Demand Zone Signals Opportunity for WLDUSDT
The market structure for BINANCE:WLDUSDT remains bullish as long as the swing low at $1.58 is not broken. Recent price action suggests a favorable entry point in the demand zone between $1.58 and $1.92 .
The next significant target is at $4.19 , a historically reactive zone where previous price movements have faced strong resistance. This level aligns with the bullish market structure and offers a high-profit potential.
This trade setup presents an impressive risk-to-reward ratio of 1:6 , making it an appealing opportunity for traders. Maintaining the structure above the demand zone is crucial for bullish continuation. However, a break below $1.58 would invalidate this idea and could signal a bearish shift.
👨🏻💻💭 Do you think WLDUSDT can hold the bullish structure and hit $4.19? Share your thoughts or ideas below and let’s discuss this setup!
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Riskreward
Since DOGE is pretty hot at the moment... It's also pretty in the middle of a longer range of price action range with no real reward and a lot of risk to be found at this price point.
You can look at it technical, you can say it's due to politics (like that has always been a solid in the past...), you can blame it on the fomo and the news...
You always have a choice when to act and what to do when you act. Just be smart about it ;-)
Cheers!
NZDCAD GARTLEY PATTERNHarmonic Pattern Trading Strategy:
1. Combine patterns with 2-3 confirmations (e.g., MA, BB, RSI, Stoch) for increased accuracy.
2. Implement proper risk management.
3. Limit exposure to 3% of capital per trade.
4. Exercise caution: Not every Harmonic Pattern presents a good trading opportunity.
5. Conduct thorough diligence and analysis before trading.
Disciplined approach = Enhanced edge.
AUDCAD BAT PATTERNHarmonic Pattern Trading Strategy:
1. Combine patterns with 2-3 confirmations (e.g., MA, BB, RSI, Stoch) for increased accuracy.
2. Implement proper risk management.
3. Limit exposure to 3% of capital per trade.
4. Exercise caution: Not every Harmonic Pattern presents a good trading opportunity.
5. Conduct thorough diligence and analysis before trading.
Disciplined approach = Enhanced edge.
GBPNZD BULLISH BATHarmonic Pattern Trading Strategy:
1. Combine patterns with 2-3 confirmations (e.g., MA, BB, RSI, Stoch) for increased accuracy.
2. Implement proper risk management.
3. Limit exposure to 3% of capital per trade.
4. Exercise caution: Not every Harmonic Pattern presents a good trading opportunity.
5. Conduct thorough diligence and analysis before trading.
Disciplined approach = Enhanced edge.
Understanding Risk Asymmetry in a Table▮ Introduction
With TradingView's new table creation feature , you can easily create and customize tables to enhance your trading analysis and presentations.
In this article I'll use it to explain Risk Asymmetry .
Trading involves a constant evaluation of risk and reward .
One of the critical concepts that traders need to understand is risk asymmetry .
This concept highlights how losses and gains are not symmetrical.
In other words, the percentage gain required to recover from a loss is greater than the percentage loss itself.
This article explores risk asymmetry and illustrates it with a practical example.
▮ What is Risk Asymmetry?
Risk asymmetry refers to the disproportionate relationship between losses and the gains required to recover from those losses.
For instance, if you lose 10% of your investment, you need to gain more than 10% to get back to your original amount.
This is because the base amount has decreased after the loss.
Understanding risk asymmetry is crucial for traders because it affects their risk management strategies.
Knowing that larger losses require exponentially larger gains to recover can help traders make more informed decisions about their trades and risk exposure.
▮ Illustrating Risk Asymmetry
To illustrate risk asymmetry, let's consider an initial investment of $1000.
The table below shows the required gain to recover from various percentage losses:
Explanation:
- Loss (%): The percentage loss from the initial amount.
- Value Lost ($): The lost monetary value from the initial amount.
- Amount After Loss ($): The remaining amount after the loss.
- Required Gain for Recovery (%): The percentage gain required to recover to the initial amount.
This table highlights the asymmetry in trading losses and gains.
As the loss percentage increases, the required gain to recover the initial amount increases disproportionately.
For example, if you lose 50% of your initial amount ( $500 ), it is not enough for you to gain 50% , because the amount left after the loss is $500 , and a 50% gain on the amount of $500 is $250 , which would result in a total amount of $750 with a remaining loss of $250 !
