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Riskreward

Weekly Chart Signal Trade idea- Multi-time frame AUDUSD Jan 04th 2024 1. The weekly swing is bearish on the weekly time frame. (See green 1 for strong market structure) A. I expect price to move through my risk management strategy to move from 1 to the 2 on the weekly timeframe 2. Price is currently in the equilibrium between the weekly high strong (see green 3 & 4 for reference) Price is more likely to move from strong market structure to weaker structure. This is how I based my phases of the market. 3. Price is currently in C.4 supply zone and is trending bullish for the Change of Trend (CHoCH) 4. Trade Ideas (Investor trade plan) A. I could short trade with a risk entry at the short trade at Black 5 B. I Could also go to a lower time frame and wait for a confirmation entry for a higher probability trade
Short
by Trader_Miles
Happy New Year 2024| Learn Our Methods | Read Description|Happy New Year Everyone 2024: Let's first talk about CHFJPY then we will talk about how you can improve and learn some tips. CHFJPY in last six or seven months price overbought heavily due to JPY poor performance and government's zero intention to interfere in the market. However, many reports suggests that JPY will likely to be rebound in first quarter of 2024 in this case we can see a strong shift in price characteristics. Our first entry indicates, that we should expect price to continue the bearish momentum and drop from current area of the price. However, as we will having NFP in the first week of the month, it is likely to see some unexpected movement in the market. Second entry, is when price fill the gaps in the market and then drop smoothly, we will keep you updated. We want all of you to succeed in the forex or commodities trading. Here how you can improve: Firstly find one or two pairs that suits you: meaning if you focus on every single instruments available to trade in the market, you will never succeed instead focus on one or two pairs and master them, know how and when these pairs move, what factors influence them in the market and trade swing highs and lows. Secondly, use longer time frames to have a better vision, have a longer vision which will help you catch the big moves, yes, it is time consuming but if you are beginner then focus first in this and then along the way you will learn intraday trading. Lastly, learn more about consolidation, accumulation and distribution: before the big reversal, price first will consolidate then accumulate and distribute, you should be looking to enter in phase of accumulation and take every enter when price consolidate which leads to a breakout. If you learn above information in details and practice, your chances of becoming a successful trade increase. There is no overnight success, it is all hard work, if you believe in your self and focus on above things you will one day be proud of yourself. Happy New Year and Trade Safe 2024. We wish all of you all the best. Team Setupsfx_
Education
by Setupsfx_
11
#Tata chem, moving in tight range, R:R in favor, long at 950/968Tata chem is moving in a tight range Since Apr'23 and making higher low's but not higher high. In my opinion going long at 970 with small SL below 940. We can add till 950 also or enter at 947/950 to reduce risk in the trade, on upside targets can be 1) 1021 2) 1039 3) once 1039 is crossed bring SL to cost or 1021 to ensure no loss in the trade. I think spring effect is going to help bull's, there can be a scenario where flushing out of weak hands can happen below 965.
NSE:TATACHEMLong
by ssudhirsharma11
Personal Lookback 💜 November's Profits, Success Rate, RisksGreetings, fellow traders, As we embark on the second day of December, I'm filled with immense pride to announce that our previous 12 market analytics from November have triumphantly achieved their respective target prices. This remarkable accomplishment spans a diverse spectrum of assets, including precious metals like gold, forex pairs like EUR, and the ever-evolving realm of cryptocurrencies, exemplified by Bitcoin. For your convenience, a comprehensive list of these TradingView analytics will be readily available in the description below. While we've navigated the market with remarkable precision, avoiding any unfortunate stop loss hits, I wholeheartedly encourage the integration of safety measures into your future trading endeavors. Your well-being and financial security remain paramount, and implementing prudent risk management strategies is an essential cornerstone of success. As I reflect upon this journey, I extend