Make profitable trading decisionsHi Fellow Traders
The greatest tool in your arsenal is your Risk/ Reward rules when evaluating the potential expencency and outcome of each scenario. By using this to protect your account it may help you to survive long enough to be profitable.
Risk/ reward is quite simple. If I risk $1 on a trade, I need to make on average $1.50 to be profitable. In other words, my risk is 1 and my reward 1.5, therefore it is a 1:1.5 risk/ reward ratio, which is acceptable to potentially enter a trade if it meets your criteria.
You want to try an average between 1:1.3 and 1:1.7 when looking for trade opportunities.
The Risk/ reward tool on Tradeview is excellent for evaluating and getting a proper picture of the potential upside and downside before making a decision.
I hope you enjoy the video and that I have been able to contribute to your potential success as a trader.
Please feel free to comment and reach out if you help.
Regards
Wayne_G
Riskreward
EDIT breakout into a new channelHere we have a new breakout. I see this one making continuation moves up into this new channel once it gets its footing. A solid entry would have been MACD red to green with the cross as shown by the yellow line, nonetheless, If you pickup some calls you should be good here in my opinion.
You know what to do! Manage risk, trade smart!
COTY - Long again - going for 9-ish first - Great R/RThe first setup got invalidated and I got taken out by an obvious stop hunt... it happens.
Now it seems ready to rally and we could see a follow through day now.
I suggest using the low at 6.20 as a stop if you're more a risk averse type
or previous days lows if you're a more aggressive trader.
Price needs to break above this 6.9x zone first though.
EURGBP - Great R/R TRADE OPPORTUNITY!!!EURGBP - Great R/R TRADE OPPORTUNITY!!!
This pair did my head in yesterday, nearly get stopped out but I was disciplined and the patience paid off this morning waking up to green screen! That's the best feeling but everyday isn't like that. Don't get your emotions get to you whilst trading, I actually learnt this the hard way and I'm still working on that but you are who you bring to the market, there are great psychology books to help with this - if you are struggling message me privately I will be sure to give you trading reading list.
I got in at the lows of the formation, scaled in - Took 60% of partial profits got two more long positions in.
Technical aspects:
Pattern: Wedge
Support: 0.88240, 0.88100, 0.87960
Resistance: 0.88380, 0.88520, 0.88780, 0.89100
Fundamental aspects:
BoE TODAY - Focus on negative rates - I don't personally think they will go towards negative rates, vaccine roll out is positive, no further QE is really needed.
Don't forget to enter this trade idea, add your own trading plan towards it. Add further confluence.
Key tip: Be humble - There are so many ways to trade out there, but most important is if your way of trading is gaining capital - Keep Doing You!
Have a great Thursday!!
Trade Journal
(Just a trade idea, not a recommendation)
AUDUSD - Trade Idea - FOR TODAY!AUDUSD - Quick Trade Idea!
Technical aspect:
Pattern: Wedge
Support: 0.76085, 0.76050, 0.75920, 0.75880
Resistance: 0.76180, 0.76265, 0.76325, 0.76420, 0.76595
Break above key resistance zone and trendline down - Bullish momentum
Break below to key support area, perhaps a candle close - Bearish momentum
Key tip: You can copy all you want, but you will always be one step behind! That's the harsh reality - Remember this is just a trade idea, add your own trading plan to the idea add further confluence.
Trade Journal
(Just a trade idea, not a recommendation)
Trade Alert: XRPI usually don't do crypto, but now that I've done what I believe is enough research and watched crypto's crazy market I am IN.
That being said : XRP High reward, not without some risk of course.
XRP has buying support, its good news that with SEC news this hasn't went down the drain, still we are above .22 and I really do believe XRP will come out with a "W" on this SEC case..
My advice add a small position and any good news hits keep adding to position, also if no news BUT XRP hits positive trend I boxed in chart then add to position.
As always pay good attention as crypto tends to move FAST.
*Indicators and Tools used*
-Zig Zag
-Pivots
-Vol
-MACD
-Super Trend V1.0
-Trend Line
-Triangle
-Date and Price Range
*Please like if you find this post useful*
USDCAD Post-FOMC/Oil ReportsThe Canadian Dollar had a really strong year against the US dollar correlating nicely with the DXY. After FOMC reports however, the Dollar continues to dig itself out of the hole it was in late 2020 and pairs with the dollar as the dominant, such as FX:USDCAD , have started to experience some upward momentum that I expect to continue for the next few days as North American Oil availability appears grim likely hiking the rate per barrel, ultimately pushing down the value of North and South American currencies (exception of the USD, I'll get to that). With this in mind, a safe entry is created on USDCAD as there is some relatively tight downside protection/cushion with this information in the market. The devaluation (dare I say inflation) of the US dollar is what makes this trade possible. If it wouldn't of been as prepared for the worse, prior to FOMC and bad oil news, the DXY would most likely have continued to see a downfall. However, the perfect storm of a declining stock market, "less economic scarring", and the decline in Bitcoin, maybe the Dollar has found its floor? Maybe not, but for the next month or two I will look to retain this bias.
