be rebound in first quarter of 2024 in this case we can see a strong shift in price characteristics. Our first entry indicates, that we should expect price to continue the bearish momentum and drop from current area of the price. However, as we will having NFP in the first week of the month, it is likely to see some unexpected movement in the market. Second entry, is when price fill the gaps in the market and then drop smoothly, we will keep you updated. We want all of you to succeed in the forex or commodities trading. Here how you can improve: Firstly find one or two pairs that suits you: meaning if you focus on every single instruments available to trade in the market, you will never succeed instead focus on one or two pairs and master them, know how and when these pairs move, what factors influence them in the market and trade swing highs and lows. Secondly, use longer time frames to have a better vision, have a longer vision which will help you catch the big moves, yes, it is time consuming but if you are beginner then focus first in this and then along the way you will learn intraday trading. Lastly, learn more about consolidation, accumulation and distribution: before the big reversal, price first will consolidate then accumulate and distribute, you should be looking to enter in phase of accumulation and take every enter when price consolidate which leads to a breakout. If you learn above information in details and practice, your chances of becoming a successful trade increase. There is no overnight success, it is all hard work, if you believe in your self and focus on above things you will one day be proud of yourself. Happy New Year and Trade Safe 2024. We wish all of you all the best. Team Setupsfx_
Education
by Setupsfx_
11
New Traders Ask, Experienced Traders Answer: Q&AHello TradingView Community! 🔸We're excited to launch a unique Q&A session right here! If you're new to trading and have questions, this is your chance to get them answered by seasoned or just other traders. Whether it's about technical analysis, trading psychology, or managing risks, feel free to ask anything related to trading. 🔸Experienced traders, we invite you to share your wisdom and insights. Your knowledge is invaluable, and this is a great way to give back to the community. Guidelines:👇 - Please keep questions and answers respectful and constructive. How It Works:👇 - New traders: Post your questions in the comments. - Experienced traders: Reply to these comments with your answers. - Let's make this a rich learning experience for everyone involved. We're looking forward to your questions and the insightful discussions they spark! P.S.: All the information shared here will be based on personal knowledge and the personal experience of traders! This is just an opinion, not financial advice! Happy Trading!
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by SwallowAcademy
16
Managing Gold Long & SL - A Multi-Indicator Consensus IndicatorDear Valued Investors, O n the financial markets, we find ourselves immersed in the story of Gold (XAUUSD), a tale of resilience and growth. Since November 13, 2023, Gold has gracefully embraced a bullish trajectory, dancing its way from $1928 to a harmonious $2002. This surge reflects the prevailing positive sentiment within the market. O ur cherished Multi-Indicator Consensus indicator , a guiding light in the complex world of trading, has been whispering about this bullish dance for the past two weeks. However, as we embark on this journey together, let us tread with both excitement and caution. W hile the absence of a bearish signal is reassuring, prudence suggests that initiating a new long position at this juncture might be akin to stepping into the dance mid-performance. The prolonged bullish stride, unaccompanied by a recent confirmation signal, hints at the potential for a gentle retracement or a graceful consolidation period. T o navigate the delicate balance of risk in our existing gold long position, we extend our hand to the wisdom of the trail profit stop-loss order. This order, a silent guardian in the realm of trading, elegantly adjusts the stop-loss level as the market rhythm unfolds. It allows us to savor the sweet taste of profits while gracefully curtailing potential losses. F or our gold long position, consider setting the trail profit stop-loss order at a Fibonacci retracement level – perhaps the enchanting 0.382 or the harmonious 0.5 retracement level. These levels, like gentle notes in a melodic composition, often serve as supportive zones during the ebb and flow of market pullbacks. A s we waltz with Gold's positive momentum, let us also be attuned to the nuances of increased risk that accompany holding a long position without a recent bullish signal. The overarching melody is one of positivity, but the absence of a fresh confirmation note calls for a measured and deliberate