So, the most important question is not how much can I win , but how much can I lose .
Curiosity:
Why 100% is not applicable (-) in this table?
When you lose 100% of your investment, you have lost all your capital. Therefore, there is no remaining amount to recover from, and it is impossible to gain back to the initial amount from zero. This is why the required gain are marked as not applicable.
▮ Conclusion
Understanding risk asymmetry can help traders in several ways:
1. Risk Management:
traders can set stop-loss levels to limit their losses and avoid the need for large gains to recover.
2. Position Sizing:
by understanding the potential impact of losses, traders can size their positions more conservatively.
3. Psychological Preparedness:
knowing the challenges of recovering from significant losses can help traders maintain discipline and avoid emotional decision-making.
It is one thing to lose 100% of a dollar on a casino bet; it is quite another to lose 100% of a lifetime's worth of capital.
Therefore, the larger the capital at stake, the smaller the amount of money that should ideally be risked.
Risk Management in Trading: Keeping It Simple and Stress-FreeIf you're new to trading, you’ve probably heard the golden rule: “Don’t risk more than 1-2% of your account on a single trade.” Sounds easy, right? But let’s be real—trading is way more than just crunching numbers.
Let’s Break It Down
1. Don’t Bet the Grocery Money! 🍎
First things first: Never trade with money you can’t afford to lose. Imagine this—your rent is due next week, but instead of saving, you decide to trade all that cash because you’re feeling lucky. Spoiler alert: That’s not luck—it’s a one-way ticket to Stress City. When you trade money you can’t afford to lose, every market wobble feels like the end of the world. Keep your bills paid and your pantry stocked before you even think about trading.
Example: Think of trading like buying lottery tickets. You wouldn’t spend your entire paycheck hoping to hit the jackpot, right? (Well, I hope not!) Treat your trading account the same way.
2. Discipline > Math 🧠
Sure, knowing the 1% rule is cool, but what really matters is sticking to it. Here’s the thing: Losing streaks happen to everyone—even pros. The question is, how many losses in a row can you handle without losing your cool and going all-in on a “revenge trade”?
Example: Think of it like a diet. You promise to eat just one cookie, but after a bad day, you eat the whole pack. The same thing happens in trading if you’re not disciplined. One bad trade can lead to a whole bunch of bad decisions.
3. Trading Won’t Pay Your Bills (At Least Not Yet) 💸
Many people dream of quitting their job to trade full-time. Sounds great, but here’s the catch: You need a lot of money to make trading your main income source. The trader in the video suggests keeping a day job while learning the ropes. That way, you’re not relying on trading profits to survive.
Example: Imagine opening a lemonade stand, but you only have two lemons. You can’t expect to make enough lemonade to pay rent! Work on growing your “lemon supply” (your trading skills and capital) before you go all-in.
4. Watch Your Trade Count 🕒
Making too many trades in one day is like eating too much junk food—it might feel good at first, but it’ll cost you later. Even small risks add up quickly when you’re overtrading. The pros call this “death by a thousand cuts.”
Example: If you take 10 trades in a day, risking 1% each, you’re suddenly risking 10%. That’s like ordering 10 desserts because “they’re just tiny.” Spoiler: It adds up fast.
5. Learn from Poker Players 🎲
Ever watched poker pros on TV? They don’t bet everything on one hand—they manage their “bankroll” carefully, so they don’t lose it all. The same idea works in trading. Lower your position size when things aren’t going well so you can stay in the game.
Pro Tip: Want a fun exercise? Use poker chips or fake money to practice “betting” on trades. Seeing your stack shrink will remind you why managing losses is so important.
Simple but Powerful Lessons
Build a Safety Net: Before you think about trading full-time, save up enough money to cover your expenses for a few months. This way, you can trade without freaking out over every dollar.
Learn a Backup Skill: Trading takes time to master. While you’re learning, keep a steady job to support yourself financially.
Focus on the Process, Not the Profits: Winning traders don’t obsess over the money—they focus on following their strategy and improving their skills.
A Few Quotes to Keep in Mind
“Risk management isn’t about numbers; it’s about discipline.”
“If losing money makes you panic, you’re trading too much.”
“Turn off the profit and loss display—focus on making good trades.”
