What's Risk and Reward ratio vs Profit factorWhat is Risk-Reward Ratio?
The risk-reward ratio is a ratio used in investing that compares the potential profit or gain of an investment to the potential loss or risk that it poses. This ratio is often used to determine whether an investment is worth pursuing or not, and can be a helpful tool in managing risk.
The risk-reward ratio is typically expressed as a ratio of potential profit to potential loss, with a higher ratio indicating a potentially more favorable investment opportunity. For example, if an investment has a potential reward of $10,000 and a potential risk of $5,000, the risk-reward ratio would be 2:1.
Examples of risk-reward ratios can be found in many different types of investments, such as stocks, bonds, mutual funds, and options. For example, a stock that has a potential upside of $20 per share and a potential downside of $10 per share would have a risk-reward ratio of 2:1. Similarly, a bond that offers a potential yield of 6% and carries a potential risk of default of 3% would have a risk-reward ratio of 2:1.
In general, a higher risk-reward ratio indicates a potentially more attractive investment opportunity, as the potential gains are greater than the potential losses. However, it is important to remember that higher potential gains also often come with higher levels of risk, and investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
What is profit factor?
The profit factor is a metric used in trading that measures the relationship between the profits generated by winning trades and the losses incurred by losing trades. It is calculated by dividing the gross profit of winning trades by the gross loss of losing trades.
A profit factor of greater than 1 indicates that the trading strategy is profitable, while a profit factor of less than 1 indicates that the trading strategy is not profitable. A profit factor of exactly 1 means that the trading strategy has breakeven results.
Some traders consider a profit factor of 2 or greater to be a good measure of a profitable trading strategy, as it indicates that the strategy generates twice as much profit as it incurs in losses.
However, it's important to note that the profit factor is just one metric and should not be used in isolation to evaluate the performance of a trading strategy. Other important metrics include the win rate, average profit per trade, and maximum drawdown.
In summary, the profit factor is a key metric used in trading to evaluate the profitability of a trading strategy, and it can help traders to assess the risk and reward potential of their trades.
Example:
Example 1 - Risk-Reward Ratio:
Let's say you're considering buying a stock at $50 per share, and you believe it has the potential to rise to $70 per share. However, you also recognize that there is a risk that the stock could fall to $40 per share.
In this scenario, the potential reward is $20 per share ($70 - $50), while the potential risk is $10 per share ($50 - $40). This gives us a risk-reward ratio of 2:1, which means that the potential reward is twice as high as the potential risk.
Example 2 - Profit Factor:
Let's say you have a trading strategy that involves making 10 trades over a period of time. Of those 10 trades, 6 are winning trades and 4 are losing trades. The gross profit generated by the winning trades is $6,000, while the gross loss incurred by the losing trades is $3,000.
To calculate the profit factor, we divide the gross profit by the gross loss, which gives us a profit factor of 2. This means that for every dollar you lose on losing trades, you earn $2 on winning trades.
By looking at both the risk-reward ratio and profit factor, you can evaluate the potential risk and reward of a trading opportunity and the profitability of a trading strategy. It's important to keep in mind that there are other factors to consider when making trading decisions, such as market conditions, technical analysis, and risk management strategies.
Riskmanagementstrategy
Profit fixation Profit fixation
There are three main profit-taking strategies:
1. Fixed RR (1:2, 1:3RR).
2. High RR (1:10RR and above).
3. Partial profit taking.
Fixed RR.
When trading with a fixed RR, the trader ignores the situation on the chart and places a take profit at the level of 1:1, 1:2, 1:3, taking into account the commission. This approach has a high win rate and also relieves the trader from feeling greedy. You do not need to select targets, accompany the position and worry about a random factor that the price may react to. We think that many people are familiar with the situation when the take is put on a lay, the price reaches 1:5R without removing the minimum, and then hits the stop.
The weak side of the strategy is that it has limited profit potential. Often when trading with the trend, you can get more than 2 or 3%.
High RR.
According to this strategy, a position is opened on a lower timeframe, and targets are allocated on a higher timeframe in order to set a short stop and a long target. On the other hand, this does not prevent you from using a fixed take profit level.A. At one time, Liquidity traded high RR and set a take at the level of 1:10, regardless of the targets on the chart.
