Good Risk/Reward for May2023 Corn LongsTaking a look at K23 Corn futures, a great risk to reward setup has shown itself. Looking back to the beginning of 2023, Corn has retreated to support, and held overnight(~650). Using a tight stop (644), one can surmise that you can risk ~6 to gain ~30, as 680 is previous resistance. Happy Trading!
Riskreward
STOP LOSS AS LIFE SAVIOROANDA:XAUUSD
Stop-losses prevent large and uncontrollable losses in volatile trades. If you’re not using stop-losses, it’s only a matter of time when a large losing position will get out of control and wipe out most of your trading profits, eventually even your entire account!
If you’re serious about staying in the game in the long run and growing your trading account, it’s necessary to use stop-loss orders in every single trade you’re taking. That’s the first rule of this article – Always use stop-losses!
Stop-losses also play a major role in risk management. Depending on their stop-loss, traders are calculating what position size to take, how much money to risk on a single trade, how much they’re risking on any single dollar they’re making, and much more .
Time Stop
As their name suggests, time stops refer to closing a trade after a pre-specified period of time. For example, a trader who is day trading the market could close all of his open trades after the end of the trading day, while swing traders who don’t want to hold their trades over the weekend could simply close all trades by the end of the Friday trading session.
Time stops are best combined with other types of stop-loss levels. If your trade is still active by the end of the trading day or ahead of the weekend, you could look to close it manually in that case.
Percentage Stop
Finally, percentage stops are based on a percentage of your trading account to limit the total risk of a trade. For example, a trader with a $10,000 account who wants to risk 3% of his trading account on a single trade could place a stop-loss at a level that ensures his total potential loss is $300.
Some traders might think that percentage stops are a good way to manage and limit losses in the market. However, bear in mind that percentage stops imply placing a stop-loss at an arbitrary level, as long as the total potential loss doesn’t exceed a percentage of the trading account.
Much better results can be achieved by combining chart stops with percentage stops, i.e. a trader would place a stop-loss based on an important technical level and manage his total risk by adjusting the position size of the trade. We’ll show you how to do exactly that later in this article .
Trailing Stops
Trailing stops automatically move the underlying stop-loss level with each tick of the price that goes in your favour. However, if the price reverses and starts to go against you, a trailing stop will stay at its most recent level, limiting your losses or locking in unrealised profits.
CONCULUSION :
WETHER YOU DO FOREX , STOCKS OR CRYPTO TRADING , STOPLOSS IS IIMPORTANT , AND IT ALWAYS GIVE YOU ANOTHER OPPURTUNITY TO TRADE AGAIN
german 30 analysis - 22 february 2023hope all you guys are blessed! it's my baby brother's birthday today si i'm in the best of moods today and please wish him a happy birthday :)
but here's my breakdown for german 30
- this market has been in a range on the daily timeframe and the most recent was a touch on the support of the range
- but on the H4 market has been making LOWER LOWS and LOWER HIGHS with large bearish candlesticks showing a lot of volume
- down onto the M30/M15 market was in a mini range and i am currently waiting for a break of the support then i will go short
- take profits are at the 15315 level
- market could turn anytime and be bullish so proper risk mangement is key
Strategy Coding E05: Risk Management (Part 1)This is a deep dive into the concepts surrounding "Risk Management" and how to realistically model managing risk.
We will discuss:
Risk Units
Scaling in to positions at a one third risk unit increments
Raising stops
Taking profits
Closing/exiting the position.
GBPUSD LONGTrade based on the monthly timeframe looking for the spring to retest monthly lows, and sweep the equal highs. Nice and simple trade looks like I caught the play it was running a simple retest off the lows and a nice run up to sweep the equal highs followed by a distribution wave classic setup it seems. The last distribution/bear run took us down to the lows we haven't been at since the mid-1980 so these times are absolutely unpredictable and to even trade in these markets takes nuts. As long as you stick to the plan you take the gambling out of the equation, We're up big this month and were only risking 1%, If it plays out great that's awesome if it decides to fall to break record lows so be it we will be there to capitalize off some nice shorts in the near future.
