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The Two Archetypes of TradersIn the trading world, markets move in cycles, and bearish conditions are no exception. Here's an educational breakdown of how traders can navigate these challenging times: 1. The Long-Term Holders (Investors) Mindset: Patience is their superpower. Goal: Accumulate assets during bearish trends by buying at key support levels and holding for future gains. Approach: Use the WiseOwl Indicator to identify areas of strong support and potential accumulation zones for strategic entries. 2. The Intraday Traders (Short-Term) Mindset: Adaptability and precision are crucial. Goal: Profit from short-term price movements, capitalizing on market volatility. Approach: Utilize the WiseOwl Indicator to pinpoint bearish momentum for short entries and clear exit levels, ensuring optimal risk management. Educational Example: WiseOwl Strategy in Action Let’s analyze Solana (SOL) on the 15-minute timeframe during a bearish market: Trend Identification: The WiseOwl Indicator highlights a confirmed downtrend with clear bearish signals. Entry Points: Short trade signals are generated at moments of significant bearish momentum. Risk Management: Stop loss and take profit levels, calculated using ATR-based logic, ensure disciplined trading. Takeaways for Traders 📉 Bearish Markets: Holders focus on identifying value areas for accumulation. Intraday traders capitalize on market volatility with precise entries and exits. Happy trading! 🚀 #WiseOwlIndicator #TradingEducation #BearMarket #SOLAnalysis #CryptoTrading
Education
by TraderOuss_LumaNex
1INCHUSDT Analysis | (DEX) aggregator on 12 chains The price is undergoing a correction, and potential **support levels** include: 1. **200-day MA (~$0.4181)**: A strong dynamic support level. 2. **Lower Bollinger Band (~$0.3356)**: Positioned within the green demand zone, potentially signaling oversold conditions if reached. 3. **Green Zone ($0.3240–$0.4181)**: A historical demand area that has previously supported price rebounds. Trend Indicator: - **PSAR**: Flipped red, confirming short-term bearish momentum. Oscillator Analysis: - **RSI**: At ~50, showing neutral momentum but with a downward slope, reflecting fading bullish strength. - **MACD**: Already crossed bearish, with a negative histogram confirming building selling pressure. - **OBV**: Declining, indicating reduced accumulation and increasing selling activity. Outlook: The **200-day MA**, **lower Bollinger Band**, and **green zone** are critical support levels. If these levels hold, a potential rebound could stabilize the trend. However, if broken, the price may correct further. Monitor MACD and OBV for signs of persistent selling pressure and RSI for potential oversold conditions. Stay cautious!
by vagada
XECUSDT Analysis | Layer-1 digital cash networkThe price is approaching key support levels: 1. **0.236 Fibonacci Level (~$0.0366)**: This level may act as immediate support. 2. **200-day MA (~$0.033)**: Positioned just below, providing additional dynamic support if the 0.236 Fib level breaks. Oscillator Analysis: - **RSI**: At ~38, indicating bearish momentum and approaching oversold conditions, which could lead to a potential bounce. - **MACD**: Bearish crossover with a deepening negative histogram, signaling ongoing selling pressure. - **OBV**: Trending lower, reflecting a decline in accumulation and increased distribution. Volume Analysis: Volume bars show a slight increase during the recent downside move, confirming bearish momentum. Watch for a reduction in selling volume near the support levels, which could indicate stabilization or a reversal. Outlook: If the **0.236 Fib level** holds, it could act as a springboard for a bounce. However, if broken, the **200-day MA** becomes the critical support to watch. Keep an eye on oscillators for potential oversold signals and volume trends for signs of buyer interest.
by vagada
LUNCUSDT Analysis | first native token of Terra blockchainThe price is currently testing the **0.5 Fibonacci retracement level** (black line) as a potential support zone. If this level fails, the **200-day MA** (red line) is the next significant support level to monitor. Oscillator Analysis: - **PSAR**: Flipped red, indicating bearish momentum. - **RSI**: Dropped to ~44, suggesting bearish momentum but not oversold, leaving room for further downside. - **MACD**: Bearish crossover, with the histogram deepening, confirming negative momentum. - **OBV**: Declining, signaling reduced buying pressure and increased selling activity. If the **0.5 Fib level** holds, it could provide a base for a rebound. However, if broken, the **200-day MA** will be critical for preventing a deeper correction. Monitor these levels closely!
by vagada
COQUSDT Analysis | #1 meme coin on AVAXThe **0.236 Fibonacci level** has been broken, signaling weakness in the current structure. The next key support lies at the **200-day MA** (red line), which could act as a strong area for price stabilization. - **RSI**: Dropped to ~48, showing weakening momentum and room for further downside. - **MACD**: Bearish crossover confirms selling pressure. - **OBV**: Declining, signaling reduced accumulation. If the **200-day MA** fails to hold, the structure may turn decisively bearish. For now, keep an eye on the **200-day MA** as the critical support zone!