Many in this strategy are captivated by mathematics. With a risk-reward level of 1:10, a win rate of 10%-20% or 1-2 profitable trades over a distance of 10 positions is enough not to be unprofitable.
And yet, this strategy can harm the trader. If the price does not reach the marked targets, you will not make a profit even if you did everything right. This puts a lot of pressure psychologically, especially when it was possible to take 3-5% and close the position in plus.
You may get the impression that there are only two extremes: earning rarely, but a lot, or little, but often. But there is another strategy that helps to balance and find a happy medium.
Partial profit taking.
The trader fixes the profit in parts as the selected goals are achieved. Targets can be determined both by schedule and by risk-reward ratio. For example, you fix 50% of the position at 1:3, 25% at 1:5 and 2 more5% at 1:10. Either 50% on FTA and the rest on potential reversal zones.
This strategy will help you capitalize on your trading ideas, reducing the risk of losing profit when the price falls short of the marked targets.
Partial fixation will be useful for novice traders because it creates a positive experience and demonstrates what you are capable of.
Do not jump from extremes to extremes and look for balance.
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How to survive in the market for the long-term?
In the market, regret is a frequent word. Many people face the complex investment market and often feel fear, hesitation, and regret, whether it's before buying, after buying, after selling, or just watching without buying. How to avoid this phenomenon? The fear, hesitation, and regret are largely due to not knowing how to manage positions and follow the crowd. Often pursuing high probability profits results in the opposite.
Risk management is an unavoidable issue when it comes to this. Whether you are a financial master or an individual investor, the importance of risk management is paramount. To relax and operate in the market, you need to face your current situation, make correct judgments on the profit and loss ratio, determine your operating frequency and position management, and give yourself correct psychological guidance.
Everyone's personality is different, and their risk tolerance and trading styles are also different. There is no strategy that is 100% accurate, but if you want to survive in the market for a long time, you need to control risk. Don't be afraid of losses. Losses are inevitable, but the key is how much loss you can tolerate. This is the core of risk management. For small losses, we need to prepare ourselves psychologically. This is a link in risk management. Don't rely on luck. The losses brought about by a lucky mentality are incalculable.
About 70% of the time in market fluctuations is in oscillation, and only about 30% of the time is in a unilateral surge or decline. Therefore, accumulating small victories is the magic weapon for long-term success. Always wanting to go all-in and make a big move at once may result in missed profits due to not exiting in time. No matter what state you are in now, I hope I can bring you a little bit of help!
FX Opportunities 2nd MarchWow! As we forecast yesterday, the market is shaping up incredibly.
Today we have brought in some £ pairs as we have some very high probability trades that could be forming. These would be textbook, low risk set ups.
Also a small lesson on NZD/JPY for us all to learn from myself included which I feel could take so many losses off the table for people.
Rushing positions will not help at this point. Be patient and know what to look for. Good luck!
EURAUD 4H #shortAm looking at a strong bearish move, I have labeled my setup to be more clear to you.
Disclaimer: All trading strategies are used at your own risk -
Any content from this page should not be relied upon as advice or construed as
providing recommendations of any kind. It is your responsibility to confirm and
decide which trades to make. Trade only with risk capital; that is, trade with
money that, if lost, will not adversely impact your lifestyle and your ability to meet
your financial obligations. Past results are no indication of future performance. In
no event should the content of this correspondence be construed as an express
or implied promise or guarantee.
None of the content published in this course constitutes a recommendation that
any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy
is suitable for any specific person. None of the information providers or their
affiliates will advise you personally concerning the nature, potential, value or
suitability of any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction,
investment strategy or other matter.
What I Do After I Lose A TradeI noticed I’m still in AUDNZD, which is in good profit. Price made a new high, and my first action was to move the trade to break even. At the same time, I noticed I lost a trade on NZDCHF which I set a pending order for this morning.
What I did next was a reaction to the loss. I immediately sought a trade on a currency pair that was not on my list.
Once I did that, I heard a voice saying, STOP DOING THAT!
This is a repeated action I do when I lose a trade. Instead of feeling the loss, I try to medicate it by looking for something else to do.