Final Thought: Keep It Chill
Trading is like a marathon, not a sprint. Take your time, stick to your plan, and never risk more than you’re comfortable losing. If you approach it with patience and discipline, you’ll not only survive but thrive in the markets.
Now, go grab a coffee (or lemonade) and plan your next trade with confidence! ☕🍋
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
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FIL/USDT Short Setup on Rising Channel BreakdownThis chart showcases a short position on FIL/USDT after a breakdown from a rising channel pattern. The price respected the upper and lower boundaries of the channel before breaking below the support, signaling a potential bearish continuation.
Key Levels
Entry Price: Around 5.39 (near the channel breakdown point)
Stop Loss: Set at 5.59 (above recent resistance)
Take Profit Target: Approximately 4.73 (aligned with prior support and pattern projection)
Technical Insights
Rising Channel Pattern: Generally bearish when a breakdown occurs, indicating a loss of bullish momentum.
Bearish Confirmation: A strong downside move with momentum below the lower trendline enhances the validity of this setup.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The setup offers a good R:R, making it an efficient short trade opportunity if market conditions align.
Traders can watch for further confirmation, such as volume spikes or retests of broken support levels acting as resistance, before adding to their positions.
UNI/USDT Short PositionThis chart illustrates a short position on UNI/USDT following a potential bearish breakout from an ascending wedge pattern. The price action has been respecting the upper and lower trendlines, forming higher highs and higher lows. However, the breakdown below the lower support trendline signals a reversal.
Key Levels
- Entry Price: Near 13.90 (just below the breakdown point)
- Stop Loss: Around 14.27 (above the wedge resistance)
- Take Profit Target: 12.12 (aligned with key support levels and pattern height projection)
Technical Insights
Rising Wedge Pattern: Typically bearish, indicating weakening bullish momentum before a potential decline.
Bearish Confirmation: The strong bearish candlestick closing below the wedge support adds confidence to the short setup.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio : This trade offers a favorable R:R, approximately 1:2.5, making it an attractive short opportunity.
Watch for additional confirmations like increasing volume on the breakdown or retests of the former support turned resistance to add confluence.
AGLD/USDT, Ascending Channel with 2:6 Risk-Reward SetupThis chart displays an Ascending Channel Pattern where the price is trending upward within parallel support and resistance lines. The long position designed here follows a 2:6 risk-reward ratio , indicating a calculated trade setup with a potential 50% profit at the target price of $3.717 and a controlled 18% loss at the stop-loss of $2.016 .
The ascending channel suggests bullish momentum, and the strategy aligns with a breakout continuation toward the upper resistance level. However, if the price fails to sustain above the lower trendline, the trade could hit the stop-loss. This setup offers a favorable risk-reward profile for traders looking to capitalize on the channel's upward trajectory.
USD/JPY SELL SET UP!USD/JPY Sell Set-Up
I have identified good levels for a short-term sell on USD/JPY with a favorable risk/reward ratio. The current market structure suggests a potential move downward, making this setup ideal for traders looking for short opportunities.
🔑 Key points to keep in mind:
Always use a stop loss to manage risk effectively.
Ensure your position size aligns with your trading plan and risk management strategy.
Wishing everyone good luck and successful trades!
LULU, a stock to watch!Lululemon stock (LULU) has traded down into the $230's for the first time since the COVID-19 Crash of 2020. I believe that LULU is a stock to keep your eye on, for a few reasons.
- The stock is trading at a 20x p/e whereas its historical p/e is in the mid 40's.
- Margins for the company have all been steady, and remain an industry leader.
- Lululemon is still set to see 10% CAGR for EPS in the next 5 years. (consensus)
- The stock is seeing a severe correction, on par with its past decade corrections.
Above is bullish sentiment on LULU, and can be considered the "bull/base case"
Personally, I have not turned bullish on LULU yet, but with the levels it is reaching it has most certainly caught my eye and has been added to my watch list. While the stock is seeing oversold levels, I think the midterm outlook can still remain bearish for Lululemon. Below are reasons why the short/midterm outlook for LULU may not be optimal.
- Weaker forward projections compared to last 5 years.
Though LULU is expecting 10% CAGR EPS for the next 5 years, that is just a fraction of its last 5 year CAGR of 38.55%. While projections are still positive, they have certainly dampened compared to recent years' growth.
- Macroeconomic environment.