approach. I n closing, while the Multi-Indicator Consensus indicator paints a portrait of optimism for Gold, the prolonged bullish journey without a recent signal and the elevated risk call for a symphony of risk management strategies. Consider the trail profit stop-loss order as a gentle partner, guiding you through the dance, protecting profits, and gracefully managing the inherent risks of the gold long position. Disclaimer: This heartfelt guidance is not to be construed as investment advice. As you waltz through the markets, remember that the rhythm of each trade is unique. We encourage you to perform your own due diligence or seek the counsel of a financial advisor before making any financial decisions. With Warm Regards, Ely
TVC:GOLDLong
by Elysian_Mind
An AI Analytics - 💶 EURUSD Trajectory: Bullish Market Dynamics💶 Fellow TradingView Community, I n the ever-changing landscape of forex trading, the EURUSD pair has been displaying notable advancements, aligning with our earlier forecasts. In recent weeks, the Euro has demonstrated formidable resilience against the US Dollar, achieving its most elevated weekly closing position since August. This upward momentum can be attributed to various elements, encompassing increased bond yields and a diverse market sentiment, bolstering the US dollar throughout the trading sessions. I n the short term, our analysis suggests a continued potential for the EURUSD cross rate to ascend further. Contributing to this outlook are weaker-than-expected US economic data and an overall positive risk appetite in the market. However, it's crucial to acknowledge the presence of escalating political tensions, introducing an element of risk to our short-term projection for a weaker USD. A s we delve into the technical aspects, the current price positions itself above the support/resistance structure, and efforts are underway to breach the short-term trendline. A successful break above this trendline could pave the way for a higher trajectory, with a bullish target of 1.102, marked by the upper purple box on the chart. H owever, it's important to temper expectations; a parabolic trajectory to the target is not a given. Beneath the 1.102 target lies the 1.096 resistance, serving as a potential subsequent target in a bullish scenario. Anticipating potential market retracements, we identify possible correction levels, such as retracing towards the support at 1.065 or a pullback towards the current price before reaching the 1.096 target. I n the midst of these potential scenarios, the overarching bullish trend remains a key consideration. Retracements, while natural in market dynamics, present favorable Risk-Reward Ratios for initiating new positions. On the chart, a long position initiated on October 23rd has been projected into the future, indicating scaling potential. In the event of a retracement and the persistence of a bullish trend, additional positions may be added around the 1.066 level. C aution is warranted, and risk management is integral. The red zone around 1.064 signifies a potential stop loss level, aiming to break even on the mentioned positions. Despite these considerations, no position closures are currently under consideration, given the potential longevity of the bullish trend. As we navigate these market dynamics, the key lies in adaptability and a keen understanding of the nuanced factors shaping the EURUSD trajectory. The path ahead may hold retracements, yet within them lies the opportunity for strategic positioning and scaling in line with the prevailing bullish sentiment. This is not intended as investment advice. The presented idea solely represents a personal opinion, and I do not provide any assurance that the chart forecasts future outcomes. It is crucial to conduct your research, uphold your responsibility, and feel at liberty to glean insights from the information I have shared. Kind regards, Ely
Long
by Elysian_Mind
10
How To Use RISK vs. REWARD RatiosHi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉 Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫 For today's post, we're diving into the concept " risk reward ratio " by taking a look at practical examples and including other relevant scenarios of managing your risk. What is considered a good risk to reward ratio and where can you see it ? This applies to all markets, and during these volatile times it is an excellent idea to take a good look at your strategy and refine your risk management. Let's jump right in ! You've all noticed the really helpful " long setup " or " short setup " on TradingView chart ideas. This clearly identifies the area of profit (in green), the area for a stop-loss (in red) and your entry (the borderline). It also shows the percentage of your increases or decreases at the top and bottom. This is achieved by using the tool you can find in your toolbar on the left, 7th from