As soon as I realized this, I wrote that down as a limiting belief and then wrote down what I believe about the market.
Limiting Belief: Losing a trade makes me feel like I need to look for a trade on another pair to make my money back.
Action to take: take a slight loss. It’s better than letting a losing trade run.
Belief: Small losses tell you the price has reversed and to be patient to wait for the following setup on the same currency pair.
Belief: The market changes. I have to adapt quickly because the price movement will change, which means every trade is unique.
Belief: Make trading a fun puzzle to figure out. It will become overwhelming if I work on too many puzzles simultaneously.
What I noticed last was how I felt. Usually, I feel a tight pinch in my chest before I get on my charts. Its anxiety. I didn’t feel it this morning. I felt relaxed.
After dealing with years of anxiety I can feel it decreasing the more I write out my thoughts and beliefs and see how they are what I trade.
Experiencing today's lose I had no feeling just a reaction I will work hard to not do again.
What reactions do you have when you lose a trade. What are thoughts and feelings? If negative what can you now begin doing that will help you adapt to price movement with a clear mind and well thought out actions?
If you found value in this shared moment of my trading journey please like this post and comment. You're not alone in this trading world. Let's talk it out.
Risk Management Strategy Spot trading can yield high returns, but it’s crucial to have a well-defined strategy in place before diving in. This entails analyzing the project, determining the size of your entry, and devising contingency plans in case of unforeseen circumstances.
In this article, we’ll discuss our approach to spot trading and share our insights with you.
Before entering the spot market, it’s critical to categorize the various assets available. With over 10,000 different projects to choose from, each with its own unique features, we sort them into three categories based on risk level:
High Risk: This category includes projects that are prone to exit scams or are high-risk due to their small capitalization. We pledge no more than 0.5% of our total capital to these projects since they pose a significant risk to our portfolio. However, if they perform well, we may see significant returns from just one high-risk transaction.
Middle Risk: Projects in this category have an average market capitalization of between $50 million and $500 million. We can pledge up to 1% of our allocated capital to these projects, which are less likely to collapse but still carry a degree of risk.
Low Risk: This category includes established mastodons of the cryptocurrency market with a high market capitalization, such as those in the top 50 of Coin Market Cap. We can pledge up to 3% of our allocated capital to these projects, as they are less risky but still carry some risk.
To diversify our portfolio, we allocate our capital as follows:
Cash reserves: 30%
High Risk: 15%
Middle Risk: 30%
Low Risk: 25%
While our portfolio may seem risky, we aim to earn returns rather than simply preserving our capital. However, in the current bear market, we adjust our strategy to focus more on cash reserves:
Cash reserves: 70%
High Risk: 5%
Middle Risk: 15%
Low Risk: 10%
With over 70% of our portfolio consisting of stablecoins, we can buy back into the market at more favorable prices during drawdowns.
In short, a risk management strategy should be tailored to each market. In a bull market, a riskier strategy with more high- and middle-risk projects may be appropriate, while a bear market calls for a risk-free strategy with a small percentage of high- and middle-risk projects and the majority in stable assets.
In summary, our risk management strategy for spot trading is designed to minimize losses and prevent undue stress. Consider using it as a starting point for developing your own strategy, and monitor its effectiveness over time.
Why leverage size is not matterHello dear community.
Each trader is a part of discussion about leverages. Some of them say that it's risky, another just playing in casino with 50x.
But why leverages is not matter, and how do not lose all deposit? Read below.
Firstly, you need to know about 2 things.
Support line
Risk management
Support line
I am confident that you know about support line a lot of info, but just reminder.
Support line is a zone when price jump back multiply time and coin start growing again.
Support line can be detected on each timeframe. But for our case we need to see on 1D and 4H timeframe.
Risk management
If you are trading without risk management, you will be bankrupt. However, what is that?
Risk management is the amount of funds in cash or percentage that you can risk in some trade.
For example:
You trade BTCUSDT with deposit 1000 USDT.
Before you make a trade, you need to decide how many USDT or % will be your risk. The funds that will be lost in the worst scenario of trade.
It can be 3-5% for start.
In USDT, it will be 30 - 50 USDT.
