BTC capitulation?, Long19.2k-17.5k for max pain capitulation on this downtrend.
good buy zone for spot long-term portfolio ~16k-23.5k taking into account feasible scenarios of could go. Though,16k-17k will put BTC literally down to the wire of max pain, and maybe create a generational bottom.
w/ institutions being more public in their interest w/ BTC I suspect more ranging for a long time ~20k-37k. Mean rev. indicators are printing a good bottom so far today, but not yet confirmed w/ BBWP not crossing over its MA. VZO indicator also printing green. I'd only consider BTC to be out of a bear market until it closes over ~38k on a daily candle, so if you want to be giga-safe I'd wait for there. Breaking out of 32k gives some confidence of an uptrend, but thats only if we continue going up from here. Have some self-control and try not to capitulate.
Fundamental market risk factors are noted here thanks to WifeyAlpha. Only would add that there are a lot of put options expiring this Fri./June 17th on SPY that could squeeze tradFi for part 2 of a bear market rally, so hedge your open shorts. That and monkeypox, which falls under the currency wars.
Trying out 5R trades instead of the safer 2R, I have two of them out JIC the #1 gets stopped out
Trades:
#1
Entry: 21.6k
SL: 18.3K
TP: 39k
#2
Entry: 17.5k
SL:15.2
TP:29k
Riskreward
RR > 20 , Risk < 1%based on previous analysis which is linked below, I'm sure about bearish market and losing bottom (26.7 k)
for catching an interesting opportunity, I suggest this long position ....
bermuda on 29K is a strong level to support BTC, in addition the yellow trend line make a tempting liquidity for big boys to fill their buy orders
I expect reversal pivot on purple level above, so 35k would be first terget
Risk:Reward Ratio. What is it?Risk to reward ratio. What is it? What does it mean and how do we use it?
Now, if you made it to the point where you're here on TradingView, there's a good chance that you have heard about Risk to Reward ratio. Today, I want to dive into what it really means and how to actually utilize it. I see so many beginners missing out on huge profits and opportunities because of their risk reward ratio and I want to share my knowledge of this tool and how to actually use it in the future.
Firstly, let's dive into what is the risk/reward ratio? The RR ratio is a tool that can accurately predict by expected returns based off of previous results. This tool measures how much reward you are estimated to gain based off of the dollar amount you risk. For example, if you have a risk to reward ratio of 1:3, it means for every $1 you risk, you will gain a return of $3 in the event of a positive trade. Using the same example in the FX market, let's say you're risking 10 pips on EURUSD, your take profit is at 30 pips. This means you gain 30 pips in the event of a win, lose 10 pips in the event of a loss, giving you a 1:3 risk/reward ratio.
This is a very powerful tool because compared with the win rate and in correlation, you can actually predict based off of your previous results, you're expected returns on investment. Being able to predict what you're expected returns are are great way of giving you milestone targets, but also when you're looking at getting funded with prop firms, you also know what you are actually able to achieve in what time frame.
Now, it goes without saying, the higher your risk to reward ratio, the less you need to win in order to maintain profitability. The opposite, the lower your risk reward ratio, the higher win rate is required to maintain profitability.
But this is where we get into where I find beginners struggle. A lot of people will base their strategies on their risk/reward ratios, which is understandable if you're building the strategy from scratch. If you're using a prebuilt strategy or something that doesn't really correlate with risk/reward ratio. Then it makes it obsolete and just confusing. Going back to my first point, risk to reward ratio is a tool that you can use to estimate future potential returns based off of previous results. Let's say you have 100 trades worth of data. You can accurately have a look at what is your risk to reward ratio is and compare that with your win rate. From there you can make a decision whether or not that is a profitable strategy. On top of that, you can then start to look to improve either your win rate and risk to reward ratio, knowing that that is an area that needs improvement.
When it comes to improving your risk to reward ratio, one thing that always grinds my gears with traders, is when they enter a trade, they'll set their stop loss and take profits based on their risk to reward ratio not based on the actual analytics of the trade. While I understand this and with some strategies, this can work. For most, they end up setting those take profits in areas that is just realistically is going to be really hard for the price to get to. What professionals do when trying to improve the risks of reward ratio is only take those setups where a good take profit is viable around that level of risk to reward.