BYBIT:10000COQUSDT.P
by vagada
AIDOGE | Bounce Potential: 200-Day MA and 0.236 Fib Hold Strong!**AIDOGEUSDT Analysis** The **200-day MA** (red line) is currently acting as strong **support**, with the price pulling back and holding above it after recent downside pressure. The market has also retraced to the **0.236 Fibonacci level**, which aligns with this critical support area. - **RSI**: At ~44, showing mild bearish momentum but not oversold. - **MACD**: Displays a bearish crossover, signaling potential short-term downside risk. As long as the **200-day MA** holds, this zone could serve as a base for a potential rebound. A breakdown below it would signal further downside. Stay prepared for both scenarios!
BYBIT:10000000AIDOGEUSDT.P
by vagada
TradeCityPro | XVS & Bitcoin : Key Levels and Insights👋Welcome to TradeCityPro! In this analysis, I want to review XVS for you. This token is the native token of the Venus project, which operates on the BSC network and specializes in the DeFi sector. It boasts the highest TVL on this network. This platform allows users to collateralize their assets and borrow funds proportionate to their collateral. Currently, the platform's TVL stands at $1.8 billion, and XVS ranks 361 on CoinMarketCap. 👑 Before analyzing XVS, it's better to take a look at Bitcoin to better understand the market conditions. The Bitcoin analysis is done on the 4-hour timeframe. ⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe: Correction Phase in Bitcoin On the 4-hour timeframe, after breaking the $72,771 resistance (the previous ATH), we witnessed a very sharp, high-momentum move up to $99,022. Currently, Bitcoin has entered a correction phase. The first significant support in this timeframe is $92,004, which overlaps with the 0.236 Fibonacci level. The price has already reached this level. At the same time, the SMA99 has also aligned with the candles in this area, turning this level into a very strong PRZ. ✨ The RSI oscillator has triggered divergence, exiting the lower Bollinger Band several times, which has eliminated the bullish momentum. However, the most important thing in a bullish market is that when the RSI approaches the 30 level, it often represents a good buying opportunity. Using the Bollinger Band indicator, we can better determine trend reversals and RSI triggers. However, all of these require price confirmation, which can be achieved through Dow Theory rules or short-term resistance breakouts. 📊 On the other hand, the volume of corrective candles is increasing, which is not a good sign for the correction's end and makes the bearish scenario more likely. 🔑 If the $92,004 support breaks, the next key support is $86,841, which aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci level and is likely to serve as a major support during this correction. For now, I won't discuss other supports; if $86,841 is broken, I'll determine the rest later. ✅ XVS Analysis: Weekly and Daily Timeframes 📅 Weekly Timeframe: Long-Term Box On this timeframe, the price previously formed a long-term box between $3.17 and $9.19. After breaking this range, a new box was formed between $5.29 and $17.43, where the price currently trades in the lower half of the box and is struggling with resistance at $9.19. 🔼 The previous weekly candle was very strong and powerful but couldn't break the $9.19 level. The current candle is also rejecting from this level. For spot buying, breaking this resistance or $17.43 is suitable. The potential targets are $40.22 and $140.26, with $140.26 being the ATH for this coin. 📉 In case of a drop, the first support is at $5.29, and on the RSI, there is a significant support level at 39.32, which can prevent a price decline. If this support is broken, the next level is $3.17, the all-time low for this coin. 📅 Daily Timeframe: Strong Resistance Zone On the daily timeframe, the $9.19 resistance can be drawn as a range between $8.18 and $8.91, which is very important. Currently, the price is rejecting from $8.91 and has dropped to $8.18. 🔍 The main and significant support on this chart is the ascending trendline, which previously experienced a false breakout. If the price stabilizes below $8.18, the next corrective target will be reaching this trendline. 💣 If the trendline breaks, the next support is $5.98, which is a strong resistance since the market previously reversed from this level after a false trendline breakout and reached the $8.91 high. 🧩 If the RSI stabilizes above 66.27, the price can start pumping because it has already hit this level twice and been rejected. If the RSI breaks below 50, bearish momentum will enter the market, and the bearish scenario will strengthen. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
5
Discipline Over MotivationSuccess in trading doesn't come from motivation—it comes from discipline. Motivation will get you started, but discipline will keep you consistent, even on the tough days." In trading, emotions often try to take control. Fear of missing out, revenge trading, or overconfidence can lead to poor decisions. Discipline means following your plan no matter how you feel. Consistency is the bridge between your trading plan and long-term results. Without it, even the best strategies can fail. How to Stay Disciplined? Define Your Rules: Have a clear entry, exit, and risk management plan before you trade. Track Your Performance: Use a journal to review trades—both wins and losses. Take Breaks: A tired mind leads to impulsive decisions. Detach from Outcomes: Focus on the process, not on winning every trade. Remember: The best traders aren't the most motivated—they're the most disciplined.
by Safaric
EURNZD the standout in Long-Currency's in Asia trade Wedesday Hi everyone, I got into this trade not long ago to the long-side, but as it has plenty of potential I thought I would share. On the 4HR timeframe, there is currently a bullish heads 'n' shoulders pattern adding some buying fuel. There was a recent pullback so a good time to enter if you are after a Long trade. On the chart, the indicator at the bottom is on-balance-volume which has had a good uptick today so far. This trade is also trend-friendly, this is a Daily chart and you will see the thicker white line which is the 200EMA, the thinner dark-blue is 50EMA and Crimson colour is 100EMA. The very thick white arrowed line is the heads n shoulders neckline where price has broken out this morning.