Bearish Look on EURUSD until end of WeekBearish
Funadamental Background : CPI helped price to pullback and breathe
and now we have returned to the lows.
Momentum: Bear Candle from Last week with solid body
Technicals
1) Large Top wick rejection
on weekly candle after printing
Bear Candle last week
2) Was anticipating Bears to show up this
week AFTER a potential pullback ..
Which we did get a pullback to 1.07900
3) Price just pierced last week's
low , Monday's Low, and Wednesday's
Low
4) Price respected 1.07100 as anticipated
across the duration of current daily candle
5) Range to fill to downside down to 1.5500
Bitcoin Hammers ceremony in 4HHi friends.
I see about 4 hammers on a strength Trendline and i think price
will go to the upper band i have shown on my chart.
If the price surpass this 24000 resistance level
after a pullback to this level , we will see a huge increase in BTC in coming days.
Dont forget we are in a 4H time frame and this trendline is very important.
In addition this hammers shape in an important support level (22500) too.
after price reach this path i draw in my chart we should look it again to update our
analysis.
so if you enter a trade dont forget to set your SL below this support level and choose the upper
line for your TP.(I show it on my chart and its R/R is 2.6 its good i think! )
Hope you enjoy this analysis.
share me your opinion
I will be happy.
Thanks for reading my idea
Love you all
Don't Blow Your Account | Learn How to Avoid Margin Call
Hey traders,
In this educational article, I will share with you 5 simple tips that will help you not to blow your trading.
1️⃣Always Use Stop Loss.
Let's start with the obvious - with the stop loss order.
Never ever trade without that. Before you open your trade, plan in advance its placement, stick to it once the position becomes active and never remove it.
2️⃣ Manage Your Position Sizes
I know that most of you are trading with a fixed lot. That is a bad habit. You should measure the lot size for each trading position you take. You should define in advance the risk percentage you are willing to lose per trade and calculate the lot sizes for your trades accordingly, then.
3️⃣Avoid Taking Too Many Positions
Remember that in trading, quantity does not imply quality. The more trades you take, the harder it is to manage each position individually. I would suggest opening maximum 5 trades per day and holding no more than 8 trades simultaneously.
4️⃣ Avoid Trading Too Many Markets
The wider is your watch list, the harder it is to focus on each individual element inside. Do not try to control as many markets as possible, instead, narrow your watch list and concentrate your attention on your favourite trading instruments.
5️⃣Remember About Volatility
The more volatile is the market that you trade, the harder it is to trade it and the bigger stop losses you need to keep your positions safe. Remember, that the volatility is the double-edged sword. It can bring substantial profits, but it can also blow your entire account in a blink of an eye.
Following these 5 simple rules, you will make your trading much safer. Study them and add them in your trading plan.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Learn Risk-Reward Ratio | Risk Management For Beginners
📚The risk-reward ratio (or risk return ratio) measures how much your potential reward (or return) is, for every dollar you risk.
📚For example:
If you have a risk-reward ratio of 1:3, it means you’re risking $1 to potentially make $3. If you have a risk-reward ratio of 1:5, it means you’re risking $1 to potentially make $5. You get my point.
⚠️Now, here’s the biggest lie you’ve been told about the risk reward ratio:
“You need a minimum of 1:2 risk reward ratio.”
This statement is incorrect! Because the risk-reward ratio is meaningless on its own.
📚Here’s an example:
Let’s say you have a risk reward ratio of 1:2 (for every trade you win, you make $2).
But, your winning rate is 20%. So out of 10 trades, you have 8 losing trades and 2 winners.
Let’s do the math…
Total Loss = $1 * 8 = -$8
Total Gain = $2 * 2 = $4
Net loss = -$4
By now I hope you understand the risk reward ratio by itself is a meaningless metric. Instead, you must combine your risk-reward ratio with your winning rate to know whether you’ll make money in the long run (otherwise known as your expectancy).