For example, in this chart, we are looking at buying the USDCAD over the next couple of weeks. We like this setup. We've had our entry signal and we're going to place a stop loss below that recent low, which was created early last week. We are not happy with our risk to reward ratio. We think we're leaving too much profit on the table and want to increase our overall results. So I'm only taking trades that have close to a three to one risk to reward ratio. But as you can see by this chart that dotted lines are areas of resistance which we are going to have to break in order to achieve that level of profitability. There are 5 different zones we are going to have to get through in order for my take profit to be hit, it is fair to say the odds are not in my favor.
Now a beginner Trader will still enter this trade with the same take profit and the same stop loss and just hold on. The reason they'll do that is because they want the 1:3 risk reward ratio. They don't care where the profit target is. What matters is it is 3 times worth what they're risking. On the other hand, A professional trader will actually either let this trade go and not enter it, or look for another entry point later on on smaller timeframes to where you can fit that risk to reward ratio and you're not going to hit the high levels of resistance.
To sum up what my point is, risk to reward ratio is a very powerful tool to understand what you are capable of the trader and also where you can improve. It is not a valid take profit selection strategy. Yes, it can definitely help with guidelines on where to set your take profit, but it should not be the sole reason your take profit is set at a certain price just because it is X amount whatever you are risking. Have a look at what the chart is telling you and what your analysis is telling you. Then, only take the trades which coincide with the risk to reward ratio. You want to achieve.
I hope you enjoyed this insight and I hope it was beneficial to you. I recommend highly diving into your previous trading data. Have a look at your win rate. Have a look at your risk reward ratio and understand what your profitability expectation really is and base your future decisions off of that data. Have a fantastic trading we can I look forward to seeing your comments.
- Jordon
A little something to help others beginners market is in a gully new retail traders are coming to trade let me tell you something important even if you know technical analysis that is not enough
what you need is a proper risk management rules and get rid of all your psychological issues I suggest that if want to become a trader first thing you
do is work on your psychology only books will not help you in that you need a mentor who will guide you in developing a system and help you understand
different types of market and help you make no mistake in executing your system lots of people have system but they do not trust there system and
because of that they lose money always have learning mindset it will help you because market trends always change
Trading what am seeingA flat is complete as a countertrend move. Expecting the downtrend to resume or we could make another corrective structure. Hence two TP levels. Risk reward shown on both tp levels.
Trading Advice = Never risk more than 2% of your account on a trade. Means your stop loss should never be more than 2% of you account value.
How much leverage should I be using?Understanding how to trade forex requires detailed knowledge about economies, political situations, all the individual countries, global macroeconomics, the impact of volatility, it goes on and on. But the reality of the situation is this isn't what makes most new traders fail. What makes most traders fail isn't the lack of knowledge or understanding of what it is they're actually trading. It's the lack of knowledge and understanding on leverage.
As most of us would have heard, there is very obvious statistic out there that majority of retail traders fail. Now, most people will see this as a lack of competence and just purely not willing to put in the effort to be successful. But a lot of the time it is people not understanding the risk their undertaking and what it is they're actually doing with their money when they enter the market. It really highlights this when traders come to a firm like ours, and question leverage or they have so many questions about leverage that even though they've been trading for three to four years, they still don't fully understand the actual risks that are at hand when they are opening certain positions that they really can't afford to open.
Today I wanted to jump into leverage. Let's really dive into depth what it is, why we have it, how we can use it. Then, finally touch on what is the right amount of leverage for you as a trader. So you can be exponential in maximizing your profits, but also ensuring that you're not damaging yourself long term.
LEVERAGE RISK
Firstly, I think it's important for us to have a look into leverage. Leverage is the process in which an investor or trader borrows capital in order to invest or purchase something. Typically we borrow capital from a broker and we buy into positions with money that we didn't have in order to be able to gain more profit from those positions. Most traders are blindsided and constantly think the more money I have, the more profit I can make, which is true, but they fail to recognize that the more risk it carries.