my deepest gratitude for the unwavering motivation and inspiration you have bestowed upon me. Your unwavering support has been the driving force behind my commitment to providing insightful market analysis and fostering a community of empowered traders. Together, let us strive to maintain, if not surpass, this exceptional success rate. May our collective passion for market mastery continue to propel us towards new heights of financial prosperity. I wish you all the very best in your trading endeavors, and may longevity fill your paths. Happy trading, and long life! Gold: Gold Rush with AI: Analyzing a Bullish Trend Managing Gold Long & SL - A Multi-Indicator Consensus Indicator Gold's Story of Resilience and Strength Gold's in the door of Breakout or Fakeout 🧈 EMA Analytics w/ AI Gold Rush with AI: Is a Bullish Trend broken? Cross-Checking Gold’s Supertrend Adaptively on MTFA FOREX: EUR's Retracement: ECB indicated Yield-Seeking on USD Factors Contributing to the EUR's Decline Against the USD An AI Analytics - 💶 EURUSD Trajectory: Bullish Market Dynamics Video - Powerful EUR Fundamentals - AI suggests Technicals Align An AI Analytics - 💶 EURUSD Trajectory: Bullish Market Dynamics Crypto: Deciphering the Charts: A Closer Look at BTCUSDT's Future Kind regards, Ely
TVC:GOLD
by Elysian_Mind
2
Managing Gold Long & SL - A Multi-Indicator Consensus IndicatorDear Valued Investors, O n the financial markets, we find ourselves immersed in the story of Gold (XAUUSD), a tale of resilience and growth. Since November 13, 2023, Gold has gracefully embraced a bullish trajectory, dancing its way from $1928 to a harmonious $2002. This surge reflects the prevailing positive sentiment within the market. O ur cherished Multi-Indicator Consensus indicator , a guiding light in the complex world of trading, has been whispering about this bullish dance for the past two weeks. However, as we embark on this journey together, let us tread with both excitement and caution. W hile the absence of a bearish signal is reassuring, prudence suggests that initiating a new long position at this juncture might be akin to stepping into the dance mid-performance. The prolonged bullish stride, unaccompanied by a recent confirmation signal, hints at the potential for a gentle retracement or a graceful consolidation period. T o navigate the delicate balance of risk in our existing gold long position, we extend our hand to the wisdom of the trail profit stop-loss order. This order, a silent guardian in the realm of trading, elegantly adjusts the stop-loss level as the market rhythm unfolds. It allows us to savor the sweet taste of profits while gracefully curtailing potential losses. F or our gold long position, consider setting the trail profit stop-loss order at a Fibonacci retracement level – perhaps the enchanting 0.382 or the harmonious 0.5 retracement level. These levels, like gentle notes in a melodic composition, often serve as supportive zones during the ebb and flow of market pullbacks. A s we waltz with Gold's positive momentum, let us also be attuned to the nuances of increased risk that accompany holding a long position without a recent bullish signal. The overarching melody is one of positivity, but the absence of a fresh confirmation note calls for a measured and deliberate approach. I n closing, while the Multi-Indicator Consensus indicator paints a portrait of optimism for Gold, the prolonged bullish journey without a recent signal and the elevated risk call for a symphony of risk management strategies. Consider the trail profit stop-loss order as a gentle partner, guiding you through the dance, protecting profits, and gracefully managing the inherent risks of the gold long position. Disclaimer: This heartfelt guidance is not to be construed as investment advice. As you waltz through the markets, remember that the rhythm of each trade is unique. We encourage you to perform your own due diligence or seek the counsel of a financial advisor before making any financial decisions. With Warm Regards, Ely
TVC:GOLDLong
by Elysian_Mind
🔥 SAND Finally Breaking Out Through 1.5 Year Resistance?SAND has been trading below this bearish resistance line for well over 1.5 years. With the market going up in general, is it finally time for this token to break out? I'm waiting for SAND to close a daily candle above 0.47, stop below the most recent swing low, target at 1.48. This way we can construct a very decent swing trade with a risk-reward of ~12.5. Time will tell if SAND will show us long-term strength like last cycle. For now, we're keeping our long-term target relatively close.