📍THEREFORE:
The key to success is the combination of the RR and Win Rate in such a fashion that yields a positive return.
📙Example:
🔘If your RR is 1:1 then you start making money with 51% win rate and above.
🔘If your RR is 1:1,5 then you start making money with 41% Win rate and above.
🔘If your RR is 1:2 then you start making money with 34% win rate and above.
🔴The higher the RR the lower is the breakeven Win Rate!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
Hey traders, let me know what subject do you want to dive in in the next post?
Back to Back Weekly Engulfing CandlesAs We anticipated Sells Last week from 81.50 Critical Supply Zone, we profited. Price moved just as expected. We were correct. In the Market when you are correct, you want to earn multiples of what you lose when you are wrong.. So you want to maintain good Risk Rewards Ratios and only take trades that are in line with your Bias. Because there were countless opportunties to take sells last week if your Bias was Bearish. When your individual concept of Market action is playing out accordingly.. you need to exploit it as much as you can. Because how else will you survive? SO create a process of planning out good RR trades based off Technical and Fundamental Analysis.
1. Do Technical Analysis ( I trade Structure)
2. Look at upcoming news for week
2a. Tuesday Morning Speech by Fed @9am
2b. Wednesday morning speech by Fed @6:15am
2d. Friday Morning Consumer Sentiment @ 7am
3. Create Bias for Week (Repeat Thyself - I will be flexible based on Price Action)
4. Realize Nothing Matters without Proper Risk Management
5. Trade in Line with Bias with good RR Ideas.
6. If you Take 2 Losses back to back. Reconsider Analysis but don't jump to conclusions.
I would like to Oil continue Bearish this week as I have outlined more potential Bearish Scenarios that could play out.
We must consider that we are in a range on the Daily TF. However on Weekly TF we are still Descending and respecting Structure.
It is worth to note that we once again printed a bearish Engulfing weekly Candle, Larger than the previous week (that we called out).
Has interest Rates in U.S. helped propel USOIL away from our Supply Zone at 81.5$? Or is this just liquidity and profit taking for Bulls to Take over for the coming week. We will see
Safe trading.
Nano (xno) where are you going? Risk reward 4.4For a long time, the asset is in the accumulation stage, and on the daily timeframe, you can see the resulting double bottom. If the resistance zone is broken through and the asset is fixed above 0.935, I expect growth to the area of $1.3
This is not a financial recommendation, everything you do you do at your own peril and risk.
Learn Risk to Reward Ratio | Forex Trading Basics
Hey traders,
Planning your every trade, you should know in advance the profit that you are aiming to make and the maximum amount of money you are willing to lose.
In this educational article, we will discuss risk reward ratio - the tool that is used to compare your potentials losses and profits.
Let's start with an example. Imagine you see a good buying opportunity on EURUSD. You quickly identify a safe entry point, your take profit level and stop loss.
From that trade you are aiming to make 100 pips with a maximum allowable loss of 50 pips.
To calculate a risk to reward ratio for this trade, you simply should divide a potential gain by a potential loss:
R/R ratio = 100 / 50 = 2
In that particular example, risk to reward ratio equals 2 meaning that potential gain outperform a potential loss by 2.
Let's take another example.
This time, you decide to short USDJPY.
From a desirable entry point, you can get 75 pips with a potential loss of 150 pips.
Risk to reward ratio for this trade is 75 divided by 150 or 0.5.
Such a ratio means that potential loss outperform a potential gain by 2.
Risk to reward ratio can be positive or negative.
If the ratio is bigger than 1 it is considered to be positive meaning that a potential gain outperforms a potential loss.
If the ratio is less than 1, it is called negative so that potential loss is bigger than potential risk.
Knowing the average risk to reward ratio for your trades, you can objectively calculate the required win rate for keeping a positive trading performance.