Carrying higher leverage is an exponential increase in risk. Most brokers out there will probably offer you something like 50:1, 100:1 or even 500:1 leverage. This giving you a buying power of 50, 100 or even 500 times whatever the amount of money you have in your account. Which means a trader with just $100 in a brokerage account could open a position with $50,000 in the market. Now, while that may sound advertising, believe me, that's a trap and we're going to chat about that today.
HIGH LEVERAGE EXAMPLE
So let's dive into an example. Let's imagine we have a trader who has a $10,000 account. They decide to use 100:1 leverage, which now means with that $10,000 cash, they can trade up to $1,000,000 in the forex market. Let's assume that the trader opened a position with the full available capital which would relate to 10 lots, and they opened the position on a currency with the USD being the quote currency. That means that each PIP movement is equal to $100. So for a simple equation, if they were to enter a trade and that trade went against them by 50 pips, they would have lost 50% of their account because that 50 pips would have been equal to $5000. So in one wrong trade they lost 50% of their account.
So many people in this industry is so quick to look at what the realized gains could be, but they rather tend to ignore the actual risks that come with that. If you don't have sufficient evidence that your investment strategy is going to provide consistent and stable gains long term, do not look to trade with higher leverage, as you will be gambling and it is extremely risky.
LOW LEVERAGE EXAMPLE
Now let's use the same example, but in a lower leverage situation. The trader has $10,000 cash only this time he is trading on an account with 5:1 leverage, resulting in a buying power of $50,000. This means on a pair with the US dollar as the base currency that you can open a maximum size of 0.5 lots. Let's go ahead and take the exact same trade, only this time with a 0.5 lots, each pip is equal to $5. Should the investment or trade fall the same 50 pips this time the trader will only lose $250, which is a mere 2.5%. Same trade, different leverage, one lost 50% the other lost 2.5%.
It is a common trick out there that traders feel they require more leverage to really make money in the market. It's not true. Yes, it can help you get more profits from those smaller moves. Yes, it is really beneficial if you have a proven strategy. If you are still coming to grips with trading or you're fairly new and you haven't achieved consistency and profitability yet, focus on lower leverage. What it will actually do is make you focus on long term goals. Focus on the process this giving you more sustainability in the market and therefore more maturity.
CHOOSE THE RIGHT LEVERAGE
Choosing the right leverage is a very important step in Forex trading. You can be tapered in by fancy numbers and big brokers trying to get you in, Or, you can realistically dive into what it is you actually need and what's going to benefit you more in the future. There's no right answer to how much leverage you need each strategy in each individual require different things, but what I will do is share some tips and some knowledge on how to choose the right one that benefits you.
1. Always try and maintain the lowest leverage you possibly can for your strategy. If you manage to pull it right the way into where you can only just open the positions on the risk you have allowed yourself, and you can't open more than, lets say three positions, what you actually do is limit yourself to focus on only the good positions. You've prevented over trading from occurring and you can really focus on your risk management.
2. When you open positions or you talk about opening positions instead of going to people saying, "yes, I opened 0.35 lots." Use the actual dollar value when you open a 0.35 lot position. Instead, say "I opened a $35,000 position." Talking in that language that you have placed your bets with $100,000 or $1,000,000 will make you realize how much risk you're actually exposing yourself to and the capacity of what it is you are trading.
3. Limit your overall risk, at absolute Max, I risk 0.25%. This allows me to go into large drawdowns and it not be an issue. I can still manage it accordingly in it actually keeps me nice and calm and focused on the analysis rather than the running profit and loss.
The bottom line is selecting the right Forex leverage depends on the traders experienced risk tolerance and comfort when operating in the market. You want to ensure that it's not out there to harm you, but rather it's there to help. You do not want be trying to get really high leverage so you can make large profits, when you know realistically, there is no evidence to prove that you will make those high profits. Start small, gain consistency, gain exposure and gain experience, and then you can start looking to expand your equity and buying power.
How the higher time frames help you to avoid unnecessary losses Hello everyone:
Today I want to discuss the importance of higher time frame analysis.
Doesn't matter what type of trading strategy, method or style you use,
the higher time frame often will help us to strengthen our bias overall and give us a good perspective of the possible direction for the price to go.