Though the economy remains hot/fine for now, there have been warning signs flashing of a rising unemployment figure across the country. With suboptimal economic conditions, the average consumer may cut down on expensive Lululemon clothing.
These Macro conditions may also continue to dampen the economy, which can cause an overall market correction, where LULU would likely follow the sentiment.
Overall, I believe that LULU offers significant reward, but the shorter term horizon is still worrisome for Lululemon and the global economy. Lululemon is a leader in the Retail Trade sector and dominates when it comes to profitability. The stock is definitely one to keep an eye on if it continues to get crushed.
Regarding technicals, I am watching this demand zone around the 200 level. The stock could trend down to this area, and reach close to COVID-19 lows if sentiment does not change. This area could also offer significant R/R for an entry point.
Disclosure: I currently hold no position in LULU stock, and have never been a shareholder.
VITE - a risky tradeAmong many other assets I've noticed VITE as it is in a very interesting position. Look at the trading volume during the past couple of months, either it is some sort of wash trading or a sign of accumulation.
Also it is squeezed by the giant triangle so it will exit from it with a large impulse (theoretically)
Anyways currently VITE is almost at the historical bottom so theoretically the only next stop below the current point is delisting. But I think a small percentage of the portfolio can be placed on that bet. If VITE falls below 0.01 - the trade is disposed of and we should exit by stop loss.
I will get into this trade and see how it turns out.
TradeCityPro | EURAUD Analysis Buyers in Control👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s step outside the crypto space to analyze the EURAUD entry triggers for the coming week, examining both technical and fundamental aspects.
🌍 Fundamental Overview
The EURAUD pair highlights the ongoing divergence between the Eurozone and Australian economic conditions. The ECB’s hawkish stance, supported by persistent inflation, strengthens the Euro, while the RBA’s dovish policies amid cooling inflation and a softening housing market weigh on the Australian Dollar.
Additionally, Australia’s dependence on Chinese demand for commodities has created vulnerabilities due to China’s weaker-than-expected industrial growth.
Geopolitical tensions, such as the Middle East conflicts, have supported the Euro, reinforcing its stability as a safe-haven currency. In contrast, Australia’s economic slowdown and labor market weakness are adding pressure on the AUD.
The balance may shift as Europe's energy prices stabilize and China introduces economic stimulus measures.
🕒 4-Hour Time Frame
On the 4-hour chart, buyer momentum is evident, particularly as the pair rebounded strongly from the 1.63584 support level after rejecting the 1.65469 resistance twice. This renewed bullish strength signals active buyers in the market.
📈 Long Position Trigger
The 1.65469 level remains a strong trigger for a long position. Breaking above this resistance with volume could target the 1.684 zone, supported by RSI confirmation at 69.96.
📉 Short Position Trigger
Despite the bullish momentum, a failed breakout or lower high near resistance could set up a short opportunity. A more reliable entry would be a breakdown of the 1.6358 support and trendline, targeting the 1.6016 level for a pullback.
The pair’s trajectory will likely depend on macroeconomic developments and shifting risk sentiment in the week ahead.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
EURUSD Trading Idea EUR/USD dipped 0.2% on Tuesday, marking its third straight decline as it approaches the key 1.0500 level. The Euro’s recent bullish momentum is fading, with traders shifting to a cautious stance ahead of two major events:
US CPI Data (Wednesday): A pivotal release ahead of the Fed's final 2024 meeting. Inflation is expected to tick up to 2.7% YoY (from 2.6%), with core CPI holding steady at 3.3%. Any signs of stalled progress could dash hopes for a third consecutive rate cut on December 18, fueling USD volatility.
ECB Rate Decision (Thursday): The ECB is widely anticipated to deliver another quarter-point rate cut. Forecasts suggest the Main Refinancing Operations Rate will be trimmed to 3.15% (from 3.4%), and the Deposit Facility Rate is expected to drop to 3.0% (from 3.25%).
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Entry Opportunity with SMC and Fibonacci
Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Fibonacci retracement, the key zone between the 0.71 and 0.79 Fibonacci levels is shaping up as a critical area of interest. Following the creation of a fair value gap at the last high, the price is now testing the 50% Fibonacci level, setting the stage for a potential trade setup.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: 1.05520 (aligned with the 0.75 Fibonacci level)
Stop Loss: 1.05697 (just above the 0.79 Fibonacci level for added risk protection)
Take Profit: 1.04990 (targeting below the fair value gap for optimal risk-to-reward)
Risk/Reward Insights:
This setup offers a Risk/Reward Ratio of 2.98. By risking 17.7 pips to gain 53 pips, you're maximizing reward relative to risk.