With R/R ratio = 0.5
2 winning trades recover 1 losing trade.
You need at least 70% win rate to cover losses of your trading.
With R/R ratio = 1
1 winning trade, recover 1 losing trade.
You need at least 50% win rate to compensate your losses.
With R/R ratio = 2
1 winning trade recovers 2 losing trades.
You need at least 35% win rate to cover losses of your trading.
Trading involves extremely high risk. Risk to reward ratio is a number one risk management tool for limiting your risks. Calculating that and knowing your win rate, you can objectively decide whether a trade that you are planning to take is worth taking.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I would lie to you that I am very special!This is an event that has spread all over the real and virtual space these days
I am better than you, more beautiful than you, smarter than you
But the reality is something else
But we know the truth!
You and I are human, we have our merits and demerits, we all lied, we were all kind, we were both good and bad!
we are equal ..
With this introduction, I wanted to get here that we in the financial markets are involved with an equal scale of types of risk
It means that if I am facing some risks, you are also facing almost the same risks!
So, of course, if we are profitable but have a low win rate, or vice versa, we have a high win rate, but we may not be profitable in the long term.
Accepting this risk is the most basic step of entering the market.
I think money management and risk management are the only keys to success
Our learnings about technical and fundamental analysis only play a role in reducing or increasing the risk of our trade!
S&P500 Trading Ideas Ahead of the Fed 0.25 Rate HikeThe S&P500 is looking bearish ahead of the much awaited Fed Interest Rate decision later today. Sellers looks to be in control in anticipation for the rise in the USDX value.
On the daily chart, MACD shows slightly overbought signs. Selling opportunities exist at the current price 4055 with tight stop loses around 4076. Should the USDX surge later today. The S&P500 may retrace to the 4025 mark, touching the trendline as indicated by the arrow.
On the flip side should the USDX break below the 101.4 - which is unlikely - the buyers will be taking control once more.
Bull flag on BTC?Hello.
Possible bull flag forming on Bitcoin . Target around 24k .
First resitance is around 22400-22800 (13th of september high) .
I think 25k there will be more selling/profit taking if we even get there.
You can see from the chart how 10EMA (blue one) has worked as support 3 times before when Bitcoin started its rise (marked with red arrows) .
I believe it will work as a support until the price shows that it doesn't and breaks it (and stays below) .
Possible risk reward is pretty good, almost 5 ratio .
This is not financial advice.
If you do take trades always use stop loss!
First mistake novice trades do is not use them and gets their ass burned!
Check out my analysis on 12th of january "why I think Bitcoin has bottomed"
-Jebu
Learn Why Do You Need a Stop Loss 🟥
Hey traders,
Talking to many struggling traders from different parts of the world, I realized that the majority constantly makes the same mistake: they do not set a stop loss.
Asking for the reason why they do that, the common answer is that
these traders consider the manual position closing to be safer, implying that if the market goes in the opposite direction, they will be able to much better track the exact moment to cut loss.
In this article, we will discuss why it is crucially important to set a stop loss and why it is the number one element of your trading position.
First of all, let's discuss what is a stop loss. By a stop loss, we mean a certain price level where we close our trading position in loss. In comparison to a manual closing, the stop loss should be set at the exact moment when the order is executed.
Stop loss allows us limiting the risks in case of unfavorable movements.
On the chart above, I have illustrated 2 similar negative scenarios: 1 with a stop loss being placed and one without.
In the example on the left, stop loss helped to prevent the excessive risk, cutting the loss at the beginning of a bearish wave.
With the manual closing, however, traders usually hold the negative positions much longer, praying for a reversal.
Holding a losing trade, emotions intervene. Greed and fear usually spoil the reasoning, causing irrational decisions.
Following such a strategy, the total loss of the second scenario is 5 times bigger than the total loss with a placed stop loss order.
Stop loss defines the point where you become wrong in your predictions. Planning your trade, you should know in advance such a point and cut your loss once it is reached.
Never trade without a stop loss.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️