Long
by FieryTrading
8
How To Use RISK vs. REWARD RatiosHi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉 Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫 For today's post, we're diving into the concept " risk reward ratio " by taking a look at practical examples and including other relevant scenarios of managing your risk. What is considered a good risk to reward ratio and where can you see it ? This applies to all markets, and during these volatile times it is an excellent idea to take a good look at your strategy and refine your risk management. Let's jump right in ! You've all noticed the really helpful " long setup " or " short setup " on TradingView chart ideas. This clearly identifies the area of profit (in green), the area for a stop-loss (in red) and your entry (the borderline). It also shows the percentage of your increases or decreases at the top and bottom. This is achieved by using the tool you can find in your toolbar on the left, 7th from the top. The first two options are Long Position and Short Position. It looks like this : 💭Something to remember; It is entirely up to you where you decided to take profit and where you decide to put your stop loss. The IDEAL anticipated targets are given, but the price may not necessarily reach these points. You have that entire zone to choose from and you can even have two or three take profits points in a position. Now, what is the Risk Reward Ratio expressed in the center as a number.number ? The risk to reward ration is exactly as the word says : The amount you risk for the amount you could potentially gain. NOTE that your risk is indefinite, but your gains are not guaranteed . The risk/reward ratio measures the difference between the entry point to a stop-loss and a sell or take-profit point. Comparing these two provides the ratio of profit to loss, or reward to risk. For example, if you're a gambler and you've played roulette, you know that the only way to win 10 chips is to risk 5 chips. Your risk here is expressed as 5:10 or 5.10 .You can spread these 5 chips out any way you like, but the goal of the risk is for a reward that is bigger than your initial investment. However, you could also lose your 5 and this will mean that you need to risk double as much in your next play to make up for your loss. Trading is no different, (except there is method to the madness other than sheer luck...) Most market strategists and speculators agree that the ideal risk/reward ratio for their investments should not be less than 1:3, or three units of expected return for every one unit of additional risk. Take a look at this example: Here, you're risking the same amount that you could potentially gain. The Risk Reward ratio is 1, assuming you follow the exact prices for entry, TP and SL. Can you see why this is not an ideal setup? If your risk/reward ratio is 1, it means you might as well not participate in the trade since your reward is the same as your risk. This is not an ideal trade setup. An ideal trade setup is a scenario where you can AT LEAST win 3x as much as what you are risking. For example: Note that here, my ratio is now the ideal 2.59 (rounded off to 2.6 and then simplified it becomes 1:3). If you're wondering how I got to 1:3, I just divided 2.6 by 2, giving me 1 and 3. Another way to express this visually: If you are setting up your own trade, you can decide at what point you feel comfortable to set your stop loss. For example, you may feel that if the price drops by more than 10%, that's where you'll exit and try another trade. Or, you could decide that you'll take the odds and set your stop loss so that it only triggers if the price drops by 15%. The latter will naturally mean you are trading at higher risk because your risk of losing is much more. Seasoned analysts agree that you shouldn't have a value smaller than 5% for your stop loss, because this type of price action occurs often during a day. For crypto, I would say 10% because we all know that crypto markets are much more volatile than stock markets and even more so than commodity markets like Gold and Silver, which are the most stable. Remember that your Risk/Reward ratio forms an important part of your trading strategy, which is only one of the steps in your risk management program. There are many more things to consider when thinking about risk management, but we'll dive into those in another post. _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck
Education
by CryptoCheck-
35