the top. The first two options are Long Position and Short Position. It looks like this : 💭Something to remember; It is entirely up to you where you decided to take profit and where you decide to put your stop loss. The IDEAL anticipated targets are given, but the price may not necessarily reach these points. You have that entire zone to choose from and you can even have two or three take profits points in a position. Now, what is the Risk Reward Ratio expressed in the center as a number.number ? The risk to reward ration is exactly as the word says : The amount you risk for the amount you could potentially gain. NOTE that your risk is indefinite, but your gains are not guaranteed . The risk/reward ratio measures the difference between the entry point to a stop-loss and a sell or take-profit point. Comparing these two provides the ratio of profit to loss, or reward to risk. For example, if you're a gambler and you've played roulette, you know that the only way to win 10 chips is to risk 5 chips. Your risk here is expressed as 5:10 or 5.10 .You can spread these 5 chips out any way you like, but the goal of the risk is for a reward that is bigger than your initial investment. However, you could also lose your 5 and this will mean that you need to risk double as much in your next play to make up for your loss. Trading is no different, (except there is method to the madness other than sheer luck...) Most market strategists and speculators agree that the ideal risk/reward ratio for their investments should not be less than 1:3, or three units of expected return for every one unit of additional risk. Take a look at this example: Here, you're risking the same amount that you could potentially gain. The Risk Reward ratio is 1, assuming you follow the exact prices for entry, TP and SL. Can you see why this is not an ideal setup? If your risk/reward ratio is 1, it means you might as well not participate in the trade since your reward is the same as your risk. This is not an ideal trade setup. An ideal trade setup is a scenario where you can AT LEAST win 3x as much as what you are risking. For example: Note that here, my ratio is now the ideal 2.59 (rounded off to 2.6 and then simplified it becomes 1:3). If you're wondering how I got to 1:3, I just divided 2.6 by 2, giving me 1 and 3. Another way to express this visually: If you are setting up your own trade, you can decide at what point you feel comfortable to set your stop loss. For example, you may feel that if the price drops by more than 10%, that's where you'll exit and try another trade. Or, you could decide that you'll take the odds and set your stop loss so that it only triggers if the price drops by 15%. The latter will naturally mean you are trading at higher risk because your risk of losing is much more. Seasoned analysts agree that you shouldn't have a value smaller than 5% for your stop loss, because this type of price action occurs often during a day. For crypto, I would say 10% because we all know that crypto markets are much more volatile than stock markets and even more so than commodity markets like Gold and Silver, which are the most stable. Remember that your Risk/Reward ratio forms an important part of your trading strategy, which is only one of the steps in your risk management program. There are many more things to consider when thinking about risk management, but we'll dive into those in another post. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck
Education
by CryptoCheck-
35
High Returns, Low Risk: Unveiling a Winning Investment StrategyI am pleased to introduce a robust long-term strategy that seamlessly combines performance with an enticing risk profile. This strategy involves strategically investing in ETFs indexed on the S&P 500 and ETFs backed by physical gold. Let's delve into the rationale behind selecting these two assets: S&P 500: 1. Automatic Diversification: Instant exposure to a diverse array of companies, mitigating the risk associated with the individual performance of a single stock. 2. Low Costs: ETF management fees are typically low, facilitating cost-effective diversification. 3. Liquidity: Traded on the stock exchange, S&P 500 ETFs offer high liquidity, enabling seamless buying or selling of shares. 4. Historical Performance: The S&P 500 has demonstrated consistent long-term growth, making it an appealing indicator for investors seeking sustained growth. 5. Ease of Access: Accessible to all investors, even those with modest investment amounts, requiring only a brokerage account. 6. Simple Tracking: The S&P 500 index simplifies market tracking, eliminating the need to monitor numerous stocks individually. 7. Dividends: Companies included often pay dividends, providing an additional income stream. 8. Long-Term Strategy: Ideal for investors pursuing a long-term approach, S&P 500 ETFs are pivotal for gradual wealth building. 