Long
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
When Does a $433.5 Million Settlement Become a Victory for Both In the complex landscape of corporate litigation, Alibaba's recent settlement presents a fascinating case study of modern business strategy. While the Chinese e-commerce giant agrees to pay $433.5 million to settle shareholder allegations, this decision might paradoxically represent a win-win scenario for both the company and its investors. The settlement, ranking among the top 50 largest securities class actions in U.S. history, raises intriguing questions about the balance between corporate governance and strategic business decisions. What makes this case particularly compelling is the mathematics of risk management. When faced with potential damages of $11.63 billion, Alibaba's decision to settle for $433.5 million reveals a sophisticated calculation of risk versus reward. This settlement, representing less than 4% of the maximum potential damages, demonstrates how modern corporations can transform legal challenges into strategic opportunities for resolution and renewal. The implications of this settlement extend far beyond Alibaba's balance sheet. As global markets increasingly scrutinize tech giants' practices, this case sets a precedent for how international corporations might navigate the complex intersection of antitrust regulations, shareholder rights, and market competition. The resolution suggests that in today's business environment, the true measure of corporate success might lie not in avoiding challenges, but in transforming them into opportunities for organizational evolution and stakeholder alignment.
NYSE:BABAShort
by signalmastermind
SILVER price shorting in Asian trade Thursday Gold and Silver price(s) are above their 200 period moving averages and their continued uptrend seems reasonable to happen in the short to perhaps medium term, before a pullback correction kicks-into-gear for the precious metals. So far during Thursday and as the London session begins around this time, Gold is up about 0.3% and Silver is down about -0.3%, so due to this divergence in price I took a Long in XAGUSD. It's only a 1:1 trade.
EIGHTCAP:XAGUSDLong
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
The 1% Rule: A Key to Long-Term Trading SuccessUnderstanding the 1% Risk Management Strategy in Trading Effective risk management is the backbone of successful trading, helping traders preserve capital and avoid emotional decision-making. The 1% risk management strategy is one of the most widely used approaches, aimed at limiting the potential loss on any single trade to 1% of your total trading capital. Let’s break down how this strategy works and why it’s essential for both novice and experienced traders. What Is the 1% Risk Rule? The 1% risk rule ensures that a trader never risks more than 1% of their account balance on a single trade. For example, if you have $20,000 in your account, you would limit your risk to $200 on any given trade. The idea behind this rule is to safeguard your account from catastrophic losses that could occur from consecutive losing trades . How to Apply the 1% Risk Rule To apply the 1% rule effectively, you need to combine position sizing with stop-loss orders. Here’s how you can implement this strategy: 1. Determine Your Account Risk: Calculate 1% of your trading capital. For example, with a $10,000 account, 1% equals $100. This is the maximum amount you’re willing to lose on a single trade. 2. Set a Stop-Loss: A stop-loss helps cap your losses at the 1% threshold. If you’re buying shares of a stock at $50 and decide on a stop-loss 1 point below, your “cents at risk” is $1 per share. If you’re willing to lose $100, you can buy 100 shares ($100 / $1 per share risk). 3. Position Sizing: The size of your trade depends on the risk per share. By determining your stop-loss level, you calculate how many shares you can buy to keep your total loss within the 1% limit. This process prevents you from taking excessively large positions that could lead to significant losses . Why the 1% Rule Is Effective The 1% rule is effective because it keeps your potential losses small relative to your total capital. Even during periods of losing streaks, this strategy prevents large drawdowns that could lead to emotional trading or complete account wipeout. For instance, if you experience a string of ten losing trades in a row, you would only lose 10% of your capital, giving you plenty of opportunities to recover without significant emotional stress . Advantages of the 1% Risk Rule 1. Protects Your Capital: By risking only a small portion of your account on each trade, you prevent significant losses that could deplete your account. 2. Encourages Discipline: Sticking to the 1% rule helps instill discipline, keeping traders from making impulsive trades that deviate from their trading plan. 3. Provides Flexibility: The rule works for all market conditions and strategies, whether you are trading stocks, forex, or other assets. As long as you adhere to the 1% threshold, you can trade confidently without fear of losing too much on any single trade . The Risk-Reward Ratio An essential component of the 1% rule is pairing it with a favorable risk-reward ratio. Traders typically aim for a minimum reward of 2 to 3 times the risk. For example, if you’re risking $100 on a trade, you should aim for at least a $200 to $300 profit. This ensures that even with a 50% win rate, your profitable trades will outweigh your losses . Conclusion The 1% risk management strategy is a powerful tool for minimizing risk and protecting your trading capital. By incorporating proper position sizing, stop-loss orders, and a disciplined approach, you can navigate the market confidently while safeguarding your account from large drawdowns. Whether you’re a day trader or a swing trader, applying this strategy will help you build consistent success over time. By maintaining a focus on risk management, traders can shift their mindset from seeking high returns to preserving capital, which is the key to long-term success in the markets.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by HexaTrades