AI-Driven Analysis: TSLA's Possible Outlook and Tactical EntriesDear Esteemed Members of the TradingView Community, I n our continuous pursuit of precision, we've harnessed the analytical power of cutting-edge AI technology, utilizing a harmonious blend of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Seasonal Decomposition of Time Series (STL) methodologies to decode the market trends from June 26, 2023, to November 4, 2023. O ur AI indicates a prevailing bearish sentiment in this time frame, which traditionally corresponds to a sequence of lower lows. The chart exhibits a prominent white trendline, gracefully outlining the descending support trajectory of this bearish trend and pinpointing potential regions for the emergence of new lower lows. Should this trendline remain intact, a target price range for short positions spans from $175 to $195. F or those contemplating entry into a short position, we suggest closely monitoring the nearest resistance levels. In bearish trends, historical support levels often transition into formidable resistance points. To map these potential hurdles, the AI has nimbly employed the K-Nearest Neighbors (K-NN) algorithm, highlighting two key resistance zones: "Resistance 1" and "Resistance 2." Resistance 1, marked by the vibrant red line, stands as the immediate barricade, while Resistance 2, also vividly red, awaits in the wings should Resistance 1 be breached. These insights have inspired us to craft two scenarios for your strategic consideration. I n Scenario 1, we envisage Resistance 1 rejecting the price action, ushering in a descent towards the coveted target price zone. In Scenario 2, an alternate narrative unfolds, where the bulls surge past Resistance 1, eventually carving out a consolidation phase between the two resistance lines. Ultimately, this tactical hiatus is followed by an ebbing of market enthusiasm, permitting the anticipated descent into the target zone. A perceptive examination of the volume reveals an uptick in selling pressure on TSLA, commencing on October 17, 2023. The red volume candles in the white circle signify an influx of market sell transactions, surpassing the norm. This pattern aligns with a prevailing bearish sentiment, setting the stage for a potential decline in keeping with our bearish expectations. W hile on the indicators, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) appears. It's a tool often wielded together with others by seasoned traders. Although we've already discussed various indicators, it's worth casting an eye over the RSI. The RSI is signaling a persistent selling inclination in the market, displaying no discernible signs of waning. When considered in conjunction with the volume data and AI-derived insights, it further bolsters the case for impending bearish continuations. tl;dr version: T o sum up, here's a snapshot of the elements of our analysis: Position: Short Trend: Bearish Entry: Near Resistance 1 or Resistance 2 (depicted in red) Target Price Zone: $175-$195 Stop Loss: Positioned above the noted resistances Indicators: ARIMA, STL, K-NN, Volume Candle Analytics, Trendline Analytics, RSI H owever, please be mindful that this analysis is not an investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The trading parameters should be in line with your unique risk tolerance. It's crucial to undertake your individual research and remember to implement a range of safeguards, such as Stop Loss, Trail Profit, Target Price, Trade Timeout, and Liquidity Check. The ever-fluctuating market can often spring surprises, venturing into scenarios that may differ significantly from those outlined in this analysis. Warm regards, Ely
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Elysian_Mind
6
UsdJpy off to the Races or 1 more Retest 🏎 UsdJpy increases this week despite significant retail imbalances from last week failing to take price lower with notable inlfation data. We may observe a move to go down now after jumping up with news release volatility from last week. Otherwise, UsdJpy is currently testing a Daily Resistance level for the first time. We may anticpate a move down early in the week but consequential upside movement laster in the week. The Monthly candle has confirmed an upside breakout to our next monthly zone at 158. We may observe initial retest of 148.71 once more before seeing more upisde movement.
by ShrewdCatfx
1
Will GOLD go test ATHs?GOLD is showing some clues of possible trend change. If price stays on top of the last highs the price structure changes from making lower highs to making a higher high. This can indicate from a accumulation and growing bull force. As long as we stay on top of these previous highs I'm short term bull. Ofc there is also the huge 12 year cup and handle pattern which would indicate of higher prices probably around 24-25. Targets 2500-3000 per ounce (I'm Long Term Bull) Tell me if you would like a more in depth update about the 12 year GOLD cup and handle structure -Jebu
TVC:GOLDLong
by PalenTrade
4
🔥 The Last Hurdle Before The Bull-Market: EthereumLike most alts, ETH has been seeing very decent gains over the last few weeks. However, ETH has not yet broken out of the bear market range, which is well defined below the purple resistance area. This resistance area ranges from $2000-$2150. If ETH does not manage to break through this resistance, we can't call the bear market over. On the contrary, if this resistance manages to hold there's a potential for the entire crypto market to fall. Since the market has shown exceptional strength lately, there's a potential that ETH will break through this resistance. If it does, there's little holding back crypto from starting a new long-term bullish trend. Keep your eyes focused on this range, since it might prove to be an important one in the near future.
