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Stacks (STXUSD): Balanced Strategy for a Solid UpsideFor Stacks (STXUSD), we see a Fair-Value Gap (FVG) on the weekly chart, along with similar gaps on the three-day and daily charts, plus a demand zone below. Our plan is to use these weekly FVGs and the demand zone for Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) entry points if the price drops to those levels. We see $1.31 as the maximum downside. On the upside, we aim to reclaim the recent high, with resistance around the three-day gap at $2.64. We're pretty confident that with a well-placed stop-loss, this setup offers a solid chance to build a long swing position. This strategy provides a balanced risk-reward scenario, allowing us to take advantage of potential upward movements while effectively managing the risks. Looking at the annual VWAP for STX, it's crucial because this year's VAL (Volume-Weighted Average Price Low) could act as support, which aligns with our planned entry in the orange zone. This point could be pivotal for holding and supporting STX's price action. On the upside, the annual VAH (Volume-Weighted Average Price High) will serve as resistance. If we flip this level, it could then become support, opening up significant upward potential. While the timing is uncertain, we're ready to see how the price action unfolds, barring any unexpected news. On the quarterly chart, we see a clear picture. Our worst-case scenario is the 2024 Q1 VHL (Volume-Weighted Average Price Low) at $1.56, which is our downside limit. We expect this level to serve as resistance, and currently, we're struggling to surpass it. However, we're focusing on the 2024 Q1 VAL as our critical support, marking it as our worst-case scenario. Overall, breaking through the 2024 Q1 VHL is challenging, but our strategy considers this level, ensuring we're prepared for potential downside movements while aiming for upward targets. Lastly, the monthly chart for STX is more complex. We have the February VAL and January VAH below us, which have acted as support multiple times. If we lose these support levels, they might turn into resistance, possibly causing a reversal before or at the January VWAP. Our first resistance on the way up will be the April VAL of $2.42. There are several resistances to navigate, making it crucial to move carefully. Despite this, we expect a trend reversal soon, but the key question is whether the market will shake out a few more participants before turning upwards.
Long
by freeguy_by_wmc
🔥 ADA: Don't Miss The Entry Of A LifetimeI've made several analyses on ADA before where I talked about this parallel channel and argued that there's a possibility of ADA going for the top of the channel in the coming bull-cycle. It's not a likely outcome, but with a R/R ratio of 116 it's worth the risk. This could be your best ADA entry for the rest of your life. The best entry would be from the support of the channel, maybe a bit lower on a wick of some sort. Keep an eye on this trade!
Long
by FieryTrading
12
🔥 Bitcoin: Don't Miss This Massive Trade!In this analysis I want to elaborate further on my previous analysis where I talked about the daily RSI of BTC almost being oversold, which is historically a great time to buy during bullish long-term trends. As seen on the chart, I'm looking at both the RSI and the diagonal purple trendline. Ideally, the daily RSI will be lower than 30 and BTC will be trading closely around the trendline. This will activate the reversal trade. In my eyes, it's possible that said reversal will be the start of a new bullish trend for BTC, which can potentially take us all the way to 100k. Small risk, huge reward. What do you think?