What is next?
Next, you should calculate your position size. I suggest using next formula:
Position size = Risk /(Buy level - Stop loss).
It means if closer to stop-loss you buy order the bigger position you have.
Buy level
Current chart has support zone on 22546-22261.
I suggest split your buy order on few slices on this zone.
Stop loss
I usually set stop loss behind this zone, in current example my stop at 22222
In this case, the formula will be:
50/(22403,5 - 22222) = 0.276 BTC is your position with risk in 5%.
In this example, will be ~6X leverage.
But if increase risk until 10%, leverage will be 12X.
Trading is not about casino, is about math.
Good luck and have good trades!
Plan for XAUUSD with CPI AnnouncementOANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has been trading in the range since last Friday (10th February 2023). It is clear that speculators and investors are waiting for something: maybe some economic indicators like CPI will decide the movement of Gold by today (14th February 2023)
Within the 1H timeframe, It is clear that gold has a strong chance of continuing its downtrend if it breaks below the trading range of 1850-1865 with the the following key support levels:
1st Support at: 1835
2nd Support at: 1825
Key Support at: 1800
On the contrary in a bigger picture of Day timeframe, Gold can still push for another leg upward as the price action has slowed the downward movement. If CPI number comes out in favor of Gold then it has a chance of testing the following key resistance when it breaks the range between 1850-1865 upward:
1st Resistance at: 1880
2nd Resistance at: 1885
Key Resistance at: 1900
The most importance part of all; Place a trade where the Risk to Reward favors in the direction that you choose!!!
🧊The Iceberg Illusion In TradingThe iceberg illusion in trading refers to the perception gap between what people think trading is and what it actually means. Many people see trading as a simple way to make quick profits and accumulate wealth, with the idea that all one has to do is buy low and sell high. However, the reality is far more complex. Under the surface of what appears to be a straightforward process lies a world of risk, stress, and uncertainty. Trading is not just about making money, it requires discipline, patience, and a deep understanding of the markets. Those who don't understand the true nature of trading may face financial loss, depression and failure, much like the hidden dangers beneath the surface of an iceberg. Success in trading often requires much more than just a basic understanding of market trends and patterns, and those who dive in without being fully prepared may face dire consequences.
🔷 Above the Iceberg
Above the iceberg, people often see the glamorous and attractive side of trading, characterized by success, wealth, and financial independence. They imagine traders as confident and knowledgeable individuals, making smart decisions and reaping the rewards of their investments. The image of traders making large profits in a short amount of time is one that is often perpetuated by media and popular culture. People often see the stock market as a fast-paced, exciting place where opportunities for financial gain are abundant, and the idea of being able to control one's financial future through trading is alluring. This perception of trading often creates a rosy and idealized image of what it entails, leading many to believe that success in the markets is easy to achieve.
🔶 Bellow the Iceberg
Below the iceberg, lies the reality of the challenges and difficulties that traders face on a daily basis. There are many hidden risks and uncertainties that are not immediately apparent to those who are new to the world of trading. Some of the things that people don't know that lie beneath the surface of the iceberg include:
🔸 Market volatility:
The stock market is a highly volatile environment, and prices can fluctuate rapidly and unpredictably. This can make it difficult for traders to manage their positions and minimize their losses.
🔸 Emotional stress:
Trading can be a highly emotional experience, and the pressure to make the right decisions can be immense. Many traders struggle with anxiety, fear, and depression, particularly when faced with losing trades.
🔸 Lack of understanding:
The stock market is complex, and it can be difficult for traders to understand all of the factors that influence market trends and prices. This can lead to costly mistakes and an increased risk of financial loss.
🔸 Competition:
The stock market is a highly competitive environment, and traders must be able to keep up with fast-moving markets and make quick decisions based on complex data and information.
🔸 Long-term success:
Many traders are focused on short-term profits and may not consider the long-term impact of their trading decisions. Achieving lasting success in the markets requires a well-thought-out strategy and a strong understanding of the markets and the risks involved.
🔸 Timing:
Successful trading often requires precise timing, as markets can change rapidly and prices can fluctuate. Traders must have a deep understanding of market trends and be able to make quick decisions to take advantage of opportunities.
