Get started

Riskreversal

Swing fade: is euro overextended?Fundamentals & Sentiment EUR: Contrary to the direction of this trade idea, the Eurozone economy has been doing quite well for the last few months. However, is it time for a technical correction? Risk reversals suggest that. NZD: Kiwi has been supported by good Building Permits from New Zealand and strong readings from Australia at the beginning of the session. Technical & Other Setup: TR(B) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 4h Medium-term: UP Long-term: Up Min target: DMA(200) + mirror level on D Risk: 0.26%
Short
by Cherry94
$JETS risk reversalGlobal Jets ETF $JETS was the stand out sector today up 1.91% on strong volume.. the chart is looking interesting.. after being marked down throughout summer there appears to be a double bottom confirming with a RSI divergence, there is also a steep left sided skew.. to take advantage of this we’re looking at a NOV’19 $20/26 risk reversal for a credit of $0.06 with a profit target of $25 or stop loss of $21.. losses only occur on this trade below $20 which is 14% below the current price of $22.94..
AMEX:JETSLong
by Click-Capital
SHORT ETH FENCE FOLLOW-UPA week ago (1/3/19), I wrote a piece on RISK MANAGEMENT recommending purchasing a March Fence (aka a collar) for firms that are long ETH in their inventory. The trade was to buy the H $100 puts and sell the H $250 calls against it. When we sent out this report last week, the market for the fence was -8/8 (worth flat premium). Today, the market 0/16 (worth $8 - put premium). The value of this fence went from flat to $8. You potentially could have hedged ~$8 (less fees) to offset the ~$20 of losses incurred today by this ETH selloff. if you have any follow-up questions or want to talk through this trade step-by-step, please give us a call and we can continue to help educate you in how to PRESERVE CAPITAL. Contacts Tim Kelly Founder and CEO tkelly@bitooda.io Brian Donovan Executive VP of Institutional Sales bdonovan@bitooda.io Dr. Ilya Kurland Chief Derivatives Strategist ilya@bitooda.io About BitOoda BitOoda is a digital asset advisory firm specializing in trade execution, market analysis, and structured products. For business inquiries, please e-mail info@bitooda.io
BITFINEX:ETHUSDShort
by BitOoda_LLC
IBM Seeking BalanceIBM was very stretched at the Warning-Line 1 and is now seeking balance. So we go from extreme back to balance. It doesn't matter how you call it....Mean-Reversion, Action/Reaction or even manipulation... What count's is, that we have knowledge and rules at hand, which provide high probability trades in REAL live, not just in demo or on backtests. Check out my free course and come back to me if you have any questions. The friendly ForkTrading Group welcomes you and gives you REAL information and knowledge in trading. P!
NYSE:IBM
by Tr8dingN3rd
Zivolve Quant Analytics for Cryptocurrency TradersZivolve, is a revolutionary and evolutionary quant analytical platform. It is developed by Ziggurat Technologies, empowered by Tradingview charting libraries. We aim to help traders to manage the risk and have deeper insights about their trading decisions. We have four analytics as of now which we provided to the public on a handful of cryptocurrencies: farm2.staticflickr.com Ziggraut FM-Bands is a risk analytics tool including bands which define the maximum overbought and oversold. Price can only move between the two bands as it goes. It also can give headsup about the direction of the price action along with other tools, available: farm2.staticflickr.com You can build your own setup and also make decision using a few quant analytics which we provide. Our analytics are model based therefore it is learning from the data. Please remember this is the ALPHA version of the product you are going to test, therefore there is always a more advanced-version on the horizon. Let us know what you think: farm2.staticflickr.com
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Zivolve
NASDAQ Biotech ETF (IBB) - Bullish Breakout Options TradeOn Friday's Options Action, the crew analyzed the performance of the biotech sector. The NASDAQ Biotech ETF (IBB) that tracks the large cap names have underperformed the overall sector recently. IBB has recently formed both a long term cup & handle formation and an inverted head & shoulders, a bullish setup. Coupled the largest 5 names in this ETF reporting earnings this week, provides a potential catalyst for the ETF to break higher. Expecting IBB to breakout to the upside, Michael Khouw suggests buying a Sept 113/119/125 Call Spread Risk Reversal for a $0.70 Debit. As of Friday's close, this spread is trading at $0.65. We've structured this trade in OptionsPlay so you can analyze and view this trade along with the supporting technical chart at your convenience. View this OptionsPlay on IBB - app.optionsplay.com Cost: $65 Max Reward: $535 Max Risk: $11,365 POP: 43.18% Breakeven: $119.65 Days to Expiry: 61
NASDAQ:IBBLong
by OptionsPlay
NZDUSD: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - 0.70 RES, MA, STDEV, IV=HV & RR NZD$ Technical analysis - Remain bearish below 0.70 - 0.69tp1 0.68tp2 on a rate cut (Aug 10th): Key level close: 1. On the daily and weekly we closed at the strongest pivot point of recent times at 0.70 - this is very bearish as historically this is the strongest level (lower than post brexit). MA: 1. We trade below the 4wk and 3m MA - this is a bearish indication + we are finding some support at the 3m moving average where price currently sits, though NZD$ looks to try and push lower with daily candles skewing their spikes to the downside. We have been above the 6m MA since June which sits at 0.69 and likely offers our next bearish support once we break the 3m MA. IV/ HV: 1. Realised Vols have also unsurprisingly aggressively come off in recent days, likely a function of the RBNZ rhetoric fading. Plus Implied vols are seen steeper in the 1wk and flatter in the 2wk-1m - with 1wk, 2wk and 1m Implied vols trade at 13.12%, 12.66%, 13.09% vs HV 1wk 2wk 1m at 10.90%, 15.60%, 14.58% - this mixture between HV and IV shows there has been considerable volatility drivers in the past/ future which are causing the curves to converge and diverge in no particular direction e.g. brexit, RBNZ hawkish/ dovish comments, future rate expectations - which all distort the interaction between HV and IV. Deviation Channels/ Support levels: 1. We Trade near to the bottom of the 6m deviation channel at 0.69 as NZD economic assessment asserts downside pressure on the pair, nonetheless but we could see support here as 0.69 is also a price action support level. Looking at the 12m SD channel, we are trading just below the average price at 0.703 - hence there is definitely more room for downside and we have just crossed the middle regression line implying we are entering some downside deviation now, with the 12m -2SD resistance level at 0.675 which is in line with the price support level at 0.68 which is where i think we will head after the RBNZ announces a 25bps cut.. Risk-Reversals 1. 25 delta Risk reversals trade marginally bearish for NZD$, with current at -0.2, 1wks at -0.3 and 2wks at -0.6 and 1m at -0.95 - this suggest the NZD$ has a slight downside bias which concurs with the RBNZ's dovish stance and committment to cutting rates that was made clear in the July economic assesment (see attached). - 3m risk reversals trade with a similar downside bias to the 1m at -1 which shows the market expects extended NZD$ downside, likely a function of further rate cut expectations from the RBNZ. *Check the attached posts for indepth fundamentals*
Short
by QuantumLogicTrading