In addition, it helps traders to avoid unnecessary losses and mediocre entries that will eat up your profits.
More often I hear traders will execute trades on the lower time frames, and not factor the overall higher time frame bias and perspective.
Although entering on the smaller time frame can potentially give you more Risk:Reward, it's often more risky and trades can easily reverse, then hit the stop loss.
This often creates stress, negativity, and revenge trading psychology for traders which ended up blowing accounts.
I want to give a few examples of higher time frame analysis, how they can help traders to avoid “traps” on the lower time frames, avoid unnecessary losses, and keep the emotion at bay to trade another day.
When having a bullish bias on the HTFs, its good risk management to not consider any short term, bearish sell setups.
These sell setups may form on the LTFs, but they can easily not continue to your desired target, and reverse up before you have time to react.
In addition, traders hate to see profit come and go.
So if a trader has a short position running in some profit, but decides to hold onto the trade, and once the position reverses, traders don't want to exit, and then end up holding a losing position to its SL.
Examples:
AUDUSD:
HTF: Overall bias and perspective in bullish
LTF: Many LTF bearish setups/development, but due to going against the HTF, they ended up with losses
NZDUSD:
HTF: Overall bias and perspective in bullish
LTF: Many LTF bearish setups/development, but due to going against the HTF, they ended up with losses
AUDCHF:
HTF: Overall bias and perspective in bullish
LTF: LTF bearish setups/development, but due to going against the HTF, ended up with loss
NZDCHF:
HTF: Overall bias and perspective in bullish
LTF: LTF bearish setups/development, but due to going against the HTF, ended up with loss
NZDCAD:
HTF: Overall bias and perspective in bullish
LTF: LTF bearish setups/development, but due to going against the HTF, ended up with loss
SILVER:
HTF: Overall bias and perspective in bullish
LTF: LTF bearish setups/development, but due to going against the HTF, ended up with loss
Risk/Reward Tutorial - The Holy GrailThe traders who learn to view and think about trade setups in terms of risk/reward are the ones who end up making consistent (albeit massive) amounts of money.
My personal strategy looks something like this:
Using the 4-minute chart as the earth rotates 1 degree every 4 minutes.
𓃭 0.50% stop-loss measurement
𓃭 1/2 profits at 1.30% level and move stop to break even.
𓃭 2/2 profits at 1.50% :: (or 1.70%)
𓃭 Wait to enter trade at the previous 2nd candle base break up/down and skip trades that are in consolidation where the direction is not 100% clear.
Keep in mind that my signals are so precise (indicating near exact future pivots) that I am able to use such a tight stop-loss, but this wont necessary work for the average trader. This video is merely meant to serve as an example of how to work out ratios for yourself.
Knowing when not to take a trade is just as important as when to take a trade. Don't enter a trade if you are not confident, as it will only damage your equanimity. Don't let greed or fear destroy a good thing. Those emotions + impatience and lack of self-discipline are obstacles that prevent 97% of novice traders from ever succeeding in maintaining a long-term professional career.
You should be operating as any casino or business would, do not gamble with your business.
At the same time, allow yourself to make endless mistakes with ease and grace, knowing that if you want to succeed baldy enough and you never give up, you will find a way to realize your dreams!
Mistakes are a right of passages. Excruciating lows and euphoric highs are what everyone experiences on the road to success.
The 97% will give up along the way or never even attempt to begin with.
Do you have a Reward to Risk ratioIn the world of trading, do you know what a Rw/Rs (Reward to Risk) ratio is? if you dont this article will be beyond your understanding. I suggest you read up on Reward to Risk ratio & come back to read this. If you do know what a Rw/Rs ratio & assume most of you do, we can continue our merry trade discussion ;D
My Rw/Rs ratio for Swing trades that i take on a Weekly (W) chart is factor of 4 to 6, am happy to see more. with my Day trading strategy; am a little more aggressive & will settle for a Rw/Rs factor of 3-4 to take on a day trade.