🔸 Risk management:
Trading involves risk, and traders must be able to manage their positions and minimize their losses. This requires a well-planned and executed risk management strategy, including setting stop-losses and taking profits at appropriate levels.
🔸 Knowledge and experience:
Trading is not just about buying low and selling high. It requires a deep understanding of market trends, economics, and financial analysis, as well as years of experience to develop a successful trading strategy.
🔸 Discipline:
Trading requires discipline and patience, as well as the ability to stick to a well-thought-out strategy. Many traders make impulsive decisions based on emotions or market rumors, which can lead to financial losses.
Welcome to the hardest game in the world.
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📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
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Learn Risk to Reward Ratio | Forex Trading Basics
Hey traders,
Planning your every trade, you should know in advance the profit that you are aiming to make and the maximum amount of money you are willing to lose.
In this educational article, we will discuss risk reward ratio - the tool that is used to compare your potentials losses and profits.
Let's start with an example. Imagine you see a good buying opportunity on EURUSD. You quickly identify a safe entry point, your take profit level and stop loss.
From that trade you are aiming to make 100 pips with a maximum allowable loss of 50 pips.
To calculate a risk to reward ratio for this trade, you simply should divide a potential gain by a potential loss:
R/R ratio = 100 / 50 = 2
In that particular example, risk to reward ratio equals 2 meaning that potential gain outperform a potential loss by 2.
Let's take another example.
This time, you decide to short USDJPY.
From a desirable entry point, you can get 75 pips with a potential loss of 150 pips.
Risk to reward ratio for this trade is 75 divided by 150 or 0.5.
Such a ratio means that potential loss outperform a potential gain by 2.
Risk to reward ratio can be positive or negative.
If the ratio is bigger than 1 it is considered to be positive meaning that a potential gain outperforms a potential loss.
If the ratio is less than 1, it is called negative so that potential loss is bigger than potential risk.
Knowing the average risk to reward ratio for your trades, you can objectively calculate the required win rate for keeping a positive trading performance.
With R/R ratio = 0.5
2 winning trades recover 1 losing trade.
You need at least 70% win rate to cover losses of your trading.
With R/R ratio = 1
1 winning trade, recover 1 losing trade.
You need at least 50% win rate to compensate your losses.
With R/R ratio = 2
1 winning trade recovers 2 losing trades.
You need at least 35% win rate to cover losses of your trading.
Trading involves extremely high risk. Risk to reward ratio is a number one risk management tool for limiting your risks. Calculating that and knowing your win rate, you can objectively decide whether a trade that you are planning to take is worth taking.
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I would lie to you that I am very special!This is an event that has spread all over the real and virtual space these days
I am better than you, more beautiful than you, smarter than you
But the reality is something else
But we know the truth!
You and I are human, we have our merits and demerits, we all lied, we were all kind, we were both good and bad!
we are equal ..
With this introduction, I wanted to get here that we in the financial markets are involved with an equal scale of types of risk
It means that if I am facing some risks, you are also facing almost the same risks!
So, of course, if we are profitable but have a low win rate, or vice versa, we have a high win rate, but we may not be profitable in the long term.
Accepting this risk is the most basic step of entering the market.
I think money management and risk management are the only keys to success
Our learnings about technical and fundamental analysis only play a role in reducing or increasing the risk of our trade!
CONCEPTS OF STRATEGYTo build your strategy ,there are many factors that represent the columns of the building .
These factors named by me the concepts of building the strategy.These include:
1-trading psychology
2-risk management
3-position sizing
4-trading plan
These are the main factors .
There is also an auxillary factors i will mention it later on
Learn Why Do You Need a Stop Loss 🟥
Hey traders,
Talking to many struggling traders from different parts of the world, I realized that the majority constantly makes the same mistake: they do not set a stop loss.
Asking for the reason why they do that, the common answer is that
these traders consider the manual position closing to be safer, implying that if the market goes in the opposite direction, they will be able to much better track the exact moment to cut loss.
In this article, we will discuss why it is crucially important to set a stop loss and why it is the number one element of your trading position.