Disclaimer:
Trading carries significant risks, and it’s essential to practice strict risk management. Always trade with a clear plan, use stop-loss orders, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. This analysis is not financial advice—ensure you understand the risks before making any decisions.
Follow for more trading ideas, strategies, and insights to level up your trading game!
BCH Long Awaited Breakout of the Multi-Year downtrend incoming?
Hi everyone! Today we are looking at Bitcoin Cash (BCH) which has seen its share of drama including unexpected parabolic moves in the past.
We're starting our analysis on the Monthly chart so we can zoom ALL the way out, and I am in log mode as I prefer this when I do my technical analysis. The chart looks very different here if you aren't in log mode, but when you turn it on, this YEARLY downtrend line appears, and we happen to be testing it at the moment during an extremely bullish time.
I'll be honest, I have not been a fan of BCH in the past, but my feelings about such things have led to missed opportunities, and so when we do TA, we focus on the data, and we try to be as objective as possible to avoid letting bias or emotions influence what we see or do.
Now the BCH story is quite interesting if you dig into it. Those that were around when it launched will never forget that day, as you received free BCH,1:1 with Bitcoin (BTC) given it is a fork of BTC. The challenge and drama set in since this was an attempt by a centralized entity led by Roger Ver to try to unseat Bitcoin by offering new features and capabilities he felt were lacking in the original blockchain. But this was met with much controversy, since the greatest value of crypto is in its decentralized ledger, and some might even say its mysterious origins. Who is the real Satoshi? Will we ever know? Is it one person, or a collection of people? Perhaps an entity or a foreign government? We may never know. In fact, I am sure we will never know.
In any case, the self-proclaimed "Bitcoin Jesus", Roger Ver, was recently arrested on Fraud Charges. Ver faces three counts of mail fraud, two counts of tax evasion and three counts of subscription to a false tax return, according to the United States Department of Justice. He was an early adopter of Bitcoin, and smart enough to purchase the domain Bitcoin com. He's facing 109 years in prison, which is probably extreme, but it seems that someone is trying to make an example out of him. He's been accused of misuse of power, suppressing innovation, and dissent. Today his networth is estimated in the range of $500 million to $1 billion.
On December 3rd, 2024 his legal team filed a motion to dismiss a criminal indictment against him having to do with an exit tax where he's accused of failing to accurately disclose the value of his assets when he renounced his US citizenship in 2014 after acquiring citizenship of St Kitts and Nevis.
With the incoming Trump Administration in the United States, and the "Free Roger Ver" movement, one doesn't have to think twice about the potential for a Trump pardon. Trump has been highly favorable to crypto and Bitcoin, which is easily seen by the amount of donations he received from the community and the skyrocketing of the space following his November 5th win. Just yesterday, Trump named David Sacks of the PayPal Mafia as his "Crypto and AI Czar". David Sacks is closely tied to Peter Thiel who brought him into PayPal (see the book: "The Founders") in its early days. Peter Thiel invested heavily in Donald Trump's Presidential Campaign. While David Sacks is also a co-founder and partner of a VC firm Craft Ventures who invested in Multicoin Capital. Multicoin Capital is a VC firm who backed Solana in 2017.
Are you making a connection yet? Why all of this backstory? Well, we would be remiss to ignore the macro environment and the potential for favoritism as Trump has already stated intention for multiple Pardons, and today, Roger Ver is one of the leading bets in Polymarket for a pardon. If you were tracking, you'll remember that Polymarket correctly called the U.S. Election.
Okay... so without further background speculation, lets get back to the charts with these data points in mind to assist us. Not creating bias, but making us smarter and improving our probabilities. Remember all markets are based on speculation and price is simply a function of supply and demand.
Zooming in to the 12 hour chart, identify a few interesting data points:
1. The cup and handle pattern off the most recent high around $720 draws nicely on the chart.
2. The break over the 200-day Moving Average.
3. Notable volume to support the break out of the 200-day MA.
4. Another test and arguably we are seeing a cross over of the multi-year downtrend line. Remember this is in a confirmed Bull Market, along with my rabbit hole analysis of the macro environment that can directly affect speculation on BCH above.