Once a while, a trade opportunity arises that offer such a large room for Reward to run, as in this (W) chart of WMT WalMart Corp. if the trades goes my way, look at this room for profit to run, with no resistance of supplyzone in sight this can go up.....sweet mama, she got my attention.
First; (Disclaimer) I will never take a trade solely based on a sweet Rw/Rs the odds are not in my favour. Back to the trade. So i have a sweet Rw/Rs ratio what else is going on? Price is crashing into a DZ from the (M) & this DZ happens to be the HL of the month (M) uptrend. This is good, The week (W) price chart is into the long-term chart DZ (Demand zone). This qualifies only if the (M) is still in a technically defined in uptrend. This is a Classic trade set-up I love.
Like a Snipper I set my LNG (long) entry at 117 level slightly above the lower band of the DZ, my entry was so low that my risk was less than a dollar before my STP triggers. I took the Long position, the market rallied & so did WMT, & I closed 1/2 my position once price reached 128, I took a good 10 Rw (Reward) pressure if off. already the trade made its money. & I let the 1/2 of the position run. Lets see how it goes when the market is open on Monday. This was a swing trade using the (W) chart to identify the setup. Long-term would be the (M) chart & I used the (D) daily chart to enter & set my STP.
Risk management in tradingWhen trading on the stock exchange, you need to know at least the basics of risk management, but it is better to understand it professionally, because the main attribute of any transactions made in the financial markets is risk. Without competent, professional management, without risk management, it is impossible to stay in such markets for a long time. To be a successful trader, you must learn to assess risks, balance and reduce them. Only in this case, the capital will not only be saved, but also increased.
Fundamentals of risk management
To properly manage capital, you need to know about the following principles:
1. You should not invest even in the most tempting project more than half of the total capital.
Among financial experts, this principle is also called "don't put your eggs in one basket" or "diversification." That is, in order to successfully continue your activities in the financial market, it is best not to invest all your funds in only one undertaking. More than half of the money must be left for other projects and for the continuation of their work
2. Invest in one position no more than 10-15% of the total amount of funds you have.
Another advice from the category of diversification, which insures against ruin. He warns that one cannot invest a lot of one's funds at once, it is better to distribute them correctly and limit one's risks, and make the profit more stable.
3. The rate of risk in the transaction must not exceed 5% of the total amount of funds you have.
If you follow this principle, then the loss ratio of any trader will be less than 5% of the total capital. Depending on which market and which strategy is used to trade, the percentage of risk can be reduced to 1%.
4. There must be a balance between diversification and concentration.
While diversification is one of the most reliable risk management techniques for reducing risk, even its application must be measured. It is necessary to balance the diversification and concentration of funds. There is no need to turn your portfolio into a "stuffing" of investment instruments, you will only need to open positions in 5-7 groups of instruments. Before compiling a portfolio, it is necessary to determine the correlation between trading instruments. It may be zero, but it is preferred that it be negative. In this case, the future fall of one group of instruments will be compensated by the growth of other groups.
5. Place stop orders.
In order to avoid large losses if the price change is not in your favor, it is best to take care in advance and set Stop Loss. It makes the price fixed, which will allow the trader to close the position at this price. The way the Stop Loss will be set is influenced by market analysis, as well as the personal readiness and ability of the trader to make dangerous, risky, but profitable transactions.
When placing a Stop Loss, you need to correctly assess not only the totality of technical factors, but also the characteristics of personal qualities, in particular, your ability to take risks.
6. Determine the rate of return.
For any operation in the market, it is necessary to determine what the ratio of profit and loss will be. Such a forecast is necessary so that, in the event of undesirable phenomena on the market, the risks are balanced.
In the financial world, a good ratio is 3:1.
The simplest example: if a trader risks $100, then his profit from the transaction must be at least $300 (300:100 is the same as 3:1). If for some reason such a ratio cannot be achieved, then it is better to refuse the deal.
EURJPY SELL/SHORT TRADE IDEAEURJPY has been downtrending. Still within 4H range, liquidity left behind to get swept.
Entry is based on 4H institutional move, mitigation out of last buy position that manipulated price, fibonacci snipe zone 78.5-88.6% and liquidity also known as retail traders "double tops".