First of all, let's discuss what is a stop loss. By a stop loss, we mean a certain price level where we close our trading position in loss. In comparison to a manual closing, the stop loss should be set at the exact moment when the order is executed.
Stop loss allows us limiting the risks in case of unfavorable movements.
On the chart above, I have illustrated 2 similar negative scenarios: 1 with a stop loss being placed and one without.
In the example on the left, stop loss helped to prevent the excessive risk, cutting the loss at the beginning of a bearish wave.
With the manual closing, however, traders usually hold the negative positions much longer, praying for a reversal.
Holding a losing trade, emotions intervene. Greed and fear usually spoil the reasoning, causing irrational decisions.
Following such a strategy, the total loss of the second scenario is 5 times bigger than the total loss with a placed stop loss order.
Stop loss defines the point where you become wrong in your predictions. Planning your trade, you should know in advance such a point and cut your loss once it is reached.
Never trade without a stop loss.
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DAY TRADING 101: How to Get StartedHello guys! Day trading is a popular way for traders to make money by buying and selling assets within the same trading day. However, before you begin day trading, it's important to understand the basics and develop a solid trading strategy. In this post, we'll cover the basics of day trading and provide some tips on how to get started.
First, it's important to understand the different types of securities that you can day trade. Some popular options include stocks, options, futures, and currencies. Each of these securities has its own unique characteristics and requires different strategies, so it's important to choose the one that best fits your goals and risk tolerance.
Next, you need to develop a trading plan . Your plan should include your trading strategy, the securities you plan to trade, and your risk management techniques. It's also important to set realistic goals and be prepared to stick to them.
Once you have a trading plan in place, you need to practice . You can do this by using a simulation or paper trading account. This will allow you to test your trading strategy and learn from your mistakes before you start risking real money.
Another important thing to consider is your risk management . This means understanding the level of risk you're willing to take and setting stop-losses and profit-taking orders to protect your capital. It's also important to maintain a proper risk-reward ratio, which means that the potential profit should be larger than the potential loss.
In addition to the above, it's crucial to keep an eye on the market and news , as they can greatly impact your trades, so it's essential to stay updated with the latest news and trends. Finally, keep in mind that day trading requires discipline and patience, so be prepared to put in the time and effort to become a successful trader.
To sum it up, day trading can be a great way to make money, but it's important to understand the basics and develop a solid trading strategy. Additionally, you should practice with a simulation or paper trading account, have a proper risk management, stay informed and be prepared to put in the time and effort.
Which type of trading do you prefer?
Why do you need trading plan? If you make a mistake while trading on the market, you will be punished very quickly. The market doesn't like mistakes or carelessness, so the price will be a minus from your DEPO. This is just how things work. Because of this, planning is an important part of successful trading and not just a feature of an option that doesn't help you reach your goals. Today, we'll talk about what a trading plan should look like and lay out a clear set of rules that a trader can rely on in his work, no matter what the market is like, how long the investments are, or how much money they have to invest.
If you don't have a plan, you're setting yourself up to fail.
Remember this simple rule and stop trading based on how you feel. The market is not the place to make hasty decisions.
If you have a clear trading plan that includes all possible ways to respond to changes in the market, you won't doubt the rightness of your trading decisions, and you'll be much less likely to make emotional trades that hurt your trading account.
A trading plan and a trading diary will help you become a more disciplined trader and use your time, money, and nerve cells more wisely.
In trading, what is a trading plan?
If a trader doesn't have a plan for how to trade, he or she is likely to lose money in the market over time. As a broker, I have seen dozens of examples of this rule being true. This was also clear when I opened my first trading accounts. Most traders who consistently lose money on the financial markets do not have a trading plan. They open and close trades on a whim, or if they do have a plan, they ignore it when it would be best to follow it.
Keep in mind that one of the hardest things about this kind of business is to stick to a trading plan. Just ignoring it once is enough to erase the trading results from the last few weeks or months. Trading is based on discipline, but it won't make sense if you don't have a clear plan of what can and can't be done.
In trading, what is a trading plan?
There must be at least five parts to a trading plan. Also, each of them could be a possible answer to the question:
Can you trade on the market right now?
Which way should you trade? (if it's a directed trade)
How to figure out the right time to enter the market?