The Formula That Helped Me Get Into in the Top 2% of TradersI spent years testing different strategies, obsessing over charts, and trying to find the perfect entry point. It took me a while to realize that it wasn’t just about picking the right trades—it was about knowing how much to risk on each trade. This is where the Kelly Criterion came into play and changed my entire approach. You’ve probably heard the saying, “Don’t put all your eggs in one basket.” Well, Kelly Criterion takes that idea and puts some hard math behind it to tell you exactly how much you should risk to maximize your long-term growth. It’s not a guessing game anymore—it’s math, and math doesn’t lie. What is Kelly Criterion? The Kelly Criterion is a formula that helps you figure out the optimal size of your trades based on your past win rate and the average size of your wins compared to your losses. It’s designed to find the perfect balance between being aggressive enough to grow your account but cautious enough to protect it from major drawdowns. F = W - (1 - W) / R F is the fraction of your account you should risk. W is your win rate (how often you win). R is your risk/reward ratio (the average win relative to the average loss). Let’s break it down. How It Works Let’s say you have a strategy that wins 60% of the time (W = 0.6), and your average win is 2x the size of your average loss (R = 2). Plugging those numbers into the formula, you’d get: F = 0.6 - (1 - 0.6) / 2 F = 0.6 - 0.4 / 2 F = 0.6 - 0.2 = 0.4 So, according to Kelly, you should risk 40% of your account on each trade. Now, 40% might seem like a lot, but this is just the theoretical maximum for optimal growth. The thing about using the full Kelly Criterion is that it’s aggressive. A 40% recommended risk allocation, for example, can be intense and lead to significant drawdowns, which is why many traders use half-Kelly, quarter-Kelly or other adjustments to manage risk. It’s a way to tone down the aggressiveness while still using the principle behind the formula. Personally, I don’t just take Kelly at face value—I factor in both the sample size (which affects the confidence level) and my max allowed drawdown when deciding how much risk to take per trade. If the law of large numbers tells us we need a good sample size to align results with expectations, then I want to make sure my risk management accounts for that. Let’s say, for instance, my confidence level is 95% (which is 0.95 in probability terms), and I don’t want to allow my account to draw down more than 10%. We can modify the Kelly Criterion like this: 𝑓 = ( ( 𝑊 − 𝐿 ) / 𝐵 )× confidence level × max allowed drawdown Where: 𝑊 = W is your win probability, 𝐿 = L is your loss probability, and 𝐵 = B is your risk-reward ratio. Let’s run this with actual numbers: Suppose your win probability is 60% (0.6), loss probability is 40% (0.4), and your risk-reward ratio is still 2:1. Using the same approach where the confidence level is 95% and the max allowed drawdown is 10%, the calculation would look like this: This gives us a risk percentage of 0.95% for each trade. So, according to this adjusted Kelly Criterion, based on a 60% win rate and your parameters, you should be risking just under 1% per trade. This shows how adding the confidence level and max drawdown into the mix helps control your risk in a more conservative and tailored way, making the formula much more usable for practical trading instead of over-leveraging. Why It’s Powerful Kelly Criterion gives you a clear, mathematically backed way to avoid overbetting on any single trade, which is a common mistake traders make—especially when they’re chasing losses or getting overconfident after a win streak. When I started applying this formula, I realized I had been risking too much on bad setups and too little on the good ones. I wasn’t optimizing my growth. Once I dialed in my risk based on the Kelly Criterion, I started seeing consistent growth that got me in the top 2% of traders on TradingView leap competition. Kelly in Action The first time I truly saw Kelly in action was during a winning streak. Before I understood this formula, I’d probably have gotten greedy and over-leveraged, risking blowing up my account. But with Kelly, I knew exactly how much to risk each time, so I could confidently scale up while still protecting my downside. Likewise, during losing streaks, Kelly kept me grounded. Instead of trying to "make it back" quickly by betting more, the formula told me to stay consistent and let the odds play out over time. This discipline was key in staying profitable and avoiding big emotional trades. Practical Use for Traders You don’t have to be a math genius to use the Kelly Criterion. It’s