This alone gets me excited and bullish on BCH. But it doesn't stop there.
I want to provide a different view from the Weekly Chart, where I've tracked over to Binance from the Coinbase chart which has less historical data, and i'm making a potential bear case. It's critical to always consider the bear case on everything. A bear might say, Look at the upward facing wedge pattern, and how the price is just testing the outside of it, which happens to coincide with a key point on the Coinbase chart showing the multi-year downtrend. One should be careful and look for more confirmation on the chart for a breakout, rather than calling a breakout before it happens, since it is just as likely (if not more likely) that we bounce off these lines as resistance. I remain bull however, as I'm using other data points, and we'll take a look at this a little more closely below.
Zooming in to the 4-hour chart, I'm tracking 2 upward channels. You can see the larger channel, and the more recent skinnier and steeper channel that have formed. I'm also tracking a fibonacci extension that seems to fit the current move after a quick swing outside of the skinnier channel. What I like about this extension is the bounces off the fibs, with the potential to reach higher extensions that break out of the downtrend. I am also using the bearish rising wedge here to show the risk of the reversal if this is a real resistance point.
A quick review of the Weekly Chart on the BTC pairing shows some very obvious signs that support a bullish hypothesis. A breakout of the downward wedge that started from the high in March of this year 2024 also breaks above the BTC 200-day MA, and we see some increasing volume though nothing quite obvious from a volume perspective yet. However, I wouldn't be surprised if that volume increases sharply in the near future. A MACD bullish crossover on this chart would support this hypothesis. We also appear to have potentially completed an ABC correction of the massive move from the lowest low in June 2023. Finally, as we use our fib extension to look for targets of a bull breakout, we see a nice confluence of the May 2021 high falling somewhere in the range of 2.618 and 3.618 extensions.
Using multiple view and time scales along with indicators to support our hypothesis is enough to give us a bullish hypothesis. When you add in the very present Roger Ver story, and the storied history of BCH, we realize that there is at least enough speculation for those that missed the opportunity Bitcoin itself provided. While I am indifferent on the potential of BCH, I have no bias or real interest in this asset personally. I can admit that following the BTC 200-day breakout I took a very small position of a single BCH given the upside potential.
When considering how to protect yourself against the challenges of inflation, the opportunity the crypto space offers, and the exciting developments we are in store for in the coming year, one cannot ignore the potential BCH provides that is told only by the charts. The opportunity to maximize an investment with BCH has strong risk/reward, given the previous high was $4300 on Coinbase. There's a whole other story behind that parabolic move, but I'll let you look into that one yourself.
Thanks for reading and be safe out there! This is for informational purposes only and not a suggestion or recommendation to buy or sell any asset or otherwise. You are responsible for your own decisions no matter where you get information. Never invest if you can't afford it and consider all investing gambling.
- Shadowfigure
CAD/JPY Analysis – Potential Bearish SetupThe CAD/JPY pair is showing signs of bearish momentum within a descending channel on the 1H timeframe. The recent price action indicates potential for further downside, supported by technical confirmations:
Descending Channel: The price is respecting the boundaries of a well-defined bearish channel, suggesting continued downward momentum.
Weak Low Formation: The pair has formed a weak low at 106.229, potentially signaling the market's intention to grab liquidity below this level.
Bearish Order Block: A supply zone near 107.150 is acting as strong resistance, aligned with the channel's upper boundary.
Break of Structure (BOS) and ChoCH: Multiple BOS and ChoCH patterns indicate a bearish shift in market structure, adding confidence to the downside bias.
RSI Confirmation: The RSI shows bearish divergence, further supporting the bearish outlook.
🔑 Plan:
Entry Zone: Around 106.250 (near the weak low).
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 105.502
TP2: 104.675
Stop Loss: Above the 107.150 resistance level to limit risk.
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for traders looking to capitalize on CAD/JPY's bearish momentum. As always, risk management is key—trade responsibly and monitor for any unexpected market shifts.
ACHR: Long Position @ Wave 5 (Elliot)Step 1: Ride the Wave 5 Momentum
ACHR is about to start its Wave 5 rally, offering an excellent short-term long opportunity.
Currently we're in the middle of Wave 4 and we will likely experience 3 to 5 days of accumulation/indecision before Wave 5 starts.