9. Geographical Diversification: Investing in an S&P 500 ETF offers not just sectoral but also geographical diversification. Despite the U.S. base, many included companies have a global presence, contributing to international portfolio diversification. Moreover, Warren Buffett's 2008 bet, where he wagered $1 million on the passive S&P 500 index fund outperforming active fund managers over a decade, underscores the difficulty even seasoned financial experts face in surpassing the market's long-term return. This further strengthens the notion that choosing an S&P 500-linked ETF can be a prudent and effective investment strategy. Investment in Physical Gold ETFs: 1. Exposure to Physical Gold: Designed to reflect the price of physically held gold, providing direct exposure without the need for physical acquisition, storage, or insurance. 2. Liquidity: Traded on the stock exchange, physical gold ETFs offer high liquidity, allowing investors to buy or sell shares at prevailing market prices. 3. Diversification: Gold's unique reaction to market dynamics makes it a valuable diversification asset, potentially reducing overall portfolio risk. 4. Lower Costs: Compared to physically buying gold, investing in physical gold ETFs proves more cost-effective in terms of transaction costs, storage, and insurance. ETF management fees are also relatively low. 5. Transparency: Managers regularly publish reports detailing the gold quantity held, ensuring transparency about underlying assets. 6. Accessibility: Physical gold ETFs offer easy market access without the need for physical possession, appealing to investors avoiding gold storage and security management. 7. Gold-backed ETFs: These ETFs physically hold gold as the underlying asset, with investors often having the option to convert their shares into physical gold. After extensive research and backtesting across diverse ETFs covering various asset classes, including bonds, real estate, commodities, and stocks of financially stable companies, my findings notably highlight a standout option during times of crisis: physical gold ETFs. The strategy hinges on leading indicators, powerful economic tools. Leading Indicators: Leading indicators, or forward indicators, are crucial tools in economics and finance for anticipating future trends. In contrast to lagging indicators, which confirm existing trends, leading indicators provide early signals, aiding informed decision-making based on anticipated economic developments. Key characteristics include: Trend Anticipation: Early insight into upcoming changes in economic activity, facilitating preparedness for market developments. Responsiveness: Quick reactions to economic changes, sometimes preceding other indicators. Correlation with the Economy: Association with specific aspects of the economy, such as industrial production, consumer spending, or investments. Examples include: • Housing Starts: Providing early indications of the real estate market and construction investments. • Net New Orders for Durable Goods: Indicating business investment intentions and insights into the manufacturing sector's health. • US Stock Prices: Considered a leading indicator reflecting investor expectations. • Consumer Confidence: Measuring consumer perceptions and influencing consumer spending. • Purchasing Managers' Confidence and Factory Directors: Offering insights into production plans and future economic trends. • Interest Rate Spread: Indicating economic expectations and influencing borrowing and investment decisions. Returning to the strategy, I leverage entry points calculated by a meticulously developed strategy incorporating leading indicators applied to the SPY chart. The achieved performance of 3496% since 1993, with 15 closed trades, significantly surpasses a buy-and-hold position yielding 1654% in performance. Notably, the maximum drawdown is 5.44%, a stark contrast to the over 50% drawdown seen in an investment in the S&P 500. Upon the indicators signaling the end of the long position, I close my SPY positions and transition to positions in physical gold ETFs. In our example, choosing the GLD ETF yields a performance of 173%, adding to our total performance. While the maximum drawdown, considering the addition of the investment in physical gold ETFs, is 17.65%, slightly higher than the drawdown on the strategy applied to the SPY, it remains impressive for such a prolonged period. Now, if we conduct the backtest since 2007: SPY : performance of 751 %, max drawdown of 4.02 % GLD : Performance of 153 % Since 2015: SPY : performance of 131 % GLD : Performance of 37 % Disclaimer: The information shared is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Investing involves risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author is not liable for any financial losses incurred.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by Julien_Eche
6