about taking control of your risk in a structured way, rather than letting emotions guide your decisions. Whether you’re new to trading or have been in the game for years, this formula can be a game-changer if applied correctly. Final Thoughts At the end of the day, trading isn’t just about making the right calls—it’s about managing your risks wisely. The Kelly Criterion gives you a clear path to do just that. By understanding how much to risk based on your win rate and risk/reward ratio, you’re not just gambling—you’re playing a game with a serious edge. So, whether you’re in a winning streak or facing some tough losses, keep your cool. Let the Kelly formula take care of your risk calculation. If you haven’t started using the Kelly Criterion yet, now’s the time to dive in. Calculate your win rate, figure out your risk/reward ratio, and start applying it. You’ll protect your account while setting yourself up for long-term profitability. Trust me, this is the kind of math that can change the game for you. Bonus: Custom Kelly Criterion Function in Pine Script If you’re ready to take your trading to the next level, here’s a little bonus for you! I’ve put together a custom Pine Script function that calculates the optimal risk percentage based on the Kelly Criterion. You can easily enter the variables to fit your trading strategy. // @description Calculates the optimal risk percentage using the Kelly Criterion. // @function kellyCriterion: Computes the risk per trade based on win rate, loss rate, average win/loss, confidence level, and maximum drawdown. // @param winRate (float) The probability of winning trades (0-1). // @param lossRate (float) The probability of losing trades (0-1). // @param avgWin (float) The average win size in risk units. // @param avgLoss (float) The average loss size in risk units. // @param confidenceLevel (float) Desired confidence level (0-1). // @param maxDrawdown (float) Maximum allowed drawdown (0-1). // @returns (float) The calculated risk percentage for each trade. kellyCriterion(winRate, lossRate, avgWin, avgLoss, confidenceLevel, maxDrawdown) => // Calculate Kelly Fraction: Theoretical fraction of the bankroll to risk kellyFraction = (winRate - lossRate) / (avgWin / avgLoss) // Adjust the risk based on confidence level and maximum drawdown adjustedRisk = (kellyFraction * confidenceLevel * maxDrawdown) // Return the adjusted risk percentage adjustedRisk Use this function to implement the Kelly Criterion directly into your trading setup. Adjust the inputs to see how your risk percentage changes based on your trading performance!
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Fractalyst
11
USOIL Price Analysis: Double Bottom Breakout Targets $78.37🛢️ USOIL Price Analysis: Double Bottom Breakout Targets $78.37 and $83.67 USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) shows a bullish reversal pattern on the D1 timeframe , with a double bottom breakout signaling potential upward movement. Traders are eyeing key targets, with the first at $78.37 and the second at $83.67 . Here's a breakdown of the setup: 🔍 What is a Double Bottom Pattern? A double bottom is a bullish reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend. In this pattern, the price hits a support level twice and bounces back. This suggests that sellers have been exhausted, and buyers are stepping in to increase prices. The breakout occurs when the price closes above the peak between the two lows, confirming the pattern. 🚀 Key Price Targets for USOIL With the double bottom confirmed, here are the following potential price targets: 1. First Target – $78.37: After the breakout, the immediate upside target is $78.37 . This level is based on a measured move from the bottom of the pattern to the breakout point, giving traders their first profit-taking zone. 2. Second Target – $83.67: Should the bullish momentum continue, the next target to watch is $83.67 , where further resistance is expected. A move toward this level would signify a more extended upward trend in USOIL. ⛔ Stop Loss – $66.23 To manage risk, traders should consider placing a stop loss at $66.23 . This level is below the pattern's low, where a breakdown would invalidate the bullish outlook and potentially trigger further downside. 📊 Factors Influencing USOIL Several factors could affect the success of the breakout: Global Supply and Demand: Changes in OPEC policies, US shale production, and geopolitical tensions can significantly impact oil prices. Economic Growth: A robust global economy often increases oil demand, increasing prices. USD Strength: Since oil is traded in US dollars, a stronger dollar can put downward pressure on oil prices, while a weaker dollar may support further gains. 🛠 Trading Strategy For traders looking to capitalize on this breakout, consider the following: Entry Point: After the breakout, buying near the current price with targets of $78.37 and $83.67 could provide a favorable risk/reward ratio. Risk Management: Place your stop loss at $66.23 to protect against unexpected market reversals. 💡 Conclusion The double bottom breakout on the D1 timeframe suggests that USOIL is poised for a potential rally towards $78.37 and $83.67 , with a protective stop at $66.23 . To navigate this opportunity effectively, traders should stay vigilant of key market factors and global developments. 🔔 Stay tuned for more updates on USOIL and other fundamental market movements.