Long
by FieryTrading
21
RISK MANAGEMENT the most important setting?Trading without a structured risk management strategy turns the market into a game of chance—a gamble with unfavorable odds in the long run. Even if you possess the skill to predict more than half of the market's movements accurately, without robust risk management, profitability remains elusive. Why? Because no trading system can guarantee a 100% success rate. Moreover, the human element cannot be disregarded. Over your trading career, maintaining robotic discipline, free from emotional or impulsive decisions, is challenging. Risk is inherently linked to trading—it represents the potential for financial loss. Continually opening positions without considering risk is a perilous path. If you're inclined to take substantial risks, perhaps the casino is a more fitting arena. In trading, excessive risk doesn't correlate with greater profits. This misconception often leads beginners to risk excessively for minimal gains, jeopardizing their entire account. While eliminating all risk is impossible, the goal is to mitigate it. Implementing sound risk management practices doesn't guarantee profits but significantly reduces potential losses. Mastering risk control is pivotal to achieving profitability in trading. A risk management system is a structured framework designed to safeguard trading capital by implementing specific rules. These rules aim to mitigate potential losses resulting from analytical errors or emotional trading decisions. While market predictions can be flawed, the margin for error in risk management should be minimal. Key Principles of Risk Management: 1. **Implement a Stop Loss:** - While this might seem elementary, it's often overlooked. - Many traders, especially when emotions run high, are tempted to remove or adjust their stop loss when the market moves unfavorably. - Common excuses include anticipating a market reversal or avoiding a "wasted" loss. - However, this deviation from the original plan often leads to larger losses. - Remember, adjusting or removing a stop loss is an acknowledgment that your initial trade idea might be flawed. If you remove it once, the likelihood of reinstating it when needed diminishes, clouded by emotional biases. - Stick to your predetermined stop loss and accept losses as part of the trading process, void of emotional influence. 2. **Set Stop Loss Based on Analysis:** - Never initiate a trade without a predetermined stop loss level. - Placing a stop loss arbitrarily increases the risk of activation. - Each trade should be based on a specific setup, and each setup should define its stop loss zone. If there's no clear setup, refrain from trading. 3. **Adopt Moderate Risk Per Trade:** - For novice traders, a recommended risk per trade is around 1% of the trading capital. - This means that if your stop loss is hit, the loss should be limited to 1% of your total account balance. - Note: A 1% risk doesn't translate to opening a trade for 1% of your account balance. Position sizing should be determined individually for each trade based on the stop loss level and total trading capital. By adhering to these risk management principles, traders can build a solid foundation for long-term success in the markets, safeguarding their capital while allowing for growth opportunities. In the scenario of a losing streak—let's say five consecutive losses—with a conservative risk of 1% per trade, the cumulative loss would amount to slightly less than 5% of your trading capital. (The calculation of 1% is based on the remaining balance after each loss.) However, if your risk per trade is set at 10%, enduring five consecutive losses would result in losing nearly half of your trading capital. Recovering from such losses, especially with a high-risk approach, presents a significant challenge. The table below illustrates this challenge: if you lose 5% of your capital (approximately five losing trades), you would need to generate a mere 5.3% profit to break even—equivalent to just one or two successful trades. However, if you overextend your risk and suffer, for instance, a 50% loss, you would need to double your remaining capital to restore your original deposit. 4. Utilize a Fixed Percentage of Risk, Not a Fixed Amount for Position Sizing Position sizing should be dynamic, tailored to both your predetermined risk percentage and the distance to your stop-loss level. This approach ensures that each trade is individually assessed and sized according to its unique risk profile. In the following section, we will delve into the methodology for calculating position size for each trade. 5. Maintain Consistent Risk Across All Positions While different trading styles like scalping, intraday, and swing trading may warrant varying risk levels, it's crucial to cap your risk at a reasonable threshold. A general guideline is to not exceed a 5% risk per trade. For those in the early stages of trading or during periods of uncertainty, a risk of 1% or less is advisable. The table below offers an illustrative example of the outcomes achievable by adhering to risk percentages tailored to individual trades. Regardless of your confidence level in the potential profitability of a trade, maintaining consistent risk per trade is paramount. 6. Avoid Duplicating Trades Based on the Same Setup Opening identical trades based on a single setup doubles your exposure to risk. This principle is especially pertinent when dealing with correlated assets. If you identify a favorable combination of factors across multiple trading pairs, opt to execute the trade on the pair where the setup is perceived to have a higher probability of success. 7. Aim for a Risk-to-Reward Ratio of at Least 1:3 The Risk-to-Reward (RR) ratio measures the potential profit of a trade relative to its inherent risk. A RR ratio of 1:3 signifies that for every 1% risked through a stop-loss activation, a trader stands to gain 3% of their deposit upon a successful trade. With a 1:3 RR ratio, a trader doesn't need to be correct on every trade. Achieving profitability in just one out of every three trades can result in a net positive outcome. While RR ratios of 1:1 or 1:2 can also be profitable, they typically require a higher win rate to maintain profitability. For instance, if you're willing to risk 1% to gain 1%, you'd need at least 6 out of 10 trades to be profitable to yield a positive return. It's worth noting that a high RR ratio doesn't guarantee profitability. It's possible to have trades with a 1:6 or greater RR ratio and still incur losses if the win rate is insufficient.