Long
by FieryTrading
3
DYDX/USDTPossible break and retest happening on DYDX. Let's see if this key level can hold and buyers show that they are in control, or will it break and they need more time. If there will be new crypto bull market, I think Dexes like GMX, GNS and DYDX will perform well, as they will start to bring profitable revenue in and share it with holders of their tokens If you are surprised that altcoins got whacked for the last 4 months against Bitcoin you shouldn't be Post from june about alts No trade is risk free! 1st mistake novice traders do is not having risk management and get their ass burned! -PalenTrade
Long
by PalenTrade
4
Solid Small Caps for EarningsAnyone finding interesting setups in small caps this earnings season? These often have more reliable patterns for swing trading. Since they are largely under the radar of the retail crowd, institutional patterns can be clearer. NASDAQ:CERE is an example of a stock coming up in TechniTrader scans today. It has 88% institutional holdings. A compression pattern is developing. HFTs have been in it recently, possibly due to intermittent accumulation. The strengthening of the sideways action is particularly visible with the RSI indicator. Dark Pool accumulation tends to cause controlled sideways patterns like this, a key ingredient for what we call Relational Technical Analysis at TechniTrader. Because this has had a swing-style run out of the last compression pattern at a low in this longer trading range, a swing trade could be considered on the breakout, either above today's high or above the last resistance level for a more conservative entry. (Green lines on the chart) My target would be 31, but of course I'd be watching for exit signals or an extreme pattern to take profits early. Stop loss at the red line on the chart. A more aggressive trader could look at an entry ahead of the close today if pro trader patterns emerge in the last 15 minutes with an exit shortly after the open if a run or gap up develops for an EOD to FOD trade. Happy Trading! Guest author: Mele Ainuu, Senior Technical Analyst, Student Support @ TechniTrader
CLong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
OrderID BTCTHB-RR1.3-230510 Trading System = Discretionary using FIB and Pitchfork Side = Short/Sell Position = Closed Volume = All Order type = Exit TP = Fib Proj. 0.618, 1, 1.618 Problem & Anomaly = After the volatility peak at the previous highest high. Price has been climbing with exhaustion. Trader Emotion = Neutral Mistake & Error = Non Remark = Using a red downward slope median line to add short positions if the price has reached the 0.618 percent Fibonacci level. Ideas = This is a classic play shorting at the lower high to expect a lower low. Let's see how the price folds out.
Short
by ProDukeSadudee
Risk ControlRisk control stands as the core of any trading system, and the primary objective for every trader or investor is to safeguard their trading capital. The focus should always be on capital preservation before aiming for substantial gains. In the trading world, losses are part of the game, which is why each trade should be rigorously capped with a predefined potential loss to manage positions effectively. A stop order emerges as the paramount rule of position management. The extent of risk per trade can fluctuate from 0.5% to 2%, contingent on factors like the trading system, personal ambitions, chosen timeframes, and goals. It is essential to select a risk level for each transaction that aligns with the probabilistic forecast of your trading model. For example, counter-trend trades carry higher risks compared to scenarios where trading is synchronized across timeframes and employs a high-probability model. One of the most common mistakes made by novice traders is gauging profit or loss in fiat terms. Instead, it's prudent to view your trading capital as the full 100% and perceive profit and loss as percentages, regardless of their monetary value. To maintain effective risk control and manage the entire trading system, maintaining detailed statistics and a trading log is crucial. Recording your transactions in a format that suits you best and meticulously analyzing your market actions allows for progress and the identification of errors in your trading strategy. The temptation to aim for higher profits than your trading system suggests should be avoided, as this can lead to excessive risks and should not undermine the value of low-risk transactions in growing your deposit. When it comes to risk management, controlling your position size is pivotal in safeguarding your capital. It's essential to use a stop order for every trade. The cornerstone for steady growth in a trading account is the risk-to-reward ratio (risk:reward). This ratio specifically outlines how many profitable trades are needed to offset a single unsuccessful trade. The table above clearly illustrates the probability of depleting your deposit in relation to the risk-reward ratio and the trade win rate. It becomes evident that even with a 40% win rate and a Risk: Reward ratio of 1:4, the likelihood of depleting your account over the long term is merely 5%. If the Risk: Reward ratio is maintained at 1:4 with a win rate of at least 50%, the possibility of liquidation becomes nearly implausible. It's important to remember that the same trading setup can be approached in various ways. Employing entry refinement techniques on lower timeframes enables a significant reduction in the stop order area, thereby increasing the Risk: Reward ratio. Nevertheless, this may lead to a lower win rate. To strike a balance, use the "golden ratio" rule and select a trading model that resonates with your unique style and psychological type
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Crypto4light
ARBITRUM MAJOR BREAKOUT INCOMING!! Lets take a moment to look at this beautiful chart and see the opportunity that lies in front of us. I can see a major breakout incoming with this project. People need to realize that this has one of the most active networks in the entire crypto ecosystem. #2 to be exact behind ETH. Once this project start to pump, it will really pump. Personally I will be DCA-ing this project leading up to the next bull run. If all goes as planned, I will be a happy camper. Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade. Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT. Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below! This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
Long
by Navitility