FX:USOILLong
by amzadlak
Is the S&P 500's Bull Run a Mirage?The S&P 500's recent all-time high has ignited a frenzy of optimism among investors. However, as the market reaches unprecedented heights, questions arise about the sustainability of this bull run and the potential risks lurking beneath the surface. While the allure of soaring stock prices is undeniable, investing in a market at its peak carries inherent risks. The concentration of returns within a few dominant stocks (such as Nvidia, Alphabet, and Amazon), coupled with the potential for geopolitical shocks and economic downturns, introduces significant uncertainty. The dot-com bubble serves as a stark reminder of the market's cyclical nature and the perils of overvaluation. To navigate this complex landscape, investors must adopt a balanced approach. Diversification, coupled with a keen understanding of economic indicators, geopolitical events, and corporate news, is essential for making informed decisions. By recognizing the potential pitfalls and taking proactive measures to mitigate risk, investors can position themselves for long-term success in the ever-evolving market. The S&P 500's future remains uncertain, but by approaching the bull market with a critical eye and a strategic mindset, investors can navigate the challenges and capitalize on the opportunities that lie ahead.
CBOE:SPXShort
by signalmastermind
This Simple Strategy Could Make You a Fortune in the Gold Marketprice action of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) in relation to the trendlines and patterns indicated. Chart Analysis 1. Weekly Flag Trendline: - The first chart shows a trendline forming a "flag" pattern on a higher time frame (possibly weekly or daily). This flag appears to be a bullish continuation pattern, indicating that after the consolidation within the flag, the price might continue in the direction of the prior trend, which seems to be up. 2. Price Action Inside the Flag: - Within the flag, there is a period of consolidation marked by the parallel trendlines. The price has been respecting these lines, creating higher lows and lower highs, indicating indecision or preparation for a breakout. 3. Potential Breakout Zones: - Key breakout zones are marked by the upper resistance of the flag pattern around the 2,530 level and the lower support trendline of the flag around the 2,470 level. A breakout above the upper resistance could signal a continuation of the prior uptrend, while a break below the lower support could indicate a reversal or deeper pullback. 4. Smaller Patterns: - On the second chart (1-hour time frame), there's a more detailed view of recent price action with a potential bearish flag or pennant forming, suggesting a temporary pullback or consolidation within the larger flag. This smaller pattern appears to be within a trading range bounded by the horizontal support and resistance levels. 5. Key Support and Resistance Levels: - The charts show horizontal support around the 2,433.301 level, which aligns with a historical low that could serve as a significant support level. Similarly, the resistance level is around 2,530, where the price has repeatedly failed to break above. 6. Current Market Context: - The price is currently hovering around 2,497, near the middle of the trading range, suggesting indecision. This midpoint could be a neutral zone where the price could move in either direction based on upcoming market momentum or news. Trading Strategy and Considerations - Entry Points: - If considering a bullish scenario, a long entry could be planned near the lower support line of the flag, around 2,470, with a stop loss slightly below the flag's support to manage risk. A breakout above the 2,530 resistance could also provide a good entry point for a continuation of the uptrend. - For a bearish scenario, a short entry could be considered if the price breaks below the 2,470 support level, confirming a breakdown from the flag pattern. - Risk Management: - The proximity of the price to both upper and lower boundaries of the flag pattern provides clear levels for stop placement. This helps in managing risk effectively, keeping losses contained if the trade goes against the initial bias. - Monitoring Price Action: - Watch for potential breakouts from the smaller patterns within the flag, as these could provide early signals of the larger move's direction. It would also be essential to keep an eye on volume changes, as increased volume could confirm the validity of a breakout or breakdown. By aligning your trades with these patterns and key levels, you can take advantage of the potential setups provided by the price action within these consolidating formations. Ensure to adapt to new market conditions and stay disciplined in executing your trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
2
Hidden Costs of Trading You Must Know In this educational article, we will discuss the hidden costs of trading. 1 - Brokers' Commissions Trading commission is the brokers' fee for opening a trading position. Usually, it is calculated based on the size of the trade. Though most of the traders believe that trading commissions are too low to even count them, the fact is that trading on consistent basis and opening a couple of trading positions weekly, the composite value of commissions may cut a substantial part of our profits. 2 - Education Of course, most of the trading basics can be found on the Internet absolutely for free. However, the more experienced you become, the harder it is to find the materials . So you typically should pay for the advanced training. Moreover, there is no guarantee that the course/coaching that you purchase will improve your trading, quite often traders go through multiple courses/coaching programs before they become consistently profitable. 3 - Spreads Spread is the difference between the sellers' and buyers' prices. That difference must be compensated by a trader if one wished to open a trading position. In highly liquid markets, the spreads are usually low and most of the traders ignore them. However, being similar to commissions, spreads may cut the substantial part of the overall profits. 