Education
by truepersonal
1
Buy Low, Sell High: Meta and Nvidia's Opportunity NowBuying NASDAQ:META and NASDAQ:NVDA : Balancing Risk and Reward Despite the recent market downturn, the long uptrend and strength of Meta and Nvidia remain intact. While short-term market fluctuations may present challenges, the long-term growth potential of Meta and Nvidia outweighs the current market volatility. Risk-Reward Profile: While investing in any stock carries inherent risks, the risk-reward profile for Meta and Nvidia appears favorable at current levels. Despite short-term losses, utilizing volatility to compute a close stop-loss level can effectively manage risk in this negative environment while leaving ample room for potential gains. This strategy, frequently employed by seasoned traders, maximizes opportunities in turbulent markets. Stop level: 480 Weekend Factor: However, it is important to keep in mind the negative exposure to war-related news associated with any long trade carried before the weekend. There's no guarantee that Monday's open will align with or exceed the stop level, potentially resulting in larger losses than anticipated. Therefore, investors should carefully assess their risk tolerance and adjust their positions accordingly. *************************** The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Investing in stocks carries risks, and individuals should conduct their own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions
NASDAQ:METALong
by CF_444
Buying the Opportunity: NVDA BTDDespite the recent market downturn, the long uptrend and strength of Nvidia and Meta remain intact. While short-term market fluctuations may present challenges, the long-term growth potential of Meta and Nvidia outweighs the current market volatility. Risk-Reward Profile: While investing in any stock carries inherent risks, the risk-reward profile for Meta and Nvidia appears favorable at current levels. Despite short-term losses, utilizing volatility to compute a close stop-loss level can effectively manage risk in this negative environment while leaving ample room for potential gains. This strategy, frequently employed by seasoned traders, maximizes opportunities in turbulent markets. Stop level: 810 Weekend Factor: However, it is important to keep in mind the negative exposure to war-related news associated with any long trade carried before the weekend. There's no guarantee that Monday's open will align with or exceed the stop level, potentially resulting in larger losses than anticipated. Therefore, investors should carefully assess their risk tolerance and adjust their positions accordingly. *************************** The information provided is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Investing in stocks carries risks, and individuals should conduct their own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by CF_444
A Trading Plan MUST Include A Sound Risk Management StrategyOne of the biggest mistakes a trader can make is to neglect the aspect of risk management. In this video, I divulge the most pivotal lesson I’ve gleaned from my experience in trading. During the initial years of my trading journey, I disregarded the importance of risk management, which proved to be detrimental in a significant way. The watershed moment of my trading career came after incurring substantial financial losses. This experience was a stark revelation of the imperative nature of a robust risk management strategy for trading success. It was an excruciatingly costly lesson. Should you have bypassed dedicating time to understand risk management, you might be on the brink of a potential calamity. By watching this video, I hope you can sidestep the blunder I once made in the nascent stage of my trading endeavors.