How to define the goal and limit the risks?
How to figure out the best size for a position?
This is the "skeleton" of a trading plan. Each part needs to be written in detail on its own, based on the trading method, risk tolerance, and details of the markets being traded.
Not every part of a trading plan is as important as the other parts. Some of them need to be changed to fit your trading style (Points 1, 2, and 3),while others should never be ignored or changed in a big way, or trading on this account will end very quickly and tragically (Points 4 and 5).
To sum up what has been said, the following can be said:
In the trading plan, you should list all the ways you could react to a change in the market. If this happens, you won't have to worry about "force majeure" anymore. Sharp market movements and losing trades will definitely happen, but the risk of negative trends will be taken into account in the trading plan and will not be able to cause a trading account default.
Most of the time, the market is just like any other place. And if a trader loses money because the market went up or down by 5–10%, the problem is probably with the trader's plan and the fact that he or she didn't follow money and risk management rules, not because a Fed official said something.
The most important thing for new traders is to learn how to work with a trading plan and risks. They shouldn't think about how easy it is to get into the market, how many Xs they can have, or how carefree their life could be. You can only stay in the market and start to fully grow and develop as a trader if you stop making rash decisions that cost you your deposit.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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Position sizing 101 - how to avoid crippling lossesPosition sizing is determining the correct size of the position based on the amount of money you risk on the particular trade.
Before you can do that, you need to figure out what is the maximum acceptable risk of the trade.
That risk is usually expressed as a % of your balance, that you are willing to lose.
To make sure you don’t lose more than this amount traders set a Stop Loss order which is the real maximum exposure of your position.
If you don’t use a stop loss, you are exposing your entire portfolio!
Where to put a stop loss?
That’s where Technical Analysis can be handy. The majority of retail traders would look at the chart to find out – usually behind some support/resistance level or based on some volatility indicator, such as ATR
Rule of thumb:
Risk between 1-3% of your portfolio balance on each position. This way any single individual loss won’t wipe your account and break your spirit. And more importantly, even a string of losses will leave you with enough ammunition to recoup the losses.
Have a clear approach to risk:
1. Set a risk limit for each trade, asset in general, day, week, and month (you won’t risk more than X account)
2. Determine the right position size and start small
3. Increase the position size of trades slowly if your account grows
4. Lower size or switch back to paper trading if your account doesn’t
Two types of position sizing methods: Fixed and flexible
Fixed position size
Using the same position size for every trade
Good for finding out if your strategy has an edge
Make sure you come back and reevaluate position size periodically.
Flexible position size
Using a percentage of the current balance
Cluster of wins makes every following win larger
Cluster of losses makes every following loss smaller
How to calculate the correct position size:
You need to know
1. Trading account size
2. Acceptable risk (in % per each trade)
3. Invalidation point (in form of a distance from the open price)
The formulae:
Position size = Trading account size x Acceptable risk / Invalidation
Example:
1. Trading account size = $10,000
2. Acceptable risk = 1%
3. Invalidation point = 4% drop in market price
Position size = $10,000 * 0,01 / 0,04 = $2,500
This way you will always risk losing $100 no matter where your Stop Loss goes! If Stop Loss must be wider, say 8%, the calculation is:
Position size = $10,000 * 0,01 / 0,08 = $1,250
Doubling the distance to our stop loss has us reducing our position size by half to maintain the same possible loss.
How to set position size in Tradingview
1. Use the Long position or Short position drawing tool
2. Input your account balance
3. Select the risk you're willing to undertake - either as a % of your account balance or as a monetary value
4. Enter the market price of your Stop Loss
5. Look at the "Quantity" field in the drawing tool = that is the position size you should use to adhere to your risk settings.
Learn How to Apply a Position Size Calculator
Hey traders,
In this educational article, I will teach you how to apply a position size calculator and calculate a lot size for your trades depending on a desired risk.
First of all, let's briefly discuss why do you need a position size calculator.
Even though, most of the newbie traders trade with the fixed lot, the truth is that fixed lot trading is considered to be very risky.
Depending on the trading instrument, time frame and a desired stop loss, the risks from one trade to another are constantly floating. With the constant fluctuations of losses per trade, it is very complicated to control your risks and drawdowns.