4 - Time When you begin your trading journey, it is not possible to predict how much it will take to become a consistently profitable trader. Moreover, there is no guarantee that you will become one. One fact is true, you should spend a couple of years before you find a way to trade profitably, and as we know, the time is money. More time you sacrifice on trading, less time you have on something else. 5 - Swaps Swap is the fee you pay for transferring a position overnight . Swap is based on a difference between the interests rates of the currencies that are in a pair that you trade. Occasionally, swaps can even be positive, and you can earn on holding such positions. However, most of the time the swaps are negative and the longer you hold your trades, the more costly your trading becomes. The brokers' commissions, spreads and swaps compose a substantial cost of our trading positions. Adding into the equation the expensive learning materials and time spent on practicing, trading becomes a very expensive game to play. However, knowing in advance these hidden costs, the one can better prepare himself for a trading journey.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
5
Never Trade Without Stop Loss! Hey traders, Talking to many struggling traders from different parts of the world, I realized that the majority constantly makes the same mistake : they do not set a stop loss . Asking for the reason why they do that, the common answer is that these traders consider the manual position closing to be safer, implying that if the market goes in the opposite direction, they will be able to much better track the exact moment to cut loss. In this article, we will discuss why it is crucially important to set a stop loss and why it is the number one element of your trading position. What is Stop Loss? Let's discuss what is a stop loss . By a stop loss , we mean a certain price level where we close our trading position in loss. In comparison to a manual closing, the stop loss (preferably) should be set at the exact moment when the order is executed. On the chart above, I have an active selling position on Gold. My entry level is 2372, my stop loss is 2381. It means that if the price goes up and reaches 2381 level, the position will automatically close in a loss. Why Do You Need a Stop Loss? Stop loss allows us limiting the risks in case of unfavorable movements . On the chart above, I have illustrated 2 similar negative scenarios : 1 with a stop loss being placed and one without on USDJPY. In the example on the left, stop loss helped to prevent the excessive risk , cutting the loss at the beginning of a bearish wave. With the manual closing, however, traders usually hold the negative positions much longer , praying for a reversal. Holding a losing trade, emotions intervene. Greed and fear usually spoil the reasoning, causing irrational decisions . Following such a strategy, the total loss of the second scenario is 6 times bigger than the total loss with a placed stop loss order. Always Set Stop Loss! Stop loss defines the point where you become wrong in your predictions. Planning your trade, you should know in advance such a point and cut your loss once it is reached. Never trade without a stop loss.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
16
How to Do Your Own Research (DYOR) in Crypto? – by WhiteBITDisclaimer: the following post was originally published by WhiteBIT . Hello, Traders! Have you ever heard the phrase “Do Your Own Research,” or DYOR? No, it's neither a trendy clothing brand nor just a catchy phrase — it's an important practice. DYOR has become the primary guiding principle for crypto investors to make informed decisions. Let’s explain what DYOR means and how to conduct your research effectively. What Does DYOR Mean? Why Is It Important? DYOR is a call to action for investors to research and dig into the fundamentals of any asset or project before investing. Sounds simple, right? But why is it so important? Well, think about it this way: the Internet is flooded with all sorts of information, and not all of it is reliable. So, DYOR urges you to dig deep, find the facts, and make your own decisions. It is your shield against misinformation and hype. It’s about diving deep into the project’s details and understanding its technology, team, and market potential. By researching, you’re not just relying on someone else’s opinion — you’re forming educated conclusions. Now that we’ve covered why DYOR is critical, let’s look at some of the ways traders and investors used to do proper research. How to Do Your Own Research? How to Research a Crypto Project? Crypto research involves using various sources and tools to get all the information you need: – Analytical Platforms: Visit popular analytics platforms to get a first impression of the cryptocurrency. These platforms offer essential data, including market capitalization, trading volume, price history, and other key metrics. The numbers can tell you a lot. Take social media and community channels, for example. They can give you a sense of how popular a project is. But here’s the catch: 🚩 watch out for bots and fake accounts. They can skew the numbers and paint an inaccurate picture of real interest. So, ask yourself: Is the community actively engaged? Are conversations genuine and buzzing naturally? You also need to consider factors such as asset price, market capitalization, circulating supply, total supply, daily active users, token/coin holder distribution, and trading volume to get a sense of the project’s progress and the community’s involvement. – White Paper Analysis: It’s a smart move to dive into a project’s core documents, like the White Paper – the project’s manifesto. It’s crafted by the team to pinpoint a problem and lay out how their product, technology, or token/coin plans to solve it. These are the sources you must explore when doing crypto research. Key points also include the technology behind it, the development team, tokenomics, and the project roadmap. – Sentiment Analysis: It is all about working out the general mood of the market or a specific asset. By understanding how investors feel about a cryptocurrency, you can identify whether it is overvalued or undervalued. Tools like the Fear and Greed Index can help track market sentiment. – Competitor Analysis: Analyzing competitors helps you understand the strengths and weaknesses of various projects. Compare technologies, use cases, and market performance to identify the best investment opportunities. – Project Website and Social Media Analysis: A website should provide transparent information about the team and technology. 