Two positions in case the higher snipe isn't activated. Risk : Reward is worth the trade!
Gold H4 - Long Risk Signal Gold H4
Played out exactly as expected after posting yesterdays analysis, would have preferred to see a larger breakout, however, with the DXY break and bullish gold sentiment, I feel this is what we could see today.
Eventual targets of $1900/oz. One step at a time, one high at a time...
Risk Management ‼️‼ Survival rules in trading for newbies, if you respect those rules i can make a bet you wound't lose your account as the majority of traders are.
‼ The key word there is IF YOU RESPECT
✅ 1. Always trade with a stop loss
✅ 2. Have a pre-determined risk on each trade no more then 1%
✅ 3. Don't move your stop loss if the price is not going in your favour
✅ 4. Don't add to losing positions, only viceversa. Add to your winning positions
✅ 5. You have to increase your risk only if you are in profit on your account, decrease your risk when you are losing and increase it when you are winning.
Hope that was usefull for your trading plan.
Trading the bleeding markets with a winning mindset ;)There's a great struggle going from profit to loss.
A burst of a bubble, which in it's essence is hope.
But this is false.
The odds are, that your profits were on paper, so how does a loss on paper differ from a profit on paper?
Truth is - It doesn't.
But what it does do is play with your emotion.
Our mind has a tendency of expecting the worst once things start rolling in that direction.
Take a step back and think about what life threw at you so many times in the past, think about the times you thought things are going to end up the worst but actually didn't.
It could be you planned a nice day outside with your partner in the park but it started to rain.
But instead of crying about the day wasted and how this is just awful, you ended up cooking together a nice lunch and drinking wine while finding a new great TV show to watch, ending up being one of the best days in a while.
Not let's roll back to trading.
And let's cut out negative thinking completely just for 3 minutes and look only at the positive.
Positive points -
1) Cheap instruments all around to invest in
2) Great practice of mental skills while trading, which truly is the most influential aspect of mastering trading
3) It reminds you the very basics of trading that we lose track of once markets start flying up - Buy low, sell high.
4) Opportunity, opportunity, opportunity - Every time you would have bought into the stock market, over a few year period you would make great returns, same thing goes even for people who bought Bitcoin after the decline of 2018 and pretty much any other pop financial instrument.
5) You're a day trader? Great! Volatility is amazing if you have a strategy which is disciplined and consistent as well as based on risk management.
See how bright the light shines at this very moment?
Keep it. Be positive. Be hopeful. Be practical.
The negative quotes such as -
I can lose everything!
It's never going to rally back!
This is taking too long!
I don't have patience for this!
This is turning out to be so not fun!
I didn't expect to hold this trade this long!
How will any of this benefit you in any way? Where's the logic? Where's the gain? Where's the analysis? Where's the market view? Where's the money management?
Only look at what is relevant to your success. Block the negative, ignore it completely as much as you can and eventually always.
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ow to Apply Trailing Stop | PRICE ACTION TRADING 📚
Hey traders,
In this post, I will share with you my strategy to apply a trailing stop.
Please, note that I am applying a trailing stop only in trend-following trades and only when a trade is opened on a key level. I trade price action patterns, so the following technique will be appropriate primarily for price action traders. Moreover, my entries are strictly on a retest.
1️⃣
Spotting a price action pattern I am always waiting for its neckline breakout. (if we talk about different channels, then by a neckline we mean its trend line)
Once I see a candle close below/above the neckline, I set my sell/buy limit order on a retest.
Stop loss will strictly lie below the lows of the pattern if we buy and above the highs of the pattern if we sell.
2️⃣
Once we are in a trade, you should measure the pattern's range (distance from its high to its low based on wicks) and then project that range from the entry to the direction of the trade.
In the picture, the pattern range and its projection are the underlined blue areas.
Once the price reaches the projection of the pattern's range, you should move your stop loss to entry and make your position risk-free.
Move stop to breakeven in traders' slang.
3️⃣
Then you should let the market go.
📈If you are holding a long position you should let the market retrace and set a higher low and then a new higher high or AT LEAST an equal high. Once these conditions are met you can trail your stop and set it below the last higher low.