Education
by tradingwithanthony
commodities high conviction entry in FebLooking back, commodities had a high conviction in february based on a longterm trend. Combining macd and BB break out. Markets have either risk-on sentiment or defensive. During risk-on phase people want to put money to work, there is too much money. During risk-off or defensive, people want money and safety. Assets become too expensive. Bitcoin rallies during risk-on phases. Oil or gold can be either risk-on and risk-off . Markets are fascinating. Faang can be a risk-on and risk-off, till everything becomes too expensive to have. Markets leave clues. and they move on cycles. It makes sense why commodities are risk-off . Small caps usually are risk-on (when economy does well, there are no global conflicts; ie the future is BRIGHT). More concerns move the weight to risk-off , ie markets are a weighing machine longterm. People tend to be stuck in one mood or another, and it's tough to adjust? markets can change gears quickly.
AMEX:DJP
by citsvar
AGIX: Why trading the long option is a better strategySingularityNET price action (AGIX) is generating an interesting technical pattern. A potential double-top has formed which strengthens strong bearish divergence on the daily chart. However, a recent bit of strengthening suggests a bullish continuation triangle is in the make at the same time. I'm not trading this pattern, but if I were, I'd choose to go long. If I'm right then my entry point should not be threatened by a little reversal on an intraday timeframe. If I'm wrong, then I'd expect a confirmation move to touch the bottom of the triangle, allowing me to get out close to my entry point for a relatively small loss. It's all about risk-reward. A long target: US$2.33 - that's a 100% gain IF... oh that bloody IF... :)
ALong
by Fractaleer
3
STOP LOSS more important than you think!Set STOP-LOSS and stop your loss! The Vital Role of Stop-Loss in Forex and Crypto Trading In the fast-paced realms of forex and cryptocurrency trading, where market volatility is the norm, the integration of a stop-loss strategy holds paramount importance. A stop-loss order acts as a critical risk management tool, shielding traders from excessive losses and preventing impulsive decision-making in turbulent market conditions. However, its significance goes beyond risk mitigation; stop-loss orders also play a pivotal role in guiding traders towards selecting optimal entry points. Let's delve into why incorporating stop-loss orders into your trading approach is essential for achieving long-term success. Fostering Discipline and Psychological Resilience One of the primary rationales for the necessity of stop-loss lies in its capacity to nurture discipline and psychological resilience among traders. By establishing predetermined exit points, traders not only manage risk effectively but also cultivate a disciplined mindset crucial for navigating the complexities of financial markets. Adhering to stop-loss levels compels traders to conduct thorough analyses of entry points, thereby refining their decision-making processes. This disciplined approach not only mitigates the influence of emotional trading but also fosters rationality and consistency, pivotal attributes for sustainable trading success. Empowering Effective Risk Management Practices Effective risk management forms the bedrock of successful trading endeavors. Without the implementation of stop-loss mechanisms, traders expose themselves to the peril of unchecked losses, which could potentially erode their entire trading capital. Stop-loss orders serve as a bulwark against such scenarios, capping losses at predetermined levels. By calculating appropriate position sizes relative to stop-loss distances, traders ensure that each trade aligns with their risk tolerance and overarching trading strategy. Moreover, the process of setting stop-loss levels inherently prompts traders to meticulously assess entry points, reinforcing the importance of selecting optimal trade setups. Optimizing Risk-Reward Dynamics An often-overlooked aspect by novice traders is the critical importance of maintaining favorable risk-to-reward ratios. Trading without stop-loss not only compromises risk management but also distorts the risk-reward dynamics of each trade. Well-placed stop-loss orders enable traders to define risk upfront, enabling them to seek out trades with favorable risk-reward profiles. By aligning potential losses with anticipated gains, traders can pursue asymmetric returns, where profit potential outweighs risk undertaken. This strategic alignment not only enhances profitability but also instills confidence in traders, empowering them to execute trades with conviction. Conclusion In conclusion, the integration of stop-loss orders into your forex and crypto trading endeavors is indispensable for cultivating discipline, managing risk effectively, and optimizing profitability. Beyond serving as a risk management tool, stop-loss orders nurture psychological resilience, refine decision-making processes, and uphold the principles of disciplined trading. Moreover, stop-loss implementation inherently encourages traders to scrutinize entry points meticulously, reinforcing the importance of selecting optimal trade setups. Therefore, traders must recognize the pivotal role of stop-loss in safeguarding capital and fostering long-term success in the dynamic world of financial markets.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by traderstube