🚩 include poorly designed websites, missed deadlines, and a lack of transparency. Media activity can offer insights into a project's community and current status. Look out for active and engaged followers, how often the project updates, and what kind of community interactions there are. Questions to Answer Before Investing Before diving into any cryptocurrency investment, it's essential to ask yourself several key questions to ensure you're conducting thorough research. Here's a checklist to guide your DYOR crypto process: What Problem Is the Project Solving? How Does It Differ from Competitors? Does It Follow Its Roadmap and White Paper? What Are the Legal Regulations in Your Country? Has It Raised Funding? Who Are the Investors? Who Are Its Partners and Supporters? How Is It Promoted? What Marketing Strategies Are Used? What Are the Trends on Google and Social Media? What Is the Tokenomics? How Are Tokens Distributed? Are There Any Red Flags? So, doing your own research is more than just a suggestion. Any information you can gather about a crypto project is invaluable and worth the time and effort. The more you know, the better equipped you are to make informed decisions and avoid potential pitfalls. Remember, “Knowledge is power". As Benjamin Franklin famously said, “An investment in knowledge pays the best interest.” So, commit to your due diligence—your future self will thank you. D.Y.O.R.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDEducation
by paul_endeo
How to Do Your Own Research (DYOR) in Crypto?Hello, Traders! Have you ever heard the phrase “Do Your Own Research,” or DYOR? No, it's neither a trendy clothing brand nor just a catchy phrase — it's an important practice. DYOR has become the primary guiding principle for crypto investors to make informed decisions. Let’s explain what DYOR means and how to conduct your research effectively. What Does DYOR Mean? Why Is It Important? DYOR is a call to action for investors to research and dig into the fundamentals of any asset or project before investing. Sounds simple, right? But why is it so important? Well, think about it this way: the Internet is flooded with all sorts of information, and not all of it is reliable. So, DYOR urges you to dig deep, find the facts, and make your own decisions. It is your shield against misinformation and hype. It’s about diving deep into the project’s details and understanding its technology, team, and market potential. By researching, you’re not just relying on someone else’s opinion — you’re forming educated conclusions. Now that we’ve covered why DYOR is critical, let’s look at some of the ways traders and investors used to do proper research. How to Do Your Own Research? How to Research a Crypto Project? Crypto research involves using various sources and tools to get all the information you need: – Analytical Platforms: Visit popular analytics platforms to get a first impression of the cryptocurrency. These platforms offer essential data, including market capitalization, trading volume, price history, and other key metrics. The numbers can tell you a lot. Take social media and community channels, for example. They can give you a sense of how popular a project is. But here’s the catch: 🚩 watch out for bots and fake accounts. They can skew the numbers and paint an inaccurate picture of real interest. So, ask yourself: Is the community actively engaged? Are conversations genuine and buzzing naturally? You also need to consider factors such as asset price, market capitalization, circulating supply, total supply, daily active users, token/coin holder distribution, and trading volume to get a sense of the project’s progress and the community’s involvement. – White Paper Analysis: It’s a smart move to dive into a project’s core documents, like the White Paper – the project’s manifesto. It’s crafted by the team to pinpoint a problem and lay out how their product, technology, or token/coin plans to solve it. These are the sources you must explore when doing crypto research. Key points also include the technology behind it, the development team, tokenomics, and the project roadmap. – Sentiment Analysis: It is all about working out the general mood of the market or a specific asset. By understanding how investors feel about a cryptocurrency, you can identify whether it is overvalued or undervalued. Tools like the Fear and Greed Index can help track market sentiment. – Competitor Analysis: Analyzing competitors helps you understand the strengths and weaknesses of various projects. Compare technologies, use cases, and market performance to identify the best investment opportunities. – Project Website and Social Media Analysis: A website should provide transparent information about the team and technology. 🚩 include poorly designed websites, missed deadlines, and a lack of transparency. Media activity can offer insights into a project's community and current status. Look out for active and engaged followers, how often the project updates, and what kind of community interactions there are. Questions to Answer Before Investing Before diving into any cryptocurrency investment, it's essential to ask yourself several key questions to ensure you're conducting thorough research. Here's a checklist to guide your DYOR crypto process: What Problem Is the Project Solving? How Does It Differ from Competitors? Does It Follow Its Roadmap and White Paper? What Are the Legal Regulations in Your Country? Has It Raised Funding? Who Are the Investors? Who Are Its Partners and Supporters? How Is It Promoted? What Marketing Strategies Are Used? What Are the Trends on Google and Social Media? What Is the Tokenomics? How Are Tokens Distributed? Are There Any Red Flags? So, doing your own research is more than just a suggestion. Any information you can gather about a crypto project is invaluable and worth the time and effort. The more you know, the better equipped you are to make informed decisions and avoid potential pitfalls. Remember, “Knowledge is power". As Benjamin Franklin famously said, “An investment in knowledge pays the best interest.” So, commit to your due diligence—your future self will thank you. D.Y.O.R.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by WhiteBIT
7