Let’s break it down:
Slow Stochastic Bullish Momentum
The Slow Stoch oscillator is signaling strong bullish momentum, albeit in overbought territory. This is typical during Wave 5 and suggests further upside potential before the trend exhausts. Staying with the momentum while it lasts can be very rewarding.
Massive Volume Spike
In the last three weeks, ACHR has seen a significant increase in volume, indicating strong buying interest. Volume often leads price, and this kind of activity strengthens the case for continued upward movement. The surge in interest can drive the stock toward its next key resistance around $9.84.
Fundamental Catalysts Driving Momentum
Recently, ACHR has achieved major milestones, such as progress on FDA approvals and securing new contracts and orders. These developments add to the bullish sentiment, attracting more traders and creating a supportive backdrop for the rally.
Trade Execution: Enter a long position now to take advantage of the current momentum and aim for a target near $9.84 (the resistance zone). Consider tightening your stop-loss to protect profits as the stock approaches this level.
Step 2: Exit, Wait for the ABC Correction, and Re-Enter for a Bigger Move
After completing Wave 5, the market is likely to enter a corrective ABC phase. This is where it’s smart to exit your position and wait on the sidelines. Why? The correction will likely bring the price down to a more attractive level, allowing for a better risk-reward setup for the next big move.
Once the ABC correction concludes, re-entering around the key support zone sets up a new long opportunity with an eye toward the Q1 2025 target of $12. The long-term fundamentals of ACHR and its growing momentum in the market make this a high-probability setup.
Trade Execution: Watch for the corrective phase after Wave 5 completes. Use Fibonacci retracement levels or support zones to identify a potential re-entry point.
FANTOM BULLISH-POTENTIAL 6.39RRFantom (FTM): A Bullish Opportunity with Controlled Risk
BINANCE:FTMUSDT
The current price action of Fantom presents an attractive setup for taking calculated risks. Here are the key bullish arguments supporting this perspective:
Previous Monthly Low (PML - November): Disrespected, signaling strength.
Previous Monthly High (PMH): Disrespected, further affirming bullish momentum.
Monthly Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG): Holding so far; confirmation expected by early Sunday morning.
Previous Weekly High (PWH): Disrespected.
Previous Weekly Low (PWL): Disrespected.
Daily Bullish FVG: Being respected, showing demand at this level.
4H Swing High: Disrespected.
4H Swing Low: Disrespected.
Bearish Arguments:
Previous Daily High (PDH): Respected, a minor resistance to watch.
Previous Daily Low (PDL): Respected.
Trade Management:
Stop Loss (SL): $0.84–$0.82
Take Profit (TP): $1.90–$1.88
Entry Zone: $0.9951–$0.9683
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RR): 6.39
I am using Quantfury to manage this trade, a platform I find effective for precise execution.
Final Thoughts: The market appears poised for further upside, but stay disciplined and avoid being influenced by noise. The next five months are crucial for crypto, requiring full focus and adherence to your own strategies. Remember, every lesson comes from experience, not just from external opinions.
Stay patient, trade smart, and blessings to all!
VTEX: Bullish breakout potential amid consolidationThe chart illustrates VTEX forming a wedge-like consolidation pattern, signaling a potential bullish breakout in the near future. The stock has established strong support at $6.22 and faces key resistance at $8.95. The 200-day SMA is acting as a pivotal resistance level , and a breach above this could confirm a shift in momentum.
The stochastic oscillator indicates the stock is oversold, suggesting a higher probability of upward price movement. If the price breaks above the wedge, t he next significant target is the $12-$14 range , representing substantial upside potential. However, downside risks remain, with a stop-loss near $5.72 to mitigate risk .
This idea combines technical indicators, moving averages, and volume considerations to outline a high-risk, high-reward trading opportunity. Investors should remain vigilant for confirmation signals before entering a position.
Start of the impulse wave | DB breakouthello fellow traders,
Trent has taken support on ascending trendline and impulse wave of the bull swing at weekly time frame has started.
The the DB neckline breakout at daily time frame was the trend change confirmation.
The target 1 is 22% and target 2 is 42% from CMP respectively
Risk reward ratio for the target 1 is 1:2.37 and target 2 is 1:4.75
The FNO strategy is below:
Set the target values as shown in the chart to get the projected profits at the below link.
sbull.co