Defining Target for Risk Reward: Maybe you shouldn't?The trade plan is broken up into parts. We have an objective and consistent entry, stop, and exit plan. Here I will be talking about the exit plan and setting targets that will give you a particular risk/reward ratio. There are no absolutes when it comes to what risk/reward you should be aiming for, a lot has to do with how you handle risk and loss and your overall understanding of markets. Defining the stop (risk) is relatively easy compared to defining the target (reward). Mostly you need a clean set of statistics on an objective method. This will give you an average distance that the swing will run in relation to your method. The reward part of the equation is a function of how far your stop is to your entry. There is no one-size-fits-all when it comes to trading. For many, it may be best not to set a target, but instead use something simple and objective like a moving average to exit the trade. This way, you get what the market gives you while incorporating consistency and objectivity into your exit plan. Keep it simple, objective, and consistent, and learn as you go. In the video, I make something up on the spot that may give you some ideas. I use a 20ema as a profit stop only after price has made a new high. It's simple, principle-based, and it's objective. No matter what your method, knowing where you are in the swing cycle will help in defining entry, stop, and target, and this will directly influence the risk/reward ratio. Shane
AMEX:IWMEducation
by ShaneBlankenship
2
Setups, Planning and RISK: How to MANAGE your RISK vs REWARD📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈 For today's post, we're diving into the concept " Risk-Reward Ratio " We'll take a look at practical examples and including other relevant scenarios of managing your risk. What is considered a good risk to reward ratio and where can you see it ? This applies to all markets, and during these volatile times it is an excellent idea to take a good look at your strategy and refine your risk management. Let's jump right in ! You've all noticed the really helpful tool " long setup " or " short setup " on the left-hand column. This clearly identifies the area of profit (in green), the area for a stop-loss (in red) and your entry (the borderline). It also shows the percentage of your increases or decreases at the top and bottom. It looks like this : 💭Something to remember; It is entirely up to you where you decided to take profit and where you decide to put your stop loss. The IDEAL anticipated targets are given, but the price may not necessarily reach these points. You have that entire zone to choose from and you can even have two or three take profits points in a position. Now, what is the Risk Reward Ratio expressed in the center as a number.number ? The risk to reward ration is exactly as the word says : The amount you risk for the amount you could potentially gain. NOTE that your risk is indefinite , but your gains are not guaranteed . The risk/reward ratio measures the difference between the entry point to a stop-loss and a sell or take-profit point. Comparing these two provides the ratio of profit to loss, or reward to risk. For example, if you're a gambler and you've played roulette, you know that the only way to win 10 chips is to risk 5 chips. Your risk here is expressed as 5:10 or 5.10 .You can spread these 5 chips out any way you like, but the goal of the risk is for a reward that is bigger than your initial investment. However, you could also lose your 5 and this will mean that you need to risk double as much in your next play to make up for your loss. Trading is no different, (except there is method to the madness other than sheer luck...) Most market strategists and speculators agree that the ideal risk/reward ratio for their investments should not be less than 1:3 , or three units of expected return for every one unit of additional risk. Take a look at this example: Here, you're risking the same amount that you could potentially gain. The Risk Reward ratio is 1, assuming you follow the exact prices for entry, TP and SL. Can you see why this is not an ideal setup? If your risk/reward ratio is 1, it means you might as well not participate in the trade since your reward is the same as your risk. This is not an ideal trade setup. An ideal trade setup is a scenario where you can AT LEAST win 3x as much as what you are risking. For example: Note that here, my ratio is now the ideal 2.59 (rounded off to 2.6 and then simplified it becomes 1:3). If you're wondering how I got to 1:3, I just divided 2.6 by 2, giving me 1 and 3. Another way to express this visually: In the first chart example I have a really large increase for the long position and you can't easily simplify 7.21 so; here's a visual to break down what that looks like: If you are setting up your own trade, you can decide at what point you feel comfortable to set your stop loss. For example, you may feel that if the price drops by more than 10%, that's where you'll exit and try another trade. Or, you could decide that you'll take the odds and set your stop loss so that it only triggers if the price drops by 