📉If you are holding a short position you should let the market retrace and set a lower high and then a new lower low or AT LEAST an equal low. Once these conditions are met you can trail your stop and set it above the last lower high.
Catching a trending market you should trail your stop based on new higher lows / lower highs that the price sets. Occasionally you will catch big winners.
How do you apply a trailing stop?
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
SHORT IDEA ON BTC CME FUTURE RISK REWARD 1:2Possible bounce to gap on Bitcoin CME chart after big sell off. Fibonacci levels support my idea too.
OPEN at GAP level
STOP LOSS when broke resistence trendline
TARGET PRICE around the previously Lowest price.
1:2 Risk/Reward.
My opinion is that price may be drop to lowest level according to Fibonacci to cca 17000 $ when broke down cca 25 500 $
sell at rise.. what next..?a clear bear dominant market we are in. us market is in deep red. what to expect from nifty50 tomorrow. I just worried about a sideways market tomorrow. have to maintain our RRR in a much more disciplined way. all of the above pure price action levels are here. will wait again for bearish signals.
One Way to Hedge Inflation: REITsOne way to hedge a high inflation rate is to invest in REITs. Dividends can help offset some of your higher costs. This is touted all over at this time, but don't throw darts at random REITs. And to be honest, chances are your small fund manager could probably use your guidance if you're well-educated on the markets.
The same due diligence is required for any investment even if you are only investing for the dividends. The share price doesn't matter as much as the company's Income, but good Income for high dividends comes from a strongly managed company, as always. This is important because you'll hold the position for a while.
Start with the technical analysis to pick the REITs you'll research further. We do this at TechniTrader by starting with our scans, which look for improvement in the trend and also our large-lot indicator set.
Example: NVST came up on TechniTrader scans today because it's attempting a bottom at a previous buy zone which is at the lows of a long-term trading range and it has improving indicators, technical and fundamental. All good there to start more fundamental analysis, but solid risk analysis requires confirmation of that bottom fully developing before taking action.
Next, we check the TechniTrader fundamentals, which focus on how strong the institutional holdings AND holders are, the most important financial metrics and more.
If all is good there, then we put the stock on a watchlist to wait for the chart patterns to set up for the best entry and risk to profit profile.
For all investing and trading, a step-by-step plan for confirming when execution takes place once you've done the work to pick the best opportunities is the difference between the retail crowd and the professionals who make a living in the markets.
Happy TechniTrading!
Please Like and Follow if you're going, "Right? Why didn't I think of that?!" There's more where that came from at my website.
Gold H4 - Short Signal UPDATEGold H4
Selling off nicely here, a little consolidation, but seemingly breaking that short as we speak. As mentioned, the next target we have for this pair would be $1827.
We have been speaking about commodities in our members chat, and how we notice the last few weeks risk headlines hasn't really correlation with commodities trading directions.
AMD: Any chance of reversing? Let's see.Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how AMD is doing today!
First, in the 1h chart, we see a strong bear trend, and there’s nothing indicating it’ll reverse. As long as we keep seeing lower highs/lows, we can’t say it is a buy.
However, AMD has a few key points that if broken, it could trigger a reversal. First, we have the 21 ema, working as a resistance for the price. Second, we have the purple trend line, as AMD has been trading below it for nearly a month now. Last, we have the previous resistance at $ 91.35. Only if AMD breaks all these resistances we might say the trend will reverse in the mid-term.
If AMD is about to react, the timing couldn’t be better: We just hit the support from July 2021 today (blue line). We see a bullish candlestick today, which is great, and since we are just at this support, the Risk/Reward ratio favors long trades.
We are far from the 21 ema, and any reaction in the 1h chart could make it retest the ema again. If we see more confirmation signs in the daily chart, we could say AMD will fill the last gaps, and the $ 118.60 would be our target.
The only problem is we have earnings in 6 days. This will increase the volatility, and could help a bullish thesis, sure, but if it backfires, the next support level is at $ 72. For now, I am neutral on AMD, and I see many other stocks that look much more interesting, but if this works out, it could be a great opportunity to trade.
Now is the time to watch it closely. I’ll keep you guys updated on this, so remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!