A lot size calculation, however, allows you to risk the desired percentage of your capital per trade, limiting the maximum you can potentially lose.
A lot size is calculated with a position size calculator.
It is integrated in some trading platforms like cTrader. If it is absent in yours, there are a lot of free ones available on the internet.
Step 1:
Measure a pip value of your stop loss.
It is the distance from your entry level to your stop loss level.
In the example on the picture, the stop loss is 290 pips.
Step 2:
Open a position size calculator
Step 3:
Fill the form.
Inputs: Account currency, account balance, desired risk %, stop loss in pips, currency pair.
In the example, we are trading with USD account. Its value is $20000. Trading instrument is EURUSD.
Step 4:
Calculate a lot size
The system will calculate a lot size for your trade.
0.069 standard lot in our example.
Taking a trade on EURUSD with $20000 deposit and 290 pips stop loss, you will need 0.069 lot size to risk 1% of your trading account.
Learn to apply a position size calculator. That is the must-use tool for a proper risk management.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
How much money in your account to bank your monthly income?“How much money would you like to bank a month?”
$3,000
$5,000?
$30,000?
To answer this question and to get you on the path of achieving this income, you’ll need just one tool.
Pull out your profitable trading plan
You and I both know that to set a monthly income goal for trading, you’ll need a solid, proven and easy to follow game plan.
If you do have a trading strategy that you’re happy with and works for you, then great.
You should already have a strong indication on how your portfolio has performed during an array of different market environments.
Obviously the more data you have on your trading, the higher the reliability that you’ll earn similar monthly returns in the future.
Once you have gathered your historical trading data, you’ll then need to jot down four important stats namely:
Four stats to create a desired income per month
Stat 1:
No. of expected winning trades per month.
Stat 2:
Average % gain in rands per trade.
Stat 3:
No. of expected losing trades per month.
Stat 4:
Average % loss in rands per trade.
To choose the monthly income you’d like to pocket per month, you’ll need to know how much you’ll need in your trading account.
Let’s say you want to bank an average $3,000 on average per month, with both winning and losing trades.
For this article, let’s use the metrics of the MATI Trader System that I’ve back and forward tested for the past 20 years.
Let’s plug the stats into the table to see.
Expected return a month: $3,000
Stat 1:
3 Winning trades per month.
Stat 2:
4% Average gain per winner.
Stat 3:
2 Losing trades per month.
Stat 4:
2% Average loss per loser.
We now have all the information to calculate how much money you’ll need, in order to bank an average monthly $3,000.
1 Formula to calculate how much you need in your trading account
Step 1:
Find out the total percentage gain you can earn per month
= (Winning trades X Gain % per winner)
= (3 Winners X 4% Gain)
= 12% gain.
Step 2:
Calculate the total percentage loss you can lose per month
= (Losing trades X Loss % per loser)
= (2 Losers X 2% Loss)
= 4% loss
Step 3:
Finally calculate the amount of money you can net on average per month
= (Total gain %) – (Total loss %)
= (12% Gain – 4% Loss)
= 8% Net gain
Step 4:
Know your trading account size to pocket a desired monthly income.
= (Expected amount to earn ÷ Net % return per month)
= ($3,000 ÷ 8% Return)
= $37,500
So to bank around $3,000 on average per month, with 3 winners and 2 losers, you’ll need to have a trading account of $37,500.
Don’t be fooled if you think you’ll bank $3,000 EVERY month!
As you know, my goal through sharing this information is to show you how realistic successful trading works
With pretty much every trading system, you can expect around three to four losing months a year. This year I had around 5 losing months - It's been a tough one.
Some months you may be down $2,000 and other months you’ll be up $5,000, we never know for certain how the future will pan out.
However, with a proven and a long back and forward tested trading system, with this formula will give you the edge of what the likelihood of your returns will be.
The formula works on any size portfolio or desired income - I am just giving you an example with banking a $3,000 a month...
If you enjoyed this article or would like to share feedback I'd love to hear it :)
Trade well, live free..
Timon
MATI Trader
Usd/chf analysis Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment
section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of
the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and
see if the rules of
your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important
Risk What you can afford to lose