Still riding the wave #forexThe beauty of swing trading (especially with a rules based strategy) is the potential for great risk reward ratios over long periods. Now obviously risk/reward ratios can be applied to any time frame but swing trading allows you to capture much larger gains over a set time period and are easier to manage.
Let me use this trade taken back on October 21 as an example.
It was a range trade that risked 130 pips, and when nzd/cad was at its highs, the risk/reward ratio was over 4 and the net gain was nearly 500 pips. If I was trading on a smaller time frame looking for the same risk/reward ratio but lets say the gain would be 30-40 pips, I would had to be right 13-17 times (over the same 3 month period) to get to 500 pips in profit. Because market timing on any time frame is so difficult, it is much easier to be right once and let time and trend work in your favor then to try to be right 17 times.
EOS/USDT Active!Hello Community!
Before we begin please support my idea with a thumbs up and a comment. It'll be greatly appreciated and will motivate me to post a little more!
Lets keep it simple.
When taking a look at EOS / USDT on the Daily TF, we can see it trading back in a parallel channel I drew out in a previous post. It is currently making a go at the top of the channel and if it breaks out decisively we can expect to see a nice run to the next resistance drawn out, which is about 20%. This is a very active coin that seems to not shy away from 20% movements frequently. With that being said. If it fails to go through the channel I can see a move to retest the bottom, and you can guess that percentage or just look at my chart. lol
This is not Financial advice.
Safe Trading, Calculate Your Risk/Reward & Collect!!
Simplicity Wins
[Risk Management trick] Tilting the "Math" in your favor!We all try to find the strategies which offer best possible win probabilities.
Yet, we often overlook another crucial component of increasing your odds of winning => risk management.
Today, I am going to show you how you can use a simple risk management trick to tilt the "Math" in your favor.
Would you like to increase the output of your strategy by 25% without doing anything extra?
Imagine a 3R win suddenly increasing to 3.75R with no change in the strategy at all.
Consider this trade...
We are trying to setup a sell trade with a very defined -1R risk and +3R profit.
If we were to loose this trade, we will loose 1% of our capital - and if we win, we will make 3% in return (3RR).
Here, we assumed that we'll exit the trade when price moves -1R completely against us.
What if, we pivot our thinking and assume the trade is lost when price has moved -0.8R : because if the trade goes that much against you, there's a very high probability that it'll hit your stop loss too. There is no reason to pretend that it can still turn around at the last moment. Murphy's law truly applies here - "Anything that can go wrong will go wrong".
If we do really pivot our thinking, lets see how it works in our favor!
The Stop loss is now updated and set at -0.8R
So a win will still give us the same 3%, but the loss will only wipe out -0.8% from our account.
Now because our profit targets are still setup as per the original 1% trade, you can now see that we now get this extra reward if our trade hits its original 3R target
The moment we draw 3R as per our new -0.8R stop loss, we get this - You can see how the 3R with -0.8R stop loss is achieved much before than the 3R with -1R stop loss (obviously)!
That means, the extra reward you got when the trade reached your original 3R - is additional profit which you now have - without ever changing your trading strategy!
3/0.8 = 0.75 (which is 25% of your original 3R target)
0.75/3 = 25%
You now have extra an 25% reward for free!
New RR = 3.75
This is a very beautiful math equation for yet another reason!
Imagine you lost your trade with a -0.8R => the additional 0.75R you will achieve (for free) from another trade will extremely quickly cover up anything you lost.
As you can see, we can really use sound risk management techniques & Math to our benefit.
This is called : Tilting the "Math" in your favor!
FTSE100 - UKX - WHERE TO NEXT?FTSE100 UKX - Range Bound - WHERE TO NEXT?
Technical View:
Resistance: 6782.5, 6823.0, 6900.5
Support: 6677.7, 6627.6, 6610.9, 6535.8 (200EMA)
Pattern: Multiple formation Bull Flag / Triangle Formation
How to approach this trade idea:
- Add alerts at key break out areas
- Wait for the break out and trade the pull back
- Check the key Fibs matching S&R Areas
- Don't forget to gain a good R/R
- Add limit orders to break out areas, bit more of risky approach as you don't want be part of fake break out!
Go with what you have written on your trade plan overall.
It's FRIDAY....! On a Friday - I take day trades, review my journal and get ready for the week ahead. It hasn't been bad week very choppy markets we are in range bound areas in most assets apart from Crypto's great momentum towards down side I always say in life and in the markets - What goes up, comes down eventually. Now it doesn't mean you're going to become profitable trader and come down - NO! What I mean is, your performance isn't going to be straight line there will be days up and down and let be honest with you - I don't always trade everyday because I know when I want to be part of the market, be disciplined! It does depends on way you mange your portfolio.
Have a great weekend.
Trade Journal
(Just a trade idea, not a recommendation)