15%. The latter will naturally mean you are trading at higher risk because your risk of losing is much more. Seasoned analysts agree that you shouldn't have a value smaller than 5% for your stop loss, because this type of price action occurs often during a day. For crypto, I would say 10% because we all know that crypto markets are much more volatile than stock markets and even more so than commodity markets like Gold and Silver, which are the most stable. Remember that your Risk/Reward ratio forms an important part of your trading strategy , which is only one of the steps in your risk management program. Dollar cost averaging is another helpfull way to further manage your risk. There are many more things to consider when thinking about risk management, but we'll dive into those in another post. A little bit more in-depth explanation on Dollar-Cost-Averaging here: And Finally, the last tool I'll give away today is an absolute MUST for all traders . Here's how to successfully set-up your own portfolio ratios: If you found this content helpful, please remember to hit like and subscribe and never miss a moment in the markets. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates📢 👍Hit like & Follow 👍 CryptoCheck
Education
by CryptoCheck-
Mastering Risk Management: Guide from TOP investorWelcome to the comprehensive guide on mastering risk management in cryptocurrency trading. In this detailed tutorial, we'll walk you through the essential principles of calculating stop losses, determining risk percentage per trade, and strategically placing stops for optimal risk mitigation. Whether you're a novice or an experienced trader, understanding and implementing effective risk management is paramount for sustained success in the volatile crypto market. Opening a Position on TradingView Brief overview of TradingView and accessing the "projection" section for long positions. A step-by-step guide on how to initiate a long position using TradingView. The 5 Fundamental Principles: Introduction to the five key principles of effective risk management. 1: Trend Following 2: Not Gambling but Trading 3: Entry after retest 4: Stick to your strategy 5: Don't overtrade Calculating Stop Losses 2.2 Risk Percentage Per Trade: Explanation of the concept of risk percentage per trade (e.g., 0.5% of the trading capital). Position sizing is the process of allocating a specific percentage of your crypto assets for trading, with the goal of managing risk effectively. To calculate your position size: Determine Your Risk Per Trade: Decide the percentage of your total account value you're comfortable risking on a trade. Typically advised to risk 1–3% of your trading balance per trade. For example, with a $5,000 balance and a 2% risk, you'd only lose $100 per trade. Set Your Stop-Loss: Determine your stop-loss level, the point at which you exit a trade if it moves against you. The stop-loss helps control losses and is crucial for risk management. Consider Position Size: Use your risk percentage and stop-loss to calculate the position size. Position size varies based on the distance of the stop loss; it's smaller for wider stops and larger for tighter stops. Proper position sizing ensures consistent risk, regardless of the trade amount. By following these steps, you can strategically size your positions, balancing risk and potential rewards in your crypto trading endeavors. Strategic Placement of Stop Losses Hiding Behind Local Lows: The rationale behind placing stop losses just below local lows for effective risk containment.Beneath Manipulation Zones: Strategic placement of stop losses under zones susceptible to manipulation. The importance of avoiding regions where price is unlikely to return if manipulation has occurred. Practical Examples The Anatomy of a Good Stop Loss: Visual representation of a well-placed stop loss using real-life chart examples. 4.2 Pitfalls of Poorly Placed Stop Losses: Analysis of common mistakes in stop loss placement and their consequences. Conclusion: Empowering Your Trading Journey As we conclude this in-depth guide, remember that effective risk management is the cornerstone of successful trading. From understanding the basics of stop losses to strategically placing them based on market dynamics, each step contributes to minimizing potential losses and maximizing gains. Implement these principles in your trading strategy, adapt them to your risk tolerance, and embark on a journey of informed and calculated trading decisions. 💡 Mastering Risk | 📊 Setting Stop Losses | ⚖️ Calculating Risk Percentage | 🎯 Strategic Placement | 📈 Empowering Your Trades 💬 Engage in the discussion: Share your experiences with risk management, ask questions, and join a community committed to fostering intelligent and secure trading practices. 🌐✨
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
🔥 WorldCoin [WLD] Perfect Bounce Area: Huge Risk-Reward!In this analysis I'm going to make the assumption that WLD is trading in a parallel channel in order to construct a trade with a very high risk-reward. Remains to be seen whether WLD is actually going to trade like this, but the trade allows us to take riskier bets with a high pay out potential. The fact that WLD is a relatively young coin makes me believe that this token can see a lot of growth over the next 1-2 years during the bull-run.
Long
by FieryTrading
3
24-01-30 update AUDUSD Long Entry: Trade Management 24-01-30 update AUDUSD Long Entry Entry Price: 0.65700 Stop Loss Price : 0.65300 / 40 Pips Take Profit: 0.66300 / 60 Pips Risk To Reward : 1 for 1.5 Trade Grade: b + -Tagged into trade at same price levels above * Trade Management* A. Risk entry (pending order) B. Take Profit at levels above B2: I might scale the risk off if the market trends in the direction of the trade. Cut losses quickly and let the winners ride is a big part of my trading style If anyone wants to know when I reduce risk please message me
Long
by Trader_Miles
EURUSD Short Trade 24-01-29: Trade Signal EURUSD Short Trade 24-01-29 *Trade Price Levels* 1. Risk Entry (Pending Order) Pending Order Price : 1.08700 Stop Loss Price : 1.09100 Take Profit : 1.08100 Risk to Reward Potential -1 units of risk for 1.5 units of gain -Note: Needs a win rate or 41% or above to be a profitable trader -Will Track Feb Signal Win Rate A. Will track risk entry win rate and confirmation entry model win rate B. Based on data that will determine risk profile for Prop Firm Funding (More Aggressive Risk Profile) Cons For Trade A. Price is in the discount of the swing range (should sell from premium and long from discount) B. Price could use the demand zone from the daily to drive (hawkish) Price through zone above making higher highs and lower lows C. Price broke key price level of 1.0800 (more neutral) Pros A. Double zone supply zone coverage with stop loss being big enough to let the trade breathe a bit B. The first Mitigation of a zone often fails leading to price moving up and then going deeping (bearish) towards the strong swing structure below C. The overall trend is more bearish than bullish Fundamental Drivers A. Price Broke 7 week low of 1.0800 B. Central Bank rates remained unchanged C. President Lagarde is more dovish than hawkish
Short
by Trader_Miles
2
GBPUSD Post Trade Analysis 2024-01-29 : Valid LossGBPUSD Post Trade Analysis 2024-01-29 *Loss* 1. Valid risk entry loss for a valid loss A. Entry Valid B. Point of Interest Valid - 4H A.3 C. Valid Exit 2.What can I improve ? A. - I can input trade concept into Edgewonk Advance Journal Section. - I can add all info, pre trade screenshots, fundamental news - I can improved my fundamental analysis - First Mitigation Failed - will track and possible add no first mitigation to trade plan What would be my entry model Price Levels ? 1. Entry Price : 1.26750 2. Stop Loss : 1.26450 3. Take Profit : 1.27200 Could I take this Trade ? - Would set alert and have 1 hour to place trade - Valid Entry and Win Lessons - First mitigation is lower probability and Entry Model is a more valid Trade
Long
by Trader_Miles